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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Harrington

Luton 3–1 QPR

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.50
Draw 3.40 fair 3.70
Away 3.50 fair 3.03
Under 2.5 1.72 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.21

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton QPR
17 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 9
16 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawQPR
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 1–0 11% 0–1 9.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.23scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:13
QPR before this match, all matches
1.85points / match
1.46scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:13
Luton all matches all matches QPR

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.46
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.23 Total goals 2.46
12.92 Shots 12.31
4.08 Shots on target 4.46
10.69 Shots faced 11.62
5.92 Corners 3.85
5.77 Corners against 5.15
10.54 Fouls 9.54
1.15 Yellow cards 1.38
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.92
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

31% Wins 54%
46% Draws 23%
23% Losses 23%
85% Over 0.5 goals 92%
77% Over 1.5 goals 62%
31% Over 2.5 goals 46%
15% Over 3.5 goals 31%
8% Over 4.5 goals 15%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 54%
38% Clean sheets 23%
31% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 31%
31% Draws 38%
15% Losses 31%
69% Over 0.5 goals 77%
31% Over 1.5 goals 54%
15% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
QPR all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.29scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:9
QPR before this match, away
1.86points / match
1.43scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:7
Luton at home away QPR

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.43
1.29 Goals conceded 1.00
2.57 Total goals 2.43
15.00 Shots 11.29
4.57 Shots on target 3.57
8.86 Shots faced 13.57
7.29 Corners 2.86
4.71 Corners against 5.57
9.29 Fouls 9.43
0.71 Yellow cards 1.14
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

14% Wins 57%
57% Draws 14%
29% Losses 29%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 57%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 43%
29% Clean sheets 29%
29% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 29%
29% Draws 29%
14% Losses 43%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 43%
29% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
QPR away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 West Brom – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.98 1.88
04.10.22 Luton – Huddersfield 3–3 (3–2) 1.753.405.25 2.20 1.66
30.09.22 Hull – Luton 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.72
17.09.22 Luton – Blackburn 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.30 2.10 1.72
14.09.22 Luton – Coventry 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.50 2.05 1.80
03.09.22 Luton – Wigan 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61
30.08.22 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 2.50 1.53
26.08.22 Luton – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 3.253.202.30 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Swansea – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.203.10 2.20 1.66
16.08.22 Bristol City – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.623.402.55 2.02 1.83

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.22 QPR – Reading 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.403.80 2.02 1.83
04.10.22 Sheffield United – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Bristol City – QPR 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.403.25 1.83 2.02
17.09.22 QPR – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
14.09.22 Millwall – QPR 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.30 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Swansea – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.373.303.00 2.00 1.85
30.08.22 QPR – Hull 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.604.33 1.90 1.95
27.08.22 Watford – QPR 2–3 (1–2) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72
20.08.22 QPR – Rotherham 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.503.60 2.02 1.83
16.08.22 QPR – Blackpool 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.603.75 1.95 1.90

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.22 Luton – Huddersfield 3–3 (3–2) 1.753.405.25 2.20 1.66
17.09.22 Luton – Blackburn 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.30 2.10 1.72
14.09.22 Luton – Coventry 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.50 2.05 1.80
03.09.22 Luton – Wigan 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61
26.08.22 Luton – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 3.253.202.30 2.20 1.66
13.08.22 Luton – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.10 1.72
30.07.22 Luton – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.33 2.00 1.80
07.05.22 Luton – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.66 2.20
23.04.22 Luton – Blackpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.903.504.20 2.00 1.80
15.04.22 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.202.55 2.10 1.72

QPR away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.22 Sheffield United – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Bristol City – QPR 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.403.25 1.83 2.02
14.09.22 Millwall – QPR 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.30 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Swansea – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.373.303.00 2.00 1.85
27.08.22 Watford – QPR 2–3 (1–2) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72
13.08.22 Sunderland – QPR 2–2 (2–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
30.07.22 Blackburn – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 1.98 1.88
07.05.22 Swansea – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.57 2.37
23.04.22 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.00 1.80
15.04.22 Huddersfield – QPR 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.403.90 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsQPR wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.03.22E1 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.20 1.66
19.11.21E1 QPR – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.95 1.90

