Southend 5–1 Morecambe – England National League, 14 Feb 2026

Match facts

Southend Morecambe

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (362 league matches this season so far).

Result Southend to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.82

Expected goals 2.11 – 0.98

Home / Draw / Away

63% 20% 17%

SouthendDrawMorecambe

Under / Over 2.5 goals

40% 60%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

2–0 10.1% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Southend before this match, all matches

1.64points / match

1.57scored / match

0.93conceded / match

13 7 8

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 44:26

Morecambe before this match, all matches

0.74points / match

1.19scored / match

2.10conceded / match

5 8 18

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 37:65

Southend all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.19

0.93 Goals conceded 2.10

2.50 Total goals 3.29

1.71 Yellow cards 2.16

0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.52

0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.97

How often Full Time

46% Wins 16%

25% Draws 26%

29% Losses 58%

96% Over 0.5 goals 97%

79% Over 1.5 goals 87%

50% Over 2.5 goals 65%

11% Over 3.5 goals 39%

11% Over 4.5 goals 16%

4% Over 5.5 goals 13%

50% Both teams scored 55%

43% Clean sheets 13%

11% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 23%

50% Draws 29%

11% Losses 48%

61% Over 0.5 goals 81%

21% Over 1.5 goals 42%

4% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southend all matches

3

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

W

1

W

1

D

4

1

W

3

D

1

2

L

1

L

Morecambe all matches

3

L

2

W

1

2

L

1

L

2

D

1

L

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

D

Southend before this match, at home

2.00points / match

1.75scored / match

0.58conceded / match

7 3 2

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:7

Morecambe before this match, away

0.67points / match

1.13scored / match

2.07conceded / match

2 4 9

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:31

Southend at home away Morecambe

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.13

0.58 Goals conceded 2.07

2.33 Total goals 3.20

1.58 Yellow cards 2.20

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.33

0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

58% Wins 13%

25% Draws 27%

17% Losses 60%

92% Over 0.5 goals 100%

83% Over 1.5 goals 80%

42% Over 2.5 goals 53%

8% Over 3.5 goals 40%

8% Over 4.5 goals 20%

0% Over 5.5 goals 13%

33% Both teams scored 47%

58% Clean sheets 13%

17% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 13%

33% Draws 33%

8% Losses 53%

67% Over 0.5 goals 73%

17% Over 1.5 goals 33%

8% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southend at home

1

D

3

W

1

D

2

L

3

W

2

W

1

2

L

3

W

1

W

4

1

W

Morecambe away

1

3

L

4

W

1

2

L

1

D

2

4

L

1

L

2

W

1

L

1

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Southend all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.02.26	Scunthorpe – Southend	1–0 (1–0)	2.63	3.30	2.45	1.83	1.98
27.01.26	Rochdale – Southend	2–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.25	3.20	1.85	1.95
24.01.26	Boston Utd – Southend	3–3 (1–1)	5.00	3.60	1.62	1.80	2.00
20.01.26	Southend – Eastleigh	4–1 (1–0)	1.36	4.33	7.50	1.60	2.30
17.01.26	York – Southend	1–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.80	4.33	1.57	2.35
30.12.25	Southend – Sutton	1–0 (1–0)	1.42	4.10	6.25	1.57	2.35
26.12.25	Braintree Town – Southend	0–1 (0–0)	4.75	3.50	1.67	1.85	1.95
20.12.25	Tamworth – Southend	2–1 (1–0)	3.60	3.50	1.90	1.73	2.08
29.11.25	Forest Green – Southend	2–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.10	1.75	2.05
22.11.25	Southend – Altrincham	3–0 (2–0)	1.53	3.90	5.75	1.65	2.20

Morecambe all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.26	Morecambe – Tamworth	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	2.80	1.73	2.08
07.02.26	Morecambe – Truro	1–2 (0–2)	1.85	3.50	3.70	1.75	2.05
03.02.26	Altrincham – Morecambe	1–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.00	1.73	2.08
24.01.26	Morecambe – Solihull	0–2 (0–1)	2.88	3.50	2.15	1.57	2.35
21.01.26	Halifax – Morecambe	1–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	3.80	1.70	2.10
17.01.26	Morecambe – Scunthorpe	2–2 (1–0)	3.50	3.60	1.90	1.65	2.20
30.12.25	Carlisle – Morecambe	1–0 (1–0)	1.42	4.75	6.00	1.44	2.70
26.12.25	Morecambe – Rochdale	1–2 (0–1)	5.75	4.10	1.45	1.57	2.35
21.12.25	Brackley Town – Morecambe	0–2 (0–1)	2.05	3.30	3.20	1.73	2.08
06.12.25	Morecambe – Boston Utd	0–3 (0–3)	2.25	3.50	2.75	1.62	2.25

