Newport County 2–1 Swindon – England League Two, 4 Feb 2023

Match facts

Newport County Swindon

16 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 2

16 Fouls 9

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (321 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.86

Expected goals 1.11 – 1.17

Home / Draw / Away

34% 29% 37%

Newport CountyDrawSwindon

Under / Over 2.5 goals

60% 40%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

54% 46%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

27% 2

20% 3

12% 4

8% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13.3% 0–1 11.9% 1–0 11.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Newport County before this match, all matches

1.00points / match

0.92scored / match

1.15conceded / match

6 8 12

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 24:30

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.56points / match

1.33scored / match

1.04conceded / match

11 9 7

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 36:28

Newport County all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 1.33

1.15 Goals conceded 1.04

2.08 Total goals 2.37

11.46 Shots 14.00

3.58 Shots on target 4.85

10.35 Shots faced 11.30

4.19 Corners 6.33

4.31 Corners against 4.56

11.65 Fouls 9.59

1.65 Yellow cards 1.85

0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.63

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

23% Wins 41%

31% Draws 33%

46% Losses 26%

92% Over 0.5 goals 89%

69% Over 1.5 goals 67%

31% Over 2.5 goals 41%

12% Over 3.5 goals 15%

4% Over 4.5 goals 15%

0% Over 5.5 goals 7%

46% Both teams scored 48%

19% Clean sheets 33%

42% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 22%

38% Draws 56%

31% Losses 22%

65% Over 0.5 goals 67%

15% Over 1.5 goals 33%

8% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County all matches

1

D

1

2

L

2

W

2

1

W

1

L

1

D

2

D

1

D

2

L

Swindon all matches

1

D

1

L

2

L

D

1

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

L

5

W

3

D

Newport County before this match, at home

0.92points / match

0.85scored / match

1.23conceded / match

3 3 7

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 11:16

Swindon before this match, away

1.46points / match

1.08scored / match

1.15conceded / match

5 4 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 14:15

Newport County at home away Swindon

Per match

0.85 Goals scored 1.08

1.23 Goals conceded 1.15

2.08 Total goals 2.23

11.85 Shots 13.15

3.54 Shots on target 4.31

9.85 Shots faced 12.69

5.00 Corners 5.69

3.54 Corners against 4.92

10.54 Fouls 10.54

1.31 Yellow cards 1.77

0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.54

0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

23% Wins 38%

23% Draws 31%

54% Losses 31%

92% Over 0.5 goals 92%

62% Over 1.5 goals 69%

31% Over 2.5 goals 31%

15% Over 3.5 goals 8%

8% Over 4.5 goals 8%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

38% Both teams scored 46%

23% Clean sheets 23%

46% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 23%

38% Draws 46%

23% Losses 31%

62% Over 0.5 goals 69%

8% Over 1.5 goals 23%

8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County at home

2

L

2

L

1

D

1

L

1

W

1

2

L

2

W

1

L

D

2

D

Swindon away

D

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

1

D

5

2

W

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Newport County all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.23	Carlisle – Newport County	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.65
07.01.23	Rochdale – Newport County	1–1 (1–0)	3.40	3.25	2.25	2.15	1.67
02.01.23	Newport County – Crawley Town	2–2 (0–1)	1.60	3.80	6.00	2.05	1.75
30.12.22	Newport County – Leyton Orient	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.25	1.62
26.12.22	AFC Wimbledon – Newport County	1–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.20	1.65
10.12.22	Newport County – Doncaster	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.15	1.67
02.12.22	Crewe – Newport County	1–2 (1–0)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.35	1.57
19.11.22	Newport County – Gillingham	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.20	4.33	2.30	1.60
12.11.22	Newport County – Stockport	1–2 (1–0)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.15	1.66
29.10.22	Northampton – Newport County	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.66

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.01.23	Swindon – Gillingham	3–3 (1–3)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.15	1.67
14.01.23	Swindon – Grimsby	5–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	3.00	2.08	1.73
01.01.23	Colchester – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.08	1.73
29.12.22	Northampton – Swindon	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.00	1.85
26.12.22	Swindon – Walsall	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.65
17.12.22	Barrow – Swindon	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.60	2.75	2.02	1.83
10.12.22	Swindon – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.98	1.88
03.12.22	Crawley Town – Swindon	2–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.75	1.95	1.90	1.95
19.11.22	Swindon – Crewe	0–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.75	4.50	1.85	2.00
12.11.22	Swindon – Tranmere	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.02	1.83

