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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Leicester 2–1 Stoke

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.96 fair 2.99
Draw 3.40 fair 3.51
Away 3.70 fair 2.63
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 1.66
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 2.51

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leicester Stoke
6 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
0 Corners 10
16 Fouls 11
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (183 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.09 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
LeicesterDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.3% 0–1 12.1% 1–0 11.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Leicester before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.20scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 18:16
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.40scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 21:10
Leicester all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.40
1.07 Goals conceded 0.67
2.27 Total goals 2.07
13.60 Shots 12.40
4.33 Shots on target 4.33
11.67 Shots faced 12.47
6.27 Corners 5.53
4.53 Corners against 5.33
10.67 Fouls 10.33
1.80 Yellow cards 2.00
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

33% Wins 53%
40% Draws 20%
27% Losses 27%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
80% Over 1.5 goals 53%
40% Over 2.5 goals 33%
13% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
67% Both teams scored 33%
20% Clean sheets 40%
20% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
20% Draws 47%
47% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 53%
13% Over 1.5 goals 20%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leicester all matches
Stoke all matches
Leicester before this match, at home
1.43points / match
1.00scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:6
Stoke before this match, away
1.75points / match
1.25scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:5
Leicester at home away Stoke

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.25
0.86 Goals conceded 0.63
1.86 Total goals 1.88
14.57 Shots 11.88
4.86 Shots on target 4.13
10.29 Shots faced 15.13
7.86 Corners 5.13
4.00 Corners against 5.88
10.86 Fouls 10.50
1.86 Yellow cards 2.13
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

29% Wins 50%
57% Draws 25%
14% Losses 25%
86% Over 0.5 goals 88%
86% Over 1.5 goals 63%
14% Over 2.5 goals 38%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 25%
29% Clean sheets 50%
29% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 25%
14% Draws 63%
29% Losses 13%
86% Over 0.5 goals 38%
0% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leicester at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Norwich – Leicester 1–2 (0–0) 2.953.402.20 1.83 2.03
04.11.25 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
01.11.25 Leicester – Blackburn 0–2 (0–1) 1.763.904.00 2.00 1.85
25.10.25 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Hull – Leicester 2–1 (2–0) 3.253.502.10 1.85 2.00
18.10.25 Leicester – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 1.98 1.88
04.10.25 Swansea – Leicester 1–3 (0–1) 2.353.502.70 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Leicester – Wrexham 1–1 (1–0) 1.613.755.00 1.90 1.95
26.09.25 West Brom – Leicester 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 2.20 1.67
20.09.25 Leicester – Coventry 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.65 1.73 2.10

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Stoke – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.602.25 1.80 2.00
04.11.25 Oxford – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.052.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Stoke – Bristol City 5–1 (3–0) 2.323.302.85 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Portsmouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.57 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.202.95 2.30 1.62
18.10.25 Stoke – Wrexham 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.75 2.00 1.85
04.10.25 Blackburn – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.70 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
20.09.25 QPR – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.202.55 2.10 1.73

Leicester at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.25 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
01.11.25 Leicester – Blackburn 0–2 (0–1) 1.763.904.00 2.00 1.85
18.10.25 Leicester – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 1.98 1.88
30.09.25 Leicester – Wrexham 1–1 (1–0) 1.613.755.00 1.90 1.95
20.09.25 Leicester – Coventry 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.65 1.73 2.10
29.08.25 Leicester – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.252.85 2.20 1.67
10.08.25 Leicester – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.53 2.50
18.05.25E0 Leicester – Ipswich 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
03.05.25E0 Leicester – Southampton 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.602.88 1.68 2.05
20.04.25E0 Leicester – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 11.006.251.22 1.44 2.75

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.25 Oxford – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.052.30 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Portsmouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.57 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.202.95 2.30 1.62
04.10.25 Blackburn – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.70 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
20.09.25 QPR – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.202.55 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Southampton – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 1.733.804.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 0–3 (0–1) 3.903.401.95 2.00 1.80
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
21.04.25 Leeds – Stoke 6–0 (5–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leicester winsDrawsStoke wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24E1 Stoke – Leicester 0–5 (0–2) 4.203.751.83 1.90 1.95
07.10.23E1 Leicester – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.70 2.10

