Tamworth 2–1 Carlisle – England National League, 14 Mar 2026

Match facts

Tamworth Carlisle

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (435 league matches this season so far).

Result Carlisle to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.68

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.62

Home / Draw / Away

32% 24% 44%

TamworthDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

43% 57%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

41% 60%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

15% 1

23% 2

22% 3

17% 4

18% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.2% 1–2 9.1% 0–1 8.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Tamworth before this match, all matches

1.22points / match

1.30scored / match

1.68conceded / match

12 9 16

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 48:62

Carlisle before this match, all matches

2.03points / match

1.84scored / match

1.19conceded / match

23 6 8

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 68:44

Tamworth all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.84

1.68 Goals conceded 1.19

2.97 Total goals 3.03

1.68 Yellow cards 1.89

0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.92

0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

32% Wins 62%

24% Draws 16%

43% Losses 22%

95% Over 0.5 goals 100%

84% Over 1.5 goals 86%

57% Over 2.5 goals 59%

32% Over 3.5 goals 32%

16% Over 4.5 goals 16%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

70% Both teams scored 51%

14% Clean sheets 35%

22% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 46%

49% Draws 27%

30% Losses 27%

68% Over 0.5 goals 78%

32% Over 1.5 goals 43%

14% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tamworth all matches

1

L

1

D

2

D

1

D

5

1

W

3

2

W

2

L

1

3

L

2

3

L

Carlisle all matches

3

L

3

1

W

1

L

3

2

W

3

1

W

3

W

1

3

L

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

Tamworth before this match, at home

1.44points / match

1.39scored / match

1.17conceded / match

7 5 6

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 25:21

Carlisle before this match, away

1.94points / match

1.50scored / match

1.22conceded / match

11 2 5

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 27:22

Tamworth at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.39 Goals scored 1.50

1.17 Goals conceded 1.22

2.56 Total goals 2.72

1.78 Yellow cards 2.44

0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.72

0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

39% Wins 61%

28% Draws 11%

33% Losses 28%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

78% Over 1.5 goals 78%

39% Over 2.5 goals 56%

22% Over 3.5 goals 22%

11% Over 4.5 goals 11%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

67% Both teams scored 50%

17% Clean sheets 33%

17% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 39%

39% Draws 28%

28% Losses 33%

61% Over 0.5 goals 72%

17% Over 1.5 goals 39%

6% Over 2.5 goals 28%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tamworth at home

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

D

1

D

5

1

W

3

2

W

Carlisle away

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

3

W

3

D

1

L

3

1

W

1

3

L

2

1

W

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Tamworth all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.03.26	Wealdstone – Tamworth	3–2 (2–2)	2.05	3.50	3.20	1.73	2.08
07.03.26	Woking – Tamworth	3–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.50	3.25	1.85	1.95
03.03.26	Yeovil – Tamworth	2–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.40	2.55	2.00	1.80
28.02.26	Tamworth – Boreham Wood	3–2 (1–0)	3.90	3.50	1.80	1.62	2.25
24.02.26	Tamworth – Altrincham	5–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	2.90	1.73	2.08
21.02.26	Boston Utd – Tamworth	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.40	1.90	1.90
14.02.26	Tamworth – Aldershot	1–1 (0–0)	2.35	3.60	2.55	1.67	2.15
10.02.26	Morecambe – Tamworth	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	2.80	1.73	2.08
07.02.26	Tamworth – Hartlepool	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.35	2.00	1.80
24.01.26	Tamworth – Sutton	0–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	2.80	1.73	2.08

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.03.26	Aldershot – Carlisle	0–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.50	2.45	1.73	2.08
07.03.26	Carlisle – Southend	2–2 (2–0)	2.40	3.40	2.63	1.73	2.08
28.02.26	Eastleigh – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	4.00	3.50	1.80	1.73	2.08
25.02.26	Hartlepool – Carlisle	3–1 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.10	1.73	2.08
21.02.26	Carlisle – Yeovil	3–0 (3–0)	1.55	4.00	5.25	1.80	2.00
14.02.26	Forest Green – Carlisle	1–3 (0–3)	1.80	3.70	3.90	1.67	2.15
10.02.26	Carlisle – Scunthorpe	3–2 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	2.70	1.75	2.05
07.02.26	Rochdale – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.50	4.33	1.90	1.90
31.01.26	Carlisle – Altrincham	3–1 (3–0)	1.55	3.90	5.25	1.67	2.15
21.01.26	Carlisle – York	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.15	1.67	2.15

