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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: J Miles

Cardiff 0–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.37 fair 1.71
Draw 4.33 fair 4.37
Away ✓ 7.00 fair 5.35
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.04
Over 2.5 1.70 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Burton
20 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 3
13 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (115 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.81 – 0.91
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.9% 1–1 10.9% 2–0 10.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
2.22points / match
1.67scored / match
0.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:5
Burton before this match, all matches
0.63points / match
0.63scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 5:14
Cardiff all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.63
0.56 Goals conceded 1.75
2.22 Total goals 2.38
13.44 Shots 12.13
4.33 Shots on target 3.00
11.89 Shots faced 12.50
4.56 Corners 5.63
4.78 Corners against 6.00
11.89 Fouls 12.13
2.00 Yellow cards 1.25
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

67% Wins 13%
22% Draws 25%
11% Losses 63%
89% Over 0.5 goals 75%
67% Over 1.5 goals 63%
44% Over 2.5 goals 63%
22% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 38%
67% Clean sheets 25%
11% Failed to score 63%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 38%
33% Draws 25%
33% Losses 38%
67% Over 0.5 goals 75%
22% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Burton all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
2.25points / match
2.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:4
Burton before this match, away
0.33points / match
1.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:5
Cardiff at home away Burton

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.67
3.50 Total goals 2.67
15.25 Shots 12.00
6.75 Shots on target 3.00
8.00 Shots faced 13.00
5.00 Corners 5.67
3.50 Corners against 8.67
15.75 Fouls 13.33
3.00 Yellow cards 0.67
0.75 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

75% Wins 0%
0% Draws 33%
25% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
100% Over 2.5 goals 67%
50% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 67%
50% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 67%
0% Draws 33%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Wigan – Cardiff 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.302.45 2.08 1.73
20.09.25 Cardiff – Bradford 1–3 (0–2) 1.793.504.20 1.85 2.00
13.09.25 Stockport – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.502.45 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Cardiff – Plymouth 4–0 (2–0) 1.494.505.50 1.83 2.03
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 AFC Wimbledon – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.20 1.65
16.08.25 Cardiff – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.754.75 1.93 1.93
07.08.25 Port Vale – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.60 2.00 1.85
02.08.25 Cardiff – Peterboro 2–1 (0–1) 1.554.205.25 1.58 2.25
03.05.25E1 Norwich – Cardiff 4–2 (3–0) 1.584.334.75 1.57 2.38

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Burton – Plymouth 0–4 (0–2) 2.503.302.55 1.88 1.98
20.09.25 Huddersfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00
13.09.25 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.502.35 2.20 1.65
30.08.25 Burton – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.901.66 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Stockport – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.105.75 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Burton – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 2.08 1.73
09.08.25 Barnsley – Burton 3–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.85 2.00
02.08.25 Burton – Mansfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.70 1.88 1.98
03.05.25 Charlton – Burton 3–1 (2–1) 1.603.905.25 1.93 1.93
29.04.25 Burton – Wigan 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.30 2.60 1.48

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Cardiff – Bradford 1–3 (0–2) 1.793.504.20 1.85 2.00
30.08.25 Cardiff – Plymouth 4–0 (2–0) 1.494.505.50 1.83 2.03
16.08.25 Cardiff – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.754.75 1.93 1.93
02.08.25 Cardiff – Peterboro 2–1 (0–1) 1.554.205.25 1.58 2.25
26.04.25E1 Cardiff – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.10 1.73
21.04.25E1 Cardiff – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.254.50 2.20 1.67
12.04.25E1 Cardiff – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.00 2.20 1.67
29.03.25E1 Cardiff – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.252.45 2.10 1.73
11.03.25E1 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.25 1.57
04.03.25E1 Cardiff – Burnley 1–2 (1–2) 4.203.401.90 2.57 1.46

