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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: D Handley

Swindon 3–2 Sutton

Full time · half time 2–2 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.22
Draw 3.40 fair 3.52
Away 3.30 fair 3.77
Under 2.5 1.75 fair 1.61
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon Sutton
18 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 8
8 Corners 9
5 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (83 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.29 – 0.92
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawSutton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14.1% 1–1 13% 0–0 10.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
0.86scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:6
Sutton before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.00scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:6
Swindon all matches all matches Sutton

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.00
0.86 Goals conceded 0.86
1.71 Total goals 1.86
13.00 Shots 14.14
4.00 Shots on target 4.71
12.86 Shots faced 8.57
5.29 Corners 5.86
4.86 Corners against 5.00
10.14 Fouls 13.43
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

14% Wins 43%
71% Draws 29%
14% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 57%
29% Over 2.5 goals 43%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 57%
43% Clean sheets 29%
43% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 29%
71% Draws 57%
14% Losses 14%
57% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
Sutton all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.33scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:1
Sutton before this match, away
0.33points / match
0.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:3
Swindon at home away Sutton

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.33
0.33 Goals conceded 1.00
1.67 Total goals 1.33
12.00 Shots 16.00
5.00 Shots on target 4.67
12.67 Shots faced 10.33
5.00 Corners 4.67
5.00 Corners against 3.67
11.00 Fouls 16.00
3.00 Yellow cards 2.33
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
67% Draws 33%
0% Losses 67%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 33%
67% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
67% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
Sutton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.22 Gillingham – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.202.75 2.15 1.66
27.08.22 Stockport – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 1.804.004.20 1.90 1.95
20.08.22 Swindon – Rochdale 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.93 1.93
16.08.22 Swindon – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.87 2.00 1.85
13.08.22 Carlisle – Swindon 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.302.80 2.05 1.80
06.08.22 Swindon – Salford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.98 1.88
30.07.22 Harrogate – Swindon 3–0 (1–0) 3.403.502.10 1.65 2.20
07.05.22 Walsall – Swindon 0–3 (0–3) 4.334.001.75 1.83 2.02
30.04.22 Swindon – Barrow 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.80 2.05
26.04.22 Swindon – Forest Green 2–1 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.93 1.93

Sutton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.22 Sutton – Harrogate 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.20 2.07 1.72
27.08.22 Sutton – Mansfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.402.50 2.10 1.70
20.08.22 Grimsby – Sutton 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.05 1.75
16.08.22 Crewe – Sutton 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.302.80 2.02 1.83
13.08.22 Sutton – Barrow 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.15 1.73
06.08.22 Doncaster – Sutton 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.252.55 2.10 1.77
30.07.22 Sutton – Newport County 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.80
07.05.22 Harrogate – Sutton 0–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.75 1.65 2.20
30.04.22 Sutton – Bradford 1–4 (0–1) 1.663.755.25 1.98 1.88
26.04.22 Sutton – Crawley Town 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.604.50 1.98 1.88

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.22 Swindon – Rochdale 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.93 1.93
16.08.22 Swindon – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.87 2.00 1.85
06.08.22 Swindon – Salford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.98 1.88
30.04.22 Swindon – Barrow 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.80 2.05
26.04.22 Swindon – Forest Green 2–1 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.93 1.93
18.04.22 Swindon – Leyton Orient 1–2 (0–1) 2.003.503.75 2.02 1.83
09.04.22 Swindon – Newport County 0–1 (0–0) 2.373.303.10 2.07 1.72
15.03.22 Swindon – Sutton 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.75
12.03.22 Swindon – Oldham 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.90 1.95
26.02.22 Swindon – Salford 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.15 1.66

Sutton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.22 Grimsby – Sutton 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.05 1.75
16.08.22 Crewe – Sutton 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.302.80 2.02 1.83
06.08.22 Doncaster – Sutton 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.252.55 2.10 1.77
07.05.22 Harrogate – Sutton 0–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.75 1.65 2.20
23.04.22 Barrow – Sutton 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.70 2.25 1.61
15.04.22 Mansfield – Sutton 2–3 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 2.02 1.83
26.03.22 Port Vale – Sutton 2–0 (2–0) 2.003.254.00 2.25 1.61
22.03.22 Oldham – Sutton 1–3 (0–1) 3.403.302.20 2.02 1.83
15.03.22 Swindon – Sutton 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.75
12.03.22 Walsall – Sutton 1–0 (1–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsSutton wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.22E3 Swindon – Sutton 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.75
19.10.21E3 Sutton – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.303.303.20 2.07 1.72

