Bolton 3–1 Birmingham – England League One, 4 Mar 2025

Match facts

Bolton Birmingham

14 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 5

6 Corners 3

9 Fouls 21

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (399 league matches this season so far).

Result Birmingham to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.79

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.60

Home / Draw / Away

29% 25% 47%

BoltonDrawBirmingham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

47% 53%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.7% 0–1 9.7% 1–2 9.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches

1.64points / match

1.58scored / match

1.48conceded / match

16 6 11

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 52:49

Birmingham before this match, all matches

2.38points / match

1.69scored / match

0.59conceded / match

23 7 2

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 54:19

Bolton all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 1.69

1.48 Goals conceded 0.59

3.06 Total goals 2.28

12.79 Shots 13.44

4.27 Shots on target 4.59

11.18 Shots faced 7.38

5.00 Corners 5.97

4.94 Corners against 3.63

11.76 Fouls 11.78

2.70 Yellow cards 1.66

0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.34

How often Full Time

48% Wins 72%

18% Draws 22%

33% Losses 6%

91% Over 0.5 goals 94%

82% Over 1.5 goals 72%

64% Over 2.5 goals 34%

36% Over 3.5 goals 19%

18% Over 4.5 goals 9%

9% Over 5.5 goals 0%

58% Both teams scored 44%

21% Clean sheets 53%

30% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 47%

36% Draws 41%

42% Losses 13%

67% Over 0.5 goals 72%

27% Over 1.5 goals 38%

12% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches

1

3

L

2

D

1

2

L

1

W

3

1

W

1

L

4

3

W

3

2

W

2

1

W

D

Birmingham all matches

3

W

1

W

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

4

W

1

W

D

2

W

1

W

Bolton before this match, at home

1.76points / match

1.82scored / match

1.53conceded / match

9 3 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 31:26

Birmingham before this match, away

2.07points / match

1.60scored / match

0.80conceded / match

9 4 2

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 24:12

Bolton at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.82 Goals scored 1.60

1.53 Goals conceded 0.80

3.35 Total goals 2.40

14.82 Shots 10.47

5.06 Shots on target 3.47

9.82 Shots faced 8.93

5.94 Corners 5.20

4.53 Corners against 4.67

11.41 Fouls 12.60

2.24 Yellow cards 1.67

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.87

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

53% Wins 60%

18% Draws 27%

29% Losses 13%

94% Over 0.5 goals 93%

88% Over 1.5 goals 73%

76% Over 2.5 goals 40%

41% Over 3.5 goals 20%

12% Over 4.5 goals 13%

12% Over 5.5 goals 0%

65% Both teams scored 53%

18% Clean sheets 40%

24% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 40%

29% Draws 53%

47% Losses 7%

71% Over 0.5 goals 67%

24% Over 1.5 goals 47%

18% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home

2

1

W

3

1

W

2

L

1

2

L

3

W

2

D

1

2

L

3

1

W

4

3

W

2

1

W

Birmingham away

1

D

2

3

L

2

W

2

1

W

1

W

1

D

3

W

1

D

1

W

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Wrexham – Bolton	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.20	1.93	1.93
22.02.25	Bolton – Leyton Orient	2–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.30	3.25	2.00	1.85
15.02.25	Shrewsbury – Bolton	2–3 (1–0)	4.00	3.40	1.90	1.93	1.93
08.02.25	Bolton – Crawley Town	4–3 (0–0)	1.42	4.75	6.50	1.53	2.40
01.02.25	Reading – Bolton	1–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.60	2.05	1.70	2.10
28.01.25	Bolton – Northampton	3–1 (2–1)	1.38	4.75	7.00	1.73	2.08
25.01.25	Huddersfield – Bolton	0–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.75	1.83	2.03
21.01.25	Bolton – Charlton	1–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.20	1.98	1.88
18.01.25	Bolton – Cambridge	2–2 (1–2)	1.50	4.20	5.75	1.73	2.08
11.01.25	Rotherham – Bolton	3–1 (2–0)	2.63	3.40	2.50	2.00	1.85

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Birmingham – Wycombe	1–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	2.07	1.69
25.02.25	Birmingham – Leyton Orient	2–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.70	5.50	2.10	1.67
22.02.25	Reading – Birmingham	0–0 (0–0)	7.00	4.33	1.42	1.73	2.08
15.02.25	Birmingham – Charlton	1–0 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.00	2.10	1.70
11.02.25	Birmingham – Cambridge	4–0 (3–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.70	2.10
01.02.25	Birmingham – Rotherham	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.10	6.00	2.03	1.83
28.01.25	Huddersfield – Birmingham	0–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.10	2.40	2.30	1.60
23.01.25	Wrexham – Birmingham	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.30	2.15	2.20	1.65
18.01.25	Birmingham – Exeter	1–0 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	9.50	1.67	2.15
04.01.25	Wigan – Birmingham	0–3 (0–2)	4.75	3.40	1.75	2.10	1.70

