--- title: 'Nacional vs Sp Braga – Portugal Primeira Liga' url: 'https://betgps.com/portugal-primeira-liga/2026-10-25-nacional-vs-sp-braga' markdown: 'https://betgps.com/portugal-primeira-liga/2026-10-25-nacional-vs-sp-braga.md' date: '2026-10-25' --- [Portugal Primeira Liga](https://betgps.com/portugal-primeira-liga) · Sunday 25 October 2026, 19:00 # Nacional vs Sp Braga Home 6.00 fair 2.99 Draw 3.90 fair 4.08 Away 1.51 fair 2.38 Under 2.5 1.90 fair 2.28 Over 2.5 1.90 fair 1.78 Bet365 odds. Highlighted = our prediction. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability. ## Our prediction Result Sp Braga to win Goals Over 2.5 Expected goals 1.37 – 1.56 Home / Draw / Away 33% 25% 42% NacionalDrawSp Braga Under / Over 2.5 goals 44% 56% Under 2.5Over 2.5 Total goals in the match 5% 0 16% 1 23% 2 22% 3 16% 4 17% 5+ Most likely scores **1–1** 11.4% **1–2** 8.9% **0–1** 8.4% ## Statistics 2026/2027 **Nacional** this season, all matches 0.50points / match 1.13scored / match 2.25conceded / match 1 1 6 WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:18 **Sp Braga** this season, all matches 1.38points / match 1.13scored / match 1.25conceded / match 3 2 3 WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:10 Nacional all matches all matches Sp Braga ### Per match 1.13 Goals scored 1.13 2.25 Goals conceded 1.25 3.38 Total goals 2.38 1.16 xG created 1.29 1.85 xG allowed 0.79 10.88 Shots 13.50 3.13 Shots on target 4.50 14.63 Shots faced 8.88 4.38 Corners 4.13 4.75 Corners against 2.88 11.13 Fouls 13.25 1.13 Yellow cards 2.00 0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50 1.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.38 ### How often 13% Wins 38% 88% Over 1.5 goals 63% 63% Over 2.5 goals 63% 63% Over 3.5 goals 25% 50% Both teams scored 63% 13% Clean sheets 38% 38% Failed to score 13% 0% Leading at half-time 25% 50% Trailing at half-time 13% ### Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left) Nacional all matches ***2*** L ***2*** W ***2*** ***2*** D ***2*** W ***1*** L ***2*** ***3*** L ***2*** L ***1*** ***3*** L ***4*** L ***2*** ***3*** L Sp Braga all matches ***2*** ***2*** D ***2*** ***2*** D ***2*** ***2*** D ***1*** W ***2*** ***1*** W ***1*** ***2*** L ***1*** W D ***1*** ***3*** L ***1*** ***2*** L **Nacional** this season, at home 0.75points / match 1.25scored / match 2.50conceded / match 1 3 WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:10 **Sp Braga** this season, away 1.25points / match 1.25scored / match 1.25conceded / match 1 2 1 WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5 Nacional at home away Sp Braga ### Per match 1.25 Goals scored 1.25 2.50 Goals conceded 1.25 3.75 Total goals 2.50 1.59 xG created 1.22 1.38 xG allowed 0.72 13.75 Shots 11.50 3.50 Shots on target 3.75 11.25 Shots faced 8.00 5.00 Corners 4.50 2.50 Corners against 4.00 10.75 Fouls 15.50 1.25 Yellow cards 2.50 0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.50 1.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75 ### How often 25% Wins 25% 100% Over 1.5 goals 75% 75% Over 2.5 goals 75% 75% Over 3.5 goals 25% 50% Both teams scored 75% 25% Clean sheets 25% 25% Failed to score 25% 0% Leading at half-time 0% 50% Trailing at half-time 25% ### Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left) Nacional at home ***1*** ***2*** L ***1*** L ***2*** W ***1*** W ***1*** ***2*** L ***2*** W ***2*** W ***2*** ***3*** L ***1*** ***3*** L ***4*** L Sp Braga away ***1*** ***2*** L ***2*** ***1*** W ***1*** W ***1*** W ***1*** ***2*** L ***2*** ***2*** D ***2*** ***2*** D ***2*** ***1*** W ***1*** ***2*** L D ## Last 10 matches ### Nacional all matches | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 11.10.26 | Rio Ave – Nacional | 3–2 (1–1) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 | | 19.09.26 | Nacional – Famalicao | 0–4 (0–3) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.01 | 2.10 | 1.70 | | 12.09.26 | Nacional – Alverca | 1–3 (0–3) | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 2.05 | 1.75 | | 05.09.26 | Sp Lisbon – Nacional | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.17 | 6.50 | 13.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 | | 30.08.26 | Nacional – Estrela | 2–3 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 | | 23.08.26 | Guimaraes – Nacional | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.66 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 | | 16.08.26 | Nacional – Estoril | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.93 | 1.93 | | 10.08.26 | Santa Clara – Nacional | 2–2 (2–2) | 1.86 | 3.25 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.67 | | 16.05.26 | Nacional – Guimaraes | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.96 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 | | 11.05.26 | Santa Clara – Nacional | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 | ### Sp Braga all matches | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 19.10.26 | Sp Braga – Gil Vicente | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.56 | 3.70 | 5.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 | | 09.10.26 | Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon | 1–3 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.08 | 1.73 | | 20.09.26 | Santa Clara – Sp Braga | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.40 | 1.53 | | 14.09.26 | Sp Braga – Estoril | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.46 | 4.10 | 6.50 | 1.70 | 2.10 | | 10.09.26 | Estrela – Sp Braga | 2–1 (1–1) | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.80 | | 05.09.26 | Alverca – Sp Braga | 1–2 (1–0) | 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.71 | 2.08 | 1.73 | | 31.08.26 | Sp Braga – Guimaraes | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.68 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 | | 09.08.26 | Moreirense – Sp Braga | 2–2 (1–1) | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.66 | 2.00 | 1.85 | | 16.05.26 | Sp Braga – Estrela | 2–2 (1–1) | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 | | 11.05.26 | Benfica – Sp Braga | 2–2 (0–0) | 1.39 | 4.33 | 7.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | ### Nacional at home | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 19.09.26 | Nacional – Famalicao | 0–4 (0–3) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.01 | 2.10 | 1.70 | | 12.09.26 | Nacional – Alverca | 1–3 (0–3) | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 2.05 | 1.75 | | 30.08.26 | Nacional – Estrela | 2–3 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 | | 16.08.26 | Nacional – Estoril | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.93 | 1.93 | | 16.05.26 | Nacional – Guimaraes | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.96 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 | | 02.05.26 | Nacional – AVS | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.42 | 4.33 | 7.