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Huddersfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00
23.08.25 Stockport – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.105.75 1.98 1.88
09.08.25 Barnsley – Burton 3–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.85 2.00
03.05.25 Charlton – Burton 3–1 (2–1) 1.603.905.25 1.93 1.93
18.04.25 Exeter – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.55 2.08 1.73
05.04.25 Wrexham – Burton 3–0 (0–0) 1.573.805.75 2.00 1.85
29.03.25 Stockport – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.573.905.50 2.00 1.85
15.03.25 Shrewsbury – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.30 1.60
04.03.25 Wycombe – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.493.906.00 2.08 1.73
22.02.25 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.404.33 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bradford 10 7 2 1 18 11 +7 23
2 Stevenage 9 7 1 1 15 8 +7 22
3 Lincoln 10 6 3 1 17 9 +8 21
4 Cardiff 9 6 2 1 15 5 +10 20
5 Huddersfield 10 6 1 3 16 11 +5 19
6 AFC Wimbledon 10 6 0 4 14 12 +2 18
7 Stockport 10 4 4 2 15 13 +2 16
8 Barnsley 9 5 1 3 14 12 +2 16
9 Doncaster 10 5 1 4 10 11 -1 16
10 Luton 9 5 0 4 12 9 +3 15
11 Bolton 10 3 5 2 14 10 +4 14
12 Mansfield 10 4 2 4 15 13 +2 14
13 Northampton 9 4 1 4 7 8 -1 13
14 Wigan 10 3 3 4 14 15 -1 12
15 Plymouth 10 4 0 6 15 18 -3 12
16 Port Vale 10 3 2 5 10 10 0 11
17 Leyton Orient 10 3 2 5 13 18 -5 11
18 Exeter 10 3 0 7 10 12 -2 9
19 Reading 9 2 3 4 10 14 -4 9
20 Wycombe 10 2 2 6 11 13 -2 8
21 Rotherham 9 2 1 6 7 13 -6 7
22 Blackpool 9 2 1 6 8 15 -7 7
23 Peterboro 10 2 1 7 7 18 -11 7
24 Burton 8 1 2 5 5 14 -9 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bradford 5 5 0 0 11 5 +6 15
2 Huddersfield 5 4 1 0 9 2 +7 13
3 AFC Wimbledon 5 4 0 1 8 3 +5 12
4 Stevenage 4 4 0 0 6 1 +5 12
5 Bolton 5 3 2 0 11 3 +8 11
6 Lincoln 5 3 2 0 11 6 +5 11
7 Mansfield 5 3 1 1 10 5 +5 10
8 Wigan 5 3 1 1 9 4 +5 10
9 Northampton 5 3 1 1 5 1 +4 10
10 Doncaster 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
11 Barnsley 5 3 1 1 10 8 +2 10
12 Cardiff 4 3 0 1 10 4 +6 9
13 Luton 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
14 Stockport 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
15 Wycombe 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7
16 Blackpool 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
17 Rotherham 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
18 Exeter 5 2 0 3 8 6 +2 6
19 Plymouth 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
20 Reading 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6
21 Leyton Orient 5 1 2 2 7 7 0 5
22 Port Vale 5 1 1 3 5 7 -2 4
23 Peterboro 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
24 Burton 5 1 1 3 2 9 -7 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 5 3 2 0 5 1 +4 11
2 Lincoln 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
3 Stevenage 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
4 Bradford 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
5 Stockport 5 2 2 1 8 8 0 8
6 Port Vale 5 2 1 2 5 3 +2 7
7 Luton 4 2 0 2 7 5 +2 6
8 Barnsley 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
9 Plymouth 5 2 0 3 9 11 -2 6
10 Huddersfield 5 2 0 3 7 9 -2 6
11 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 0 3 6 9 -3 6
12 Doncaster 5 2 0 3 3 7 -4 6
13 Leyton Orient 5 2 0 3 6 11 -5 6
14 Mansfield 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
15 Reading 5 0 3 2 6 9 -3 3
16 Bolton 5 0 3 2 3 7 -4 3
17 Exeter 5 1 0 4 2 6 -4 3
18 Northampton 4 1 0 3 2 7 -5 3
19 Peterboro 5 1 0 4 4 10 -6 3
20 Wigan 5 0 2 3 5 11 -6 2
21 Burton 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
22 Wycombe 5 0 1 4 4 8 -4 1
23 Rotherham 5 0 0 5 2 9 -7 0
24 Blackpool 5 0 0 5 1 9 -8 0

