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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Mather

Lincoln 1–3 Birmingham

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 4.00 fair 2.45
Draw 3.30 fair 3.96
Away ✓ 1.91 fair 2.95
Under 2.5 1.75 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lincoln Birmingham
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
8 Corners 5
14 Fouls 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (119 league matches this season so far).
Result Lincoln to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
LincolnDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 9.1% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Lincoln before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.67scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:8
Birmingham before this match, all matches
2.44points / match
1.89scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:9
Lincoln all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.89
0.89 Goals conceded 1.00
2.56 Total goals 2.89
9.22 Shots 12.44
4.11 Shots on target 4.67
9.44 Shots faced 7.56
3.78 Corners 6.00
5.00 Corners against 4.44
13.89 Fouls 11.11
2.33 Yellow cards 1.89
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

56% Wins 78%
33% Draws 11%
11% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 78%
44% Over 2.5 goals 56%
22% Over 3.5 goals 33%
22% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 22%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
56% Draws 44%
11% Losses 22%
56% Over 0.5 goals 78%
22% Over 1.5 goals 56%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln all matches
Birmingham all matches
Lincoln before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.75scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:4
Birmingham before this match, away
2.25points / match
1.75scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:4
Lincoln at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.75
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.75 Total goals 2.75
11.50 Shots 10.75
5.50 Shots on target 3.50
8.25 Shots faced 8.00
4.50 Corners 6.75
4.50 Corners against 5.25
11.00 Fouls 11.00
2.25 Yellow cards 1.75
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 75%
25% Draws 0%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%
50% Draws 50%
25% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 75%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Lincoln – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.30 2.20 1.65
01.10.24 Blackpool – Lincoln 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 2.00 1.85
28.09.24 Cambridge – Lincoln 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.202.20 2.05 1.75
21.09.24 Lincoln – Wigan 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
14.09.24 Peterboro – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.703.10 1.83 2.03
31.08.24 Stevenage – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.25 1.62
24.08.24 Lincoln – Mansfield 4–1 (2–0) 2.303.402.88 1.85 2.00
17.08.24 Lincoln – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.20 2.00 1.85
10.08.24 Burton – Lincoln 2–3 (2–2) 2.903.402.30 2.10 1.70
27.04.24 Lincoln – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 1.93 1.93

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Charlton – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.751.80 1.83 2.03
01.10.24 Birmingham – Huddersfield 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.805.25 1.75 2.05
28.09.24 Birmingham – Peterboro 3–2 (1–2) 1.574.005.50 1.53 2.40
21.09.24 Rotherham – Birmingham 0–2 (0–2) 3.503.701.95 1.85 2.00
16.09.24 Birmingham – Wrexham 3–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.10 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Birmingham – Wigan 2–1 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.65 2.20
24.08.24 Leyton Orient – Birmingham 1–2 (1–2) 3.903.601.85 1.93 1.93
17.08.24 Wycombe – Birmingham 2–3 (1–1) 3.603.501.95 2.03 1.83
10.08.24 Birmingham – Reading 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.205.00 1.75 2.05
04.05.24E1 Birmingham – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.752.80 1.73 2.10

Lincoln at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Lincoln – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.30 2.20 1.65
21.09.24 Lincoln – Wigan 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
24.08.24 Lincoln – Mansfield 4–1 (2–0) 2.303.402.88 1.85 2.00
17.08.24 Lincoln – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.20 2.00 1.85
27.04.24 Lincoln – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 1.93 1.93
13.04.24 Lincoln – Wigan 1–2 (1–1) 1.674.005.00 2.05 1.75
29.03.24 Lincoln – Leyton Orient 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.30 1.60
16.03.24 Lincoln – Bristol Rvs 5–0 (3–0) 1.703.505.75 2.10 1.70
12.03.24 Lincoln – Cambridge 6–0 (2–0) 1.653.605.75 2.35 1.57
02.03.24 Lincoln – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.55 2.40 1.53