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 16 11 4 1 43 15 +28 37
2 Middlesbrough 15 8 5 2 19 13 +6 29
3 Stoke 15 8 3 4 21 10 +11 27
4 Bristol City 16 7 5 4 25 18 +7 26
5 Preston 16 7 5 4 21 16 +5 26
6 Hull 15 7 4 4 26 24 +2 25
7 Millwall 15 7 4 4 17 20 -3 25
8 Ipswich 14 6 5 3 26 16 +10 23
9 Derby 15 6 5 4 20 19 +1 23
10 Charlton 16 6 5 5 17 17 0 23
11 Birmingham 15 6 3 6 20 17 +3 21
12 Leicester 15 5 6 4 18 16 +2 21
13 Southampton 16 5 6 5 23 22 +1 21
14 Wrexham 15 5 6 4 20 19 +1 21
15 West Brom 16 6 3 7 16 19 -3 21
16 Watford 15 5 5 5 19 18 +1 20
17 Blackburn 15 6 1 8 16 20 -4 19
18 QPR 15 5 4 6 17 23 -6 19
19 Swansea 16 4 5 7 15 22 -7 17
20 Portsmouth 15 3 5 7 12 20 -8 14
21 Oxford 15 3 4 8 16 22 -6 13
22 Sheffield United 15 3 1 11 11 26 -15 10
23 Norwich 15 2 3 10 14 23 -9 9
24 Sheffield Weds 15 1 5 9 12 29 -17 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 8 6 2 0 22 6 +16 20
2 Watford 8 5 2 1 14 8 +6 17
3 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 0 9 4 +5 17
4 Preston 9 5 2 2 13 9 +4 17
5 Hull 8 5 2 1 15 12 +3 17
6 Ipswich 8 4 3 1 15 9 +6 15
7 Birmingham 7 4 2 1 15 6 +9 14
8 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 14 10 +4 14
9 Charlton 8 4 2 2 10 9 +1 14
10 Stoke 7 4 1 2 11 5 +6 13
11 Millwall 8 4 1 3 8 10 -2 13
12 West Brom 7 3 3 1 7 5 +2 12
13 Wrexham 8 3 3 2 12 12 0 12
14 Derby 8 3 3 2 10 10 0 12
15 Leicester 7 2 4 1 7 6 +1 10
16 Southampton 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
17 Swansea 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
18 QPR 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
19 Portsmouth 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
20 Oxford 7 1 3 3 7 11 -4 6
21 Blackburn 7 1 1 5 7 13 -6 4
22 Sheffield United 7 1 1 5 4 11 -7 4
23 Sheffield Weds 8 0 2 6 3 18 -15 2
24 Norwich 7 0 0 7 5 13 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 8 5 2 1 21 9 +12 17
2 Blackburn 8 5 0 3 9 7 +2 15
3 Stoke 8 4 2 2 10 5 +5 14
4 Bristol City 7 3 3 1 11 8 +3 12
5 Southampton 9 3 3 3 16 15 +1 12
6 Middlesbrough 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
7 Millwall 7 3 3 1 9 10 -1 12
8 Leicester 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
9 Derby 7 3 2 2 10 9 +1 11
10 QPR 8 3 2 3 9 13 -4 11
11 Preston 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9
12 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9
13 Norwich 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
14 Charlton 8 2 3 3 7 8 -1 9
15 West Brom 9 3 0 6 9 14 -5 9
16 Ipswich 6 2 2 2 11 7 +4 8
17 Hull 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
18 Swansea 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
19 Oxford 8 2 1 5 9 11 -2 7
20 Birmingham 8 2 1 5 5 11 -6 7
21 Sheffield Weds 7 1 3 3 9 11 -2 6
22 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 11 -5 6
23 Sheffield United 8 2 0 6 7 15 -8 6
24 Watford 7 0 3 4 5 10 -5 3