Bolton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Bolton – Leyton Orient	2–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.30	3.25	2.00	1.85
08.02.25	Bolton – Crawley Town	4–3 (0–0)	1.42	4.75	6.50	1.53	2.40
28.01.25	Bolton – Northampton	3–1 (2–1)	1.38	4.75	7.00	1.73	2.08
21.01.25	Bolton – Charlton	1–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.20	1.98	1.88
18.01.25	Bolton – Cambridge	2–2 (1–2)	1.50	4.20	5.75	1.73	2.08
29.12.24	Bolton – Lincoln	3–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.05	1.80
26.12.24	Bolton – Barnsley	1–2 (1–0)	1.95	3.75	3.40	1.67	2.15
14.12.24	Bolton – Wigan	0–2 (0–1)	1.67	3.80	4.75	1.98	1.88
03.12.24	Bolton – Mansfield	3–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.75	4.33	1.80	2.00
23.11.24	Bolton – Blackpool	2–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.10	1.65	2.20

Birmingham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Reading – Birmingham	0–0 (0–0)	7.00	4.33	1.42	1.73	2.08
28.01.25	Huddersfield – Birmingham	0–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.10	2.40	2.30	1.60
23.01.25	Wrexham – Birmingham	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.30	2.15	2.20	1.65
04.01.25	Wigan – Birmingham	0–3 (0–2)	4.75	3.40	1.75	2.10	1.70
01.01.25	Stockport – Birmingham	1–1 (0–1)	3.30	3.40	2.10	2.00	1.85
23.12.24	Crawley Town – Birmingham	0–1 (0–0)	7.50	4.50	1.40	1.62	2.25
07.12.24	Barnsley – Birmingham	1–2 (0–0)	3.40	3.50	2.05	1.73	2.08
26.11.24	Exeter – Birmingham	0–2 (0–1)	4.75	3.90	1.62	1.73	2.08
23.11.24	Shrewsbury – Birmingham	3–2 (2–1)	7.50	4.75	1.38	1.67	2.15
26.10.24	Mansfield – Birmingham	1–1 (0–1)	4.33	3.70	1.73	1.73	2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Bolton winsDrawsBirmingham wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.10.24E2	Birmingham – Bolton	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.70	4.20	1.73	2.08

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	32	23	7	2	54	19	+35	76
2	Wycombe	33	18	10	5	58	32	+26	64
3	Wrexham	33	18	8	7	48	28	+20	62
4	Stockport	34	17	9	8	51	33	+18	60
5	Huddersfield	34	17	7	10	47	31	+16	58
6	Charlton	33	16	8	9	45	31	+14	56
7	Bolton	33	16	6	11	52	49	+3	54
8	Leyton Orient	34	16	5	13	50	34	+16	53
9	Reading	33	15	8	10	48	44	+4	53
10	Barnsley	34	15	7	12	50	47	+3	52
11	Blackpool	33	10	14	9	49	47	+2	44
12	Stevenage	33	12	8	13	31	34	-3	44
13	Lincoln	34	11	10	13	44	43	+1	43
14	Rotherham	33	11	8	14	38	40	-2	41
15	Wigan	33	10	9	14	31	34	-3	39
16	Mansfield	33	11	6	16	40	47	-7	39
17	Peterboro	33	10	7	16	51	59	-8	37
18	Northampton	34	9	10	15	33	51	-18	37
19	Exeter	32	10	6	16	35	50	-15	36
20	Bristol Rvs	33	10	5	18	35	53	-18	35
21	Burton	34	7	12	15	35	49	-14	33
22	Cambridge	33	7	8	18	34	56	-22	29
23	Crawley Town	33	7	8	18	36	60	-24	29
24	Shrewsbury	34	7	6	21	34	58	-24	27