Newport County at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.01.23	Newport County – Crawley Town	2–2 (0–1)	1.60	3.80	6.00	2.05	1.75
30.12.22	Newport County – Leyton Orient	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.25	1.62
10.12.22	Newport County – Doncaster	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.15	1.67
19.11.22	Newport County – Gillingham	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.20	4.33	2.30	1.60
12.11.22	Newport County – Stockport	1–2 (1–0)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.15	1.66
22.10.22	Newport County – Colchester	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.25	2.05	1.80
08.10.22	Newport County – Rochdale	0–1 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.10	1.70
24.09.22	Newport County – Carlisle	1–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.40	3.30	2.00	1.80
17.09.22	Newport County – Barrow	0–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.35	1.57
03.09.22	Newport County – Grimsby	0–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.05	1.75

Swindon away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.23	Colchester – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.08	1.73
29.12.22	Northampton – Swindon	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.00	1.85
17.12.22	Barrow – Swindon	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.60	2.75	2.02	1.83
03.12.22	Crawley Town – Swindon	2–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.75	1.95	1.90	1.95
29.10.22	Mansfield – Swindon	2–5 (2–2)	1.90	3.60	4.00	2.00	1.85
25.10.22	Bradford – Swindon	1–1 (1–0)	2.40	3.40	2.87	1.95	1.90
08.10.22	Stevenage – Swindon	2–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.30	5.00	2.02	1.83
24.09.22	Grimsby – Swindon	1–2 (1–2)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.00	1.85
17.09.22	Doncaster – Swindon	0–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.25	2.75	2.05	1.80
03.09.22	Gillingham – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	2.62	3.20	2.75	2.15	1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Newport County winsDrawsSwindon wins

3matches

1.67goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.10.22E3	Swindon – Newport County	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.90	1.95
09.04.22E3	Swindon – Newport County	0–1 (0–0)	2.37	3.30	3.10	2.07	1.72
20.11.21E3	Newport County – Swindon	1–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.40	2.10	1.77

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	28	17	6	5	36	17	+19	57
2	Stevenage	26	16	7	3	39	18	+21	55
3	Carlisle	28	14	9	5	48	27	+21	51
4	Northampton	27	14	7	6	42	28	+14	49
5	Salford	28	13	6	9	38	28	+10	45
6	Swindon	27	11	9	7	36	28	+8	42
7	Mansfield	27	12	6	9	40	36	+4	42
8	Bradford	26	11	8	7	31	25	+6	41
9	Barrow	28	12	4	12	33	37	-4	40
10	Stockport	27	11	6	10	36	25	+11	39
11	AFC Wimbledon	27	10	9	8	30	28	+2	39
12	Sutton	28	11	6	11	28	35	-7	39
13	Tranmere	27	10	8	9	29	23	+6	38
14	Walsall	25	10	7	8	30	23	+7	37
15	Doncaster	26	11	4	11	31	39	-8	37
16	Crewe	25	7	10	8	21	29	-8	31
17	Grimsby	24	8	6	10	26	32	-6	30
18	Colchester	29	8	6	15	29	37	-8	30
19	Newport County	26	6	8	12	24	30	-6	26
20	Crawley Town	25	6	7	12	29	41	-12	25
21	Harrogate	26	6	6	14	32	41	-9	24
22	Hartlepool	28	5	7	16	28	52	-24	22
23	Gillingham	26	4	9	13	14	31	-17	21
24	Rochdale	28	5	5	18	22	42	-20	20

