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England League Two · ·Referee: S Allison

Swindon 5–2 Northampton

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.72
Draw 3.40 fair 3.60
Away 3.30 fair 2.82
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.74
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.35

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon Northampton
20 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 6
8 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (257 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.21 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawNorthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 1–0 11.1% 0–1 10.9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.38scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 29:24
Northampton before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
1.38scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 29:17
Swindon all matches all matches Northampton

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.38
1.14 Goals conceded 0.81
2.52 Total goals 2.19
12.71 Shots 10.62
4.86 Shots on target 3.43
11.57 Shots faced 9.43
5.14 Corners 4.38
5.24 Corners against 3.86
10.86 Fouls 11.67
1.86 Yellow cards 2.00
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.19

How often Full Time

43% Wins 57%
33% Draws 19%
24% Losses 24%
86% Over 0.5 goals 95%
76% Over 1.5 goals 71%
52% Over 2.5 goals 43%
33% Over 3.5 goals 10%
5% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 43%
29% Clean sheets 48%
19% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 48%
62% Draws 48%
24% Losses 5%
43% Over 0.5 goals 67%
19% Over 1.5 goals 24%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
Northampton all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
1.10points / match
1.00scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:11
Northampton before this match, away
1.64points / match
1.18scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:10
Swindon at home away Northampton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.18
1.10 Goals conceded 0.91
2.10 Total goals 2.09
13.10 Shots 10.18
4.50 Shots on target 3.55
12.60 Shots faced 9.64
5.30 Corners 3.55
5.10 Corners against 4.09
10.40 Fouls 12.73
1.90 Yellow cards 2.09
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.18

How often Full Time

20% Wins 45%
50% Draws 27%
30% Losses 27%
70% Over 0.5 goals 91%
60% Over 1.5 goals 64%
50% Over 2.5 goals 45%
30% Over 3.5 goals 9%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 55%
40% Clean sheets 36%
30% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 36%
50% Draws 64%
40% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 55%
20% Over 1.5 goals 18%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
Northampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.21 Swindon – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 2.00 1.85
11.12.21 Barrow – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.15 1.66
07.12.21 Leyton Orient – Swindon 4–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
27.11.21 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 1.83 2.02
23.11.21 Swindon – Hartlepool 3–1 (0–0) 1.753.754.60 1.98 1.88
20.11.21 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.77
30.10.21 Oldham – Swindon 1–3 (0–1) 3.253.252.30 2.10 1.70
23.10.21 Swindon – Bradford 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.303.00 2.10 1.70
19.10.21 Sutton – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.303.303.20 2.07 1.72
16.10.21 Swindon – Rochdale 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.10 1.70

Northampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.21 Harrogate – Northampton 1–2 (1–1) 2.373.502.90 2.05 1.75
07.12.21 Exeter – Northampton 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.50 2.15 1.66
27.11.21 Northampton – Leyton Orient 1–0 (1–0) 2.623.102.90 2.25 1.61
23.11.21 Northampton – Oldham 2–1 (2–0) 1.723.505.25 2.07 1.72
20.11.21 Bradford – Northampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.10 1.70
13.11.21 Bristol Rvs – Northampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.62 2.15 1.66
30.10.21 Northampton – Carlisle 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.50 2.30 1.60
23.10.21 Tranmere – Northampton 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.30 1.60
19.10.21 Northampton – Stevenage 3–0 (2–0) 2.053.503.50 2.25 1.61
16.10.21 Northampton – Mansfield 2–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.15 1.66

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.21 Swindon – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 2.00 1.85
27.11.21 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 1.83 2.02
23.11.21 Swindon – Hartlepool 3–1 (0–0) 1.753.754.60 1.98 1.88
23.10.21 Swindon – Bradford 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.303.00 2.10 1.70
16.10.21 Swindon – Rochdale 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.10 1.70
25.09.21 Swindon – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.00 1.80
11.09.21 Swindon – Port Vale 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.103.10 2.35 1.57
28.08.21 Swindon – Mansfield 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.07 1.72
17.08.21 Swindon – Tranmere 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 2.05 1.75
14.08.21 Swindon – Carlisle 1–2 (1–2) 2.903.302.45 2.10 1.70

Northampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.21 Harrogate – Northampton 1–2 (1–1) 2.373.502.90 2.05 1.75
07.12.21 Exeter – Northampton 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.50 2.15 1.66
20.11.21 Bradford – Northampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.10 1.70
13.11.21 Bristol Rvs – Northampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.62 2.15 1.66
23.10.21 Tranmere – Northampton 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.30 1.60
09.10.21 Hartlepool – Northampton 2–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.90 2.40 1.53
25.09.21 Salford – Northampton 2–2 (1–1) 2.153.203.60 2.20 1.65
14.09.21 Newport County – Northampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.30 1.60
11.09.21 Forest Green – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.80
28.08.21 Crawley Town – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.45 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsNorthampton wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.21E3 Northampton – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 2.07 1.72

England League Two table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Forest Green 20 13 5 2 43 20 +23 44
2 Northampton 21 12 4 5 29 17 +12 40
3 Tranmere 22 11 5 6 20 14 +6 38
4 Sutton 22 11 3 8 33 27 +6 36
5 Port Vale 21 10 5 6 35 23 +12 35
6 Newport County 22 9 7 6 35 29 +6 34
7 Swindon 21 9 7 5 29 24 +5 34
8 Exeter 21 8 9 4 32 24 +8 33
9 Mansfield 22 9 5 8 27 28 -1 32
10 Leyton Orient 22 7 10 5 37 21 +16 31
11 Harrogate 22 8 6 8 35 31 +4 30
12 Walsall 21 7 7 7 25 24 +1 28
13 Salford 21 7 6 8 24 21 +3 27
14 Rochdale 22 6 9 7 30 30 0 27
15 Hartlepool 22 8 3 11 24 34 -10 27
16 Bradford 21 5 11 5 27 25 +2 26
17 Bristol Rvs 21 7 5 9 27 33 -6 26
18 Crawley Town 20 7 4 9 23 30 -7 25
19 Barrow 22 5 8 9 22 26 -4 23
20 Colchester 20 5 7 8 16 25 -9 22
21 Stevenage 22 4 8 10 16 34 -18 20
22 Carlisle 21 4 7 10 15 29 -14 19
23 Scunthorpe 22 3 10 9 19 37 -18 19
24 Oldham 23 4 5 14 22 39 -17 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tranmere 11 8 0 3 13 6 +7 24
2 Mansfield 13 7 3 3 20 15 +5 24
3 Hartlepool 11 7 2 2 16 11 +5 23
4 Northampton 10 7 1 2 16 7 +9 22
5 Leyton Orient 11 6 3 2 24 7 +17 21
6 Sutton 10 7 0 3 17 9 +8 21
7 Salford 12 5 5 2 14 7 +7 20
8 Forest Green 9 6 1 2 16 9 +7 19
9 Exeter 11 5 4 2 17 11 +6 19
10 Newport County 10 5 3 2 20 11 +9 18
11 Port Vale 10 5 3 2 16 8 +8 18
12 Bradford 11 3 7 1 17 13 +4 16
13 Walsall 11 4 4 3 16 14 +2 16
14 Bristol Rvs 11 5 1 5 17 18 -1 16
15 Rochdale 11 3 5 3 14 12 +2 14
16 Barrow 11 3 5 3 13 12 +1 14
17 Stevenage 11 3 5 3 10 13 -3 14
18 Harrogate 11 3 4 4 18 18 0 13
19 Colchester 10 3 3 4 10 12 -2 12
20 Crawley Town 10 3 3 4 12 16 -4 12
21 Swindon 10 2 5 3 10 11 -1 11
22 Carlisle 10 2 5 3 6 9 -3 11
23 Scunthorpe 10 2 4 4 8 15 -7 10
24 Oldham 12 2 2 8 16 25 -9 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Forest Green 11 7 4 0 27 11 +16 25
2 Swindon 11 7 2 2 19 13 +6 23
3 Northampton 11 5 3 3 13 10 +3 18
4 Port Vale 11 5 2 4 19 15 +4 17
5 Harrogate 11 5 2 4 17 13 +4 17
6 Newport County 12 4 4 4 15 18 -3 16
7 Sutton 12 4 3 5 16 18 -2 15
8 Exeter 10 3 5 2 15 13 +2 14
9 Tranmere 11 3 5 3 7 8 -1 14
10 Rochdale 11 3 4 4 16 18 -2 13
11 Crawley Town 10 4 1 5 11 14 -3 13
12 Walsall 10 3 3 4 9 10 -1 12
13 Leyton Orient 11 1 7 3 13 14 -1 10
14 Bradford 10 2 4 4 10 12 -2 10
15 Bristol Rvs 10 2 4 4 10 15 -5 10
16 Colchester 10 2 4 4 6 13 -7 10
17 Barrow 11 2 3 6 9 14 -5 9
18 Oldham 11 2 3 6 6 14 -8 9
19 Scunthorpe 12 1 6 5 11 22 -11 9
20 Mansfield 9 2 2 5 7 13 -6 8
21 Carlisle 11 2 2 7 9 20 -11 8
22 Salford 9 2 1 6 10 14 -4 7
23 Stevenage 11 1 3 7 6 21 -15 6
24 Hartlepool 11 1 1 9 8 23 -15 4

