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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: D Rock

Colchester 5–4 Notts County

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.60 fair 2.41
Draw 3.60 fair 4.15
Away 2.00 fair 2.91
Under 2.5 2.15 fair 2.40
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Colchester Notts County
15 Shots 21
8 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 8
8 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (106 league matches this season so far).
Result Colchester to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
ColchesterDrawNotts County
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Colchester before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
1.25scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:11
Notts County before this match, all matches
2.22points / match
2.11scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 19:14
Colchester all matches all matches Notts County

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 2.11
1.38 Goals conceded 1.56
2.63 Total goals 3.67
14.25 Shots 11.56
5.00 Shots on target 4.56
14.25 Shots faced 12.22
6.63 Corners 6.00
5.38 Corners against 4.67
11.25 Fouls 7.67
2.63 Yellow cards 2.56
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

25% Wins 67%
13% Draws 22%
63% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
88% Over 1.5 goals 89%
50% Over 2.5 goals 67%
13% Over 3.5 goals 56%
13% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 22%
50% Both teams scored 78%
25% Clean sheets 22%
25% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 44%
50% Draws 33%
13% Losses 22%
63% Over 0.5 goals 78%
38% Over 1.5 goals 44%
13% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Colchester all matches
Notts County all matches
Colchester before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:6
Notts County before this match, away
1.60points / match
1.40scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:7
Colchester at home away Notts County

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.40
1.50 Goals conceded 1.40
2.75 Total goals 2.80
15.00 Shots 10.80
6.00 Shots on target 3.20
14.75 Shots faced 11.60
6.00 Corners 5.40
6.00 Corners against 3.20
10.75 Fouls 7.20
3.50 Yellow cards 1.80
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

25% Wins 40%
25% Draws 40%
50% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
25% Over 2.5 goals 40%
25% Over 3.5 goals 40%
25% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
50% Both teams scored 60%
25% Clean sheets 40%
25% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 40%
25% Draws 40%
0% Losses 20%
75% Over 0.5 goals 60%
25% Over 1.5 goals 20%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Colchester at home
Notts County away

Last 10 matches before this match

Colchester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Crewe – Colchester 2–1 (2–0) 2.453.602.75 1.83 2.03
16.09.23 Colchester – Mansfield 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.601.95 1.83 2.03
09.09.23 Colchester – Tranmere 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 1.95 1.85
02.09.23 Walsall – Colchester 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.70
26.08.23 Gillingham – Colchester 0–3 (0–0) 1.753.604.75 2.35 1.57
19.08.23 Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons 2–3 (2–1) 2.753.302.60 2.05 1.75
15.08.23 Colchester – AFC Wimbledon 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.303.20 2.15 1.67
12.08.23 Bradford – Colchester 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.404.20 2.08 1.73
08.05.23 Colchester – Mansfield 0–2 (0–1) 4.003.501.95 1.82 2.02
29.04.23 Doncaster – Colchester 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.102.25 2.25 1.62

Notts County all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Notts County – Forest Green 4–3 (2–0) 1.534.336.00 1.53 2.40
15.09.23 Salford – Notts County 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.802.20 1.57 2.35
09.09.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Notts County 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.602.30 1.60 2.30
02.09.23 Notts County – Accrington 3–1 (1–1) 1.604.205.25 1.57 2.35
26.08.23 Notts County – Tranmere 2–1 (1–0) 1.574.335.75 1.65 2.20
19.08.23 Doncaster – Notts County 1–3 (0–1) 4.333.751.83 1.70 2.10
15.08.23 Morecambe – Notts County 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.751.80 1.70 2.10
12.08.23 Notts County – Grimsby 3–2 (1–2) 1.734.004.75 1.70 2.10
05.08.23 Sutton – Notts County 5–1 (2–0) 4.754.001.67 1.62 2.25
29.04.23EC Notts County – York 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.40 2.88

Colchester at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Colchester – Mansfield 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.601.95 1.83 2.03
09.09.23 Colchester – Tranmere 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 1.95 1.85
19.08.23 Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons 2–3 (2–1) 2.753.302.60 2.05 1.75
15.08.23 Colchester – AFC Wimbledon 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.303.20 2.15 1.67
08.05.23 Colchester – Mansfield 0–2 (0–1) 4.003.501.95 1.82 2.02
22.04.23 Colchester – Sutton 4–1 (3–1) 2.253.303.30 2.25 1.62
10.04.23 Colchester – Crewe 4–0 (3–0) 1.913.304.50 2.15 1.67
01.04.23 Colchester – Newport County 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.75 2.25 1.62
25.03.23 Colchester – Tranmere 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.50 1.50
11.03.23 Colchester – Stockport 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.252.00 2.35 1.57