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stevenage	14	12	1	1	27	6	+21	37
2	Leyton Orient	14	10	3	1	20	4	+16	33
3	Carlisle	14	8	5	1	25	11	+14	29
4	Sutton	13	8	2	3	16	12	+4	26
5	Barrow	14	8	1	5	19	13	+6	25
6	Northampton	13	7	3	3	20	13	+7	24
7	Swindon	14	6	5	3	22	13	+9	23
8	Walsall	12	7	2	3	19	11	+8	23
9	Mansfield	14	6	5	3	25	20	+5	23
10	Tranmere	14	6	4	4	19	12	+7	22
11	Stockport	13	6	4	3	17	10	+7	22
12	AFC Wimbledon	13	6	4	3	15	11	+4	22
13	Doncaster	12	7	1	4	19	16	+3	22
14	Salford	14	6	4	4	16	13	+3	22
15	Bradford	13	5	5	3	17	13	+4	20
16	Crewe	14	5	5	4	15	14	+1	20
17	Crawley Town	13	6	1	6	18	19	-1	19
18	Colchester	14	4	5	5	15	16	-1	17
19	Harrogate	14	4	4	6	18	21	-3	16
20	Grimsby	12	3	5	4	13	15	-2	14
21	Hartlepool	14	3	5	6	14	23	-9	14
22	Gillingham	12	3	4	5	6	12	-6	13
23	Newport County	13	3	3	7	11	16	-5	12
24	Rochdale	14	2	2	10	11	21	-10	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Northampton	14	7	4	3	22	15	+7	25
2	Leyton Orient	14	7	3	4	16	13	+3	24
3	Salford	14	7	2	5	22	15	+7	23
4	Carlisle	14	6	4	4	23	16	+7	22
5	Bradford	13	6	3	4	14	12	+2	21
6	Mansfield	13	6	1	6	15	16	-1	19
7	Swindon	13	5	4	4	14	15	-1	19
8	Stevenage	12	4	6	2	12	12	0	18
9	Stockport	14	5	2	7	19	15	+4	17
10	AFC Wimbledon	14	4	5	5	15	17	-2	17
11	Tranmere	13	4	4	5	10	11	-1	16
12	Grimsby	12	5	1	6	13	17	-4	16
13	Barrow	14	4	3	7	14	24	-10	15
14	Doncaster	14	4	3	7	12	23	-11	15
15	Newport County	13	3	5	5	13	14	-1	14
16	Walsall	13	3	5	5	11	12	-1	14
17	Colchester	15	4	1	10	14	21	-7	13
18	Sutton	15	3	4	8	12	23	-11	13
19	Rochdale	14	3	3	8	11	21	-10	12
20	Crewe	11	2	5	4	6	15	-9	11
21	Harrogate	12	2	2	8	14	20	-6	8
22	Gillingham	14	1	5	8	8	19	-11	8
23	Hartlepool	14	2	2	10	14	29	-15	8
24	Crawley Town	12	0	6	6	11	22	-11	6

Newport County Swindon

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	22	Hartlepool	28	11	17	1.0	1.9	5	7	16	28	52	22
2	7	Mansfield	27	11	16	1.5	1.3	12	6	9	40	36	42
3	15	Doncaster	26	11	15	1.2	1.5	11	4	11	31	39	37
4	21	Harrogate	26	11	15	1.2	1.6	6	6	14	32	41	24
5	3	Carlisle	28	14	14	1.7	1.0	14	9	5	48	27	51
6	4	Northampton	27	13	14	1.6	1.0	14	7	6	42	28	49
7	20	Crawley Town	25	11	14	1.2	1.6	6	7	12	29	41	25
8	8	Bradford	26	14	12	1.2	1.0	11	8	7	31	25	41
9	9	Barrow	28	16	12	1.2	1.3	12	4	12	33	37	40
10	12	Sutton	28	16	12	1.0	1.2	11	6	11	28	35	39
11	18	Colchester	29	17	12	1.0	1.3	8	6	15	29	37	30
12	24	Rochdale	28	16	12	0.8	1.5	5	5	18	22	42	20
13	2	Stevenage	26	15	11	1.5	0.7	16	7	3	39	18	55
14	5	Salford	28	17	11	1.4	1.0	13	6	9	38	28	45
15	6	Swindon	27	16	11	1.3	1.0	11	9	7	36	28	42
16	10	Stockport	27	16	11	1.3	0.9	11	6	10	36	25	39
17	17	Grimsby	24	13	11	1.1	1.3	8	6	10	26	32	30
18	11	AFC Wimbledon	27	17	10	1.1	1.0	10	9	8	30	28	39
19	14	Walsall	25	15	10	1.2	0.9	10	7	8	30	23	37
20	16	Crewe	25	15	10	0.8	1.2	7	10	8	21	29	31
21	13	Tranmere	27	18	9	1.1	0.9	10	8	9	29	23	38
22	19	Newport County	26	18	8	0.9	1.2	6	8	12	24	30	26
23	1	Leyton Orient	28	21	7	1.3	0.6	17	6	5	36	17	57
24	23	Gillingham	26	22	4	0.5	1.2	4	9	13	14	31	21