Tamworth at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.02.26	Tamworth – Boreham Wood	3–2 (1–0)	3.90	3.50	1.80	1.62	2.25
24.02.26	Tamworth – Altrincham	5–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	2.90	1.73	2.08
14.02.26	Tamworth – Aldershot	1–1 (0–0)	2.35	3.60	2.55	1.67	2.15
07.02.26	Tamworth – Hartlepool	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.35	2.00	1.80
24.01.26	Tamworth – Sutton	0–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	2.80	1.73	2.08
03.01.26	Tamworth – Gateshead	3–1 (1–0)	1.65	3.80	4.50	1.53	2.40
30.12.25	Tamworth – Halifax	0–2 (0–2)	2.60	3.40	2.45	1.90	1.90
20.12.25	Tamworth – Southend	2–1 (1–0)	3.60	3.50	1.90	1.73	2.08
22.11.25	Tamworth – Rochdale	1–2 (0–1)	4.33	3.60	1.70	1.75	2.05
08.11.25	Tamworth – Woking	0–1 (0–1)	1.91	3.25	3.80	1.90	1.90

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.03.26	Aldershot – Carlisle	0–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.50	2.45	1.73	2.08
28.02.26	Eastleigh – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	4.00	3.50	1.80	1.73	2.08
25.02.26	Hartlepool – Carlisle	3–1 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.10	1.73	2.08
14.02.26	Forest Green – Carlisle	1–3 (0–3)	1.80	3.70	3.90	1.67	2.15
07.02.26	Rochdale – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.50	4.33	1.90	1.90
17.01.26	Solihull – Carlisle	3–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.40	2.15	1.67	2.15
26.12.25	Gateshead – Carlisle	0–3 (0–1)	5.00	4.33	1.53	1.48	2.60
21.12.25	Boreham Wood – Carlisle	2–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.60	3.25	1.62	2.25
22.11.25	Boston Utd – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	4.75	3.50	1.67	1.80	2.00
08.11.25	Southend – Carlisle	1–2 (1–2)	2.10	3.60	2.90	1.83	1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Tamworth winsDrawsCarlisle wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.11.25EC	Carlisle – Tamworth	2–1 (1–1)	1.44	4.33	5.75	1.57	2.35

England National League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rochdale	36	28	4	4	69	25	+44	88
2	York	37	26	8	3	97	36	+61	86
3	Carlisle	37	23	6	8	68	44	+24	75
4	Boreham Wood	37	21	8	8	75	49	+26	71
5	Forest Green	37	18	11	8	62	43	+19	65
6	Scunthorpe	36	18	10	8	66	52	+14	64
7	Halifax	37	16	8	13	56	53	+3	56
8	Southend	34	15	10	9	56	33	+23	55
9	Hartlepool	36	13	12	11	42	40	+2	51
10	Wealdstone	36	13	9	14	53	60	-7	48
11	Tamworth	37	12	9	16	48	62	-14	45
12	Boston Utd	37	11	11	15	48	54	-6	44
13	Woking	34	11	10	13	48	43	+5	43
14	Solihull	36	11	10	15	60	61	-1	43
15	Altrincham	36	13	4	19	43	54	-11	43
16	Aldershot	36	12	6	18	61	67	-6	42
17	Sutton	37	10	12	15	52	62	-10	42
18	Eastleigh	37	11	9	17	47	64	-17	42
19	Yeovil	35	12	5	18	37	50	-13	41
20	Brackley Town	36	9	9	18	34	54	-20	36
21	Morecambe	37	8	9	20	54	77	-23	33
22	Braintree Town	37	8	9	20	28	56	-28	33
23	Gateshead	36	9	6	21	43	78	-35	33
24	Truro	36	6	7	23	34	64	-30	25