Southend at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.01.26	Southend – Eastleigh	4–1 (1–0)	1.36	4.33	7.50	1.60	2.30
30.12.25	Southend – Sutton	1–0 (1–0)	1.42	4.10	6.25	1.57	2.35
22.11.25	Southend – Altrincham	3–0 (2–0)	1.53	3.90	5.75	1.65	2.20
08.11.25	Southend – Carlisle	1–2 (1–2)	2.10	3.60	2.90	1.83	1.98
25.10.25	Southend – Brackley Town	2–0 (0–0)	1.62	3.50	5.25	2.00	1.80
04.10.25	Southend – Aldershot	3–0 (1–0)	1.40	4.75	6.00	1.50	2.50
27.09.25	Southend – Scunthorpe	0–2 (0–0)	1.70	3.75	4.50	1.75	2.05
13.09.25	Southend – Boston Utd	1–1 (0–0)	1.33	4.50	7.50	1.70	2.10
06.09.25	Southend – Halifax	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	3.80	5.25	2.05	1.75
25.08.25	Southend – Hartlepool	1–1 (1–0)	–	–	–	–	–

Morecambe away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.26	Altrincham – Morecambe	1–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.00	1.73	2.08
21.01.26	Halifax – Morecambe	1–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	3.80	1.70	2.10
30.12.25	Carlisle – Morecambe	1–0 (1–0)	1.42	4.75	6.00	1.44	2.70
21.12.25	Brackley Town – Morecambe	0–2 (0–1)	2.05	3.30	3.20	1.73	2.08
29.11.25	Braintree Town – Morecambe	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.70	2.80	1.53	2.40
15.11.25	York – Morecambe	4–2 (1–1)	1.18	6.50	11.00	1.22	4.20
04.11.25	Hartlepool – Morecambe	1–1 (1–0)	1.75	3.90	3.70	1.48	2.60
25.10.25	Eastleigh – Morecambe	2–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.70	3.50	1.62	2.25
21.10.25	Boston Utd – Morecambe	0–4 (0–2)	1.85	3.80	3.40	1.53	2.40
07.10.25	Scunthorpe – Morecambe	3–1 (2–0)	1.30	5.25	7.00	1.44	2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Southend winsDrawsMorecambe wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.10.25EC	Morecambe – Southend	0–3 (0–2)	4.75	4.00	1.55	1.50	2.50

England National League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rochdale	29	24	1	4	56	19	+37	73
2	York	31	21	8	2	81	31	+50	71
3	Carlisle	31	19	5	7	55	37	+18	62
4	Boreham Wood	30	18	5	7	58	36	+22	59
5	Scunthorpe	29	17	8	4	54	34	+20	59
6	Forest Green	32	16	10	6	54	35	+19	58
7	Halifax	31	14	6	11	48	43	+5	48
8	Southend	28	13	7	8	44	26	+18	46
9	Hartlepool	32	11	12	9	35	33	+2	45
10	Solihull	31	11	8	12	52	47	+5	41
11	Woking	29	10	8	11	40	33	+7	38
12	Tamworth	30	10	7	13	36	50	-14	37
13	Boston Utd	32	9	9	14	37	46	-9	36
14	Wealdstone	29	9	9	11	37	46	-9	36
15	Eastleigh	31	9	8	14	39	51	-12	35
16	Yeovil	29	10	4	15	30	39	-9	34
17	Altrincham	32	10	4	18	36	48	-12	34
18	Brackley Town	29	8	9	12	25	36	-11	33
19	Aldershot	29	9	5	15	52	57	-5	32
20	Sutton	30	6	11	13	39	50	-11	29
21	Braintree Town	31	7	8	16	22	45	-23	29
22	Truro	30	6	6	18	29	53	-24	24
23	Morecambe	31	5	8	18	37	65	-28	23
24	Gateshead	28	5	4	19	30	66	-36	19