Notts County away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.09.23 Salford – Notts County 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.802.20 1.57 2.35
09.09.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Notts County 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.602.30 1.60 2.30
19.08.23 Doncaster – Notts County 1–3 (0–1) 4.333.751.83 1.70 2.10
15.08.23 Morecambe – Notts County 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.751.80 1.70 2.10
05.08.23 Sutton – Notts County 5–1 (2–0) 4.754.001.67 1.62 2.25
22.04.23EC Maidstone – Notts County 2–5 (0–2) 10.006.001.20 1.36 3.10
10.04.23EC Wrexham – Notts County 3–2 (0–1) 2.503.502.63 1.80 2.00
28.03.23EC Altrincham – Notts County 0–2 (0–1) 8.004.331.40 1.57 2.35
18.03.23EC Barnet – Notts County 1–1 (1–1) 4.753.801.60 1.62 2.25
04.03.23EC Bromley – Notts County 1–1 (1–0) 5.003.801.53 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 9 6 2 1 19 14 +5 20
2 Gillingham 9 6 0 3 8 8 0 18
3 Mansfield 9 4 5 0 16 8 +8 17
4 Crawley Town 9 5 2 2 17 17 0 17
5 Swindon 8 4 4 0 24 13 +11 16
6 Crewe 9 4 4 1 21 14 +7 16
7 Wrexham 9 4 3 2 20 20 0 15
8 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 5 1 15 9 +6 14
9 Stockport 9 4 2 3 17 12 +5 14
10 Milton Keynes Dons 9 4 2 3 16 15 +1 14
11 Bradford 9 3 4 2 10 9 +1 13
12 Accrington 9 4 1 4 13 13 0 13
13 Barrow 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
14 Morecambe 8 3 2 3 9 10 -1 11
15 Newport County 9 3 2 4 17 19 -2 11
16 Walsall 9 3 2 4 12 16 -4 11
17 Grimsby 9 2 4 3 11 12 -1 10
18 Harrogate 9 3 1 5 8 11 -3 10
19 Doncaster 9 2 2 5 9 16 -7 8
20 Colchester 8 2 1 5 10 11 -1 7
21 Salford 9 2 1 6 11 16 -5 7
22 Forest Green 9 2 1 6 9 18 -9 7
23 Tranmere 9 2 0 7 12 15 -3 6
24 Sutton 9 1 1 7 12 21 -9 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 4 4 0 0 12 7 +5 12
2 Crawley Town 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12
3 Crewe 5 3 2 0 13 8 +5 11
4 Morecambe 5 3 2 0 8 3 +5 11
5 Swindon 4 3 1 0 15 5 +10 10
6 Mansfield 4 3 1 0 7 2 +5 10
7 Wrexham 5 3 1 1 17 13 +4 10
8 Accrington 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
9 Gillingham 4 3 0 1 4 4 0 9
10 Stockport 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8
11 Newport County 5 2 2 1 11 8 +3 8
12 Grimsby 5 2 2 1 7 4 +3 8
13 Bradford 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
14 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
15 Walsall 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
16 Tranmere 5 2 0 3 9 7 +2 6
17 Harrogate 4 2 0 2 5 4 +1 6
18 Doncaster 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
19 Barrow 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
20 Sutton 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4
21 Colchester 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
22 AFC Wimbledon 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
23 Salford 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
24 Forest Green 5 0 0 5 3 13 -10 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 0 10 3 +7 11
2 Gillingham 5 3 0 2 4 4 0 9
3 Notts County 5 2 2 1 7 7 0 8
4 Barrow 6 2 2 2 5 5 0 8
5 Mansfield 5 1 4 0 9 6 +3 7
6 Forest Green 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
7 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 1 2 11 11 0 7
8 Swindon 4 1 3 0 9 8 +1 6
9 Stockport 4 2 0 2 7 7 0 6
10 Salford 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6
11 Crewe 4 1 2 1 8 6 +2 5
12 Bradford 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
13 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 3 7 -4 5
14 Crawley Town 4 1 2 1 7 12 -5 5
15 Walsall 5 1 1 3 7 11 -4 4
16 Harrogate 5 1 1 3 3 7 -4 4
17 Colchester 4 1 0 3 5 5 0 3
18 Accrington 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3
19 Newport County 4 1 0 3 6 11 -5 3
20 Doncaster 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3
21 Grimsby 4 0 2 2 4 8 -4 2
22 Tranmere 4 0 0 4 3 8 -5 0
23 Morecambe 3 0 0 3 1 7 -6 0
24 Sutton 4 0 0 4 6 14 -8 0