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Charlton – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.751.80 1.83 2.03
21.09.24 Rotherham – Birmingham 0–2 (0–2) 3.503.701.95 1.85 2.00
24.08.24 Leyton Orient – Birmingham 1–2 (1–2) 3.903.601.85 1.93 1.93
17.08.24 Wycombe – Birmingham 2–3 (1–1) 3.603.501.95 2.03 1.83
27.04.24E1 Huddersfield – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 2.05 1.80
20.04.24E1 Rotherham – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 5.504.001.62 1.98 1.88
06.04.24E1 Leicester – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
29.03.24E1 QPR – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 2.05 1.75
09.03.24E1 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
05.03.24E1 Hull – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 9 7 1 1 17 9 +8 22
2 Wrexham 10 6 2 2 18 8 +10 20
3 Wycombe 10 6 2 2 20 14 +6 20
4 Mansfield 9 6 2 1 17 11 +6 20
5 Exeter 10 6 1 3 12 6 +6 19
6 Lincoln 9 5 3 1 15 8 +7 18
7 Stockport 9 4 4 1 13 7 +6 16
8 Reading 10 5 1 4 17 15 +2 16
9 Charlton 10 5 1 4 10 9 +1 16
10 Huddersfield 10 5 0 5 14 11 +3 15
11 Blackpool 10 4 3 3 17 16 +1 15
12 Barnsley 10 4 3 3 15 15 0 15
13 Peterboro 12 4 3 5 20 24 -4 15
14 Stevenage 10 4 2 4 8 7 +1 14
15 Bolton 9 4 2 3 15 15 0 14
16 Rotherham 11 3 5 3 12 14 -2 14
17 Wigan 10 3 4 3 9 5 +4 13
18 Bristol Rvs 10 4 1 5 13 16 -3 13
19 Leyton Orient 10 2 2 6 10 14 -4 8
20 Northampton 9 2 2 5 11 17 -6 8
21 Shrewsbury 12 2 2 8 13 22 -9 8
22 Crawley Town 11 2 1 8 9 22 -13 7
23 Burton 9 0 4 5 10 19 -9 4
24 Cambridge 9 0 1 8 6 17 -11 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 5 5 0 0 15 4 +11 15
2 Reading 6 5 0 1 13 4 +9 15
3 Birmingham 5 4 1 0 10 5 +5 13
4 Wycombe 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12
5 Stevenage 5 4 0 1 6 1 +5 12
6 Mansfield 5 3 2 0 10 6 +4 11
7 Charlton 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
8 Exeter 4 3 0 1 5 2 +3 9
9 Huddersfield 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
10 Bristol Rvs 5 3 0 2 7 8 -1 9
11 Wigan 5 2 2 1 4 1 +3 8
12 Blackpool 5 2 2 1 8 7 +1 8
13 Rotherham 5 2 2 1 6 6 0 8
14 Peterboro 6 2 2 2 9 11 -2 8
15 Lincoln 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
16 Stockport 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
17 Barnsley 5 1 3 1 8 8 0 6
18 Bolton 5 1 2 2 7 10 -3 5
19 Northampton 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
20 Shrewsbury 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
21 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 6 14 -8 4
22 Leyton Orient 5 0 2 3 4 7 -3 2
23 Burton 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1
24 Cambridge 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11
2 Exeter 6 3 1 2 7 4 +3 10
3 Stockport 5 2 3 0 8 3 +5 9
4 Bolton 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
5 Birmingham 4 3 0 1 7 4 +3 9
6 Mansfield 4 3 0 1 7 5 +2 9
7 Barnsley 5 3 0 2 7 7 0 9
8 Wycombe 5 2 2 1 10 9 +1 8
9 Blackpool 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
10 Peterboro 6 2 1 3 11 13 -2 7
11 Huddersfield 5 2 0 3 8 5 +3 6
12 Leyton Orient 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
13 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 6 8 -2 6
14 Charlton 5 2 0 3 4 6 -2 6
15 Wigan 5 1 2 2 5 4 +1 5
16 Wrexham 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
17 Bristol Rvs 5 1 1 3 6 8 -2 4
18 Northampton 4 1 1 2 6 8 -2 4
19 Shrewsbury 6 1 1 4 8 12 -4 4
20 Burton 5 0 3 2 6 11 -5 3
21 Crawley Town 5 1 0 4 3 8 -5 3
22 Stevenage 5 0 2 3 2 6 -4 2
23 Reading 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1
24 Cambridge 5 0 0 5 2 9 -7 0

