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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Coy

Burton 3–2 Morecambe

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.90 fair 2.32
Draw 3.60 fair 4.04
Away 4.00 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 2.20
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Morecambe
22 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 8
8 Fouls 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (132 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawMorecambe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
0.92scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 11:14
Morecambe before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.82scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 20:18
Burton all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 1.82
1.17 Goals conceded 1.64
2.08 Total goals 3.45
14.17 Shots 9.18
3.92 Shots on target 3.27
13.42 Shots faced 14.45
5.08 Corners 4.27
6.58 Corners against 7.27
13.00 Fouls 10.09
1.83 Yellow cards 1.55
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

33% Wins 36%
33% Draws 18%
33% Losses 45%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 73%
42% Over 2.5 goals 55%
0% Over 3.5 goals 45%
0% Over 4.5 goals 27%
0% Over 5.5 goals 27%
58% Both teams scored 55%
25% Clean sheets 27%
25% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 36%
42% Draws 55%
42% Losses 9%
67% Over 0.5 goals 64%
17% Over 1.5 goals 45%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Morecambe all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.83points / match
1.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:6
Morecambe before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.80scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:10
Burton at home away Morecambe

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.80
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
2.33 Total goals 3.80
15.33 Shots 10.80
4.17 Shots on target 3.80
12.83 Shots faced 13.00
6.00 Corners 3.40
5.50 Corners against 6.60
12.83 Fouls 9.40
1.83 Yellow cards 1.40
0.33 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

50% Wins 20%
33% Draws 20%
17% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 80%
0% Over 3.5 goals 60%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
83% Both teams scored 80%
17% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 60%
33% Draws 40%
50% Losses 0%
83% Over 0.5 goals 80%
17% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 6 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Morecambe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.10.21 Plymouth – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.253.403.20 1.95 1.85
02.10.21 AFC Wimbledon – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.25 1.95 1.85
28.09.21 Burton – Portsmouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.87 2.15 1.66
25.09.21 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75
18.09.21 Crewe – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.65
11.09.21 Burton – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.10 1.70
06.09.21 Bolton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.95 1.85
27.08.21 Burton – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.15 1.66
21.08.21 Cambridge – Burton 3–0 (0–0) 3.103.252.37 1.95 1.85
17.08.21 Burton – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.15 2.10 1.70

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.10.21 Wycombe – Morecambe 4–3 (0–2) 1.614.005.50 1.85 1.95
28.09.21 Morecambe – Lincoln 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.45 1.95 1.85
25.09.21 Morecambe – Accrington 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 2.05 1.75
21.09.21 Crewe – Morecambe 1–3 (0–2) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
18.09.21 Doncaster – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
11.09.21 Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon 3–4 (0–1) 2.753.202.55 2.07 1.72
28.08.21 Morecambe – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 4.503.401.90 2.05 1.75
21.08.21 Gillingham – Morecambe 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.403.60 2.00 1.80
17.08.21 Morecambe – Rotherham 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.402.00 1.85 1.95
14.08.21 Morecambe – Shrewsbury 2–0 (2–0) 2.903.302.45 2.10 1.70

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.21 Burton – Portsmouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.87 2.15 1.66
25.09.21 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75
11.09.21 Burton – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.10 1.70
27.08.21 Burton – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.15 1.66
17.08.21 Burton – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.15 2.10 1.70
14.08.21 Burton – Ipswich 2–1 (1–1) 2.873.252.50 2.15 1.66

