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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: T Kirk

Harrogate 3–3 Carlisle

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.20 fair 2.99
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 3.66
Away 2.20 fair 2.55
Under 2.5 1.72 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.07 fair 2.27

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Harrogate Carlisle
17 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (198 league matches this season so far).
Result Carlisle to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.16 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
HarrogateDrawCarlisle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 0–1 11.2% 1–0 10.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Harrogate before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.88scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 14:24
Carlisle before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.44scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 23:16
Harrogate all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.44
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.38 Total goals 2.44
10.38 Shots 11.94
3.19 Shots on target 4.19
13.56 Shots faced 10.69
3.69 Corners 4.69
6.31 Corners against 4.06
10.44 Fouls 9.75
1.69 Yellow cards 1.50
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.94 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

19% Wins 44%
19% Draws 38%
63% Losses 19%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
69% Over 1.5 goals 75%
56% Over 2.5 goals 44%
19% Over 3.5 goals 19%
6% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
44% Both teams scored 56%
25% Clean sheets 38%
44% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 31%
31% Draws 38%
44% Losses 31%
75% Over 0.5 goals 81%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate all matches
Carlisle all matches
Harrogate before this match, at home
1.14points / match
1.00scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:9
Carlisle before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.25scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:8
Harrogate at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.25
1.29 Goals conceded 1.00
2.29 Total goals 2.25
12.71 Shots 8.75
3.57 Shots on target 3.50
11.71 Shots faced 13.25
4.57 Corners 3.50
5.00 Corners against 4.75
9.43 Fouls 10.25
1.29 Yellow cards 1.63
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

29% Wins 38%
29% Draws 38%
43% Losses 25%
86% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 88%
57% Over 2.5 goals 38%
14% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 63%
29% Clean sheets 25%
43% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 25%
29% Draws 25%
29% Losses 50%
71% Over 0.5 goals 88%
29% Over 1.5 goals 38%
14% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate at home
Carlisle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Harrogate all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 AFC Wimbledon – Harrogate 3–2 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 2.05 1.80
25.10.22 Walsall – Harrogate 3–1 (3–0) 1.903.504.20 2.15 1.66
22.10.22 Harrogate – Tranmere 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.70
15.10.22 Harrogate – Hartlepool 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.303.20 2.05 1.75
08.10.22 Colchester – Harrogate 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.254.00 2.05 1.75
01.10.22 Harrogate – Bradford 1–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.15 2.00 1.85
24.09.22 Stevenage – Harrogate 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Stockport – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.573.806.50 1.90 1.95
13.09.22 Harrogate – Salford 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.20 2.05 1.75
03.09.22 Sutton – Harrogate 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.20 2.07 1.72

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Tranmere – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.15 1.66
25.10.22 Stockport – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.404.00 2.25 1.61
22.10.22 Carlisle – Leyton Orient 2–3 (1–2) 2.753.202.60 2.30 1.60
15.10.22 Carlisle – Doncaster 3–0 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.10 1.70
08.10.22 Hartlepool – Carlisle 1–3 (1–0) 3.203.302.30 2.10 1.70
01.10.22 Carlisle – Crewe 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.20 2.05 1.75
27.09.22 Grimsby – Carlisle 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.204.00 2.15 1.66
24.09.22 Newport County – Carlisle 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.80
17.09.22 Carlisle – AFC Wimbledon 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.70
13.09.22 Mansfield – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.005.75 1.90 1.95

Harrogate at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Harrogate – Tranmere 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.70
15.10.22 Harrogate – Hartlepool 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.303.20 2.05 1.75
01.10.22 Harrogate – Bradford 1–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.15 2.00 1.85
13.09.22 Harrogate – Salford 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.20 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Harrogate – Newport County 0–4 (0–4) 2.753.302.55 2.07 1.72
13.08.22 Harrogate – Crawley Town 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.20 1.90 1.95
30.07.22 Harrogate – Swindon 3–0 (1–0) 3.403.502.10 1.65 2.20
07.05.22 Harrogate – Sutton 0–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.75 1.65 2.20
23.04.22 Harrogate – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 2.403.502.87 2.10 1.77
15.04.22 Harrogate – Swindon 1–4 (0–2) 3.203.302.30 1.90 1.95

Carlisle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Tranmere – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.15 1.66
25.10.22 Stockport – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.404.00 2.25 1.61
08.10.22 Hartlepool – Carlisle 1–3 (1–0) 3.203.302.30 2.10 1.70
27.09.22 Grimsby – Carlisle 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.204.00 2.15 1.66
24.09.22 Newport County – Carlisle 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.80
13.09.22 Mansfield – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.005.75 1.90 1.95
20.08.22 Stevenage – Carlisle 2–1 (2–1) 1.833.754.20 2.10 1.70
06.08.22 Colchester – Carlisle 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.10 1.70
07.05.22 Bradford – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.72 2.07
23.04.22 Harrogate – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 2.403.502.87 2.10 1.77

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Harrogate winsDrawsCarlisle wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.22E3 Harrogate – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 2.403.502.87 2.10 1.77
23.11.21E3 Carlisle – Harrogate 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.70

