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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Robinson

Derby 1–1 Nott'm Forest

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home 2.45 fair 2.83
Draw ✓ 3.10 fair 3.77
Away 3.10 fair 2.62
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 2.50 fair 2.11

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Nott'm Forest
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
8 Corners 4
6 Fouls 7
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (48 league matches this season so far).
Result Nott'm Forest to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawNott'm Forest
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 0–1 10% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
0.75scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:3
Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
0.00points / match
0.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:7
Derby all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 0.75
0.75 Goals conceded 1.75
1.50 Total goals 2.50
10.00 Shots 8.50
3.50 Shots on target 2.75
12.50 Shots faced 10.00
4.75 Corners 4.00
4.00 Corners against 2.75
14.00 Fouls 9.75
2.50 Yellow cards 1.50
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

25% Wins 0%
50% Draws 0%
25% Losses 100%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 75%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 25%
100% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
25% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 4 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Nott'm Forest all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:1
Nott'm Forest before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:3
Derby at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 0.50
0.50 Goals conceded 1.50
1.00 Total goals 2.00
10.00 Shots 6.00
3.50 Shots on target 1.00
14.00 Shots faced 11.50
5.50 Corners 3.50
4.50 Corners against 3.00
16.00 Fouls 9.00
2.50 Yellow cards 1.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
100% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 2 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Nott'm Forest away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.08.21 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61
18.08.21 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.50 2.10 1.72
14.08.21 Peterboro – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.66
07.08.21 Derby – Huddersfield 1–1 (1–1) 4.503.751.72 2.10 1.72

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.08.21 Stoke – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.30 1.61
18.08.21 Nott'm Forest – Blackburn 1–2 (0–0) 2.373.303.10 2.10 1.72
14.08.21 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 1–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.15 2.20 1.66
08.08.21 Coventry – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.80 2.50 1.53

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.08.21 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61
07.08.21 Derby – Huddersfield 1–1 (1–1) 4.503.751.72 2.10 1.72

Nott'm Forest away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.08.21 Stoke – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.30 1.61
08.08.21 Coventry – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.80 2.50 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 4 3 1 0 10 3 +7 10
2 West Brom 4 3 1 0 11 5 +6 10
3 Stoke 4 3 1 0 7 3 +4 10
4 Coventry 4 3 0 1 5 3 +2 9
5 QPR 4 2 2 0 9 5 +4 8
6 Cardiff 4 2 2 0 8 4 +4 8
7 Bournemouth 4 2 2 0 8 5 +3 8
8 Birmingham 4 2 1 1 6 2 +4 7
9 Blackburn 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
10 Huddersfield 4 2 1 1 5 7 -2 7
11 Luton 4 2 0 2 6 8 -2 6
12 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
13 Barnsley 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
14 Derby 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
15 Bristol City 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
16 Swansea 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
17 Peterboro 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
18 Reading 4 1 0 3 7 9 -2 3
19 Hull 4 1 0 3 4 7 -3 3
20 Preston 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3
21 Millwall 4 0 2 2 4 7 -3 2
22 Blackpool 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
23 Sheffield United 4 0 1 3 1 7 -6 1
24 Nott'm Forest 4 0 0 4 3 7 -4 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 2 2 0 0 7 2 +5 6
2 Coventry 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
3 Stoke 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
4 Cardiff 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
5 Fulham 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
6 Peterboro 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
7 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
8 Reading 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
9 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
10 Barnsley 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
11 Luton 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
12 Preston 2 1 0 1 2 4 -2 3
13 Huddersfield 2 1 0 1 2 5 -3 3
14 Bournemouth 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
15 QPR 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
16 Derby 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
17 Millwall 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
18 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
19 Swansea 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
20 Birmingham 2 0 1 1 0 2 -2 1
21 Nott'm Forest 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
22 Sheffield United 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
23 Blackpool 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0
24 Hull 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 2 2 0 0 6 0 +6 6
2 Fulham 2 2 0 0 7 2 +5 6
3 QPR 2 2 0 0 6 2 +4 6
4 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6
5 Cardiff 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
6 Stoke 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
7 West Brom 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
8 Blackburn 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
9 Huddersfield 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
10 Hull 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
11 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
12 Luton 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
13 Derby 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
14 Swansea 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
15 Coventry 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
16 Barnsley 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
17 Blackpool 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
18 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
19 Millwall 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
20 Sheffield United 2 0 1 1 0 4 -4 1
21 Reading 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
22 Nott'm Forest 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
23 Preston 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
24 Peterboro 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0

Derby   Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 West Brom 4 0 4 2.8 1.2 3 1 0 11 5 10
2 18 Reading 4 0 4 1.8 2.2 1 0 3 7 9 3
3 5 QPR 4 1 3 2.2 1.2 2 2 0 9 5 8
4 7 Bournemouth 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 2 2 0 8 5 8
5 9 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
6 11 Luton 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 2 0 2 6 8 6
7 17 Peterboro 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
8 24 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0.8 1.8 0 0 4 3 7 0
9 1 Fulham 4 2 2 2.5 0.8 3 1 0 10 3 10
10 3 Stoke 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 1 0 7 3 10
11 4 Coventry 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 3 0 1 5 3 9
12 6 Cardiff 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 2 2 0 8 4 8
13 10 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 2 1 1 5 7 7
14 12 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
15 15 Bristol City 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
16 16 Swansea 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
17 19 Hull 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 0 3 4 7 3
18 20 Preston 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 0 3 3 7 3
19 21 Millwall 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 0 2 2 4 7 2
20 23 Sheffield United 4 2 2 0.2 1.8 0 1 3 1 7 1
21 8 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 2 1 1 6 2 7
22 13 Barnsley 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
23 14 Derby 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
24 22 Blackpool 4 3 1 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 West Brom 2 0 2 3.5 1.0 2 0 0 7 2 6
2 4 Coventry 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
3 7 Bournemouth 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
4 9 Blackburn 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
5 11 Luton 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
6 12 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
7 17 Peterboro 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
8 18 Reading 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
9 24 Nott'm Forest 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
10 3 Stoke 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
11 5 QPR 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
12 6 Cardiff 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
13 10 Huddersfield 2 1 1 1.0 2.5 1 0 1 2 5 3
14 16 Swansea 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
15 19 Hull 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
16 20 Preston 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 1 0 1 2 4 3
17 21 Millwall 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
18 23 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
19 1 Fulham 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
20 8 Birmingham 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 1 0 2 1
21 13 Barnsley 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
22 14 Derby 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
23 15 Bristol City 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
24 22 Blackpool 2 2 0 0.0 1.5 0 0 2 0 3 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Fulham 2 0 2 3.5 1.0 2 0 0 7 2 6
2 2 West Brom 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
3 5 QPR 2 0 2 3.0 1.0 2 0 0 6 2 6
4 15 Bristol City 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
5 18 Reading 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
6 3 Stoke 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
7 6 Cardiff 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
8 7 Bournemouth 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6
9 8 Birmingham 2 1 1 3.0 0.0 2 0 0 6 0 6
10 9 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
11 10 Huddersfield 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
12 11 Luton 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
13 13 Barnsley 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
14 14 Derby 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
15 16 Swansea 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
16 17 Peterboro 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
17 19 Hull 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
18 20 Preston 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
19 21 Millwall 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
20 22 Blackpool 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
21 23 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 1 1 0 4 1
22 24 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
23 4 Coventry 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
24 12 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40