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	17	14	3	0	30	7	+23	45
2	Wrexham	18	12	4	2	32	14	+18	40
3	Stockport	17	11	3	3	29	17	+12	36
4	Reading	16	11	2	3	28	14	+14	35
5	Charlton	17	10	5	2	24	11	+13	35
6	Wycombe	16	9	5	2	22	10	+12	32
7	Leyton Orient	18	9	3	6	26	14	+12	30
8	Bolton	17	9	3	5	31	26	+5	30
9	Huddersfield	17	8	4	5	18	14	+4	28
10	Rotherham	16	8	3	5	24	17	+7	27
11	Stevenage	18	8	3	7	22	19	+3	27
12	Peterboro	17	7	4	6	31	27	+4	25
13	Bristol Rvs	16	7	4	5	24	22	+2	25
14	Lincoln	16	6	4	6	22	18	+4	22
15	Barnsley	17	5	6	6	25	26	-1	21
16	Northampton	16	6	3	7	17	23	-6	21
17	Blackpool	15	3	10	2	22	20	+2	19
18	Cambridge	16	5	4	7	20	23	-3	19
19	Wigan	17	5	4	8	16	20	-4	19
20	Exeter	16	5	4	7	22	27	-5	19
21	Mansfield	16	5	3	8	17	21	-4	18
22	Crawley Town	16	4	5	7	19	25	-6	17
23	Shrewsbury	17	5	2	10	18	28	-10	17
24	Burton	17	3	5	9	20	27	-7	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wycombe	17	9	5	3	36	22	+14	32
2	Birmingham	15	9	4	2	24	12	+12	31
3	Barnsley	17	10	1	6	25	21	+4	31
4	Huddersfield	17	9	3	5	29	17	+12	30
5	Blackpool	18	7	4	7	27	27	0	25
6	Stockport	17	6	6	5	22	16	+6	24
7	Bolton	16	7	3	6	21	23	-2	24
8	Leyton Orient	16	7	2	7	24	20	+4	23
9	Wrexham	15	6	4	5	16	14	+2	22
10	Charlton	16	6	3	7	21	20	+1	21
11	Mansfield	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3	21
12	Lincoln	18	5	6	7	22	25	-3	21
13	Wigan	16	5	5	6	15	14	+1	20
14	Burton	17	4	7	6	15	22	-7	19
15	Reading	17	4	6	7	20	30	-10	18
16	Stevenage	15	4	5	6	9	15	-6	17
17	Exeter	16	5	2	9	13	23	-10	17
18	Northampton	18	3	7	8	16	28	-12	16
19	Rotherham	17	3	5	9	14	23	-9	14
20	Peterboro	16	3	3	10	20	32	-12	12
21	Crawley Town	17	3	3	11	17	35	-18	12
22	Shrewsbury	17	2	4	11	16	30	-14	10
23	Cambridge	17	2	4	11	14	33	-19	10
24	Bristol Rvs	17	3	1	13	11	31	-20	10

Bolton Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Barnsley	34	10	24	1.5	1.4	15	7	12	50	47	52
2	17	Peterboro	33	11	22	1.5	1.8	10	7	16	51	59	37
3	7	Bolton	33	12	21	1.6	1.5	16	6	11	52	49	54
4	11	Blackpool	33	12	21	1.5	1.4	10	14	9	49	47	44
5	2	Wycombe	33	14	19	1.8	1.0	18	10	5	58	32	64
6	9	Reading	33	14	19	1.5	1.3	15	8	10	48	44	53
7	16	Mansfield	33	14	19	1.2	1.4	11	6	16	40	47	39
8	8	Leyton Orient	34	16	18	1.5	1.0	16	5	13	50	34	53
9	3	Wrexham	33	16	17	1.5	0.8	18	8	7	48	28	62
10	18	Northampton	34	17	17	1.0	1.5	9	10	15	33	51	37
11	23	Crawley Town	33	16	17	1.1	1.8	7	8	18	36	60	29
12	5	Huddersfield	34	18	16	1.4	0.9	17	7	10	47	31	58
13	13	Lincoln	34	18	16	1.3	1.3	11	10	13	44	43	43
14	19	Exeter	32	16	16	1.1	1.6	10	6	16	35	50	36
15	20	Bristol Rvs	33	17	16	1.1	1.6	10	5	18	35	53	35
16	21	Burton	34	18	16	1.0	1.4	7	12	15	35	49	33
17	24	Shrewsbury	34	18	16	1.0	1.7	7	6	21	34	58	27
18	6	Charlton	33	18	15	1.4	0.9	16	8	9	45	31	56
19	14	Rotherham	33	19	14	1.2	1.2	11	8	14	38	40	41
20	22	Cambridge	33	19	14	1.0	1.7	7	8	18	34	56	29
21	4	Stockport	34	21	13	1.5	1.0	17	9	8	51	33	60
22	15	Wigan	33	20	13	0.9	1.0	10	9	14	31	34	39
23	12	Stevenage	33	21	12	0.9	1.0	12	8	13	31	34	44
24	1	Birmingham	32	21	11	1.7	0.6	23	7	2	54	19	76

