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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England National League · ·Referee: M Woods

Hartlepool 4–3 Southend

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.90 fair 3.36
Draw 3.40 fair 3.74
Away 1.83 fair 2.30
Under 2.5 1.95 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 2.21

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hartlepool Southend
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (539 league matches this season so far).
Result Southend to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.10 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
HartlepoolDrawSouthend
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 0–1 11.5% 1–0 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hartlepool before this match, all matches
1.48points / match
1.11scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 49:53
Southend before this match, all matches
1.77points / match
1.77scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 78:42
Hartlepool all matches all matches Southend

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.77
1.20 Goals conceded 0.95
2.32 Total goals 2.73
1.45 Yellow cards 1.59
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

39% Wins 50%
32% Draws 27%
30% Losses 23%
84% Over 0.5 goals 95%
66% Over 1.5 goals 82%
39% Over 2.5 goals 50%
20% Over 3.5 goals 18%
11% Over 4.5 goals 16%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
41% Both teams scored 52%
39% Clean sheets 39%
36% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 41%
50% Draws 41%
25% Losses 18%
59% Over 0.5 goals 68%
23% Over 1.5 goals 30%
5% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hartlepool all matches
Southend all matches
Hartlepool before this match, at home
1.55points / match
1.14scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 25:20
Southend before this match, away
1.59points / match
1.77scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 39:24
Hartlepool at home away Southend

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.77
0.91 Goals conceded 1.09
2.05 Total goals 2.86
1.50 Yellow cards 1.68
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.23 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

41% Wins 45%
32% Draws 23%
27% Losses 32%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 77%
36% Over 2.5 goals 59%
9% Over 3.5 goals 18%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
45% Both teams scored 55%
36% Clean sheets 36%
32% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 27%
41% Draws 55%
18% Losses 18%
64% Over 0.5 goals 59%
14% Over 1.5 goals 32%
0% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hartlepool at home
Southend away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hartlepool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Hartlepool – Forest Green 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.502.05 1.67 2.15
11.04.26 Boreham Wood – Hartlepool 3–0 (0–0) 1.553.905.00 1.50 2.50
06.04.26 Hartlepool – Rochdale 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.401.83 1.85 1.95
03.04.26 Scunthorpe – Hartlepool 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.50 1.62 2.25
31.03.26 Wealdstone – Hartlepool 7–0 (5–0) 2.503.302.50 1.75 2.05
25.03.26 Morecambe – Hartlepool 2–3 (1–1) 2.903.502.15 1.67 2.15
21.03.26 Hartlepool – Eastleigh 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.755.00 1.73 2.08
14.03.26 Truro – Hartlepool 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.252.15 1.95 1.85
07.03.26 Hartlepool – Halifax 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.403.60 1.85 1.95
03.03.26 Hartlepool – Sutton 0–2 (0–0) 1.853.503.75 1.80 2.00

Southend all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Halifax – Southend 2–6 (1–3) 3.203.502.00 1.85 1.95
14.04.26 Aldershot – Southend 0–2 (0–2) 3.703.601.83 1.53 2.40
11.04.26 Southend – Solihull 0–0 (0–0) 1.424.336.50 1.57 2.35
06.04.26 Sutton – Southend 0–3 (0–0) 3.903.701.75 1.62 2.25
03.04.26 Southend – Braintree Town 3–2 (2–0) 1.255.2510.00 1.44 2.70
31.03.26 Southend – Yeovil 2–1 (1–0) 1.384.108.00 1.85 1.95
25.03.26 Southend – Woking 1–1 (0–1) 1.603.705.00 1.80 2.00
21.03.26 Altrincham – Southend 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.65 1.62 2.25
17.03.26 Southend – Rochdale 3–2 (3–1) 2.603.102.60 2.15 1.67
14.03.26 Southend – Forest Green 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.20 1.70 2.10

