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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: R Madley

Grimsby 1–0 Newport County

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.80 fair 2.52
Draw 3.75 fair 4.26
Away 4.33 fair 2.72
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 2.60
Over 2.5 1.90 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Grimsby Newport County
17 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 1
12 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (490 league matches this season so far).
Result Grimsby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.56
Home / Draw / Away
GrimsbyDrawNewport County
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Grimsby before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.28scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 51:69
Newport County before this match, all matches
1.34points / match
1.44scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 59:65
Grimsby all matches all matches Newport County

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 1.44
1.73 Goals conceded 1.59
3.00 Total goals 3.02
12.80 Shots 11.12
3.75 Shots on target 3.68
12.85 Shots faced 14.37
5.63 Corners 4.66
5.70 Corners against 5.46
11.38 Fouls 10.98
1.75 Yellow cards 1.76
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

20% Wins 39%
40% Draws 17%
40% Losses 44%
93% Over 0.5 goals 98%
85% Over 1.5 goals 83%
50% Over 2.5 goals 61%
33% Over 3.5 goals 29%
20% Over 4.5 goals 17%
8% Over 5.5 goals 10%
70% Both teams scored 54%
20% Clean sheets 22%
18% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 32%
33% Draws 37%
33% Losses 32%
80% Over 0.5 goals 73%
48% Over 1.5 goals 46%
25% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Grimsby all matches
Newport County all matches
Grimsby before this match, at home
1.24points / match
1.48scored / match
1.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 31:41
Newport County before this match, away
1.05points / match
1.14scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 24:34
Grimsby at home away Newport County

Per match

1.48 Goals scored 1.14
1.95 Goals conceded 1.62
3.43 Total goals 2.76
12.62 Shots 10.19
3.86 Shots on target 3.48
12.00 Shots faced 15.00
5.95 Corners 4.10
5.00 Corners against 5.57
11.57 Fouls 11.52
1.43 Yellow cards 1.71
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.95 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
24% Draws 5%
43% Losses 62%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
57% Over 2.5 goals 57%
38% Over 3.5 goals 14%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 5%
71% Both teams scored 38%
24% Clean sheets 24%
10% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
86% Over 0.5 goals 81%
52% Over 1.5 goals 48%
33% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Grimsby at home
Newport County away

Last 10 matches before this match

Grimsby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24 Grimsby – Bradford 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.502.63 1.95 1.90
29.03.24 Barrow – Grimsby 3–1 (2–0) 1.913.604.00 2.10 1.70
23.03.24 Grimsby – Wrexham 1–3 (0–3) 4.003.751.91 1.83 2.03
16.03.24 Gillingham – Grimsby 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.254.00 2.10 1.70
12.03.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.752.25 1.73 2.08
09.03.24 Sutton – Grimsby 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.603.00 1.85 2.00
05.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 1.90 1.95
02.03.24 Grimsby – Forest Green 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 1.83 2.03
24.02.24 Morecambe – Grimsby 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.80 2.00
17.02.24 Grimsby – Doncaster 1–5 (1–2) 1.953.603.80 1.85 2.00

Newport County all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24 Newport County – Crawley Town 0–4 (0–2) 2.503.502.75 1.70 2.10
29.03.24 Colchester – Newport County 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.603.75 1.73 2.08
23.03.24 Barrow – Newport County 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 2.05 1.75
16.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Newport County 0–2 (0–1) 1.733.755.00 1.93 1.93
12.03.24 Newport County – Morecambe 5–3 (2–1) 2.253.503.10 1.98 1.88
09.03.24 Stockport – Newport County 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.755.75 1.70 2.10
02.03.24 Newport County – Mansfield 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.751.73 1.73 2.08
27.02.24 Harrogate – Newport County 1–4 (0–2) 2.553.302.80 1.98 1.88
24.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Newport County 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
17.02.24 Newport County – Gillingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 2.08 1.73