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Bolton	17	4	13	1.8	1.5	9	3	5	31	26	30
2	10	Barnsley	17	5	12	1.5	1.5	5	6	6	25	26	21
3	3	Wrexham	18	7	11	1.8	0.8	12	4	2	32	14	40
4	11	Blackpool	15	5	10	1.5	1.3	3	10	2	22	20	19
5	17	Peterboro	17	7	10	1.8	1.6	7	4	6	31	27	25
6	8	Leyton Orient	18	9	9	1.4	0.8	9	3	6	26	14	30
7	9	Reading	16	7	9	1.8	0.9	11	2	3	28	14	35
8	14	Rotherham	16	7	9	1.5	1.1	8	3	5	24	17	27
9	18	Northampton	16	7	9	1.1	1.4	6	3	7	17	23	21
10	19	Exeter	16	7	9	1.4	1.7	5	4	7	22	27	19
11	21	Burton	17	8	9	1.2	1.6	3	5	9	20	27	14
12	4	Stockport	17	9	8	1.7	1.0	11	3	3	29	17	36
13	12	Stevenage	18	10	8	1.2	1.1	8	3	7	22	19	27
14	13	Lincoln	16	8	8	1.4	1.1	6	4	6	22	18	22
15	15	Wigan	17	9	8	0.9	1.2	5	4	8	16	20	19
16	16	Mansfield	16	8	8	1.1	1.3	5	3	8	17	21	18
17	20	Bristol Rvs	16	8	8	1.5	1.4	7	4	5	24	22	25
18	24	Shrewsbury	17	9	8	1.1	1.6	5	2	10	18	28	17
19	6	Charlton	17	10	7	1.4	0.6	10	5	2	24	11	35
20	23	Crawley Town	16	9	7	1.2	1.6	4	5	7	19	25	17
21	2	Wycombe	16	10	6	1.4	0.6	9	5	2	22	10	32
22	1	Birmingham	17	12	5	1.8	0.4	14	3	0	30	7	45
23	5	Huddersfield	17	12	5	1.1	0.8	8	4	5	18	14	28
24	22	Cambridge	16	11	5	1.2	1.4	5	4	7	20	23	19

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Wycombe	17	4	13	2.1	1.3	9	5	3	36	22	32
2	10	Barnsley	17	5	12	1.5	1.2	10	1	6	25	21	31
3	17	Peterboro	16	4	12	1.2	2.0	3	3	10	20	32	12
4	5	Huddersfield	17	6	11	1.7	1.0	9	3	5	29	17	30
5	11	Blackpool	18	7	11	1.5	1.5	7	4	7	27	27	25
6	16	Mansfield	17	6	11	1.4	1.5	6	3	8	23	26	21
7	9	Reading	17	7	10	1.2	1.8	4	6	7	20	30	18
8	23	Crawley Town	17	7	10	1.0	2.1	3	3	11	17	35	12
9	8	Leyton Orient	16	7	9	1.5	1.2	7	2	7	24	20	23
10	22	Cambridge	17	8	9	0.8	1.9	2	4	11	14	33	10
11	6	Charlton	16	8	8	1.3	1.2	6	3	7	21	20	21
12	7	Bolton	16	8	8	1.3	1.4	7	3	6	21	23	24
13	13	Lincoln	18	10	8	1.2	1.4	5	6	7	22	25	21
14	18	Northampton	18	10	8	0.9	1.6	3	7	8	16	28	16
15	20	Bristol Rvs	17	9	8	0.6	1.8	3	1	13	11	31	10
16	24	Shrewsbury	17	9	8	0.9	1.8	2	4	11	16	30	10
17	19	Exeter	16	9	7	0.8	1.4	5	2	9	13	23	17
18	21	Burton	17	10	7	0.9	1.3	4	7	6	15	22	19
19	1	Birmingham	15	9	6	1.6	0.8	9	4	2	24	12	31
20	3	Wrexham	15	9	6	1.1	0.9	6	4	5	16	14	22
21	4	Stockport	17	12	5	1.3	0.9	6	6	5	22	16	24
22	14	Rotherham	17	12	5	0.8	1.4	3	5	9	14	23	14
23	15	Wigan	16	11	5	0.9	0.9	5	5	6	15	14	20
24	12	Stevenage	15	11	4	0.6	1.0	4	5	6	9	15	17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.