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rochdale	15	13	0	2	32	9	+23	39
2	York	17	11	4	2	52	18	+34	37
3	Carlisle	17	11	3	3	36	20	+16	36
4	Forest Green	16	10	5	1	30	14	+16	35
5	Boreham Wood	16	11	1	4	27	17	+10	34
6	Scunthorpe	14	10	3	1	27	11	+16	33
7	Halifax	14	8	4	2	28	15	+13	28
8	Altrincham	17	8	1	8	24	25	-1	25
9	Southend	12	7	3	2	21	7	+14	24
10	Hartlepool	16	6	6	4	19	15	+4	24
11	Solihull	17	6	4	7	35	29	+6	22
12	Wealdstone	13	6	4	3	18	17	+1	22
13	Brackley Town	15	6	4	5	13	15	-2	22
14	Braintree Town	16	5	5	6	13	13	0	20
15	Sutton	16	4	7	5	26	25	+1	19
16	Tamworth	15	5	4	6	16	17	-1	19
17	Truro	15	5	3	7	20	18	+2	18
18	Yeovil	14	5	3	6	15	20	-5	18
19	Aldershot	14	5	2	7	27	29	-2	17
20	Eastleigh	14	4	4	6	19	26	-7	16
21	Woking	14	3	6	5	19	15	+4	15
22	Boston Utd	16	4	3	9	15	25	-10	15
23	Morecambe	16	3	4	9	20	34	-14	13
24	Gateshead	13	1	2	10	10	30	-20	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	York	14	10	4	0	29	13	+16	34
2	Rochdale	14	11	1	2	24	10	+14	34
3	Scunthorpe	15	7	5	3	27	23	+4	26
4	Carlisle	14	8	2	4	19	17	+2	26
5	Boreham Wood	14	7	4	3	31	19	+12	25
6	Forest Green	16	6	5	5	24	21	+3	23
7	Woking	15	7	2	6	21	18	+3	23
8	Southend	16	6	4	6	23	19	+4	22
9	Boston Utd	16	5	6	5	22	21	+1	21
10	Hartlepool	16	5	6	5	16	18	-2	21
11	Halifax	17	6	2	9	20	28	-8	20
12	Solihull	14	5	4	5	17	18	-1	19
13	Eastleigh	17	5	4	8	20	25	-5	19
14	Tamworth	15	5	3	7	20	33	-13	18
15	Yeovil	15	5	1	9	15	19	-4	16
16	Aldershot	15	4	3	8	25	28	-3	15
17	Wealdstone	16	3	5	8	19	29	-10	14
18	Gateshead	15	4	2	9	20	36	-16	14
19	Brackley Town	14	2	5	7	12	21	-9	11
20	Sutton	14	2	4	8	13	25	-12	10
21	Morecambe	15	2	4	9	17	31	-14	10
22	Altrincham	15	2	3	10	12	23	-11	9
23	Braintree Town	15	2	3	10	9	32	-23	9
24	Truro	15	1	3	11	9	35	-26	6

Southend Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	York	31	8	23	2.6	1.0	21	8	2	81	31	71
2	19	Aldershot	29	7	22	1.8	2.0	9	5	15	52	57	32
3	4	Boreham Wood	30	9	21	1.9	1.2	18	5	7	58	36	59
4	7	Halifax	31	11	20	1.5	1.4	14	6	11	48	43	48
5	23	Morecambe	31	11	20	1.2	2.1	5	8	18	37	65	23
6	24	Gateshead	28	8	20	1.1	2.4	5	4	19	30	66	19
7	17	Altrincham	32	13	19	1.1	1.5	10	4	18	36	48	34
8	3	Carlisle	31	14	17	1.8	1.2	19	5	7	55	37	62
9	5	Scunthorpe	29	12	17	1.9	1.2	17	8	4	54	34	59
10	12	Tamworth	30	13	17	1.2	1.7	10	7	13	36	50	37
11	13	Boston Utd	32	15	17	1.2	1.4	9	9	14	37	46	36
12	1	Rochdale	29	13	16	1.9	0.7	24	1	4	56	19	73
13	6	Forest Green	32	16	16	1.7	1.1	16	10	6	54	35	58
14	10	Solihull	31	15	16	1.7	1.5	11	8	12	52	47	41
15	15	Eastleigh	31	15	16	1.3	1.6	9	8	14	39	51	35
16	20	Sutton	30	14	16	1.3	1.7	6	11	13	39	50	29
17	22	Truro	30	15	15	1.0	1.8	6	6	18	29	53	24
18	8	Southend	28	14	14	1.6	0.9	13	7	8	44	26	46
19	14	Wealdstone	29	15	14	1.3	1.6	9	9	11	37	46	36
20	11	Woking	29	17	12	1.4	1.1	10	8	11	40	33	38
21	16	Yeovil	29	17	12	1.0	1.3	10	4	15	30	39	34
22	21	Braintree Town	31	19	12	0.7	1.5	7	8	16	22	45	29
23	9	Hartlepool	32	21	11	1.1	1.0	11	12	9	35	33	45
24	18	Brackley Town	29	20	9	0.9	1.2	8	9	12	25	36	33

