Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
LutonBirmingham
11Shots20
3Shots on target9
5Corners5
10Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct✓ Goals correct✗ BTTS missedCalculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (38 league matches this season so far).
ResultBirmingham to win
GoalsOver 2.5
Both teams scoreYesfair 1.83
Expected goals1.29 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
35%26%40%
LutonDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
50%50%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
46%55%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
7%0
18%1
25%2
22%3
15%4
14%5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3%0–1 9.5%1–0 8.8%
Statistics 2021/2022, before this match
Lutonbefore this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
21
WonDrawnLost3 played · 6:3
Birminghambefore this match, all matches
1.33points / match
0.33scored / match
0.67conceded / match
111
WonDrawnLost3 played · 1:2
Luton all matchesall matches Birmingham
Per match
2.00Goals scored0.33
1.00Goals conceded0.67
3.00Total goals1.00
10.00Shots9.00
5.00Shots on target2.33
10.67Shots faced11.00
5.00Corners4.67
4.67Corners against5.67
13.33Fouls12.00
2.33Yellow cards2.67
0.671st-half goals scored0.33
0.671st-half goals conceded0.00
How often Full Time
67%Wins33%
0%Draws33%
33%Losses33%
100%Over 0.5 goals67%
67%Over 1.5 goals33%
67%Over 2.5 goals0%
33%Over 3.5 goals0%
33%Over 4.5 goals0%
0%Over 5.5 goals0%
33%Both teams scored0%
67%Clean sheets67%
0%Failed to score67%
How often Half Time
67%Wins33%
0%Draws67%
33%Losses0%
100%Over 0.5 goals33%
33%Over 1.5 goals0%
0%Over 2.5 goals0%
Goals in the last 3 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Luton all matches
3
W
2
3
L
1
W
Birmingham all matches
1
W
D
2
L
Lutonbefore this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
1
WonDrawnLost1 played · 3:0
Birminghambefore this match, away
3.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
1
WonDrawnLost1 played · 1:0
Luton at homeaway Birmingham
Per match
3.00Goals scored1.00
0.00Goals conceded0.00
3.00Total goals1.00
12.00Shots9.00
6.00Shots on target2.00
4.00Shots faced16.00
7.00Corners2.00
2.00Corners against8.00
18.00Fouls12.00
1.00Yellow cards6.00
1.001st-half goals scored1.00
0.001st-half goals conceded0.00
How often Full Time
100%Wins100%
0%Draws0%
0%Losses0%
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
100%Over 1.5 goals0%
100%Over 2.5 goals0%
0%Over 3.5 goals0%
0%Over 4.5 goals0%
0%Over 5.5 goals0%
0%Both teams scored0%
100%Clean sheets100%
0%Failed to score0%
How often Half Time
100%Wins100%
0%Draws0%
0%Losses0%
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
0%Over 1.5 goals0%
0%Over 2.5 goals0%
Goals in the last 1 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match
England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match
All matches – league table
#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
