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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Robinson

Millwall 1–1 Derby

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2021/2022

Home 1.83 fair 2.33
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.40
Away 4.75 fair 3.61
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.55
Over 2.5 2.37 fair 2.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Derby
14 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 3
11 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (192 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.20 – 0.91
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14.6% 1–1 13.2% 0–0 12.1%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:16
Derby before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
0.75scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 12:15
Millwall all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.75
1.00 Goals conceded 0.94
2.00 Total goals 1.69
12.38 Shots 10.25
4.00 Shots on target 3.50
11.44 Shots faced 13.25
5.38 Corners 4.25
4.50 Corners against 4.69
11.06 Fouls 10.13
2.13 Yellow cards 2.19
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

38% Wins 19%
38% Draws 50%
25% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 75%
69% Over 1.5 goals 56%
31% Over 2.5 goals 31%
6% Over 3.5 goals 6%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 38%
19% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

6% Wins 25%
75% Draws 56%
19% Losses 19%
44% Over 0.5 goals 56%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Derby all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.13scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:8
Derby before this match, away
0.75points / match
0.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 4:8
Millwall at home away Derby

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.50
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.13 Total goals 1.50
13.50 Shots 9.88
4.13 Shots on target 3.00
10.38 Shots faced 13.13
6.38 Corners 4.13
4.13 Corners against 5.00
9.75 Fouls 8.63
2.13 Yellow cards 1.75
0.13 1st-half goals scored 0.13
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

50% Wins 13%
25% Draws 38%
25% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
38% Over 2.5 goals 25%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 38%
25% Clean sheets 38%
13% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
63% Draws 75%
38% Losses 25%
50% Over 0.5 goals 38%
25% Over 1.5 goals 13%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 8 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.21 Millwall – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.404.20 2.10 1.72
30.10.21 Huddersfield – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.37 1.57
23.10.21 Millwall – Stoke 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.37 1.57
19.10.21 Sheffield United – Millwall 1–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.72
16.10.21 Millwall – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.25 2.10 1.72
02.10.21 Barnsley – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.102.50 2.50 1.53
29.09.21 Millwall – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.30 1.61
25.09.21 Nott'm Forest – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.10 2.37 1.57
18.09.21 Millwall – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.103.00 2.30 1.61
15.09.21 Swansea – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.90 2.30 1.61

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.21 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.61
30.10.21 Derby – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.252.55 2.30 1.61
23.10.21 Coventry – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.72
19.10.21 Derby – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.202.30 2.50 1.53
16.10.21 Preston – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.20 2.30 1.61
02.10.21 Derby – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.37 1.57
29.09.21 Derby – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.66
25.09.21 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 2.10 1.72
18.09.21 Derby – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57
14.09.21 West Brom – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.906.50 1.90 1.90