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	York	17	2	15	3.1	1.1	11	4	2	52	18	37
2	19	Aldershot	14	2	12	1.9	2.1	5	2	7	27	29	17
3	23	Morecambe	16	4	12	1.2	2.1	3	4	9	20	34	13
4	10	Solihull	17	6	11	2.1	1.7	6	4	7	35	29	22
5	17	Altrincham	17	6	11	1.4	1.5	8	1	8	24	25	25
6	3	Carlisle	17	7	10	2.1	1.2	11	3	3	36	20	36
7	4	Boreham Wood	16	6	10	1.7	1.1	11	1	4	27	17	34
8	1	Rochdale	15	6	9	2.1	0.6	13	0	2	32	9	39
9	7	Halifax	14	5	9	2.0	1.1	8	4	2	28	15	28
10	20	Sutton	16	7	9	1.6	1.6	4	7	5	26	25	19
11	24	Gateshead	13	4	9	0.8	2.3	1	2	10	10	30	5
12	13	Boston Utd	16	8	8	0.9	1.6	4	3	9	15	25	15
13	15	Eastleigh	14	6	8	1.4	1.9	4	4	6	19	26	16
14	5	Scunthorpe	14	7	7	1.9	0.8	10	3	1	27	11	33
15	6	Forest Green	16	9	7	1.9	0.9	10	5	1	30	14	35
16	9	Hartlepool	16	10	6	1.2	0.9	6	6	4	19	15	24
17	14	Wealdstone	13	7	6	1.4	1.3	6	4	3	18	17	22
18	16	Yeovil	14	8	6	1.1	1.4	5	3	6	15	20	18
19	21	Braintree Town	16	10	6	0.8	0.8	5	5	6	13	13	20
20	22	Truro	15	9	6	1.3	1.2	5	3	7	20	18	18
21	8	Southend	12	7	5	1.8	0.6	7	3	2	21	7	24
22	11	Woking	14	9	5	1.4	1.1	3	6	5	19	15	15
23	12	Tamworth	15	10	5	1.1	1.1	5	4	6	16	17	19
24	18	Brackley Town	15	11	4	0.9	1.0	6	4	5	13	15	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Tamworth	15	3	12	1.3	2.2	5	3	7	20	33	18
2	4	Boreham Wood	14	3	11	2.2	1.4	7	4	3	31	19	25
3	7	Halifax	17	6	11	1.2	1.6	6	2	9	20	28	20
4	24	Gateshead	15	4	11	1.3	2.4	4	2	9	20	36	14
5	5	Scunthorpe	15	5	10	1.8	1.5	7	5	3	27	23	26
6	19	Aldershot	15	5	10	1.7	1.9	4	3	8	25	28	15
7	6	Forest Green	16	7	9	1.5	1.3	6	5	5	24	21	23
8	8	Southend	16	7	9	1.4	1.2	6	4	6	23	19	22
9	13	Boston Utd	16	7	9	1.4	1.3	5	6	5	22	21	21
10	22	Truro	15	6	9	0.6	2.3	1	3	11	9	35	6
11	2	York	14	6	8	2.1	0.9	10	4	0	29	13	34
12	14	Wealdstone	16	8	8	1.2	1.8	3	5	8	19	29	14
13	15	Eastleigh	17	9	8	1.2	1.5	5	4	8	20	25	19
14	17	Altrincham	15	7	8	0.8	1.5	2	3	10	12	23	9
15	23	Morecambe	15	7	8	1.1	2.1	2	4	9	17	31	10
16	1	Rochdale	14	7	7	1.7	0.7	11	1	2	24	10	34
17	3	Carlisle	14	7	7	1.4	1.2	8	2	4	19	17	26
18	11	Woking	15	8	7	1.4	1.2	7	2	6	21	18	23
19	20	Sutton	14	7	7	0.9	1.8	2	4	8	13	25	10
20	16	Yeovil	15	9	6	1.0	1.3	5	1	9	15	19	16
21	21	Braintree Town	15	9	6	0.6	2.1	2	3	10	9	32	9
22	9	Hartlepool	16	11	5	1.0	1.1	5	6	5	16	18	21
23	10	Solihull	14	9	5	1.2	1.3	5	4	5	17	18	19
24	18	Brackley Town	14	9	5	0.9	1.5	2	5	7	12	21	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.