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 7 6 1 0 14 4 +10 19
2 Stevenage 7 5 1 1 10 6 +4 16
3 Barrow 7 5 0 2 11 9 +2 15
4 Salford 7 4 2 1 12 6 +6 14
5 Northampton 7 4 2 1 14 10 +4 14
6 Doncaster 7 4 2 1 10 8 +2 14
7 Mansfield 7 4 0 3 12 9 +3 12
8 Bradford 7 3 2 2 9 6 +3 11
9 Grimsby 6 3 2 1 6 4 +2 11
10 Crewe 7 3 2 2 9 8 +1 11
11 Sutton 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
12 Carlisle 6 2 3 1 8 7 +1 9
13 Walsall 7 2 2 3 9 7 +2 8
14 Swindon 7 1 5 1 6 6 0 8
15 AFC Wimbledon 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1 8
16 Tranmere 7 2 1 4 7 7 0 7
17 Newport County 7 2 1 4 9 10 -1 7
18 Stockport 7 2 1 4 8 10 -2 7
19 Harrogate 7 2 1 4 6 10 -4 7
20 Colchester 7 1 2 4 6 11 -5 5
21 Gillingham 7 1 2 4 1 8 -7 5
22 Crawley Town 7 0 3 4 5 10 -5 3
23 Hartlepool 7 0 3 4 5 14 -9 3
24 Rochdale 7 0 2 5 5 12 -7 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12
2 Salford 4 3 1 0 8 2 +6 10
3 Sutton 4 3 1 0 6 3 +3 10
4 Mansfield 3 3 0 0 8 3 +5 9
5 Northampton 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
6 Barrow 3 3 0 0 6 3 +3 9
7 Stevenage 3 3 0 0 5 2 +3 9
8 Doncaster 4 3 0 1 7 6 +1 9
9 Bradford 4 2 2 0 4 1 +3 8
10 Carlisle 4 2 2 0 6 4 +2 8
11 Crewe 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
12 Stockport 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
13 Tranmere 3 2 0 1 6 2 +4 6
14 Swindon 3 1 2 0 4 1 +3 5
15 Colchester 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
16 Gillingham 4 1 2 1 1 2 -1 5
17 Walsall 3 1 1 1 6 3 +3 4
18 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
19 Harrogate 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
20 Newport County 4 1 0 3 4 7 -3 3
21 Grimsby 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
22 Hartlepool 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
23 Rochdale 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
24 Crawley Town 3 0 0 3 2 6 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Grimsby 4 3 0 1 5 3 +2 9
2 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
3 Stevenage 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
4 Barrow 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6
5 Northampton 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
6 Doncaster 3 1 2 0 3 2 +1 5
7 Newport County 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
8 Salford 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
9 Walsall 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 4
10 AFC Wimbledon 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
11 Crewe 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4
12 Bradford 3 1 0 2 5 5 0 3
13 Crawley Town 4 0 3 1 3 4 -1 3
14 Mansfield 4 1 0 3 4 6 -2 3
15 Harrogate 4 1 0 3 3 6 -3 3
16 Swindon 4 0 3 1 2 5 -3 3
17 Carlisle 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
18 Sutton 3 0 1 2 1 3 -2 1
19 Tranmere 4 0 1 3 1 5 -4 1
20 Rochdale 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
21 Hartlepool 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1
22 Stockport 3 0 0 3 3 6 -3 0
23 Colchester 3 0 0 3 2 6 -4 0
24 Gillingham 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0