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 16 12 3 1 26 9 +17 39
2 Stevenage 17 11 3 3 24 15 +9 36
3 Northampton 17 9 5 3 29 19 +10 32
4 Barrow 17 10 1 6 24 17 +7 31
5 Swindon 17 8 6 3 23 17 +6 30
6 Bradford 16 7 6 3 21 13 +8 27
7 Carlisle 16 7 6 3 23 16 +7 27
8 Salford 16 8 3 5 19 13 +6 27
9 Mansfield 16 8 3 5 25 21 +4 27
10 Tranmere 17 7 4 6 18 13 +5 25
11 Doncaster 17 7 4 6 20 21 -1 25
12 Walsall 17 6 5 6 21 16 +5 23
13 Grimsby 16 6 5 5 18 14 +4 23
14 Stockport 17 6 4 7 21 19 +2 22
15 AFC Wimbledon 16 5 4 7 20 24 -4 19
16 Crewe 16 4 7 5 15 20 -5 19
17 Sutton 17 5 4 8 16 23 -7 19
18 Newport County 17 4 4 9 15 20 -5 16
19 Crawley Town 16 3 5 8 18 28 -10 14
20 Gillingham 16 2 7 7 6 17 -11 13
21 Harrogate 16 3 3 10 14 24 -10 12
22 Rochdale 16 3 3 10 12 23 -11 12
23 Hartlepool 17 2 6 9 15 30 -15 12
24 Colchester 17 2 5 10 14 25 -11 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 9 7 1 1 14 4 +10 22
2 Stevenage 8 7 0 1 14 5 +9 21
3 Barrow 9 7 0 2 15 7 +8 21
4 Walsall 9 5 2 2 15 7 +8 17
5 Northampton 9 5 2 2 16 10 +6 17
6 Swindon 8 5 2 1 12 6 +6 17
7 Doncaster 9 5 1 3 13 10 +3 16
8 Carlisle 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
9 Stockport 9 4 3 2 12 8 +4 15
10 Mansfield 8 4 3 1 14 11 +3 15
11 Tranmere 9 4 2 3 12 7 +5 14
12 Bradford 9 3 5 1 11 6 +5 14
13 Sutton 8 4 2 2 10 8 +2 14
14 Crewe 8 3 3 2 11 8 +3 12
15 Salford 8 3 2 3 9 7 +2 11
16 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 2 3 10 10 0 11
17 Colchester 9 2 4 3 9 11 -2 10
18 Gillingham 8 2 4 2 4 6 -2 10
19 Hartlepool 9 2 4 3 7 11 -4 10
20 Crawley Town 7 3 0 4 11 13 -2 9
21 Harrogate 7 2 2 3 7 9 -2 8
22 Grimsby 7 1 4 2 7 6 +1 7
23 Newport County 8 2 1 5 6 11 -5 7
24 Rochdale 7 1 1 5 6 10 -4 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 7 5 2 0 12 5 +7 17
2 Salford 8 5 1 2 10 6 +4 16
3 Grimsby 9 5 1 3 11 8 +3 16
4 Northampton 8 4 3 1 13 9 +4 15
5 Stevenage 9 4 3 2 10 10 0 15
6 Bradford 7 4 1 2 10 7 +3 13
7 Swindon 9 3 4 2 11 11 0 13
8 Carlisle 8 3 3 2 10 8 +2 12
9 Mansfield 8 4 0 4 11 10 +1 12
10 Tranmere 8 3 2 3 6 6 0 11
11 Barrow 8 3 1 4 9 10 -1 10
12 Newport County 9 2 3 4 9 9 0 9
13 Doncaster 8 2 3 3 7 11 -4 9
14 AFC Wimbledon 8 2 2 4 10 14 -4 8
15 Rochdale 9 2 2 5 6 13 -7 8
16 Stockport 8 2 1 5 9 11 -2 7
17 Crewe 8 1 4 3 4 12 -8 7
18 Walsall 8 1 3 4 6 9 -3 6
19 Crawley Town 9 0 5 4 7 15 -8 5
20 Sutton 9 1 2 6 6 15 -9 5
21 Harrogate 9 1 1 7 7 15 -8 4
22 Gillingham 8 0 3 5 2 11 -9 3
23 Hartlepool 8 0 2 6 8 19 -11 2
24 Colchester 8 0 1 7 5 14 -9 1