QPR
4
2
2
0
9
5
+4
8
2
West Brom
3
2
1
0
9
4
+5
7
3
Fulham
3
2
1
0
8
3
+5
7
4
Bournemouth
3
2
1
0
6
3
+3
7
5
Stoke
3
2
1
0
6
3
+3
7
6
Blackburn
3
2
1
0
5
3
+2
7
7
Luton
3
2
0
1
6
3
+3
6
8
Coventry
3
2
0
1
3
2
+1
6
9
Cardiff
3
1
2
0
5
3
+2
5
10
Barnsley
4
1
2
1
4
4
0
5
11
Middlesbrough
3
1
1
1
5
5
0
4
12
Derby
3
1
1
1
3
3
0
4
13
Bristol City
4
1
1
2
5
6
-1
4
14
Birmingham
3
1
1
1
1
2
-1
4
15
Peterboro
3
1
1
1
4
6
-2
4
16
Swansea
4
1
1
2
3
5
-2
4
17
Huddersfield
3
1
1
1
3
6
-3
4
18
Reading
3
1
0
2
6
7
-1
3
19
Hull
3
1
0
2
4
5
-1
3
20
Millwall
3
0
2
1
3
4
-1
2
21
Blackpool
3
0
1
2
1
4
-3
1
22
Sheffield United
3
0
1
2
0
5
-5
1
23
Nott'm Forest
3
0
0
3
3
6
-3
0
24
Preston
3
0
0
3
2
7
-5
0
Home – league table
#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
West Brom
2
2
0
0
7
2
+5
6
2
Peterboro
2
1
1
0
4
3
+1
4
3
Luton
1
1
0
0
3
0
+3
3
4
Stoke
1
1
0
0
3
2
+1
3
5
Blackburn
1
1
0
0
2
1
+1
3
6
Coventry
1
1
0
0
2
1
+1
3
7
Middlesbrough
2
1
0
1
4
4
0
3
8
Reading
2
1
0
1
4
4
0
3
9
Barnsley
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
10
Huddersfield
2
1
0
1
2
5
-3
3
11
QPR
2
0
2
0
3
3
0
2
12
Bournemouth
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
13
Cardiff
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
14
Derby
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
15
Fulham
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
16
Millwall
2
0
1
1
2
3
-1
1
17
Bristol City
2
0
1
1
1
2
-1
1
18
Swansea
2
0
1
1
1
3
-2
1
19
Birmingham
2
0
1
1
0
2
-2
1
20
Sheffield United
1
0
0
1
0
1
-1
0
21
Nott'm Forest
2
0
0
2
2
4
-2
0
22
Preston
1
0
0
1
1
4
-3
0
23
Blackpool
2
0
0
2
0
3
-3
0
24
Hull
2
0
0
2
0
4
-4
0
Away – league table
#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Fulham
2
2
0
0
7
2
+5
6
2
QPR
2
2
0
0
6
2
+4
6
3
Bournemouth
2
2
0
0
4
1
+3
6
4
Cardiff
2
1
1
0
4
2
+2
4
5
Stoke
2
1
1
0
3
1
+2
4
6
Blackburn
2
1
1
0
3
2
+1
4
7
Hull
1
1
0
0
4
1
+3
3
8
Birmingham
1
1
0
0
1
0
+1
3
9
Bristol City
2
1
0
1
4
4
0
3
10
Luton
2
1
0
1
3
3
0
3
11
Derby
2
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
12
Swansea
2
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
13
Coventry
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
14
Barnsley
2
0
2
0
3
3
0
2
15
West Brom
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
16
Blackpool
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
17
Huddersfield
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
18
Middlesbrough
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
19
Millwall
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
20
Sheffield United
2
0
1
1
0
4
-4
1
21
Reading
1
0
0
1
2
3
-1
0
22
Nott'm Forest
1
0
0
1
1
2
-1
0
23
Preston
2
0
0
2
1
3
-2
0
24
Peterboro
1
0
0
1
0
3
-3
0
Luton Birmingham
Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match
Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1
1
QPR
4
1
3
2.2
1.2
2
2
0
9
5
8
2
2
West Brom
3
0
3
3.0
1.3
2
1
0
9
4
7
3
15
Peterboro
3
0
3
1.3
2.0
1
1
1
4
6
4
4
18
Reading