Morecambe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.10.21 Wycombe – Morecambe 4–3 (0–2) 1.614.005.50 1.85 1.95
21.09.21 Crewe – Morecambe 1–3 (0–2) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
18.09.21 Doncaster – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
21.08.21 Gillingham – Morecambe 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.403.60 2.00 1.80
07.08.21 Ipswich – Morecambe 2–2 (0–1) 1.614.005.00 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 12 6 5 1 19 11 +8 23
2 Wycombe 11 7 2 2 18 12 +6 23
3 Wigan 10 7 1 2 17 7 +10 22
4 Sunderland 10 7 1 2 18 11 +7 22
5 Rotherham 11 6 2 3 16 9 +7 20
6 Milton Keynes Dons 11 5 4 2 21 15 +6 19
7 Oxford 11 5 3 3 17 12 +5 18
8 Bolton 12 5 3 4 20 16 +4 18
9 Sheffield Weds 11 5 3 3 11 9 +2 18
10 Burton 12 4 4 4 11 14 -3 16
11 Accrington 11 5 1 5 14 20 -6 16
12 Portsmouth 11 4 3 4 14 10 +4 15
13 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 20 18 +2 14
14 Ipswich 11 3 4 4 21 19 +2 13
15 AFC Wimbledon 11 3 4 4 17 19 -2 13
16 Cambridge 10 3 4 3 14 16 -2 13
17 Lincoln 11 3 3 5 14 15 -1 12
18 Cheltenham 11 3 3 5 11 20 -9 12
19 Gillingham 12 2 5 5 11 17 -6 11
20 Fleetwood Town 10 2 4 4 17 18 -1 10
21 Charlton 11 2 3 6 12 18 -6 9
22 Crewe 11 1 5 5 9 15 -6 8
23 Shrewsbury 12 2 2 8 9 18 -9 8
24 Doncaster 10 2 1 7 6 18 -12 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 6 6 0 0 14 3 +11 18
2 Plymouth 7 4 3 0 11 5 +6 15
3 Wycombe 5 5 0 0 11 5 +6 15
4 Oxford 6 4 2 0 12 4 +8 14
5 Milton Keynes Dons 6 4 1 1 10 6 +4 13
6 Wigan 6 4 1 1 8 4 +4 13
7 Accrington 5 4 0 1 7 6 +1 12
8 Burton 6 3 2 1 8 6 +2 11
9 Portsmouth 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
10 Ipswich 7 2 4 1 17 13 +4 10
11 Morecambe 6 3 1 2 11 8 +3 10
12 Rotherham 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10
13 Sheffield Weds 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
14 Bolton 5 2 2 1 7 7 0 8
15 Cambridge 6 2 2 2 8 10 -2 8
16 Doncaster 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
17 Cheltenham 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
18 Shrewsbury 6 2 1 3 6 9 -3 7
19 AFC Wimbledon 5 1 3 1 8 7 +1 6
20 Crewe 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
21 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
22 Charlton 6 1 2 3 6 10 -4 5
23 Gillingham 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
24 Fleetwood Town 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bolton 7 3 1 3 13 9 +4 10
2 Rotherham 5 3 1 1 6 2 +4 10
3 Wigan 4 3 0 1 9 3 +6 9
4 Plymouth 5 2 2 1 8 6 +2 8
5 Wycombe 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
6 Sheffield Weds 6 2 2 2 5 6 -1 8
7 Lincoln 6 2 1 3 9 9 0 7
8 AFC Wimbledon 6 2 1 3 9 12 -3 7
9 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 3 1 11 9 +2 6
10 Fleetwood Town 6 1 3 2 11 11 0 6
11 Gillingham 7 1 3 3 6 8 -2 6
12 Cambridge 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
13 Portsmouth 6 1 2 3 4 6 -2 5
14 Burton 6 1 2 3 3 8 -5 5
15 Cheltenham 6 1 2 3 6 13 -7 5
16 Morecambe 5 1 1 3 9 10 -1 4
17 Charlton 5 1 1 3 6 8 -2 4
18 Oxford 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
19 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
20 Accrington 6 1 1 4 7 14 -7 4
21 Ipswich 4 1 0 3 4 6 -2 3
22 Crewe 6 0 3 3 3 8 -5 3
23 Shrewsbury 6 0 1 5 3 9 -6 1
24 Doncaster 6 0 0 6 2 15 -13 0