Lincoln   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Peterboro 12 3 9 1.7 2.0 4 3 5 20 24 15
2 3 Wycombe 10 2 8 2.0 1.4 6 2 2 20 14 20
3 12 Barnsley 10 2 8 1.5 1.5 4 3 3 15 15 15
4 11 Blackpool 10 3 7 1.7 1.6 4 3 3 17 16 15
5 23 Burton 9 2 7 1.1 2.1 0 4 5 10 19 4
6 2 Wrexham 10 4 6 1.8 0.8 6 2 2 18 8 20
7 8 Reading 10 4 6 1.7 1.5 5 1 4 17 15 16
8 18 Bristol Rvs 10 4 6 1.3 1.6 4 1 5 13 16 13
9 19 Leyton Orient 10 4 6 1.0 1.4 2 2 6 10 14 8
10 20 Northampton 9 3 6 1.2 1.9 2 2 5 11 17 8
11 21 Shrewsbury 12 6 6 1.1 1.8 2 2 8 13 22 8
12 1 Birmingham 9 4 5 1.9 1.0 7 1 1 17 9 22
13 4 Mansfield 9 4 5 1.9 1.2 6 2 1 17 11 20
14 10 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 5 0 5 14 11 15
15 15 Bolton 9 4 5 1.7 1.7 4 2 3 15 15 14
16 22 Crawley Town 11 6 5 0.8 2.0 2 1 8 9 22 7
17 6 Lincoln 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 3 1 15 8 18
18 16 Rotherham 11 7 4 1.1 1.3 3 5 3 12 14 14
19 5 Exeter 10 7 3 1.2 0.6 6 1 3 12 6 19
20 14 Stevenage 10 7 3 0.8 0.7 4 2 4 8 7 14
21 17 Wigan 10 7 3 0.9 0.5 3 4 3 9 5 13
22 24 Cambridge 9 6 3 0.7 1.9 0 1 8 6 17 1
23 7 Stockport 9 7 2 1.4 0.8 4 4 1 13 7 16
24 9 Charlton 10 8 2 1.0 0.9 5 1 4 10 9 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Wrexham 5 0 5 3.0 0.8 5 0 0 15 4 15
2 11 Blackpool 5 1 4 1.6 1.4 2 2 1 8 7 8
3 12 Barnsley 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 1 3 1 8 8 6
4 1 Birmingham 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 1 0 10 5 13
5 3 Wycombe 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12
6 4 Mansfield 5 2 3 2.0 1.2 3 2 0 10 6 11
7 6 Lincoln 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
8 8 Reading 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 5 0 1 13 4 15
9 13 Peterboro 6 3 3 1.5 1.8 2 2 2 9 11 8
10 15 Bolton 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 1 2 2 7 10 5
11 16 Rotherham 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 2 1 6 6 8
12 18 Bristol Rvs 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 3 0 2 7 8 9
13 19 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 0.8 1.4 0 2 3 4 7 2
14 20 Northampton 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
15 22 Crawley Town 6 3 3 1.0 2.3 1 1 4 6 14 4
16 23 Burton 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1
17 10 Huddersfield 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
18 21 Shrewsbury 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4
19 5 Exeter 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 3 0 1 5 2 9
20 7 Stockport 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
21 9 Charlton 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10
22 14 Stevenage 5 4 1 1.2 0.2 4 0 1 6 1 12
23 17 Wigan 5 4 1 0.8 0.2 2 2 1 4 1 8
24 24 Cambridge 4 3 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Peterboro 6 0 6 1.8 2.2 2 1 3 11 13 7
2 3 Wycombe 5 0 5 2.0 1.8 2 2 1 10 9 8
3 12 Barnsley 5 1 4 1.4 1.4 3 0 2 7 7 9
4 21 Shrewsbury 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 1 1 4 8 12 4
5 23 Burton 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 0 3 2 6 11 3
6 8 Reading 4 1 3 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1
7 10 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 0 3 8 5 6
8 11 Blackpool 5 2 3 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
9 18 Bristol Rvs 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 1 1 3 6 8 4
10 19 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
11 20 Northampton 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 1 1 2 6 8 4
12 1 Birmingham 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 3 0 1 7 4 9
13 4 Mansfield 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 3 0 1 7 5 9
14 5 Exeter 6 4 2 1.2 0.7 3 1 2 7 4 10
15 14 Stevenage 5 3 2 0.4 1.2 0 2 3 2 6 2
16 15 Bolton 4 2 2 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
17 17 Wigan 5 3 2 1.0 0.8 1 2 2 5 4 5
18 22 Crawley Town 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 0 4 3 8 3
19 24 Cambridge 5 3 2 0.4 1.8 0 0 5 2 9 0
20 2 Wrexham 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5
21 6 Lincoln 5 4 1 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11
22 7 Stockport 5 4 1 1.6 0.6 2 3 0 8 3 9
23 9 Charlton 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 2 0 3 4 6 6
24 16 Rotherham 6 5 1 1.0 1.3 1 3 2 6 8 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51