Grimsby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24 Grimsby – Bradford 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.502.63 1.95 1.90
23.03.24 Grimsby – Wrexham 1–3 (0–3) 4.003.751.91 1.83 2.03
12.03.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.752.25 1.73 2.08
02.03.24 Grimsby – Forest Green 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 1.83 2.03
17.02.24 Grimsby – Doncaster 1–5 (1–2) 1.953.603.80 1.85 2.00
10.02.24 Grimsby – Stockport 1–3 (0–3) 3.803.751.91 1.85 2.00
27.01.24 Grimsby – Tranmere 1–2 (1–1) 2.153.503.30 1.85 2.00
13.01.24 Grimsby – Notts County 5–5 (2–2) 2.703.752.40 1.60 2.30
01.01.24 Grimsby – Walsall 1–6 (1–2) 2.383.253.10 1.98 1.88
23.12.23 Grimsby – Harrogate 1–2 (0–1) 1.833.754.20 1.98 1.88

Newport County away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Colchester – Newport County 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.603.75 1.73 2.08
23.03.24 Barrow – Newport County 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 2.05 1.75
16.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Newport County 0–2 (0–1) 1.733.755.00 1.93 1.93
09.03.24 Stockport – Newport County 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.755.75 1.70 2.10
27.02.24 Harrogate – Newport County 1–4 (0–2) 2.553.302.80 1.98 1.88
24.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Newport County 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
10.02.24 Walsall – Newport County 0–3 (0–3) 1.913.603.80 1.88 1.98
13.01.24 Doncaster – Newport County 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.10 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Sutton – Newport County 1–1 (0–0) 2.383.502.90 1.93 1.93
23.12.23 Wrexham – Newport County 2–0 (0–0) 1.454.337.50 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Grimsby winsDrawsNewport County wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23E3 Newport County – Grimsby 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.95 1.90
07.03.23E3 Grimsby – Newport County 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.103.50 2.50 1.50
03.09.22E3 Newport County – Grimsby 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.05 1.75

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 40 22 11 7 79 40 +39 77
2 Mansfield 40 20 13 7 79 39 +40 73
3 Wrexham 41 21 10 10 72 49 +23 73
4 Milton Keynes Dons 42 21 8 13 71 57 +14 71
5 Barrow 40 18 13 9 57 43 +14 67
6 Crewe 41 18 12 11 67 58 +9 66
7 Crawley Town 40 19 5 16 61 56 +5 62
8 Morecambe 41 17 9 15 63 70 -7 60
9 Gillingham 42 17 9 16 40 52 -12 60
10 AFC Wimbledon 42 15 14 13 54 44 +10 59
11 Walsall 40 16 11 13 59 58 +1 59
12 Harrogate 41 16 10 15 52 57 -5 58
13 Newport County 41 16 7 18 59 65 -6 55
14 Doncaster 40 16 7 17 54 62 -8 55
15 Bradford 41 14 12 15 49 54 -5 54
16 Notts County 41 15 7 19 80 79 +1 52
17 Tranmere 42 15 6 21 60 60 0 51
18 Accrington 40 14 8 18 53 59 -6 50
19 Swindon 41 12 11 18 68 74 -6 47
20 Salford 42 12 11 19 62 77 -15 47
21 Grimsby 40 8 16 16 51 69 -18 40
22 Sutton 42 9 12 21 50 73 -23 39
23 Colchester 39 9 11 19 50 68 -18 38
24 Forest Green 41 9 9 23 41 68 -27 36
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 21 14 4 3 43 19 +24 46
2 Wrexham 20 14 3 3 50 23 +27 45
3 Stockport 21 13 5 3 42 15 +27 44
4 Barrow 20 11 7 2 26 14 +12 40
5 Walsall 20 11 6 3 30 18 +12 39
6 Crewe 21 11 5 5 35 29 +6 38
7 Mansfield 19 10 7 2 37 16 +21 37
8 Tranmere 21 11 3 7 40 27 +13 36
9 Doncaster 20 11 2 7 28 27 +1 35
10 Swindon 21 10 4 7 39 29 +10 34
11 AFC Wimbledon 21 9 6 6 35 24 +11 33
12 Newport County 20 9 6 5 35 31 +4 33
13 Notts County 20 10 2 8 45 37 +8 32
14 Crawley Town 20 10 2 8 32 26 +6 32
15 Gillingham 21 8 8 5 20 21 -1 32
16 Morecambe 20 8 7 5 28 23 +5 31
17 Accrington 21 9 4 8 30 26 +4 31
18 Bradford 21 7 8 6 24 27 -3 29
19 Harrogate 20 8 2 10 29 30 -1 26
20 Grimsby 21 7 5 9 31 41 -10 26
21 Sutton 21 5 8 8 30 29 +1 23
22 Salford 21 5 7 9 34 42 -8 22
23 Colchester 18 5 6 7 28 32 -4 21
24 Forest Green 21 4 4 13 18 36 -18 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mansfield 21 10 6 5 42 23 +19 36
2 Stockport 19 9 6 4 37 25 +12 33
3 Harrogate 21 8 8 5 23 27 -4 32
4 Crawley Town 20 9 3 8 29 30 -1 30
5 Morecambe 21 9 2 10 35 47 -12 29
6 Crewe 20 7 7 6 32 29 +3 28
7 Wrexham 21 7 7 7 22 26 -4 28
8 Gillingham 21 9 1 11 20 31 -11 28
9 Barrow 20 7 6 7 31 29 +2 27
10 AFC Wimbledon 21 6 8 7 19 20 -1 26
11 Bradford 20 7 4 9 25 27 -2 25
12 Salford 21 7 4 10 28 35 -7 25
13 Milton Keynes Dons 21 7 4 10 28 38 -10 25
14 Newport County 21 7 1 13 24 34 -10 22
15 Notts County 21 5 5 11 35 42 -7 20
16 Doncaster 20 5 5 10 26 35 -9 20
17 Forest Green 20 5 5 10 23 32 -9 20
18 Walsall 20 5 5 10 29 40 -11 20
19 Accrington 19 5 4 10 23 33 -10 19
20 Colchester 21 4 5 12 22 36 -14 17
21 Sutton 21 4 4 13 20 44 -24 16
22 Tranmere 21 4 3 14 20 33 -13 15
23 Grimsby 19 1 11 7 20 28 -8 14
24 Swindon 20 2 7 11 29 45 -16 13

