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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: R Madley

Middlesbrough 2–1 Swansea

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 2.10
Draw 3.75 fair 3.88
Away 4.75 fair 3.76
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.11

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Swansea
7 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
8 Corners 4
13 Fouls 14
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (59 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 11.5% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
1.40scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:9
Swansea before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.80scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:8
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 0.80
1.80 Goals conceded 1.60
3.20 Total goals 2.40
13.20 Shots 13.60
3.20 Shots on target 5.20
8.60 Shots faced 9.20
5.80 Corners 6.00
4.20 Corners against 4.80
10.00 Fouls 8.40
1.60 Yellow cards 2.20
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.60
1.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

0% Wins 20%
60% Draws 40%
40% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
60% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 40%
0% Clean sheets 20%
20% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
40% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Swansea all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:3
Swansea before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:1
Middlesbrough at home away Swansea

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded 0.50
3.00 Total goals 1.50
11.50 Shots 14.50
3.00 Shots on target 5.00
8.00 Shots faced 9.50
4.50 Corners 6.00
3.50 Corners against 4.00
6.50 Fouls 9.50
2.00 Yellow cards 2.50
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
100% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.22 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.98 1.88
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
14.08.22 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 2–2 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72
06.08.22 QPR – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
30.07.22 Middlesbrough – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.25 2.10 1.72
07.05.22 Preston – Middlesbrough 4–1 (2–0) 5.003.801.70 1.72 2.10
30.04.22 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72
27.04.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
23.04.22 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.02 1.83
18.04.22 Middlesbrough – Huddersfield 0–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.50 2.10 1.72

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.22 Swansea – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.203.10 2.20 1.66
16.08.22 Swansea – Millwall 2–2 (2–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.61
13.08.22 Blackpool – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.13 1.75
06.08.22 Swansea – Blackburn 0–3 (0–1) 2.403.253.10 2.10 1.72
30.07.22 Rotherham – Swansea 1–1 (1–1) 2.623.502.55 1.95 1.90
07.05.22 Swansea – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.57 2.37
30.04.22 Nott'm Forest – Swansea 5–1 (1–1) 1.554.335.75 1.83 2.02
26.04.22 Swansea – Bournemouth 3–3 (2–0) 4.003.501.90 1.95 1.90
23.04.22 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.02 1.83
18.04.22 Reading – Swansea 4–4 (1–3) 2.453.253.00 2.00 1.85

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.08.22 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 2–2 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72
30.07.22 Middlesbrough – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.25 2.10 1.72
30.04.22 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72
27.04.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
18.04.22 Middlesbrough – Huddersfield 0–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.50 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–0) 1.554.006.50 1.95 1.90
06.04.22 Middlesbrough – Fulham 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.252.25 2.00 1.85
05.03.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.605.00 2.10 1.72
22.02.22 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Middlesbrough – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 1.613.805.75 2.10 1.72

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.08.22 Blackpool – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.13 1.75
30.07.22 Rotherham – Swansea 1–1 (1–1) 2.623.502.55 1.95 1.90
30.04.22 Nott'm Forest – Swansea 5–1 (1–1) 1.554.335.75 1.83 2.02
18.04.22 Reading – Swansea 4–4 (1–3) 2.453.253.00 2.00 1.85
05.04.22 Millwall – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.75 2.30 1.61
02.04.22 Cardiff – Swansea 0–4 (0–1) 2.303.203.30 2.30 1.61
16.03.22 Peterboro – Swansea 2–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 2.02 1.83
12.03.22 Blackpool – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.373.303.10 2.20 1.66
28.02.22 West Brom – Swansea 0–2 (0–0) 1.753.505.25 2.05 1.80
19.02.22 Sheffield United – Swansea 4–0 (3–0) 1.603.756.50 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsSwansea wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.22E1 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.02 1.83
04.12.21E1 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 6 3 2 1 10 5 +5 11
2 Norwich 6 3 1 2 7 5 +2 10
3 Watford 5 2 3 0 4 2 +2 9
4 Reading 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
5 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 6 7 -1 9
6 Sunderland 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
7 Hull 5 2 2 1 7 8 -1 8
8 Bristol City 5 2 1 2 8 6 +2 7
9 Preston 5 1 4 0 1 0 +1 7
10 Millwall 5 2 1 2 7 8 -1 7
11 Blackpool 5 2 1 2 5 6 -1 7
12 Cardiff 5 2 1 2 3 4 -1 7
13 Rotherham 4 1 3 0 6 2 +4 6
14 West Brom 5 1 3 1 8 6 +2 6
15 Wigan 4 1 3 0 3 2 +1 6
16 Burnley 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
17 Luton 6 1 3 2 4 5 -1 6
18 QPR 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
19 Birmingham 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
20 Swansea 5 1 2 2 4 8 -4 5
21 Stoke 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
22 Huddersfield 4 1 0 3 5 6 -1 3
23 Middlesbrough 5 0 3 2 7 9 -2 3
24 Coventry 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 3 3 0 0 7 1 +6 9
2 Reading 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
3 Norwich 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
4 Bristol City 3 2 0 1 6 3 +3 6
5 Millwall 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
6 Hull 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
7 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
8 Cardiff 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
9 Watford 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
10 West Brom 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
11 Rotherham 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
12 Stoke 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
13 QPR 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
14 Birmingham 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
15 Huddersfield 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
16 Burnley 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
17 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
18 Preston 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 3
19 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
20 Wigan 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
21 Sunderland 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
22 Luton 3 0 2 1 1 2 -1 2
23 Swansea 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
24 Coventry 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
2 Swansea 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
3 Wigan 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
4 Preston 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
5 Luton 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
6 Blackpool 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
7 Watford 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3
8 Burnley 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
9 Norwich 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
10 Blackburn 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
11 Rotherham 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
12 Sheffield United 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
13 Hull 3 0 2 1 3 6 -3 2
14 Coventry 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
15 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
16 QPR 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
17 West Brom 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
18 Birmingham 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
19 Middlesbrough 3 0 1 2 4 6 -2 1
20 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
21 Millwall 3 0 1 2 2 6 -4 1
22 Huddersfield 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
23 Stoke 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
24 Reading 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0