Burton   Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Ipswich 11 2 9 1.9 1.7 3 4 4 21 19 13
2 4 Sunderland 10 3 7 1.8 1.1 7 1 2 18 11 22
3 6 Milton Keynes Dons 11 4 7 1.9 1.4 5 4 2 21 15 19
4 11 Accrington 11 4 7 1.3 1.8 5 1 5 14 20 16
5 15 AFC Wimbledon 11 4 7 1.5 1.7 3 4 4 17 19 13
6 20 Fleetwood Town 10 3 7 1.7 1.8 2 4 4 17 18 10
7 21 Charlton 11 4 7 1.1 1.6 2 3 6 12 18 9
8 1 Plymouth 12 6 6 1.6 0.9 6 5 1 19 11 23
9 2 Wycombe 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 7 2 2 18 12 23
10 7 Oxford 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 3 3 17 12 18
11 8 Bolton 12 6 6 1.7 1.3 5 3 4 20 16 18
12 13 Morecambe 11 5 6 1.8 1.6 4 2 5 20 18 14
13 16 Cambridge 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 3 4 3 14 16 13
14 23 Shrewsbury 12 6 6 0.8 1.5 2 2 8 9 18 8
15 10 Burton 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 4 4 4 11 14 16
16 12 Portsmouth 11 6 5 1.3 0.9 4 3 4 14 10 15
17 17 Lincoln 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 3 3 5 14 15 12
18 18 Cheltenham 11 6 5 1.0 1.8 3 3 5 11 20 12
19 24 Doncaster 10 5 5 0.6 1.8 2 1 7 6 18 7
20 3 Wigan 10 6 4 1.7 0.7 7 1 2 17 7 22
21 9 Sheffield Weds 11 8 3 1.0 0.8 5 3 3 11 9 18
22 19 Gillingham 12 9 3 0.9 1.4 2 5 5 11 17 11
23 5 Rotherham 11 9 2 1.5 0.8 6 2 3 16 9 20
24 22 Crewe 11 9 2 0.8 1.4 1 5 5 9 15 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Ipswich 7 1 6 2.4 1.9 2 4 1 17 13 10
2 4 Sunderland 6 2 4 2.3 0.5 6 0 0 14 3 18
3 23 Shrewsbury 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 2 1 3 6 9 7
4 1 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.6 0.7 4 3 0 11 5 15
5 2 Wycombe 5 2 3 2.2 1.0 5 0 0 11 5 15
6 6 Milton Keynes Dons 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 4 1 1 10 6 13
7 7 Oxford 6 3 3 2.0 0.7 4 2 0 12 4 14
8 8 Bolton 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 2 2 1 7 7 8
9 10 Burton 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 3 2 1 8 6 11
10 11 Accrington 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 4 0 1 7 6 12
11 12 Portsmouth 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
12 16 Cambridge 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 2 2 2 8 10 8
13 20 Fleetwood Town 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
14 21 Charlton 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 1 2 3 6 10 5
15 3 Wigan 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 4 1 1 8 4 13
16 5 Rotherham 6 4 2 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10
17 13 Morecambe 6 4 2 1.8 1.3 3 1 2 11 8 10
18 15 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 1.6 1.4 1 3 1 8 7 6
19 17 Lincoln 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
20 18 Cheltenham 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
21 19 Gillingham 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
22 22 Crewe 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
23 24 Doncaster 4 2 2 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
24 9 Sheffield Weds 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 AFC Wimbledon 6 1 5 1.5 2.0 2 1 3 9 12 7
2 6 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 4 2.2 1.8 1 3 1 11 9 6
3 11 Accrington 6 2 4 1.2 2.3 1 1 4 7 14 4
4 13 Morecambe 5 1 4 1.8 2.0 1 1 3 9 10 4
5 20 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 1.8 1.8 1 3 2 11 11 6
6 21 Charlton 5 1 4 1.2 1.6 1 1 3 6 8 4
7 1 Plymouth 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 2 1 8 6 8
8 2 Wycombe 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
9 4 Sunderland 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
10 7 Oxford 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
11 8 Bolton 7 4 3 1.9 1.3 3 1 3 13 9 10
12 14 Ipswich 4 1 3 1.0 1.5 1 0 3 4 6 3
13 16 Cambridge 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
14 17 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.5 1.5 2 1 3 9 9 7
15 18 Cheltenham 6 3 3 1.0 2.2 1 2 3 6 13 5
16 24 Doncaster 6 3 3 0.3 2.5 0 0 6 2 15 0
17 3 Wigan 4 2 2 2.2 0.8 3 0 1 9 3 9
18 9 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 2 2 5 6 8
19 10 Burton 6 4 2 0.5 1.3 1 2 3 3 8 5
20 12 Portsmouth 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 1 2 3 4 6 5
21 23 Shrewsbury 6 4 2 0.5 1.5 0 1 5 3 9 1
22 19 Gillingham 7 6 1 0.9 1.1 1 3 3 6 8 6
23 5 Rotherham 5 5 0 1.2 0.4 3 1 1 6 2 10
24 22 Crewe 6 6 0 0.5 1.3 0 3 3 3 8 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51