Grimsby   Newport County

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Notts County 41 10 31 2.0 1.9 15 7 19 80 79 52
2 19 Swindon 41 11 30 1.7 1.8 12 11 18 68 74 47
3 8 Morecambe 41 13 28 1.5 1.7 17 9 15 63 70 60
4 20 Salford 42 14 28 1.5 1.8 12 11 19 62 77 47
5 4 Milton Keynes Dons 42 15 27 1.7 1.4 21 8 13 71 57 71
6 13 Newport County 41 16 25 1.4 1.6 16 7 18 59 65 55
7 14 Doncaster 40 16 24 1.4 1.6 16 7 17 54 62 55
8 17 Tranmere 42 18 24 1.4 1.4 15 6 21 60 60 51
9 18 Accrington 40 16 24 1.3 1.5 14 8 18 53 59 50
10 6 Crewe 41 18 23 1.6 1.4 18 12 11 67 58 66
11 11 Walsall 40 17 23 1.5 1.4 16 11 13 59 58 59
12 1 Stockport 40 18 22 2.0 1.0 22 11 7 79 40 77
13 7 Crawley Town 40 18 22 1.5 1.4 19 5 16 61 56 62
14 2 Mansfield 40 19 21 2.0 1.0 20 13 7 79 39 73
15 12 Harrogate 41 21 20 1.3 1.4 16 10 15 52 57 58
16 21 Grimsby 40 20 20 1.3 1.7 8 16 16 51 69 40
17 22 Sutton 42 22 20 1.2 1.7 9 12 21 50 73 39
18 23 Colchester 39 19 20 1.3 1.7 9 11 19 50 68 38
19 24 Forest Green 41 21 20 1.0 1.7 9 9 23 41 68 36
20 3 Wrexham 41 22 19 1.8 1.2 21 10 10 72 49 73
21 15 Bradford 41 23 18 1.2 1.3 14 12 15 49 54 54
22 5 Barrow 40 23 17 1.4 1.1 18 13 9 57 43 67
23 9 Gillingham 42 28 14 1.0 1.2 17 9 16 40 52 60
24 10 AFC Wimbledon 42 28 14 1.3 1.0 15 14 13 54 44 59
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Notts County 20 3 17 2.2 1.9 10 2 8 45 37 32
2 17 Tranmere 21 5 16 1.9 1.3 11 3 7 40 27 36
3 20 Salford 21 5 16 1.6 2.0 5 7 9 34 42 22
4 19 Swindon 21 7 14 1.9 1.4 10 4 7 39 29 34
5 4 Milton Keynes Dons 21 8 13 2.0 0.9 14 4 3 43 19 46
6 13 Newport County 20 7 13 1.8 1.6 9 6 5 35 31 33
7 18 Accrington 21 8 13 1.4 1.2 9 4 8 30 26 31
8 3 Wrexham 20 8 12 2.5 1.1 14 3 3 50 23 45
9 6 Crewe 21 9 12 1.7 1.4 11 5 5 35 29 38
10 7 Crawley Town 20 8 12 1.6 1.3 10 2 8 32 26 32
11 21 Grimsby 21 9 12 1.5 2.0 7 5 9 31 41 26
12 12 Harrogate 20 9 11 1.4 1.5 8 2 10 29 30 26