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | | 18.04.26 | Nacional – Alverca | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 1.95 | | 04.04.26 | Nacional – Estrela | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.90 | | 15.03.26 | Nacional – Estoril | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.67 | 2.15 | | 28.02.26 | Nacional – Sp Braga | 1–2 (0–1) | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.51 | 1.75 | 2.05 | ### Sp Braga away | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 20.09.26 | Santa Clara – Sp Braga | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.40 | 1.53 | | 10.09.26 | Estrela – Sp Braga | 2–1 (1–1) | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.80 | | 05.09.26 | Alverca – Sp Braga | 1–2 (1–0) | 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.71 | 2.08 | 1.73 | | 09.08.26 | Moreirense – Sp Braga | 2–2 (1–1) | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.66 | 2.00 | 1.85 | | 11.05.26 | Benfica – Sp Braga | 2–2 (0–0) | 1.39 | 4.33 | 7.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | | 26.04.26 | Santa Clara – Sp Braga | 2–1 (0–1) | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.15 | 2.25 | 1.62 | | 23.04.26 | Casa Pia – Sp Braga | 0–1 (0–1) | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.95 | 1.85 | | 04.04.26 | Moreirense – Sp Braga | 0–1 (0–1) | 6.25 | 3.90 | 1.51 | 1.95 | 1.85 | | 28.02.26 | Nacional – Sp Braga | 1–2 (0–1) | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.51 | 1.75 | 2.05 | | 14.02.26 | Gil Vicente – Sp Braga | 2–1 (0–1) | 3.60 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 2.20 | 1.65 | Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league. ## Head-to-head since 2021/2022 1 3 Nacional winsDrawsSp Braga wins 4matches 2.00goals / match 50%over 2.5 25%both scored | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 28.02.26P1 | Nacional – Sp Braga | **1–2** (0–1) | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.51 | 1.75 | 2.05 | | 28.09.25P1 | Sp Braga – Nacional | **0–1** (0–1) | 1.39 | 4.33 | 7.50 | 1.83 | 2.03 | | 21.02.25P1 | Sp Braga – Nacional | **1–0** (1–0) | 1.57 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 | | 20.09.24P1 | Nacional – Sp Braga | **0–3** (0–0) | 5.25 | 3.80 | 1.65 | 1.62 | 2.25 | ## Portugal Primeira Liga table 2026/2027 All matches – league table | \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 1 | Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 24 | | 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 | | 3 | Sp Lisbon | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 18 | | 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 18 | | 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 14 | | 6 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 14 | | 7 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 14 | | 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 11 | | 9 | Sp Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 | | 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 | | 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | | 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 | | 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 | | 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 | | 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | | 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | | 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 | | 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 | - Champions League – league phase - Champions League – 3rd qualifying round - Europa League – 2nd qualifying round - Conference League – 2nd qualifying round - Relegation play-off - Relegation to Liga Portugal 2 Taça de Portugal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table. Home – league table | \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 | | 2 | Sp Lisbon | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 10 | | 3 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 | | 4 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 9 | | 5 | Santa Clara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 8 | | 6 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 | | 7 | Sp Braga | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 | | 8 | Academico Viseu | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 | | 9 | Alverca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | | 10 | Guimaraes | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | | 11 | Estrela | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 | | 12 | Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | | 13 | Maritimo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | | 14 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | | 15 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | | 16 | Estoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2 | | 17 | Famalicao | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 | | 18 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 | Away – league table | \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 | | 2 | Santa Clara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 10 | | 3 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 9 | | 4 | Sp Lisbon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 8 | | 5 | Academico Viseu | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 8 | | 6 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | | 7 | Alverca | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 6 | | 8 | Famalicao | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 5 | | 9 | Estrela | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | | 10 | Sp Braga | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | | 11 | Arouca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | | 12 | Maritimo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | | 13 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | | 14 | Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 | | 15 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | | 16 | Nacional | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | | 17 | Guimaraes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | | 18 | Estoril | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | Nacional Sp Braga Results and odds: football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 12:28 ![](https://betgps.com/user/themes/cs1-theme/images/banner/Goat.jpg) --- ## Navigation - Parent: [Portugal Primeira Liga](https://betgps.com/portugal-primeira-liga.md)