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.21 Millwall – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.404.20 2.10 1.72
23.10.21 Millwall – Stoke 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.37 1.57
16.10.21 Millwall – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.25 2.10 1.72
29.09.21 Millwall – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.30 1.61
18.09.21 Millwall – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.103.00 2.30 1.61
28.08.21 Millwall – Blackpool 2–1 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
17.08.21 Millwall – Fulham 1–2 (0–2) 3.803.102.15 2.30 1.61
14.08.21 Millwall – Blackburn 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.21 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.61
23.10.21 Coventry – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.72
16.10.21 Preston – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.20 2.30 1.61
25.09.21 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 2.10 1.72
14.09.21 West Brom – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.906.50 1.90 1.90
10.09.21 Birmingham – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.75 2.37 1.57
18.08.21 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.50 2.10 1.72
14.08.21 Peterboro – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 16 11 4 1 27 10 +17 37
2 Fulham 16 11 2 3 43 14 +29 35
3 West Brom 16 9 4 3 26 14 +12 31
4 Coventry 16 8 3 5 22 19 +3 27
5 QPR 16 7 4 5 27 23 +4 25
6 Stoke 16 7 4 5 21 19 +2 25
7 Huddersfield 16 7 4 5 20 18 +2 25
8 Luton 16 6 6 4 26 21 +5 24
9 Millwall 16 6 6 4 16 16 0 24
10 Blackpool 16 7 3 6 18 19 -1 24
11 Swansea 16 6 5 5 20 18 +2 23
12 Blackburn 16 6 5 5 25 25 0 23
13 Birmingham 16 6 4 6 17 17 0 22
14 Middlesbrough 16 6 3 7 18 18 0 21
15 Preston 16 5 6 5 18 19 -1 21
16 Sheffield United 16 5 4 7 21 23 -2 19
17 Nott'm Forest 16 5 4 7 20 22 -2 19
18 Reading 16 6 1 9 20 27 -7 19
19 Bristol City 16 5 4 7 17 24 -7 19
20 Derby 16 3 8 5 12 15 -3 17
21 Peterboro 16 4 3 9 17 31 -14 15
22 Cardiff 16 3 3 10 15 30 -15 12
23 Barnsley 16 2 5 9 12 23 -11 11
24 Hull 16 2 3 11 9 22 -13 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 8 6 2 0 15 4 +11 20
2 Fulham 8 6 1 1 19 5 +14 19
3 Coventry 8 6 1 1 16 6 +10 19
4 Bournemouth 8 5 2 1 17 9 +8 17
5 Stoke 8 5 2 1 13 8 +5 17
6 Huddersfield 8 5 1 2 12 9 +3 16
7 Luton 8 4 3 1 15 9 +6 15
8 Swansea 8 4 3 1 10 4 +6 15
9 QPR 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
10 Preston 8 4 3 1 11 8 +3 15
11 Blackburn 8 4 2 2 16 15 +1 14
12 Millwall 8 4 2 2 9 8 +1 14
13 Middlesbrough 8 4 1 3 12 9 +3 13
14 Reading 8 4 1 3 14 13 +1 13
15 Peterboro 8 3 3 2 12 9 +3 12
16 Blackpool 8 4 0 4 6 8 -2 12
17 Derby 8 2 5 1 8 7 +1 11
18 Birmingham 8 3 2 3 8 10 -2 11
19 Sheffield United 8 3 1 4 13 11 +2 10
20 Barnsley 8 2 2 4 7 10 -3 8
21 Bristol City 8 1 4 3 6 9 -3 7
22 Hull 8 1 2 5 5 11 -6 5
23 Nott'm Forest 8 1 2 5 7 15 -8 5
24 Cardiff 8 1 1 6 5 13 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 8 6 2 0 10 1 +9 20
2 Fulham 8 5 1 2 24 9 +15 16
3 Nott'm Forest 8 4 2 2 13 7 +6 14
4 Blackpool 8 3 3 2 12 11 +1 12
5 Bristol City 8 4 0 4 11 15 -4 12
6 Birmingham 8 3 2 3 9 7 +2 11
7 West Brom 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
8 QPR 8 3 1 4 14 15 -1 10
9 Millwall 8 2 4 2 7 8 -1 10
10 Luton 8 2 3 3 11 12 -1 9
11 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
12 Huddersfield 8 2 3 3 8 9 -1 9
13 Sheffield United 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9
14 Stoke 8 2 2 4 8 11 -3 8
15 Middlesbrough 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
16 Swansea 8 2 2 4 10 14 -4 8
17 Cardiff 8 2 2 4 10 17 -7 8
18 Coventry 8 2 2 4 6 13 -7 8
19 Preston 8 1 3 4 7 11 -4 6
20 Derby 8 1 3 4 4 8 -4 6
21 Reading 8 2 0 6 6 14 -8 6
22 Hull 8 1 1 6 4 11 -7 4
23 Barnsley 8 0 3 5 5 13 -8 3
24 Peterboro 8 1 0 7 5 22 -17 3