Swindon   Northampton

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Newport County 22 6 16 1.6 1.3 9 7 6 35 29 34
2 24 Oldham 23 9 14 1.0 1.7 4 5 14 22 39 17
3 8 Exeter 21 8 13 1.5 1.1 8 9 4 32 24 33
4 11 Harrogate 22 10 12 1.6 1.4 8 6 8 35 31 30
5 14 Rochdale 22 10 12 1.4 1.4 6 9 7 30 30 27
6 17 Bristol Rvs 21 9 12 1.3 1.6 7 5 9 27 33 26
7 4 Sutton 22 11 11 1.5 1.2 11 3 8 33 27 36
8 7 Swindon 21 10 11 1.4 1.1 9 7 5 29 24 34
9 9 Mansfield 22 11 11 1.2 1.3 9 5 8 27 28 32
10 15 Hartlepool 22 11 11 1.1 1.5 8 3 11 24 34 27
11 18 Crawley Town 20 9 11 1.1 1.5 7 4 9 23 30 25
12 5 Port Vale 21 11 10 1.7 1.1 10 5 6 35 23 35
13 10 Leyton Orient 22 12 10 1.7 1.0 7 10 5 37 21 31
14 12 Walsall 21 11 10 1.2 1.1 7 7 7 25 24 28
15 22 Carlisle 21 11 10 0.7 1.4 4 7 10 15 29 19
16 1 Forest Green 20 11 9 2.1 1.0 13 5 2 43 20 44
17 2 Northampton 21 12 9 1.4 0.8 12 4 5 29 17 40
18 16 Bradford 21 12 9 1.3 1.2 5 11 5 27 25 26
19 21 Stevenage 22 13 9 0.7 1.5 4 8 10 16 34 20
20 23 Scunthorpe 22 13 9 0.9 1.7 3 10 9 19 37 19
21 13 Salford 21 13 8 1.1 1.0 7 6 8 24 21 27
22 19 Barrow 22 14 8 1.0 1.2 5 8 9 22 26 23
23 20 Colchester 20 13 7 0.8 1.2 5 7 8 16 25 22
24 3 Tranmere 22 18 4 0.9 0.6 11 5 6 20 14 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 24 Oldham 12 3 9 1.3 2.1 2 2 8 16 25 8
2 6 Newport County 10 2 8 2.0 1.1 5 3 2 20 11 18
3 17 Bristol Rvs 11 3 8 1.5 1.6 5 1 5 17 18 16
4 8 Exeter 11 4 7 1.5 1.0 5 4 2 17 11 19
5 9 Mansfield 13 6 7 1.5 1.2 7 3 3 20 15 24
6 11 Harrogate 11 4 7 1.6 1.6 3 4 4 18 18 13
7 12 Walsall 11 4 7 1.5 1.3 4 4 3 16 14 16
8 18 Crawley Town 10 3 7 1.2 1.6 3 3 4 12 16 12
9 10 Leyton Orient 11 5 6 2.2 0.6 6 3 2 24 7 21
10 15 Hartlepool 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 7 2 2 16 11 23
11 4 Sutton 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 7 0 3 17 9 21
12 7 Swindon 10 5 5 1.0 1.1 2 5 3 10 11 11
13 14 Rochdale 11 6 5 1.3 1.1 3 5 3 14 12 14