Colchester   Notts County

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Crewe 9 1 8 2.3 1.6 4 4 1 21 14 16
2 15 Newport County 9 1 8 1.9 2.1 3 2 4 17 19 11
3 19 Doncaster 9 2 7 1.0 1.8 2 2 5 9 16 8
4 1 Notts County 9 3 6 2.1 1.6 6 2 1 19 14 20
5 4 Crawley Town 9 3 6 1.9 1.9 5 2 2 17 17 17
6 5 Swindon 8 2 6 3.0 1.6 4 4 0 24 13 16
7 7 Wrexham 9 3 6 2.2 2.2 4 3 2 20 20 15
8 9 Stockport 9 3 6 1.9 1.3 4 2 3 17 12 14
9 10 Milton Keynes Dons 9 3 6 1.8 1.7 4 2 3 16 15 14
10 12 Accrington 9 3 6 1.4 1.4 4 1 4 13 13 13
11 16 Walsall 9 3 6 1.3 1.8 3 2 4 12 16 11
12 24 Sutton 9 3 6 1.3 2.3 1 1 7 12 21 4
13 3 Mansfield 9 4 5 1.8 0.9 4 5 0 16 8 17
14 8 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 3 5 1 15 9 14
15 14 Morecambe 8 3 5 1.1 1.2 3 2 3 9 10 11
16 22 Forest Green 9 4 5 1.0 2.0 2 1 6 9 18 7
17 23 Tranmere 9 4 5 1.3 1.7 2 0 7 12 15 6
18 20 Colchester 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 2 1 5 10 11 7
19 21 Salford 9 5 4 1.2 1.8 2 1 6 11 16 7
20 2 Gillingham 9 6 3 0.9 0.9 6 0 3 8 8 18
21 11 Bradford 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 3 4 2 10 9 13
22 17 Grimsby 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 2 4 3 11 12 10
23 18 Harrogate 9 6 3 0.9 1.2 3 1 5 8 11 10
24 13 Barrow 8 6 2 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Crewe 5 0 5 2.6 1.6 3 2 0 13 8 11
2 7 Wrexham 5 0 5 3.4 2.6 3 1 1 17 13 10
3 1 Notts County 4 0 4 3.0 1.8 4 0 0 12 7 12
4 12 Accrington 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
5 15 Newport County 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 2 2 1 11 8 8
6 22 Forest Green 5 1 4 0.6 2.6 0 0 5 3 13 0
7 4 Crawley Town 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12
8 5 Swindon 4 1 3 3.8 1.2 3 1 0 15 5 10
9 14 Morecambe 5 2 3 1.6 0.6 3 2 0 8 3 11
10 19 Doncaster 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
11 23 Tranmere 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 2 0 3 9 7 6
12 2 Gillingham 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 3 0 1 4 4 9
13 3 Mansfield 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 3 1 0 7 2 10
14 8 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
15 9 Stockport 5 3 2 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8
16 10 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
17 16 Walsall 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
18 21 Salford 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
19 24 Sutton 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4
20 11 Bradford 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
21 13 Barrow 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
22 17 Grimsby 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 2 2 1 7 4 8
23 18 Harrogate 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 0 2 5 4 6
24 20 Colchester 4 3 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Stockport 4 0 4 1.8 1.8 2 0 2 7 7 6
2 10 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 4 2.2 2.2 2 1 2 11 11 7
3 15 Newport County 4 0 4 1.5 2.8 1 0 3 6 11 3
4 16 Walsall 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 1 3 7 11 4
5 19 Doncaster 4 0 4 1.0 2.2 1 0 3 4 9 3
6 24 Sutton 4 0 4 1.5 3.5 0 0 4 6 14 0
7 3 Mansfield 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 1 4 0 9 6 7
8 4 Crawley Town 4 1 3 1.8 3.0 1 2 1 7 12 5
9 5 Swindon 4 1 3 2.2 2.0 1 3 0 9 8 6
10 6 Crewe 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 1 2 1 8 6 5
11 8 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 3 2 0 10 3 11
12 20 Colchester 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 0 3 5 5 3
13 1 Notts County 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 2 2 1 7 7 8
14 11 Bradford 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
15 12 Accrington 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 0 3 3 7 3
16 14 Morecambe 3 1 2 0.3 2.3 0 0 3 1 7 0
17 17 Grimsby 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 2 2 4 8 2
18 18 Harrogate 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 1 1 3 3 7 4
19 21 Salford 5 3 2 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6
20 23 Tranmere 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 0 4 3 8 0
21 2 Gillingham 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 3 0 2 4 4 9
22 7 Wrexham 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 1 2 1 3 7 5
23 13 Barrow 6 5 1 0.8 0.8 2 2 2 5 5 8
24 22 Forest Green 4 3 1 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51