Harrogate   Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Northampton 17 7 10 1.7 1.1 9 5 3 29 19 32
2 23 Hartlepool 17 7 10 0.9 1.8 2 6 9 15 30 12
3 9 Mansfield 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 8 3 5 25 21 27
4 11 Doncaster 17 8 9 1.2 1.2 7 4 6 20 21 25
5 19 Crawley Town 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 3 5 8 18 28 14
6 21 Harrogate 16 7 9 0.9 1.5 3 3 10 14 24 12
7 2 Stevenage 17 9 8 1.4 0.9 11 3 3 24 15 36
8 14 Stockport 17 9 8 1.2 1.1 6 4 7 21 19 22
9 15 AFC Wimbledon 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 5 4 7 20 24 19
10 16 Crewe 16 8 8 0.9 1.2 4 7 5 15 20 19
11 17 Sutton 17 9 8 0.9 1.4 5 4 8 16 23 19
12 4 Barrow 17 10 7 1.4 1.0 10 1 6 24 17 31
13 5 Swindon 17 10 7 1.4 1.0 8 6 3 23 17 30
14 6 Bradford 16 9 7 1.3 0.8 7 6 3 21 13 27
15 7 Carlisle 16 9 7 1.4 1.0 7 6 3 23 16 27
16 12 Walsall 17 10 7 1.2 0.9 6 5 6 21 16 23
17 22 Rochdale 16 9 7 0.8 1.4 3 3 10 12 23 12
18 13 Grimsby 16 10 6 1.1 0.9 6 5 5 18 14 23
19 24 Colchester 17 11 6 0.8 1.5 2 5 10 14 25 11
20 8 Salford 16 11 5 1.2 0.8 8 3 5 19 13 27
21 10 Tranmere 17 12 5 1.1 0.8 7 4 6 18 13 25
22 18 Newport County 17 12 5 0.9 1.2 4 4 9 15 20 16
23 1 Leyton Orient 16 12 4 1.6 0.6 12 3 1 26 9 39
24 20 Gillingham 16 15 1 0.4 1.1 2 7 7 6 17 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Northampton 9 3 6 1.8 1.1 5 2 2 16 10 17
2 9 Mansfield 8 3 5 1.8 1.4 4 3 1 14 11 15
3 11 Doncaster 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 5 1 3 13 10 16
4 19 Crawley Town 7 2 5 1.6 1.9 3 0 4 11 13 9
5 2 Stevenage 8 4 4 1.8 0.6 7 0 1 14 5 21
6 4 Barrow 9 5 4 1.7 0.8 7 0 2 15 7 21
7 5 Swindon 8 4 4 1.5 0.8 5 2 1 12 6 17
8 7 Carlisle 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
9 10 Tranmere 9 5 4 1.3 0.8 4 2 3 12 7 14
10 12 Walsall 9 5 4 1.7 0.8 5 2 2 15 7 17
11 16 Crewe 8 4 4 1.4 1.0 3 3 2 11 8 12
12 21 Harrogate 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 2 2 3 7 9 8
13 22 Rochdale 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 1 1 5 6 10 4
14 23 Hartlepool 9 5 4 0.8 1.2 2 4 3 7 11 10
15 6 Bradford 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 3 5 1 11 6 14
16 13 Grimsby 7 4 3 1.0 0.9 1 4 2 7 6 7
17 14 Stockport 9 6 3 1.3 0.9 4 3 2 12 8 15
18 15 AFC Wimbledon 8 5 3 1.2 1.2 3 2 3 10 10 11
19 17 Sutton 8 5 3 1.2 1.0 4 2 2 10 8 14
20 24 Colchester 9 6 3 1.0 1.2 2 4 3 9 11 10
21 1 Leyton Orient 9 7 2 1.6 0.4 7 1 1 14 4 22
22 8 Salford 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 2 3 9 7 11
23 18 Newport County 8 6 2 0.8 1.4 2 1 5 6 11 7
24 20 Gillingham 8 8 0 0.5 0.8 2 4 2 4 6 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Hartlepool 8 2 6 1.0 2.4 0 2 6 8 19 2
2 14 Stockport 8 3 5 1.1 1.4 2 1 5 9 11 7
3 15 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 2 2 4 10 14 8
4 17 Sutton 9 4 5 0.7 1.7 1 2 6 6 15 5
5 21 Harrogate 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 1 1 7 7 15 4
6 2 Stevenage 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 4 3 2 10 10 15
7 3 Northampton 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 4 3 1 13 9 15
8 6 Bradford 7 3 4 1.4 1.0 4 1 2 10 7 13
9 9 Mansfield 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 4 0 4 11 10 12
10 11 Doncaster 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 2 3 3 7 11 9
11 16 Crewe 8 4 4 0.5 1.5 1 4 3 4 12 7
12 19 Crawley Town 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 0 5 4 7 15 5
13 4 Barrow 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 3 1 4 9 10 10
14 5 Swindon 9 6 3 1.2 1.2 3 4 2 11 11 13
15 7 Carlisle 8 5 3 1.2 1.0 3 3 2 10 8 12
16 8 Salford 8 5 3 1.2 0.8 5 1 2 10 6 16
17 12 Walsall 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 1 3 4 6 9 6
18 13 Grimsby 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 5 1 3 11 8 16
19 18 Newport County 9 6 3 1.0 1.0 2 3 4 9 9 9
20 22 Rochdale 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 2 2 5 6 13 8
21 24 Colchester 8 5 3 0.6 1.8 0 1 7 5 14 1
22 1 Leyton Orient 7 5 2 1.7 0.7 5 2 0 12 5 17
23 10 Tranmere 8 7 1 0.8 0.8 3 2 3 6 6 11
24 20 Gillingham 8 7 1 0.2 1.4 0 3 5 2 11 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51