Leicester   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 16 5 11 2.7 0.9 11 4 1 43 15 37
2 6 Hull 15 4 11 1.7 1.6 7 4 4 26 24 25
3 13 Southampton 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 6 5 23 22 21
4 21 Oxford 15 6 9 1.1 1.5 3 4 8 16 22 13
5 24 Sheffield Weds 15 6 9 0.8 1.9 1 5 9 12 29 8
6 4 Bristol City 16 8 8 1.6 1.1 7 5 4 25 18 26
7 8 Ipswich 14 6 8 1.9 1.1 6 5 3 26 16 23
8 16 Watford 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 5 5 5 19 18 20
9 17 Blackburn 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 6 1 8 16 20 19
10 18 QPR 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 17 23 19
11 2 Middlesbrough 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 8 5 2 19 13 29
12 5 Preston 16 9 7 1.3 1.0 7 5 4 21 16 26
13 7 Millwall 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 7 4 4 17 20 25
14 11 Birmingham 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 3 6 20 17 21
15 15 West Brom 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 6 3 7 16 19 21
16 19 Swansea 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 5 7 15 22 17
17 22 Sheffield United 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 3 1 11 11 26 10
18 23 Norwich 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 2 3 10 14 23 9
19 9 Derby 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 6 5 4 20 19 23
20 12 Leicester 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 5 6 4 18 16 21
21 14 Wrexham 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 5 6 4 20 19 21
22 20 Portsmouth 15 9 6 0.8 1.3 3 5 7 12 20 14
23 3 Stoke 15 10 5 1.4 0.7 8 3 4 21 10 27
24 10 Charlton 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 6 5 5 17 17 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Hull 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 5 2 1 15 12 17
2 16 Watford 8 2 6 1.8 1.0 5 2 1 14 8 17
3 1 Coventry 8 3 5 2.8 0.8 6 2 0 22 6 20
4 4 Bristol City 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 4 2 3 14 10 14
5 5 Preston 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 5 2 2 13 9 17
6 8 Ipswich 8 3 5 1.9 1.1 4 3 1 15 9 15
7 17 Blackburn 7 2 5 1.0 1.9 1 1 5 7 13 4
8 11 Birmingham 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 4 2 1 15 6 14
9 14 Wrexham 8 4 4 1.5 1.5 3 3 2 12 12 12
10 18 QPR 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
11 19 Swansea 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
12 21 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 3 7 11 6
13 23 Norwich 7 3 4 0.7 1.9 0 0 7 5 13 0
14 24 Sheffield Weds 8 4 4 0.4 2.2 0 2 6 3 18 2
15 2 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.3 0.6 5 2 0 9 4 17
16 7 Millwall 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 4 1 3 8 10 13
17 10 Charlton 8 5 3 1.2 1.1 4 2 2 10 9 14
18 13 Southampton 7 4 3 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
19 20 Portsmouth 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
20 22 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0.6 1.6 1 1 5 4 11 4
21 3 Stoke 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 1 2 11 5 13
22 9 Derby 8 6 2 1.2 1.2 3 3 2 10 10 12
23 15 West Brom 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 3 3 1 7 5 12
24 12 Leicester 7 6 1 1.0 0.9 2 4 1 7 6 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Southampton 9 2 7 1.8 1.7 3 3 3 16 15 12
2 1 Coventry 8 2 6 2.6 1.1 5 2 1 21 9 17
3 6 Hull 7 2 5 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
4 12 Leicester 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
5 15 West Brom 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 3 0 6 9 14 9
6 21 Oxford 8 3 5 1.1 1.4 2 1 5 9 11 7
7 24 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 1.3 1.6 1 3 3 9 11 6
8 2 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
9 7 Millwall 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 3 3 1 9 10 12
10 9 Derby 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 3 2 2 10 9 11
11 18 QPR 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 3 2 3 9 13 11
12 22 Sheffield United 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 2 0 6 7 15 6
13 3 Stoke 8 5 3 1.2 0.6 4 2 2 10 5 14
14 4 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 3 1 11 8 12
15 8 Ipswich 6 3 3 1.8 1.2 2 2 2 11 7 8
16 11 Birmingham 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 2 1 5 5 11 7
17 17 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.1 0.9 5 0 3 9 7 15
18 19 Swansea 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
19 20 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 1 3 3 6 11 6
20 23 Norwich 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
21 5 Preston 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 3 2 8 7 9
22 10 Charlton 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 2 3 3 7 8 9
23 14 Wrexham 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 3 2 8 7 9
24 16 Watford 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 0 3 4 5 10 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51