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Mansfield	14	5	9	1.8	1.4	6	5	3	25	20	23
2	4	Northampton	13	5	8	1.5	1.0	7	3	3	20	13	24
3	21	Harrogate	14	6	8	1.3	1.5	4	4	6	18	21	16
4	22	Hartlepool	14	6	8	1.0	1.6	3	5	6	14	23	14
5	2	Stevenage	14	7	7	1.9	0.4	12	1	1	27	6	37
6	6	Swindon	14	7	7	1.6	0.9	6	5	3	22	13	23
7	15	Doncaster	12	5	7	1.6	1.3	7	1	4	19	16	22
8	20	Crawley Town	13	6	7	1.4	1.5	6	1	6	18	19	19
9	24	Rochdale	14	7	7	0.8	1.5	2	2	10	11	21	8
10	3	Carlisle	14	8	6	1.8	0.8	8	5	1	25	11	29
11	8	Bradford	13	7	6	1.3	1.0	5	5	3	17	13	20
12	9	Barrow	14	8	6	1.4	0.9	8	1	5	19	13	25
13	13	Tranmere	14	8	6	1.4	0.9	6	4	4	19	12	22
14	14	Walsall	12	6	6	1.6	0.9	7	2	3	19	11	23
15	16	Crewe	14	8	6	1.1	1.0	5	5	4	15	14	20
16	17	Grimsby	12	6	6	1.1	1.2	3	5	4	13	15	14
17	12	Sutton	13	8	5	1.2	0.9	8	2	3	16	12	26
18	18	Colchester	14	9	5	1.1	1.1	4	5	5	15	16	17
19	5	Salford	14	10	4	1.1	0.9	6	4	4	16	13	22
20	10	Stockport	13	9	4	1.3	0.8	6	4	3	17	10	22
21	19	Newport County	13	9	4	0.8	1.2	3	3	7	11	16	12
22	1	Leyton Orient	14	11	3	1.4	0.3	10	3	1	20	4	33
23	11	AFC Wimbledon	13	10	3	1.2	0.8	6	4	3	15	11	22
24	23	Gillingham	12	11	1	0.5	1.0	3	4	5	6	12	13

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	22	Hartlepool	14	5	9	1.0	2.1	2	2	10	14	29	8
2	3	Carlisle	14	6	8	1.6	1.1	6	4	4	23	16	22
3	15	Doncaster	14	6	8	0.9	1.6	4	3	7	12	23	15
4	5	Salford	14	7	7	1.6	1.1	7	2	5	22	15	23
5	7	Mansfield	13	6	7	1.2	1.2	6	1	6	15	16	19
6	10	Stockport	14	7	7	1.4	1.1	5	2	7	19	15	17
7	11	AFC Wimbledon	14	7	7	1.1	1.2	4	5	5	15	17	17
8	12	Sutton	15	8	7	0.8	1.5	3	4	8	12	23	13
9	18	Colchester	15	8	7	0.9	1.4	4	1	10	14	21	13
10	20	Crawley Town	12	5	7	0.9	1.8	0	6	6	11	22	6
11	21	Harrogate	12	5	7	1.2	1.7	2	2	8	14	20	8
12	4	Northampton	14	8	6	1.6	1.1	7	4	3	22	15	25
13	8	Bradford	13	7	6	1.1	0.9	6	3	4	14	12	21
14	9	Barrow	14	8	6	1.0	1.7	4	3	7	14	24	15
15	17	Grimsby	12	7	5	1.1	1.4	5	1	6	13	17	16
16	24	Rochdale	14	9	5	0.8	1.5	3	3	8	11	21	12
17	1	Leyton Orient	14	10	4	1.1	0.9	7	3	4	16	13	24
18	2	Stevenage	12	8	4	1.0	1.0	4	6	2	12	12	18
19	6	Swindon	13	9	4	1.1	1.2	5	4	4	14	15	19
20	14	Walsall	13	9	4	0.8	0.9	3	5	5	11	12	14
21	16	Crewe	11	7	4	0.5	1.4	2	5	4	6	15	11
22	19	Newport County	13	9	4	1.0	1.1	3	5	5	13	14	14
23	13	Tranmere	13	10	3	0.8	0.8	4	4	5	10	11	16
24	23	Gillingham	14	11	3	0.6	1.4	1	5	8	8	19	8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.