Hartlepool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Hartlepool – Forest Green 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.502.05 1.67 2.15
06.04.26 Hartlepool – Rochdale 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.401.83 1.85 1.95
21.03.26 Hartlepool – Eastleigh 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.755.00 1.73 2.08
07.03.26 Hartlepool – Halifax 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.403.60 1.85 1.95
03.03.26 Hartlepool – Sutton 0–2 (0–0) 1.853.503.75 1.80 2.00
25.02.26 Hartlepool – Carlisle 3–1 (1–0) 3.103.402.10 1.73 2.08
31.01.26 Hartlepool – Aldershot 0–3 (0–1) 1.903.503.50 1.57 2.35
20.01.26 Hartlepool – Gateshead 2–1 (0–1) 1.504.005.50 1.53 2.40
17.01.26 Hartlepool – Altrincham 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.403.70 1.90 1.90
26.12.25 Hartlepool – Scunthorpe 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.00 1.73 2.08

Southend away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Halifax – Southend 2–6 (1–3) 3.203.502.00 1.85 1.95
14.04.26 Aldershot – Southend 0–2 (0–2) 3.703.601.83 1.53 2.40
06.04.26 Sutton – Southend 0–3 (0–0) 3.903.701.75 1.62 2.25
21.03.26 Altrincham – Southend 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.65 1.62 2.25
07.03.26 Carlisle – Southend 2–2 (2–0) 2.403.402.63 1.73 2.08
21.02.26 Brackley Town – Southend 0–3 (0–0) 4.503.501.70 1.90 1.90
07.02.26 Scunthorpe – Southend 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.302.45 1.83 1.98
27.01.26 Rochdale – Southend 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.253.20 1.85 1.95
24.01.26 Boston Utd – Southend 3–3 (1–1) 5.003.601.62 1.80 2.00
17.01.26 York – Southend 1–1 (0–1) 1.673.804.33 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hartlepool winsDrawsSouthend wins
5matches
1.40goals / match
20%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.08.25EC Southend – Hartlepool 1–1 (1–0) ––– – –
14.12.24EC Southend – Hartlepool 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.10 1.70
17.08.24EC Hartlepool – Southend 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.402.15 1.98 1.83
16.03.24EC Hartlepool – Southend 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.802.10 1.75 2.05
19.08.23EC Southend – Hartlepool 2–3 (1–1) 1.853.503.50 2.00 1.80

England National League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 York 45 33 8 4 113 40 +73 107
2 Rochdale 45 33 6 6 87 40 +47 105
3 Carlisle 45 28 8 9 84 51 +33 92
4 Boreham Wood 45 26 9 10 94 58 +36 87
