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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: D Drysdale

York 4–0 Swindon

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 2.12
Draw 3.90 fair 4.10
Away 5.00 fair 3.51
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

York Swindon
20 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 4
2.35 Expected goals (xG) 0.59
6 Corners 1
5 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (62 league matches this season so far).
Result York to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
YorkDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–0 9.4% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

York before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.80scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:8
Swindon before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.60scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:6
York all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.60
1.60 Goals conceded 1.20
3.40 Total goals 2.80
2.24 xG created 1.26
1.21 xG allowed 1.40
18.20 Shots 8.00
5.80 Shots on target 3.20
12.20 Shots faced 15.40
7.20 Corners 4.20
5.00 Corners against 7.80
8.40 Fouls 8.60
1.20 Yellow cards 1.80
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 60%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 80%
40% Over 3.5 goals 40%
40% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
60% Draws 40%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

York all matches
Swindon all matches
York before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:3
Swindon before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 0:3
York at home away Swindon

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded 1.50
4.00 Total goals 1.50
1.59 xG created 0.18
1.41 xG allowed 1.78
13.50 Shots 3.50
6.50 Shots on target 0.50
10.50 Shots faced 18.50
7.00 Corners 2.50
5.50 Corners against 12.00
10.50 Fouls 9.00
2.00 Yellow cards 2.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

York at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

York all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Crewe – York 1–1 (1–1) 2.823.302.32 1.85 1.95
01.09.26 Cheltenham – York 3–2 (1–1) 3.803.601.81 1.83 2.03
29.08.26 York – Exeter 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.754.75 1.85 1.95
22.08.26 Rotherham – York 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.202.70 1.95 1.85
15.08.26 York – Bristol Rvs 3–2 (0–1) 2.153.203.30 2.08 1.73
25.04.26EC Rochdale – York 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.252.50 1.75 2.05
18.04.26EC York – Yeovil 3–0 (2–0) 1.137.0017.00 1.36 3.10
11.04.26EC Tamworth – York 0–1 (0–1) 7.004.501.33 1.40 2.88
06.04.26EC York – Altrincham 2–1 (1–1) 1.177.0012.00 1.29 3.60
03.04.26EC Boston Utd – York 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.201.48 1.48 2.60

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Swindon – Colchester 3–1 (0–1) 2.453.252.65 1.83 2.03
01.09.26 Swindon – Port Vale 3–1 (1–1) 3.103.602.01 1.85 2.00
29.08.26 Oldham – Swindon 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.60 1.90 1.90
22.08.26 Swindon – Cheltenham 2–1 (1–0) 1.763.704.20 1.80 2.00
15.08.26 Northampton – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.30 1.98 1.88
02.05.26 Swindon – Chesterfield 1–2 (1–1) 2.753.602.25 1.70 2.10
25.04.26 Grimsby – Swindon 4–0 (3–0) 1.683.804.33 1.70 2.10
18.04.26 Swindon – Accrington 2–2 (2–1) 1.623.754.75 1.93 1.93
10.04.26 Colchester – Swindon 3–0 (0–0) 2.203.702.75 1.73 2.08
06.04.26 Swindon – Walsall 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.253.40 2.05 1.75

York at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 York – Exeter 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.754.75 1.85 1.95
15.08.26 York – Bristol Rvs 3–2 (0–1) 2.153.203.30 2.08 1.73
18.04.26EC York – Yeovil 3–0 (2–0) 1.137.0017.00 1.36 3.10
06.04.26EC York – Altrincham 2–1 (1–1) 1.177.0012.00 1.29 3.60
28.03.26EC York – Woking 1–0 (0–0) 1.304.758.00 1.48 2.60
21.03.26EC York – Brackley Town 4–0 (2–0) 1.146.5015.00 1.36 3.10
07.03.26EC York – Eastleigh 3–1 (2–1) 1.176.5012.00 1.33 3.40
21.02.26EC York – Halifax 4–1 (3–0) 1.334.757.50 1.48 2.60
11.02.26EC York – Hartlepool 3–2 (1–1) 1.304.758.50 1.50 2.50
07.02.26EC York – Forest Green 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.803.80 1.53 2.40

