---
title: 'Estoril vs Moreirense – Portugal Primeira Liga'
url: 'https://betgps.com/portugal-primeira-liga/2026-10-25-estoril-vs-moreirense'
markdown: 'https://betgps.com/portugal-primeira-liga/2026-10-25-estoril-vs-moreirense.md'
date: '2026-10-25'
---

[Portugal Primeira Liga](https://betgps.com/portugal-primeira-liga) · Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:30 

#  Estoril vs Moreirense 

 Home 1.91 fair 2.65 

 Draw 3.60 fair 3.81 

 Away 3.70 fair 2.77 

 Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.95 

 Over 2.5 1.98 fair 2.05 

Bet365 odds. Highlighted = our prediction. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

## Our prediction

 Result Estoril to win 

 Goals Under 2.5 

 Expected goals 1.33 – 1.30 

Home / Draw / Away

 38% 26% 36% 

EstorilDrawMoreirense

Under / Over 2.5 goals

 51% 49% 

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Total goals in the match

 7%  0 

 19%  1 

 25%  2 

 22%  3 

 14%  4 

 13%  5+ 

Most likely scores

 **1–1** 12.5% **1–0** 9.6% **0–1** 9.4% 

## Statistics 2026/2027

 **Estoril** this season, all matches 

0.25points / match

0.50scored / match

1.50conceded / match

 2 6 

 WonDrawnLost 8 played · 4:12 

 **Moreirense** this season, all matches 

1.00points / match

1.00scored / match

1.88conceded / match

 2 2 4 

 WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:15 

 Estoril all matches all matches Moreirense 

### Per match

 0.50  Goals scored  1.00 

 1.50  Goals conceded  1.88 

 2.00  Total goals  2.88 

 0.94  xG created  0.72 

 1.51  xG allowed  1.70 

 13.00  Shots  7.88 

 5.00  Shots on target  2.75 

 14.00  Shots faced  15.38 

 4.88  Corners  2.38 

 4.63  Corners against  4.88 

 11.00  Fouls  13.75 

 2.38  Yellow cards  2.63 

 0.00  1st-half goals scored  0.63 

 0.50  1st-half goals conceded  0.75 

### How often

 0%  Wins  25% 

 75%  Over 1.5 goals  75% 

 38%  Over 2.5 goals  63% 

 0%  Over 3.5 goals  50% 

 50%  Both teams scored  50% 

 13%  Clean sheets  13% 

 50%  Failed to score  38% 

 0%  Leading at half-time  25% 

 50%  Trailing at half-time  25% 

### Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches

***1***

***1***

 D 

***1***

***3***

 L 

***1***

***1***

 D 

***2***

 L 

***2***

 L 

***1***

***2***

 L 

 D 

***1***

 L 

***1***

***2***

 L 

***1***

***2***

 L 

Moreirense all matches

***2***

 L 

 D 

***2***

***2***

 D 

***4***

 L 

***1***

 W 

***1***

***2***

 L 

***4***

 L 

***3***

***1***

 W 

***1***

***1***

 D 

***1***

 L 

 **Estoril** this season, at home 

0.50points / match

0.50scored / match

1.25conceded / match

 2 2 

 WonDrawnLost 4 played · 2:5 

 **Moreirense** this season, away 

1.00points / match

0.75scored / match

1.75conceded / match

 1 1 2 

 WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:7 

 Estoril at home away Moreirense 

### Per match

 0.50  Goals scored  0.75 

 1.25  Goals conceded  1.75 

 1.75  Total goals  2.50 

 1.05  xG created  0.54 

 1.36  xG allowed  1.72 

 16.00  Shots  6.25 

 5.75  Shots on target  2.75 

 8.00  Shots faced  16.75 

 7.00  Corners  1.25 

 3.75  Corners against  5.50 

 10.50  Fouls  13.00 

 2.25  Yellow cards  2.25 

 0.00  1st-half goals scored  0.50 

 0.50  1st-half goals conceded  1.00 

### How often

 0%  Wins  25% 

 75%  Over 1.5 goals  75% 

 25%  Over 2.5 goals  50% 

 0%  Over 3.5 goals  25% 

 50%  Both teams scored  50% 

 25%  Clean sheets  25% 

 50%  Failed to score  25% 

 0%  Leading at half-time  25% 

 50%  Trailing at half-time  25% 

### Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home

***3***

***1***

 W 

 D 

***1***

***2***

 L 

***1***

***3***

 L 

***1***

 L 

***1***

***3***

 L 

***1***

***1***

 D 

***2***

 L 

 D 

***1***

***2***

 L 

Moreirense away

***2***

***1***

 W 

***1***

***1***

 D 

***3***

 L 

***1***

***1***

 D 

***1***

***4***

 L 

***2***

 L 

***4***

 L 

***1***

 W 

***1***

***2***

 L 

***1***

***1***

 D 

## Last 10 matches

### Estoril all matches

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.26 | Academico Viseu – Estoril | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 20.09.26 | Estoril – Casa Pia | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.71 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 14.09.26 | Sp Braga – Estoril | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.46 | 4.10 | 6.50 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 07.09.26 | Estoril – Arouca | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 31.08.26 | Benfica – Estoril | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.15 | 7.50 | 12.00 | 1.40 | 2.88 |
| 22.08.26 | Estoril – Rio Ave | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.86 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 16.08.26 | Nacional – Estoril | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 07.08.26 | Estoril – Famalicao | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 16.05.26 | Estoril – Benfica | 1–3 (0–3) | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 2.88 |
| 10.05.26 | Alverca – Estoril | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.70 | 2.10 |

### Moreirense all matches

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.26 | Moreirense – Gil Vicente | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 20.09.26 | Guimaraes – Moreirense | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.49 | 3.75 | 7.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 14.09.26 | Moreirense – Maritimo | 3–1 (2–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.85 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 09.09.26 | Moreirense – Benfica | 0–4 (0–1) | 12.00 | 8.00 | 1.13 | 1.48 | 2.60 |
| 04.09.26 | Porto – Moreirense | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.11 | 7.00 | 21.00 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 30.08.26 | Casa Pia – Moreirense | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 16.08.26 | Arouca – Moreirense | 4–0 (3–0) | 2.01 | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 09.08.26 | Moreirense – Sp Braga | 2–2 (1–1) | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.66 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 16.05.26 | Moreirense – AVS | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.10 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 11.05.26 | Tondela – Moreirense | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.86 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 2.05 | 1.80 |