Millwall   Derby

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Fulham 16 5 11 2.7 0.9 11 2 3 43 14 35
2 21 Peterboro 16 5 11 1.1 1.9 4 3 9 17 31 15
3 5 QPR 16 6 10 1.7 1.4 7 4 5 27 23 25
4 11 Swansea 16 6 10 1.2 1.1 6 5 5 20 18 23
5 12 Blackburn 16 6 10 1.6 1.6 6 5 5 25 25 23
6 1 Bournemouth 16 7 9 1.7 0.6 11 4 1 27 10 37
7 3 West Brom 16 7 9 1.6 0.9 9 4 3 26 14 31
8 8 Luton 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 6 6 4 26 21 24
9 16 Sheffield United 16 7 9 1.3 1.4 5 4 7 21 23 19
10 17 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.2 1.4 5 4 7 20 22 19
11 18 Reading 16 7 9 1.2 1.7 6 1 9 20 27 19
12 19 Bristol City 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 5 4 7 17 24 19
13 4 Coventry 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 8 3 5 22 19 27
14 6 Stoke 16 8 8 1.3 1.2 7 4 5 21 19 25
15 22 Cardiff 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 3 3 10 15 30 12
16 7 Huddersfield 16 9 7 1.2 1.1 7 4 5 20 18 25
17 10 Blackpool 16 9 7 1.1 1.2 7 3 6 18 19 24
18 15 Preston 16 9 7 1.1 1.2 5 6 5 18 19 21
19 13 Birmingham 16 10 6 1.1 1.1 6 4 6 17 17 22
20 23 Barnsley 16 10 6 0.8 1.4 2 5 9 12 23 11
21 9 Millwall 16 11 5 1.0 1.0 6 6 4 16 16 24
22 20 Derby 16 11 5 0.8 0.9 3 8 5 12 15 17
23 14 Middlesbrough 16 12 4 1.1 1.1 6 3 7 18 18 21
24 24 Hull 16 12 4 0.6 1.4 2 3 11 9 22 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bournemouth 8 0 8 2.1 1.1 5 2 1 17 9 17
2 12 Blackburn 8 2 6 2.0 1.9 4 2 2 16 15 14
3 2 Fulham 8 3 5 2.4 0.6 6 1 1 19 5 19
4 4 Coventry 8 3 5 2.0 0.8 6 1 1 16 6 19
5 8 Luton 8 3 5 1.9 1.1 4 3 1 15 9 15
6 16 Sheffield United 8 3 5 1.6 1.4 3 1 4 13 11 10
7 17 Nott'm Forest 8 3 5 0.9 1.9 1 2 5 7 15 5
8 18 Reading 8 3 5 1.8 1.6 4 1 3 14 13 13
9 21 Peterboro 8 3 5 1.5 1.1 3 3 2 12 9 12
10 3 West Brom 8 4 4 1.9 0.5 6 2 0 15 4 20
11 11 Swansea 8 4 4 1.2 0.5 4 3 1 10 4 15
12 13 Birmingham 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 3 2 3 8 10 11
13 5 QPR 8 5 3 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
14 6 Stoke 8 5 3 1.6 1.0 5 2 1 13 8 17
15 7 Huddersfield 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 5 1 2 12 9 16
16 9 Millwall 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 4 2 2 9 8 14
17 14 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 4 1 3 12 9 13
18 15 Preston 8 5 3 1.4 1.0 4 3 1 11 8 15
19 20 Derby 8 5 3 1.0 0.9 2 5 1 8 7 11
20 22 Cardiff 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 1 6 5 13 4
21 23 Barnsley 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 2 2 4 7 10 8
22 24 Hull 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 1 2 5 5 11 5
23 10 Blackpool 8 6 2 0.8 1.0 4 0 4 6 8 12
24 19 Bristol City 8 6 2 0.8 1.1 1 4 3 6 9 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 QPR 8 1 7 1.8 1.9 3 1 4 14 15 10
2 19 Bristol City 8 1 7 1.4 1.9 4 0 4 11 15 12
3 2 Fulham 8 2 6 3.0 1.1 5 1 2 24 9 16
4 11 Swansea 8 2 6 1.2 1.8 2 2 4 10 14 8
5 21 Peterboro 8 2 6 0.6 2.8 1 0 7 5 22 3
6 3 West Brom 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
7 6 Stoke 8 3 5 1.0 1.4 2 2 4 8 11 8
8 10 Blackpool 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 3 2 12 11 12
9 22 Cardiff 8 3 5 1.2 2.1 2 2 4 10 17 8
10 7 Huddersfield 8 4 4 1.0 1.1 2 3 3 8 9 9
11 8 Luton 8 4 4 1.4 1.5 2 3 3 11 12 9
12 12 Blackburn 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
13 15 Preston 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 4 7 11 6
14 16 Sheffield United 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9
15 17 Nott'm Forest 8 4 4 1.6 0.9 4 2 2 13 7 14
16 18 Reading 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 2 0 6 6 14 6
17 4 Coventry 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 2 2 4 6 13 8
18 23 Barnsley 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 0 3 5 5 13 3
19 9 Millwall 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 2 4 2 7 8 10
20 13 Birmingham 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 2 3 9 7 11
21 20 Derby 8 6 2 0.5 1.0 1 3 4 4 8 6
22 1 Bournemouth 8 7 1 1.2 0.1 6 2 0 10 1 20
23 14 Middlesbrough 8 7 1 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
24 24 Hull 8 7 1 0.5 1.4 1 1 6 4 11 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51