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rochdale	19	16	1	2	40	12	+28	49
2	York	19	13	4	2	59	20	+39	43
3	Boreham Wood	19	13	2	4	36	23	+13	41
4	Carlisle	19	12	4	3	41	22	+19	40
5	Forest Green	19	11	5	3	35	21	+14	38
6	Scunthorpe	18	10	4	4	34	25	+9	34
7	Halifax	18	9	6	3	34	21	+13	33
8	Wealdstone	18	9	4	5	30	27	+3	31
9	Altrincham	19	10	1	8	28	26	+2	31
10	Southend	16	8	5	3	28	12	+16	29
11	Hartlepool	19	7	6	6	22	19	+3	27
12	Tamworth	18	7	5	6	25	21	+4	26
13	Sutton	19	6	7	6	31	31	0	25
14	Yeovil	19	7	4	8	22	28	-6	25
15	Eastleigh	18	6	5	7	26	32	-6	23
16	Solihull	19	6	4	9	39	35	+4	22
17	Brackley Town	17	6	4	7	13	20	-7	22
18	Braintree Town	19	5	6	8	15	19	-4	21
19	Aldershot	17	6	2	9	30	34	-4	20
20	Woking	16	4	7	5	24	18	+6	19
21	Truro	17	5	3	9	23	23	0	18
22	Boston Utd	18	4	5	9	17	27	-10	17
23	Morecambe	18	4	4	10	24	35	-11	16
24	Gateshead	17	2	3	12	16	38	-22	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	York	18	13	4	1	38	16	+22	43
2	Rochdale	17	12	3	2	29	13	+16	39
3	Carlisle	18	11	2	5	27	22	+5	35
4	Boreham Wood	18	8	6	4	39	26	+13	30
5	Scunthorpe	18	8	6	4	32	27	+5	30
6	Forest Green	18	7	6	5	27	22	+5	27
7	Boston Utd	19	7	6	6	31	27	+4	27
8	Southend	18	7	5	6	28	21	+7	26
9	Woking	18	7	3	8	24	25	-1	24
10	Hartlepool	17	6	6	5	20	21	-1	24
11	Gateshead	19	7	3	9	27	40	-13	24
12	Halifax	19	7	2	10	22	32	-10	23
13	Aldershot	19	6	4	9	31	33	-2	22
14	Solihull	17	5	6	6	21	26	-5	21
15	Eastleigh	19	5	4	10	21	32	-11	19
16	Tamworth	19	5	4	10	23	41	-18	19
17	Wealdstone	18	4	5	9	23	33	-10	17
18	Sutton	18	4	5	9	21	31	-10	17
19	Morecambe	19	4	5	10	30	42	-12	17
20	Yeovil	16	5	1	10	15	22	-7	16
21	Brackley Town	19	3	5	11	21	34	-13	14
22	Altrincham	17	3	3	11	15	28	-13	12
23	Braintree Town	18	3	3	12	13	37	-24	12
24	Truro	19	1	4	14	11	41	-30	7

Tamworth Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	York	37	9	28	2.6	1.0	26	8	3	97	36	86
2	4	Boreham Wood	37	11	26	2.0	1.3	21	8	8	75	49	71
3	16	Aldershot	36	10	26	1.7	1.9	12	6	18	61	67	42
4	21	Morecambe	37	12	25	1.5	2.1	8	9	20	54	77	33
5	23	Gateshead	36	11	25	1.2	2.2	9	6	21	43	78	33
6	7	Halifax	37	13	24	1.5	1.4	16	8	13	56	53	56
7	6	Scunthorpe	36	13	23	1.8	1.4	18	10	8	66	52	64
8	3	Carlisle	37	15	22	1.8	1.2	23	6	8	68	44	75
9	17	Sutton	37	15	22	1.4	1.7	10	12	15	52	62	42
10	18	Eastleigh	37	15	22	1.3	1.7	11	9	17	47	64	42
11	10	Wealdstone	36	15	21	1.5	1.7	13	9	14	53	60	48
12	11	Tamworth	37	16	21	1.3	1.7	12	9	16	48	62	45
13	15	Altrincham	36	15	21	1.2	1.5	13	4	19	43	54	43
14	12	Boston Utd	37	17	20	1.3	1.5	11	11	15	48	54	44
15	14	Solihull	36	16	20	1.7	1.7	11	10	15	60	61	43
16	1	Rochdale	36	17	19	1.9	0.7	28	4	4	69	25	88
17	5	Forest Green	37	18	19	1.7	1.2	18	11	8	62	43	65
18	24	Truro	36	18	18	0.9	1.8	6	7	23	34	64	25
19	8	Southend	34	17	17	1.6	1.0	15	10	9	56	33	55
20	13	Woking	34	17	17	1.4	1.3	11	10	13	48	43	43
21	19	Yeovil	35	19	16	1.1	1.4	12	5	18	37	50	41
22	22	Braintree Town	37	21	16	0.8	1.5	8	9	20	28	56	33
23	20	Brackley Town	36	21	15	0.9	1.5	9	9	18	34	54	36
24	9	Hartlepool	36	23	13	1.2	1.1	13	12	11	42	40	51