### Estoril at home

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.09.26 | Estoril – Casa Pia | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.71 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 07.09.26 | Estoril – Arouca | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 22.08.26 | Estoril – Rio Ave | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.86 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 07.08.26 | Estoril – Famalicao | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 16.05.26 | Estoril – Benfica | 1–3 (0–3) | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 2.88 |
| 26.04.26 | Estoril – Famalicao | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 12.04.26 | Estoril – Porto | 1–3 (0–2) | 6.50 | 4.50 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 22.03.26 | Estoril – Rio Ave | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.71 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 07.03.26 | Estoril – Casa Pia | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.66 | 3.80 | 4.50 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 22.02.26 | Estoril – Gil Vicente | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |

### Moreirense away

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.09.26 | Guimaraes – Moreirense | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.49 | 3.75 | 7.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 04.09.26 | Porto – Moreirense | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.11 | 7.00 | 21.00 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 30.08.26 | Casa Pia – Moreirense | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 16.08.26 | Arouca – Moreirense | 4–0 (3–0) | 2.01 | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 11.05.26 | Tondela – Moreirense | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.86 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 25.04.26 | Benfica – Moreirense | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.11 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 |
| 10.04.26 | Famalicao – Moreirense | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.42 | 4.20 | 7.00 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 15.03.26 | Porto – Moreirense | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.15 | 6.50 | 17.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 01.03.26 | Casa Pia – Moreirense | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.65 | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 16.02.26 | Rio Ave – Moreirense | 1–2 (1–1) | 2.82 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.20 | 1.65 |

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

## Head-to-head since 2021/2022

 1 3 4 

Estoril winsDrawsMoreirense wins

8matches

3.00goals / match

63%over 2.5

63%both scored

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.04.26P1 | Moreirense – Estoril | **1–0** (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 07.12.25P1 | Estoril – Moreirense | **3–3** (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 11.05.25P1 | Moreirense – Estoril | **2–2** (1–0) | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 28.12.24P1 | Estoril – Moreirense | **2–2** (2–1) | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.40 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 18.05.24P1 | Moreirense – Estoril | **2–1** (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 13.01.24P1 | Estoril – Moreirense | **1–3** (0–2) | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 07.05.22P1 | Estoril – Moreirense | **1–0** (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 28.12.21P1 | Moreirense – Estoril | **1–0** (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 1.61 |

## Portugal Primeira Liga table 2026/2027

 All matches – league table
| \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sp Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |

- Champions League – league phase
- Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
- Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
- Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
- Relegation play-off
- Relegation to Liga Portugal 2

Taça de Portugal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

 Home – league table
| \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Sp Lisbon | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 8 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | Sp Braga | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Alverca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Guimaraes | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Estrela | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Maritimo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Estoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Famalicao | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 |

 Away – league table
| \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 | Santa Clara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 9 |
| 4 | Sp Lisbon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Alverca | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 6 |
| 8 | Famalicao | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 9 | Estrela | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Sp Braga | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Arouca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Maritimo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Nacional | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Guimaraes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Estoril | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |

 Estoril  Moreirense

Results and odds: football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 12:28

 ![](https://betgps.com/user/themes/cs1-theme/images/banner/Goat.jpg)

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