Swindon   Sutton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Northampton 7 2 5 2.0 1.4 4 2 1 14 10 14
2 6 Doncaster 7 2 5 1.4 1.1 4 2 1 10 8 14
3 10 Crewe 7 2 5 1.3 1.1 3 2 2 9 8 11
4 2 Stevenage 7 3 4 1.4 0.9 5 1 1 10 6 16
5 3 Barrow 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 5 0 2 11 9 15
6 4 Salford 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 4 2 1 12 6 14
7 7 Mansfield 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 3 12 9 12
8 13 Walsall 7 3 4 1.3 1.0 2 2 3 9 7 8
9 18 Stockport 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 2 1 4 8 10 7
10 19 Harrogate 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 2 1 4 6 10 7
11 23 Hartlepool 7 3 4 0.7 2.0 0 3 4 5 14 3
12 8 Bradford 7 4 3 1.3 0.9 3 2 2 9 6 11
13 11 Sutton 7 4 3 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
14 16 Tranmere 7 4 3 1.0 1.0 2 1 4 7 7 7
15 17 Newport County 7 4 3 1.3 1.4 2 1 4 9 10 7
16 24 Rochdale 7 4 3 0.7 1.7 0 2 5 5 12 2
17 1 Leyton Orient 7 5 2 2.0 0.6 6 1 0 14 4 19
18 12 Carlisle 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 3 1 8 7 9
19 14 Swindon 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 1 5 1 6 6 8
20 15 AFC Wimbledon 7 5 2 1.1 1.3 2 2 3 8 9 8
21 20 Colchester 7 5 2 0.9 1.6 1 2 4 6 11 5
22 22 Crawley Town 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 0 3 4 5 10 3
23 9 Grimsby 6 5 1 1.0 0.7 3 2 1 6 4 11
24 21 Gillingham 7 6 1 0.1 1.1 1 2 4 1 8 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Doncaster 4 0 4 1.8 1.5 3 0 1 7 6 9
2 5 Northampton 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
3 10 Crewe 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
4 2 Stevenage 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 3 0 0 5 2 9
5 3 Barrow 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 3 0 0 6 3 9
6 4 Salford 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 3 1 0 8 2 10
7 7 Mansfield 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 3 0 0 8 3 9
8 11 Sutton 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 0 6 3 10
9 13 Walsall 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 1 1 6 3 4
10 16 Tranmere 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 0 1 6 2 6
11 17 Newport County 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 0 3 4 7 3
12 19 Harrogate 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
13 1 Leyton Orient 4 3 1 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12
14 8 Bradford 4 3 1 1.0 0.2 2 2 0 4 1 8
15 12 Carlisle 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 2 2 0 6 4 8
16 14 Swindon 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 1 2 0 4 1 5
17 15 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
18 18 Stockport 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
19 20 Colchester 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
20 22 Crawley Town 3 2 1 0.7 2.0 0 0 3 2 6 0
21 23 Hartlepool 3 2 1 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
22 24 Rochdale 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
23 9 Grimsby 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
24 21 Gillingham 4 4 0 0.2 0.5 1 2 1 1 2 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Stockport 3 0 3 1.0 2.0 0 0 3 3 6 0
2 23 Hartlepool 4 1 3 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1
3 2 Stevenage 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
4 3 Barrow 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6
5 4 Salford 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
6 5 Northampton 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
7 7 Mansfield 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 0 3 4 6 3
8 8 Bradford 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 0 2 5 5 3
9 10 Crewe 3 1 2 0.7 1.3 1 1 1 2 4 4
10 13 Walsall 4 2 2 0.8 1.0 1 1 2 3 4 4
11 19 Harrogate 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 1 0 3 3 6 3
12 24 Rochdale 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
13 1 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
14 6 Doncaster 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 1 2 0 3 2 5
15 9 Grimsby 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 3 0 1 5 3 9
16 11 Sutton 3 2 1 0.3 1.0 0 1 2 1 3 1
17 12 Carlisle 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
18 14 Swindon 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 0 3 1 2 5 3
19 15 AFC Wimbledon 4 3 1 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
20 16 Tranmere 4 3 1 0.2 1.2 0 1 3 1 5 1
21 17 Newport County 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
22 20 Colchester 3 2 1 0.7 2.0 0 0 3 2 6 0
23 21 Gillingham 3 2 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
24 22 Crawley Town 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 0 3 1 3 4 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51