5 Scunthorpe 45 23 13 9 79 62 +17 82
6 Southend 44 22 12 10 78 42 +36 78
7 Forest Green 45 22 12 11 77 52 +25 78
8 Halifax 45 19 10 16 68 66 +2 67
9 Hartlepool 44 17 14 13 49 53 -4 65
10 Woking 45 16 15 14 69 53 +16 63
11 Tamworth 45 16 11 18 58 70 -12 59
12 Boston Utd 45 14 14 17 60 66 -6 56
13 Wealdstone 45 15 11 19 67 74 -7 56
14 Altrincham 45 16 6 23 52 64 -12 54
15 Solihull 45 13 14 18 67 71 -4 53
16 Yeovil 45 15 6 24 47 64 -17 51
17 Gateshead 45 14 8 23 53 87 -34 50
18 Sutton 45 11 14 20 59 78 -19 47
19 Eastleigh 45 12 11 22 56 80 -24 47
20 Aldershot 45 13 7 25 69 85 -16 46
21 Brackley Town 45 10 12 23 40 72 -32 42
22 Morecambe 45 9 11 25 66 98 -32 38
23 Braintree Town 45 8 12 25 37 71 -34 36
24 Truro 45 7 10 28 40 72 -32 31
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 York 23 17 4 2 69 21 +48 55
2 Rochdale 22 18 1 3 47 19 +28 55
3 Boreham Wood 22 16 2 4 47 24 +23 50
4 Carlisle 22 14 5 3 50 24 +26 47
5 Forest Green 22 14 5 3 44 22 +22 47
6 Southend 22 12 7 3 39 18 +21 43
7 Scunthorpe 22 12 6 4 39 28 +11 42
8 Wealdstone 23 11 6 6 42 31 +11 39
9 Halifax 23 10 7 6 42 34 +8 37
10 Altrincham 22 12 1 9 30 27 +3 37
11 Tamworth 22 10 5 7 29 23 +6 35
12 Hartlepool 22 9 7 6 25 20 +5 34
13 Yeovil 22 9 5 8 26 30 -4 32
14 Woking 22 7 10 5 37 25 +12 31
15 Solihull 23 8 4 11 44 42 +2 28
16 Brackley Town 23 7 7 9 19 29 -10 28
17 Eastleigh 23 7 6 10 32 43 -11 27
18 Sutton 23 6 7 10 33 41 -8 25
19 Boston Utd 22 6 6 10 22 31 -9 24
20 Braintree Town 23 5 7 11 19 26 -7 22
21 Gateshead 23 6 4 13 25 44 -19 22
22 Truro 23 5 6 12 26 29 -3 21
23 Aldershot 22 6 3 13 33 44 -11 21
24 Morecambe 23 4 6 13 29 46 -17 18
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 York 22 16 4 2 44 19 +25 52
2 Rochdale 23 15 5 3 40 21 +19 50
3 Carlisle 23 14 3 6 34 27 +7 45
4 Scunthorpe 23 11 7 5 40 34 +6 40
5 Boreham Wood 23 10 7 6 47 34 +13 37
6 Southend 22 10 5 7 39 24 +15 35
7 Woking 23 9 5 9 32 28 +4 32
8 Boston Utd 23 8 8 7 38 35 +3 32
9 Forest Green 23 8 7 8 33 30 +3 31
10 Hartlepool 22 8 7 7 24 33 -9 31
11 Halifax 22 9 3 10 26 32 -6 30
12 Gateshead 22 8 4 10 28 43 -15 28
13 Aldershot 23 7 4 12 36 41 -5 25
14 Solihull 22 5 10 7 23 29 -6 25
15 Tamworth 23 6 6 11 29 47 -18 24
16 Sutton 22 5 7 10 26 37 -11 22
17 Eastleigh 22 5 5 12 24 37 -13 20
18 Morecambe 22 5 5 12 37 52 -15 20
19 Yeovil 23 6 1 16 21 34 -13 19
20 Altrincham 23 4 5 14 22 37 -15 17
21 Wealdstone 22 4 5 13 25 43 -18 17
22 Brackley Town 22 3 5 14 21 43 -22 14
23 Braintree Town 22 3 5 14 18 45 -27 14
24 Truro 22 2 4 16 14 43 -29 10