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Oldham – Swindon 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.60 1.90 1.90
15.08.26 Northampton – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.30 1.98 1.88
25.04.26 Grimsby – Swindon 4–0 (3–0) 1.683.804.33 1.70 2.10
10.04.26 Colchester – Swindon 3–0 (0–0) 2.203.702.75 1.73 2.08
02.04.26 Cambridge – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.405.00 2.03 1.83
21.03.26 Tranmere – Swindon 0–1 (0–0) 3.903.501.81 1.80 2.00
17.03.26 Gillingham – Swindon 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 1.98 1.88
07.03.26 Crawley Town – Swindon 2–2 (0–0) 3.003.502.15 1.73 2.08
17.02.26 Barnet – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 1.683.904.33 1.75 2.05
14.02.26 Shrewsbury – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.25 1.90 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League Two table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bristol Rvs 6 4 0 2 12 8 +4 12
2 Cheltenham 6 3 2 1 13 10 +3 11
3 Grimsby 6 2 4 0 9 6 +3 10
4 Swindon 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
5 Barnet 5 2 3 0 12 8 +4 9
6 Tranmere 5 2 3 0 9 5 +4 9
7 Walsall 5 2 3 0 8 4 +4 9
8 Fleetwood Town 5 2 3 0 6 3 +3 9
9 Crewe 5 2 3 0 5 3 +2 9
10 York 5 2 2 1 9 8 +1 8
11 Oldham 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7
12 Colchester 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7
13 Gillingham 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
14 Northampton 5 1 3 1 3 3 0 6
15 Salford 5 2 0 3 4 6 -2 6
16 Exeter 5 1 2 2 4 4 0 5
17 Chesterfield 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
18 Rotherham 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
19 Accrington 5 1 2 2 9 11 -2 5
20 Newport County 5 1 1 3 9 10 -1 4
21 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 6 11 -5 4
22 Rochdale 5 1 0 4 5 10 -5 3
23 Shrewsbury 5 1 0 4 2 10 -8 3
24 Port Vale 5 0 2 3 2 7 -5 2
  • Promotion to League One
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to National League
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bristol Rvs 3 3 0 0 8 3 +5 9
2 Swindon 3 3 0 0 8 3 +5 9
3 Tranmere 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
4 Grimsby 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
5 Cheltenham 3 2 1 0 7 5 +2 7
6 Oldham 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
7 York 2 2 0 0 5 3 +2 6
8 Colchester 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
9 Salford 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
10 Exeter 3 1 2 0 3 1 +2 5
11 Fleetwood Town 3 1 2 0 3 1 +2 5
12 Accrington 3 1 2 0 7 6 +1 5
13 Crewe 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
14 Northampton 3 1 2 0 2 1 +1 5
15 Newport County 2 1 1 0 5 2 +3 4
16 Barnet 2 1 1 0 5 3 +2 4
17 Rotherham 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
18 Walsall 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
19 Rochdale 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
20 Shrewsbury 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
21 Port Vale 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
22 Chesterfield 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
23 Gillingham 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1
24 Crawley Town 3 0 0 3 1 6 -5 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Gillingham 3 1 2 0 5 2 +3 5
2 Walsall 3 1 2 0 5 2 +3 5
3 Barnet 3 1 2 0 7 5 +2 5
4 Cheltenham 3 1 1 1 6 5 +1 4
5 Fleetwood Town 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
6 Crewe 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
7 Crawley Town 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
8 Grimsby 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
9 Chesterfield 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
10 Bristol Rvs 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
11 Tranmere 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
12 York 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
13 Northampton 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
14 Rotherham 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
15 Oldham 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
16 Swindon 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
17 Colchester 3 0 1 2 3 7 -4 1
18 Exeter 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
19 Accrington 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
20 Salford 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
21 Newport County 3 0 0 3 4 8 -4 0
22 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
23 Port Vale 3 0 0 3 1 6 -5 0
24 Shrewsbury 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 0