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 13 7 3 3 21 10 +11 24
2 Norwich 13 7 3 3 20 13 +7 24
3 QPR 13 7 3 3 19 13 +6 24
4 Burnley 13 5 7 1 20 12 +8 22
5 Reading 13 7 1 5 15 18 -3 22
6 Swansea 13 6 3 4 17 16 +1 21
7 Blackburn 14 7 0 7 16 16 0 21
8 Preston 14 4 7 3 8 8 0 19
9 Wigan 13 5 4 4 14 16 -2 19
10 Luton 13 4 6 3 16 13 +3 18
11 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 22 22 0 18
12 Cardiff 13 5 3 5 12 13 -1 18
13 Sunderland 13 4 5 4 17 13 +4 17
14 Watford 13 4 5 4 17 16 +1 17
15 Millwall 13 5 2 6 15 17 -2 17
16 Birmingham 13 4 4 5 12 12 0 16
17 Stoke 13 4 4 5 15 17 -2 16
18 Rotherham 12 3 6 3 13 12 +1 15
19 Blackpool 13 4 3 6 13 17 -4 15
20 Hull 13 4 2 7 13 26 -13 14
21 Middlesbrough 13 3 4 6 14 18 -4 13
22 West Brom 13 1 8 4 17 18 -1 11
23 Huddersfield 12 3 2 7 15 19 -4 11
24 Coventry 10 1 4 5 8 14 -6 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Reading 7 5 1 1 12 7 +5 16
2 Blackburn 7 5 0 2 12 6 +6 15
3 Millwall 7 5 0 2 11 6 +5 15
4 Norwich 7 4 2 1 14 8 +6 14
5 Sheffield United 6 4 1 1 12 3 +9 13
6 Bristol City 7 4 1 2 11 6 +5 13
7 Rotherham 7 3 3 1 12 5 +7 12
8 Middlesbrough 7 3 3 1 9 7 +2 12
9 Hull 7 4 0 3 9 12 -3 12
10 QPR 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
11 Cardiff 6 3 2 1 5 3 +2 11
12 Burnley 6 2 4 0 10 7 +3 10
13 Huddersfield 7 3 1 3 9 7 +2 10
14 Watford 6 3 1 2 9 8 +1 10
15 Swansea 7 3 1 3 8 9 -1 10
16 Birmingham 6 2 2 2 7 5 +2 8
17 Stoke 6 2 2 2 8 9 -1 8
18 Sunderland 6 1 4 1 6 4 +2 7
19 West Brom 7 1 4 2 11 10 +1 7
20 Luton 7 1 4 2 9 9 0 7
21 Blackpool 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
22 Preston 7 1 4 2 2 4 -2 7
23 Wigan 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6
24 Coventry 3 1 0 2 1 2 -1 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wigan 6 4 1 1 9 5 +4 13
2 QPR 7 4 1 2 10 7 +3 13
3 Burnley 7 3 3 1 10 5 +5 12
4 Preston 7 3 3 1 6 4 +2 12
5 Luton 6 3 2 1 7 4 +3 11
6 Sheffield United 7 3 2 2 9 7 +2 11
7 Swansea 6 3 2 1 9 7 +2 11
8 Sunderland 7 3 1 3 11 9 +2 10
9 Norwich 6 3 1 2 6 5 +1 10
10 Stoke 7 2 2 3 7 8 -1 8
11 Birmingham 7 2 2 3 5 7 -2 8
12 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8
13 Watford 7 1 4 2 8 8 0 7
14 Cardiff 7 2 1 4 7 10 -3 7
15 Blackburn 7 2 0 5 4 10 -6 6
16 Reading 6 2 0 4 3 11 -8 6
17 Bristol City 7 1 2 4 11 16 -5 5
18 West Brom 6 0 4 2 6 8 -2 4
19 Coventry 7 0 4 3 7 12 -5 4
20 Rotherham 5 0 3 2 1 7 -6 3
21 Millwall 6 0 2 4 4 11 -7 2
22 Hull 6 0 2 4 4 14 -10 2
23 Huddersfield 5 0 1 4 6 12 -6 1
24 Middlesbrough 6 0 1 5 5 11 -6 1