Hartlepool   Southend

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 York 45 12 33 2.5 0.9 33 8 4 113 40 107
2 4 Boreham Wood 45 12 33 2.1 1.3 26 9 10 94 58 87
3 20 Aldershot 45 13 32 1.5 1.9 13 7 25 69 85 46
4 22 Morecambe 45 14 31 1.5 2.2 9 11 25 66 98 38
5 8 Halifax 45 16 29 1.5 1.5 19 10 16 68 66 67
6 17 Gateshead 45 16 29 1.2 1.9 14 8 23 53 87 50
7 5 Scunthorpe 45 17 28 1.8 1.4 23 13 9 79 62 82
8 18 Sutton 45 17 28 1.3 1.7 11 14 20 59 78 47
9 2 Rochdale 45 18 27 1.9 0.9 33 6 6 87 40 105
10 3 Carlisle 45 18 27 1.9 1.1 28 8 9 84 51 92
11 19 Eastleigh 45 19 26 1.2 1.8 12 11 22 56 80 47
12 13 Wealdstone 45 20 25 1.5 1.6 15 11 19 67 74 56
13 14 Altrincham 45 20 25 1.2 1.4 16 6 23 52 64 54
14 11 Tamworth 45 21 24 1.3 1.6 16 11 18 58 70 59
15 12 Boston Utd 45 21 24 1.3 1.5 14 14 17 60 66 56
16 7 Forest Green 45 22 23 1.7 1.2 22 12 11 77 52 78
17 15 Solihull 45 22 23 1.5 1.6 13 14 18 67 71 53
18 6 Southend 44 22 22 1.8 1.0 22 12 10 78 42 78
19 10 Woking 45 23 22 1.5 1.2 16 15 14 69 53 63
20 16 Yeovil 45 23 22 1.0 1.4 15 6 24 47 64 51
21 23 Braintree Town 45 24 21 0.8 1.6 8 12 25 37 71 36
22 24 Truro 45 25 20 0.9 1.6 7 10 28 40 72 31
23 21 Brackley Town 45 26 19 0.9 1.6 10 12 23 40 72 42
24 9 Hartlepool 44 27 17 1.1 1.2 17 14 13 49 53 65
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 York 23 3 20 3.0 0.9 17 4 2 69 21 55
2 8 Halifax 23 7 16 1.8 1.5 10 7 6 42 34 37
3 15 Solihull 23 7 16 1.9 1.8 8 4 11 44 42 28
4 18 Sutton 23 7 16 1.4 1.8 6 7 10 33 41 25
5 20 Aldershot 22 6 16 1.5 2.0 6 3 13 33 44 21
6 22 Morecambe 23 7 16 1.3 2.0 4 6 13 29 46 18
7 4 Boreham Wood 22 7 15 2.1 1.1 16 2 4 47 24 50
8 19 Eastleigh 23 8 15 1.4 1.9 7 6 10 32 43 27
9 2 Rochdale 22 8 14 2.1 0.9 18 1 3 47 19 55
10 3 Carlisle 22 8 14 2.3 1.1 14 5 3 50 24 47
11 17 Gateshead 23 9 14 1.1 1.9 6 4 13 25 44 22
12 5 Scunthorpe 22 9 13 1.8 1.3 12 6 4 39 28 42
13 13 Wealdstone 23 10 13 1.8 1.3 11 6 6 42 31 39
14 7 Forest Green 22 10 12 2.0 1.0 14 5 3 44 22 47
15 14 Altrincham 22 10 12 1.4 1.2 12 1 9 30 27 37
16 12 Boston Utd 22 11 11 1.0 1.4 6 6 10 22 31 24
17 23 Braintree Town 23 12 11 0.8 1.1 5 7 11 19 26 22
18 10 Woking 22 12 10 1.7 1.1 7 10 5 37 25 31
19 16 Yeovil 22 12 10 1.2 1.4 9 5 8 26 30 32
20 6 Southend 22 13 9 1.8 0.8 12 7 3 39 18 43
21 24 Truro 23 14 9 1.1 1.3 5 6 12 26 29 21
22 9 Hartlepool 22 14 8 1.1 0.9 9 7 6 25 20 34
23 11 Tamworth 22 14 8 1.3 1.0 10 5 7 29 23 35
24 21 Brackley Town 23 16 7 0.8 1.3 7 7 9 19 29 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Boreham Wood 23 5 18 2.0 1.5 10 7 6 47 34 37
2 11 Tamworth 23 7 16 1.3 2.0 6 6 11 29 47 24
3 20 Aldershot 23 7 16 1.6 1.8 7 4 12 36 41 25
4 5 Scunthorpe 23 8 15 1.7 1.5 11 7 5 40 34 40
5 17 Gateshead 22 7 15 1.3 2.0 8 4 10 28 43 28
6 22 Morecambe 22 7 15 1.7 2.4 5 5 12 37 52 20
7 1 York 22 9 13 2.0 0.9 16 4 2 44 19 52
8 2 Rochdale 23 10 13 1.7 0.9 15 5 3 40 21 50
9 3 Carlisle 23 10 13 1.5 1.2 14 3 6 34 27 45
10 6 Southend 22 9 13 1.8 1.1 10 5 7 39 24 35
11 8 Halifax 22 9 13 1.2 1.5 9 3 10 26 32 30
12 12 Boston Utd 23 10 13 1.7 1.5 8 8 7 38 35 32
13 14 Altrincham 23 10 13 1.0 1.6 4 5 14 22 37 17
14 10 Woking 23 11 12 1.4 1.2 9 5 9 32 28 32
15 13 Wealdstone 22 10 12 1.1 2.0 4 5 13 25 43 17
16 16 Yeovil 23 11 12 0.9 1.5 6 1 16 21 34 19
17 18 Sutton 22 10 12 1.2 1.7 5 7 10 26 37 22
18 21 Brackley Town 22 10 12 1.0 2.0 3 5 14 21 43 14
19 7 Forest Green 23 12 11 1.4 1.3 8 7 8 33 30 31
20 19 Eastleigh 22 11 11 1.1 1.7 5 5 12 24 37 20
21 24 Truro 22 11 11 0.6 2.0 2 4 16 14 43 10
22 23 Braintree Town 22 12 10 0.8 2.0 3 5 14 18 45 14
23 9 Hartlepool 22 13 9 1.1 1.5 8 7 7 24 33 31
24 15 Solihull 22 15 7 1.0 1.3 5 10 7 23 29 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51