14 16 Bradford 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 3 7 1 17 13 16
15 2 Northampton 10 6 4 1.6 0.7 7 1 2 16 7 22
16 5 Port Vale 10 6 4 1.6 0.8 5 3 2 16 8 18
17 19 Barrow 11 7 4 1.2 1.1 3 5 3 13 12 14
18 1 Forest Green 9 6 3 1.8 1.0 6 1 2 16 9 19
19 13 Salford 12 9 3 1.2 0.6 5 5 2 14 7 20
20 20 Colchester 10 7 3 1.0 1.2 3 3 4 10 12 12
21 21 Stevenage 11 8 3 0.9 1.2 3 5 3 10 13 14
22 23 Scunthorpe 10 7 3 0.8 1.5 2 4 4 8 15 10
23 3 Tranmere 11 9 2 1.2 0.5 8 0 3 13 6 24
24 22 Carlisle 10 8 2 0.6 0.9 2 5 3 6 9 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Newport County 12 4 8 1.2 1.5 4 4 4 15 18 16
2 22 Carlisle 11 3 8 0.8 1.8 2 2 7 9 20 8
3 14 Rochdale 11 4 7 1.5 1.6 3 4 4 16 18 13
4 1 Forest Green 11 5 6 2.5 1.0 7 4 0 27 11 25
5 4 Sutton 12 6 6 1.3 1.5 4 3 5 16 18 15
6 5 Port Vale 11 5 6 1.7 1.4 5 2 4 19 15 17
7 7 Swindon 11 5 6 1.7 1.2 7 2 2 19 13 23
8 8 Exeter 10 4 6 1.5 1.3 3 5 2 15 13 14
9 21 Stevenage 11 5 6 0.5 1.9 1 3 7 6 21 6
10 23 Scunthorpe 12 6 6 0.9 1.8 1 6 5 11 22 9
11 2 Northampton 11 6 5 1.2 0.9 5 3 3 13 10 18
12 11 Harrogate 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 5 2 4 17 13 17
13 13 Salford 9 4 5 1.1 1.6 2 1 6 10 14 7
14 15 Hartlepool 11 6 5 0.7 2.1 1 1 9 8 23 4
15 24 Oldham 11 6 5 0.5 1.3 2 3 6 6 14 9
16 9 Mansfield 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 2 2 5 7 13 8
17 10 Leyton Orient 11 7 4 1.2 1.3 1 7 3 13 14 10
18 16 Bradford 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 2 4 4 10 12 10
19 17 Bristol Rvs 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 2 4 4 10 15 10
20 18 Crawley Town 10 6 4 1.1 1.4 4 1 5 11 14 13
21 19 Barrow 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 2 3 6 9 14 9
22 20 Colchester 10 6 4 0.6 1.3 2 4 4 6 13 10
23 12 Walsall 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 3 3 4 9 10 12
24 3 Tranmere 11 9 2 0.6 0.7 3 5 3 7 8 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38