3
0
3
2.0
2.3
1
0
2
6
7
3
5
23
Nott'm Forest
3
0
3
1.0
2.0
0
0
3
3
6
0
6
3
Fulham
3
1
2
2.7
1.0
2
1
0
8
3
7
7
4
Bournemouth
3
1
2
2.0
1.0
2
1
0
6
3
7
8
5
Stoke
3
1
2
2.0
1.0
2
1
0
6
3
7
9
6
Blackburn
3
1
2
1.7
1.0
2
1
0
5
3
7
10
7
Luton
3
1
2
2.0
1.0
2
0
1
6
3
6
11
11
Middlesbrough
3
1
2
1.7
1.7
1
1
1
5
5
4
12
13
Bristol City
4
2
2
1.2
1.5
1
1
2
5
6
4
13
16
Swansea
4
2
2
0.8
1.2
1
1
2
3
5
4
14
19
Hull
3
1
2
1.3
1.7
1
0
2
4
5
3
15
24
Preston
3
1
2
0.7
2.3
0
0
3
2
7
0
16
8
Coventry
3
2
1
1.0
0.7
2
0
1
3
2
6
17
9
Cardiff
3
2
1
1.7
1.0
1
2
0
5
3
5
18
10
Barnsley
4
3
1
1.0
1.0
1
2
1
4
4
5
19
12
Derby
3
2
1
1.0
1.0
1
1
1
3
3
4
20
17
Huddersfield
3
2
1
1.0
2.0
1
1
1
3
6
4
21
20
Millwall
3
2
1
1.0
1.3
0
2
1
3
4
2
22
22
Sheffield United
3
2
1
0.0
1.7
0
1
2
0
5
1
23
14
Birmingham
3
3
0
0.3
0.7
1
1
1
1
2
4
24
21
Blackpool
3
3
0
0.3
1.3
0
1
2
1
4
1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1
2
West Brom
2
0
2
3.5
1.0
2
0
0
7
2
6
2
11
Middlesbrough
2
0
2
2.0
2.0
1
0
1
4
4
3
3
15
Peterboro
2
0
2
2.0
1.5
1
1
0
4
3
4
4
18
Reading
2
0
2
2.0
2.0
1
0
1
4
4
3
5
23
Nott'm Forest
2
0
2
1.0
2.0
0
0
2
2
4
0
6
1
QPR
2
1
1
1.5
1.5
0
2
0
3
3
2
7
4
Bournemouth
1
0
1
2.0
2.0
0
1
0
2
2
1
8
5
Stoke
1
0
1
3.0
2.0
1
0
0
3
2
3
9
6
Blackburn
1
0
1
2.0
1.0
1
0
0
2
1
3
10
7
Luton
1
0
1
3.0
0.0
1
0
0
3
0
3
11
8
Coventry
1
0
1
2.0
1.0
1
0
0
2
1
3
12
16
Swansea
2
1
1
0.5
1.5
0
1
1
1
3
1
13
17
Huddersfield
2
1
1
1.0
2.5
1
0
1
2
5
3
14
19
Hull
2
1
1
0.0
2.0
0
0
2
0
4
0
15
20
Millwall
2
1
1
1.0
1.5
0
1
1
2
3
1
16
24
Preston
1
0
1
1.0
4.0
0
0
1
1
4
0
17
3
Fulham
1
1
0
1.0
1.0
0
1
0
1
1
1
18
9
Cardiff
1
1
0
1.0
1.0
0
1
0
1
1
1
19
10
Barnsley
2
2
0
0.5
0.5
1
0
1
1
1
3
20
12
Derby
1
1
0
1.0
1.0
0
1
0
1
1
1
21
13
Bristol City
2
2
0
0.5
1.0
0
1
1
1
2
1
22
14
Birmingham
2
2
0
0.0
1.0
0
1
1
0
2
1
23
21
Blackpool
2
2
0
0.0
1.5
0
0
2
0
3
0
24
22
Sheffield United
1
1
0
0.0
1.0
0
0
1
0
1
0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1
1
QPR
2
0
2
3.0
1.0
2
0
0
6
2
6
2
3
Fulham
2
0
2
3.5
1.0
2
0
0
7
2
6
3
13
Bristol City
2
0
2
2.0
2.0
1
0
1
4
4
3
4
2
West Brom
1
0
1
2.0
2.0
0
1
0
2
2
1
5
4
Bournemouth
2
1
1
2.0
0.5
2
0
0
4
1
6
6
5
Stoke
2
1
1
1.5
0.5
1
1
0
3
1
4
7
6
Blackburn
2
1
1
1.5
1.0
1
1
0
3
2
4
8
7
Luton
2
1
1
1.5
1.5
1
0
1
3
3
3
9
9
Cardiff
2
1
1
2.0
1.0
1
1
0
4
2
4
10
10
Barnsley
2
1
1
1.5
1.5
0
2
0
3
3
2
11
12
Derby
2
1
1
1.0
1.0
1
0
1
2
2
3
12
15
Peterboro
1
0
1
0.0
3.0
0
0
1
0
3
0
13
16
Swansea
2
1
1
1.0
1.0
1
0
1
2
2
3
14
18
Reading
1
0
1
2.0
3.0
0
0
1
2
3
0
15
19
Hull
1
0
1
4.0
1.0
1
0
0
4
1
3
16
22
Sheffield United
2
1
1
0.0
2.0
0
1
1
0
4
1
17
23
Nott'm Forest
1
0
1
1.0
2.0
0
0
1
1
2
0
18
24
Preston
2
1
1
0.5
1.5
0
0
2
1
3
0
19
8
Coventry
2
2
0
0.5
0.5
1
0
1
1
1
3
20
11
Middlesbrough
1
1
0
1.0
1.0
0
1
0
1
1
1
21
14
Birmingham
1
1
0
1.0
0.0
1
0
0
1
0
3
22
17
Huddersfield
1
1
0
1.0
1.0
0
1
0
1
1
1
23
20
Millwall
1
1
0
1.0
1.0
0
1
0
1
1
1
24
21
Blackpool
1
1
0
1.0
1.0
0
1
0
1
1
1
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51