York   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Cheltenham 6 0 6 2.2 1.7 3 2 1 13 10 11
2 4 Swindon 5 1 4 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
3 5 Barnet 5 1 4 2.4 1.6 2 3 0 12 8 9
4 19 Accrington 5 1 4 1.8 2.2 1 2 2 9 11 5
5 20 Newport County 5 1 4 1.8 2.0 1 1 3 9 10 4
6 22 Rochdale 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 1 0 4 5 10 3
7 3 Grimsby 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 2 4 0 9 6 10
8 7 Walsall 5 2 3 1.6 0.8 2 3 0 8 4 9
9 10 York 5 2 3 1.8 1.6 2 2 1 9 8 8
10 12 Colchester 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7
11 18 Rotherham 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
12 21 Crawley Town 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 4 6 11 4
13 1 Bristol Rvs 6 4 2 2.0 1.3 4 0 2 12 8 12
14 6 Tranmere 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 2 3 0 9 5 9
15 11 Oldham 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 1 2 7 5 7
16 13 Gillingham 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
17 15 Salford 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 2 0 3 4 6 6
18 17 Chesterfield 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
19 23 Shrewsbury 5 3 2 0.4 2.0 1 0 4 2 10 3
20 8 Fleetwood Town 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 2 3 0 6 3 9
21 9 Crewe 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 2 3 0 5 3 9
22 16 Exeter 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 2 4 4 5
23 24 Port Vale 5 4 1 0.4 1.4 0 2 3 2 7 2
24 14 Northampton 5 5 0 0.6 0.6 1 3 1 3 3 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Cheltenham 3 0 3 2.3 1.7 2 1 0 7 5 7
2 4 Swindon 3 0 3 2.7 1.0 3 0 0 8 3 9
3 19 Accrington 3 0 3 2.3 2.0 1 2 0 7 6 5
4 22 Rochdale 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
5 5 Barnet 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 1 0 5 3 4
6 10 York 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 2 0 0 5 3 6
7 20 Newport County 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 1 1 0 5 2 4
8 1 Bristol Rvs 3 2 1 2.7 1.0 3 0 0 8 3 9
9 3 Grimsby 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
10 6 Tranmere 3 2 1 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
11 7 Walsall 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
12 9 Crewe 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
13 11 Oldham 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
14 12 Colchester 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
15 13 Gillingham 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1
16 15 Salford 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
17 17 Chesterfield 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
18 18 Rotherham 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
19 21 Crawley Town 3 2 1 0.3 2.0 0 0 3 1 6 0
20 23 Shrewsbury 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
21 8 Fleetwood Town 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 1 2 0 3 1 5
22 14 Northampton 3 3 0 0.7 0.3 1 2 0 2 1 5
23 16 Exeter 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 1 2 0 3 1 5
24 24 Port Vale 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Cheltenham 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 1 1 1 6 5 4
2 3 Grimsby 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
3 5 Barnet 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 1 2 0 7 5 5
4 7 Walsall 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 1 2 0 5 2 5
5 12 Colchester 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 1 2 3 7 1
6 18 Rotherham 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
7 20 Newport County 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 0 0 3 4 8 0
8 21 Crawley Town 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
9 1 Bristol Rvs 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
10 4 Swindon 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
11 6 Tranmere 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
12 8 Fleetwood Town 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
13 10 York 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
14 11 Oldham 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
15 13 Gillingham 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 1 2 0 5 2 5
16 15 Salford 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
17 16 Exeter 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
18 17 Chesterfield 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
19 19 Accrington 2 1 1 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
20 22 Rochdale 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
21 23 Shrewsbury 3 2 1 0.0 2.3 0 0 3 0 7 0
22 24 Port Vale 3 2 1 0.3 2.0 0 0 3 1 6 0
23 9 Crewe 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
24 14 Northampton 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40