13 14 Doncaster 20 9 11 1.4 1.4 11 2 7 28 27 35
14 24 Forest Green 21 10 11 0.9 1.7 4 4 13 18 36 16
15 8 Morecambe 20 10 10 1.4 1.1 8 7 5 28 23 31
16 11 Walsall 20 10 10 1.5 0.9 11 6 3 30 18 39
17 22 Sutton 21 11 10 1.4 1.4 5 8 8 30 29 23
18 23 Colchester 18 8 10 1.6 1.8 5 6 7 28 32 21
19 1 Stockport 21 13 8 2.0 0.7 13 5 3 42 15 44
20 2 Mansfield 19 11 8 1.9 0.8 10 7 2 37 16 37
21 10 AFC Wimbledon 21 13 8 1.7 1.1 9 6 6 35 24 33
22 15 Bradford 21 13 8 1.1 1.3 7 8 6 24 27 29
23 5 Barrow 20 14 6 1.3 0.7 11 7 2 26 14 40
24 9 Gillingham 21 15 6 1.0 1.0 8 8 5 20 21 32
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Morecambe 21 3 18 1.7 2.2 9 2 10 35 47 29
2 19 Swindon 20 4 16 1.4 2.2 2 7 11 29 45 13
3 1 Stockport 19 5 14 1.9 1.3 9 6 4 37 25 33
4 4 Milton Keynes Dons 21 7 14 1.3 1.8 7 4 10 28 38 25
5 16 Notts County 21 7 14 1.7 2.0 5 5 11 35 42 20
6 2 Mansfield 21 8 13 2.0 1.1 10 6 5 42 23 36
7 11 Walsall 20 7 13 1.4 2.0 5 5 10 29 40 20
8 14 Doncaster 20 7 13 1.3 1.8 5 5 10 26 35 20
9 13 Newport County 21 9 12 1.1 1.6 7 1 13 24 34 22
10 20 Salford 21 9 12 1.3 1.7 7 4 10 28 35 25
11 5 Barrow 20 9 11 1.6 1.4 7 6 7 31 29 27
12 6 Crewe 20 9 11 1.6 1.4 7 7 6 32 29 28
13 18 Accrington 19 8 11 1.2 1.7 5 4 10 23 33 19
14 7 Crawley Town 20 10 10 1.4 1.5 9 3 8 29 30 30
15 15 Bradford 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 7 4 9 25 27 25
16 22 Sutton 21 11 10 1.0 2.1 4 4 13 20 44 16
17 23 Colchester 21 11 10 1.0 1.7 4 5 12 22 36 17
18 12 Harrogate 21 12 9 1.1 1.3 8 8 5 23 27 32
19 24 Forest Green 20 11 9 1.1 1.6 5 5 10 23 32 20
20 9 Gillingham 21 13 8 1.0 1.5 9 1 11 20 31 28
21 17 Tranmere 21 13 8 1.0 1.6 4 3 14 20 33 15
22 21 Grimsby 19 11 8 1.1 1.5 1 11 7 20 28 14
23 3 Wrexham 21 14 7 1.0 1.2 7 7 7 22 26 28
24 10 AFC Wimbledon 21 15 6 0.9 1.0 6 8 7 19 20 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51