Middlesbrough   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Blackburn 5 1 4 1.2 1.4 3 0 2 6 7 9
2 1 Sheffield United 6 3 3 1.7 0.8 3 2 1 10 5 11
3 4 Reading 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
4 6 Sunderland 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
5 7 Hull 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 2 2 1 7 8 8
6 22 Huddersfield 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 1 0 3 5 6 3
7 23 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 0 3 2 7 9 3
8 2 Norwich 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 3 1 2 7 5 10
9 8 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.6 1.2 2 1 2 8 6 7
10 10 Millwall 5 3 2 1.4 1.6 2 1 2 7 8 7
11 14 West Brom 5 3 2 1.6 1.2 1 3 1 8 6 6
12 18 QPR 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
13 20 Swansea 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 2 2 4 8 5
14 21 Stoke 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
15 11 Blackpool 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 2 1 2 5 6 7
16 12 Cardiff 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 2 1 2 3 4 7
17 13 Rotherham 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 1 3 0 6 2 6
18 16 Burnley 5 4 1 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
19 19 Birmingham 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5
20 24 Coventry 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
21 3 Watford 5 5 0 0.8 0.4 2 3 0 4 2 9
22 9 Preston 5 5 0 0.2 0.0 1 4 0 1 0 7
23 15 Wigan 4 4 0 0.8 0.5 1 3 0 3 2 6
24 17 Luton 6 6 0 0.7 0.8 1 3 2 4 5 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sheffield United 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 3 0 0 7 1 9
2 4 Reading 3 1 2 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
3 7 Hull 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
4 20 Swansea 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
5 2 Norwich 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
6 5 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
7 6 Sunderland 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
8 8 Bristol City 3 2 1 2.0 1.0 2 0 1 6 3 6
9 10 Millwall 2 1 1 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
10 13 Rotherham 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 1 0 5 1 4
11 14 West Brom 3 2 1 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
12 16 Burnley 3 2 1 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
13 18 QPR 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
14 19 Birmingham 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
15 21 Stoke 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
16 22 Huddersfield 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
17 23 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
18 3 Watford 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
19 9 Preston 3 3 0 0.0 0.0 0 3 0 0 0 3
20 11 Blackpool 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
21 12 Cardiff 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
22 15 Wigan 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
23 17 Luton 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 0 2 1 1 2 2
24 24 Coventry 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Blackburn 3 0 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
2 6 Sunderland 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
3 22 Huddersfield 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
4 23 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 0 1 2 4 6 1
5 1 Sheffield United 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
6 2 Norwich 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
7 4 Reading 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
8 7 Hull 3 2 1 1.0 2.0 0 2 1 3 6 2
9 8 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
10 10 Millwall 3 2 1 0.7 2.0 0 1 2 2 6 1
11 11 Blackpool 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
12 12 Cardiff 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1
13 14 West Brom 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
14 18 QPR 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
15 21 Stoke 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
16 24 Coventry 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
17 3 Watford 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3
18 9 Preston 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
19 13 Rotherham 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
20 15 Wigan 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
21 16 Burnley 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
22 17 Luton 3 3 0 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
23 19 Birmingham 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
24 20 Swansea 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51