Cardiff   Burton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bradford 10 3 7 1.8 1.1 7 2 1 18 11 23
2 6 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 6 0 4 14 12 18
3 12 Mansfield 10 4 6 1.5 1.3 4 2 4 15 13 14
4 15 Plymouth 10 4 6 1.5 1.8 4 0 6 15 18 12
5 17 Leyton Orient 10 4 6 1.3 1.8 3 2 5 13 18 11
6 5 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.6 1.1 6 1 3 16 11 19
7 7 Stockport 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 4 4 2 15 13 16
8 14 Wigan 10 5 5 1.4 1.5 3 3 4 14 15 12
9 20 Wycombe 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 2 2 6 11 13 8
10 21 Rotherham 9 4 5 0.8 1.4 2 1 6 7 13 7
11 23 Peterboro 10 5 5 0.7 1.8 2 1 7 7 18 7
12 24 Burton 8 3 5 0.6 1.8 1 2 5 5 14 5
13 2 Stevenage 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 7 1 1 15 8 22
14 3 Lincoln 10 6 4 1.7 0.9 6 3 1 17 9 21
15 4 Cardiff 9 5 4 1.7 0.6 6 2 1 15 5 20
16 8 Barnsley 9 5 4 1.6 1.3 5 1 3 14 12 16
17 9 Doncaster 10 6 4 1.0 1.1 5 1 4 10 11 16
18 10 Luton 9 5 4 1.3 1.0 5 0 4 12 9 15
19 16 Port Vale 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 3 2 5 10 10 11
20 18 Exeter 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 3 0 7 10 12 9
21 19 Reading 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 4 10 14 9
22 22 Blackpool 9 6 3 0.9 1.7 2 1 6 8 15 7
23 11 Bolton 10 8 2 1.4 1.0 3 5 2 14 10 14
24 13 Northampton 9 8 1 0.8 0.9 4 1 4 7 8 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bradford 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 5 0 0 11 5 15
2 4 Cardiff 4 0 4 2.5 1.0 3 0 1 10 4 9
3 3 Lincoln 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 3 2 0 11 6 11
4 8 Barnsley 5 2 3 2.0 1.6 3 1 1 10 8 10
5 12 Mansfield 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 1 1 10 5 10
6 16 Port Vale 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 1 3 5 7 4
7 18 Exeter 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 0 3 8 6 6
8 24 Burton 5 2 3 0.4 1.8 1 1 3 2 9 4
9 5 Huddersfield 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 4 1 0 9 2 13
10 6 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 4 0 1 8 3 12
11 7 Stockport 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
12 9 Doncaster 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
13 11 Bolton 5 3 2 2.2 0.6 3 2 0 11 3 11
14 14 Wigan 5 3 2 1.8 0.8 3 1 1 9 4 10
15 15 Plymouth 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
16 17 Leyton Orient 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 1 2 2 7 7 5
17 19 Reading 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6
18 20 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 1 2 7 5 7
19 21 Rotherham 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
20 22 Blackpool 4 2 2 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
21 23 Peterboro 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
22 2 Stevenage 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 4 0 0 6 1 12
23 10 Luton 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
24 13 Northampton 5 5 0 1.0 0.2 3 1 1 5 1 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 AFC Wimbledon 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 2 0 3 6 9 6
2 15 Plymouth 5 1 4 1.8 2.2 2 0 3 9 11 6
3 17 Leyton Orient 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 2 0 3 6 11 6
4 1 Bradford 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
5 2 Stevenage 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
6 5 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 0 3 7 9 6
7 7 Stockport 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 2 1 8 8 8
8 10 Luton 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 0 2 7 5 6
9 12 Mansfield 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
10 14 Wigan 5 2 3 1.0 2.2 0 2 3 5 11 2
11 20 Wycombe 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 0 1 4 4 8 1
12 21 Rotherham 5 2 3 0.4 1.8 0 0 5 2 9 0
13 23 Peterboro 5 2 3 0.8 2.0 1 0 4 4 10 3
14 9 Doncaster 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 2 0 3 3 7 6
15 19 Reading 5 3 2 1.2 1.8 0 3 2 6 9 3
16 24 Burton 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
17 3 Lincoln 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10
18 8 Barnsley 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
19 13 Northampton 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 1 0 3 2 7 3
20 16 Port Vale 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 2 1 2 5 3 7
21 18 Exeter 5 4 1 0.4 1.2 1 0 4 2 6 3
22 22 Blackpool 5 4 1 0.2 1.8 0 0 5 1 9 0
23 4 Cardiff 5 5 0 1.0 0.2 3 2 0 5 1 11
24 11 Bolton 5 5 0 0.6 1.4 0 3 2 3 7 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51