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	York	19	2	17	3.1	1.1	13	4	2	59	20	43
2	14	Solihull	19	6	13	2.1	1.8	6	4	9	39	35	22
3	16	Aldershot	17	4	13	1.8	2.0	6	2	9	30	34	20
4	21	Morecambe	18	5	13	1.3	1.9	4	4	10	24	35	16
5	3	Carlisle	19	7	12	2.2	1.2	12	4	3	41	22	40
6	4	Boreham Wood	19	7	12	1.9	1.2	13	2	4	36	23	41
7	7	Halifax	18	6	12	1.9	1.2	9	6	3	34	21	33
8	15	Altrincham	19	7	12	1.5	1.4	10	1	8	28	26	31
9	17	Sutton	19	7	12	1.6	1.6	6	7	6	31	31	25
10	18	Eastleigh	18	6	12	1.4	1.8	6	5	7	26	32	23
11	1	Rochdale	19	8	11	2.1	0.6	16	1	2	40	12	49
12	6	Scunthorpe	18	7	11	1.9	1.4	10	4	4	34	25	34
13	10	Wealdstone	18	7	11	1.7	1.5	9	4	5	30	27	31
14	23	Gateshead	17	6	11	0.9	2.2	2	3	12	16	38	9
15	5	Forest Green	19	9	10	1.8	1.1	11	5	3	35	21	38
16	12	Boston Utd	18	9	9	0.9	1.5	4	5	9	17	27	17
17	19	Yeovil	19	10	9	1.2	1.5	7	4	8	22	28	25
18	22	Braintree Town	19	11	8	0.8	1.0	5	6	8	15	19	21
19	24	Truro	17	9	8	1.4	1.4	5	3	9	23	23	18
20	9	Hartlepool	19	12	7	1.2	1.0	7	6	6	22	19	27
21	11	Tamworth	18	11	7	1.4	1.2	7	5	6	25	21	26
22	13	Woking	16	9	7	1.5	1.1	4	7	5	24	18	19
23	8	Southend	16	10	6	1.8	0.8	8	5	3	28	12	29
24	20	Brackley Town	17	12	5	0.8	1.2	6	4	7	13	20	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Boreham Wood	18	4	14	2.2	1.4	8	6	4	39	26	30
2	11	Tamworth	19	5	14	1.2	2.2	5	4	10	23	41	19
3	23	Gateshead	19	5	14	1.4	2.1	7	3	9	27	40	24
4	16	Aldershot	19	6	13	1.6	1.7	6	4	9	31	33	22
5	6	Scunthorpe	18	6	12	1.8	1.5	8	6	4	32	27	30
6	7	Halifax	19	7	12	1.2	1.7	7	2	10	22	32	23
7	21	Morecambe	19	7	12	1.6	2.2	4	5	10	30	42	17
8	2	York	18	7	11	2.1	0.9	13	4	1	38	16	43
9	8	Southend	18	7	11	1.6	1.2	7	5	6	28	21	26
10	12	Boston Utd	19	8	11	1.6	1.4	7	6	6	31	27	27
11	3	Carlisle	18	8	10	1.5	1.2	11	2	5	27	22	35
12	10	Wealdstone	18	8	10	1.3	1.8	4	5	9	23	33	17
13	13	Woking	18	8	10	1.3	1.4	7	3	8	24	25	24
14	17	Sutton	18	8	10	1.2	1.7	4	5	9	21	31	17
15	18	Eastleigh	19	9	10	1.1	1.7	5	4	10	21	32	19
16	20	Brackley Town	19	9	10	1.1	1.8	3	5	11	21	34	14
17	24	Truro	19	9	10	0.6	2.2	1	4	14	11	41	7
18	5	Forest Green	18	9	9	1.5	1.2	7	6	5	27	22	27
19	15	Altrincham	17	8	9	0.9	1.6	3	3	11	15	28	12
20	1	Rochdale	17	9	8	1.7	0.8	12	3	2	29	13	39
21	22	Braintree Town	18	10	8	0.7	2.1	3	3	12	13	37	12
22	14	Solihull	17	10	7	1.2	1.5	5	6	6	21	26	21
23	19	Yeovil	16	9	7	0.9	1.4	5	1	10	15	22	16
24	9	Hartlepool	17	11	6	1.2	1.2	6	6	5	20	21	24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.