Luton   QPR

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bristol City 14 5 9 1.6 1.6 5 3 6 22 22 18
2 5 Reading 13 5 8 1.2 1.4 7 1 5 15 18 22
3 20 Hull 13 5 8 1.0 2.0 4 2 7 13 26 14
4 6 Swansea 13 6 7 1.3 1.2 6 3 4 17 16 21
5 7 Blackburn 14 7 7 1.1 1.1 7 0 7 16 16 21
6 13 Sunderland 13 6 7 1.3 1.0 4 5 4 17 13 17
7 23 Huddersfield 12 5 7 1.2 1.6 3 2 7 15 19 11
8 2 Norwich 13 7 6 1.5 1.0 7 3 3 20 13 24
9 3 QPR 13 7 6 1.5 1.0 7 3 3 19 13 24
10 14 Watford 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 4 5 4 17 16 17
11 17 Stoke 13 7 6 1.2 1.3 4 4 5 15 17 16
12 21 Middlesbrough 13 7 6 1.1 1.4 3 4 6 14 18 13
13 1 Sheffield United 13 8 5 1.6 0.8 7 3 3 21 10 24
14 9 Wigan 13 8 5 1.1 1.2 5 4 4 14 16 19
15 19 Blackpool 13 8 5 1.0 1.3 4 3 6 13 17 15
16 22 West Brom 13 8 5 1.3 1.4 1 8 4 17 18 11
17 10 Luton 13 9 4 1.2 1.0 4 6 3 16 13 18
18 12 Cardiff 13 9 4 0.9 1.0 5 3 5 12 13 18
19 15 Millwall 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 5 2 6 15 17 17
20 16 Birmingham 13 9 4 0.9 0.9 4 4 5 12 12 16
21 18 Rotherham 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 3 6 3 13 12 15
22 24 Coventry 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 1 4 5 8 14 7
23 4 Burnley 13 10 3 1.5 0.9 5 7 1 20 12 22
24 8 Preston 14 12 2 0.6 0.6 4 7 3 8 8 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Reading 7 2 5 1.7 1.0 5 1 1 12 7 16
2 20 Hull 7 2 5 1.3 1.7 4 0 3 9 12 12
3 2 Norwich 7 3 4 2.0 1.1 4 2 1 14 8 14
4 6 Swansea 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 3 1 3 8 9 10
5 7 Blackburn 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 5 0 2 12 6 15
6 14 Watford 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 3 1 2 9 8 10
7 1 Sheffield United 6 3 3 2.0 0.5 4 1 1 12 3 13
8 3 QPR 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
9 10 Luton 7 4 3 1.3 1.3 1 4 2 9 9 7
10 11 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 1 2 11 6 13
11 16 Birmingham 6 3 3 1.2 0.8 2 2 2 7 5 8
12 17 Stoke 6 3 3 1.3 1.5 2 2 2 8 9 8
13 21 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 3 3 1 9 7 12
14 22 West Brom 7 4 3 1.6 1.4 1 4 2 11 10 7
15 23 Huddersfield 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 3 1 3 9 7 10
16 4 Burnley 6 4 2 1.7 1.2 2 4 0 10 7 10
17 9 Wigan 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6
18 13 Sunderland 6 4 2 1.0 0.7 1 4 1 6 4 7
19 15 Millwall 7 5 2 1.6 0.9 5 0 2 11 6 15
20 18 Rotherham 7 5 2 1.7 0.7 3 3 1 12 5 12
21 19 Blackpool 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
22 12 Cardiff 6 5 1 0.8 0.5 3 2 1 5 3 11
23 8 Preston 7 7 0 0.3 0.6 1 4 2 2 4 7
24 24 Coventry 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 0 2 1 2 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bristol City 7 1 6 1.6 2.3 1 2 4 11 16 5
2 13 Sunderland 7 2 5 1.6 1.3 3 1 3 11 9 10
3 23 Huddersfield 5 1 4 1.2 2.4 0 1 4 6 12 1
4 24 Coventry 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 0 4 3 7 12 4
5 3 QPR 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 4 1 2 10 7 13
6 5 Reading 6 3 3 0.5 1.8 2 0 4 3 11 6
7 6 Swansea 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 3 2 1 9 7 11
8 7 Blackburn 7 4 3 0.6 1.4 2 0 5 4 10 6
9 9 Wigan 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 4 1 1 9 5 13
10 12 Cardiff 7 4 3 1.0 1.4 2 1 4 7 10 7
11 17 Stoke 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 2 2 3 7 8 8
12 19 Blackpool 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8
13 20 Hull 6 3 3 0.7 2.3 0 2 4 4 14 2
14 21 Middlesbrough 6 3 3 0.8 1.8 0 1 5 5 11 1
15 1 Sheffield United 7 5 2 1.3 1.0 3 2 2 9 7 11
16 2 Norwich 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 3 1 2 6 5 10
17 8 Preston 7 5 2 0.9 0.6 3 3 1 6 4 12
18 14 Watford 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 1 4 2 8 8 7
19 15 Millwall 6 4 2 0.7 1.8 0 2 4 4 11 2
20 18 Rotherham 5 3 2 0.2 1.4 0 3 2 1 7 3
21 22 West Brom 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 0 4 2 6 8 4
22 4 Burnley 7 6 1 1.4 0.7 3 3 1 10 5 12
23 10 Luton 6 5 1 1.2 0.7 3 2 1 7 4 11
24 16 Birmingham 7 6 1 0.7 1.0 2 2 3 5 7 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51