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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: K Friend

Brighton 1–4 Man City

Full time · half time 0–3 · season 2021/2022

Home 8.00 fair 2.61
Draw 4.75 fair 3.66
Away ✓ 1.40 fair 2.92
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.26

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Man City
10 Shots 23
5 Shots on target 14
7 Corners 6
10 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (86 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 11% 0–1 10.2%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.00scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:5
Man City before this match, all matches
2.13points / match
2.00scored / match
0.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 16:3
Brighton all matches all matches Man City

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.00
0.63 Goals conceded 0.38
1.63 Total goals 2.38
12.13 Shots 18.00
3.75 Shots on target 5.00
11.25 Shots faced 6.13
5.50 Corners 8.75
5.38 Corners against 2.88
9.63 Fouls 9.38
2.50 Yellow cards 1.38
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 63%
38% Draws 25%
13% Losses 13%
75% Over 0.5 goals 88%
63% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 38%
0% Over 3.5 goals 38%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 13%
50% Clean sheets 75%
38% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 38%
38% Draws 63%
38% Losses 0%
63% Over 0.5 goals 38%
13% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 8 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Man City all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.00scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:3
Man City before this match, away
1.75points / match
1.00scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:3
Brighton at home away Man City

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded 0.75
1.75 Total goals 1.75
15.00 Shots 17.50
3.25 Shots on target 4.75
11.50 Shots faced 7.50
5.75 Corners 9.00
5.25 Corners against 3.75
8.50 Fouls 10.25
2.25 Yellow cards 2.00
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
25% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%
0% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 25%
50% Clean sheets 50%
50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
25% Draws 100%
25% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 0%
25% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 4 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.21 Norwich – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.72
02.10.21 Brighton – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80
27.09.21 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.202.45 2.30 1.61
19.09.21 Brighton – Leicester 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.75 2.10 1.72
11.09.21 Brentford – Brighton 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.202.62 2.50 1.53
28.08.21 Brighton – Everton 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.203.30 2.20 1.66
21.08.21 Brighton – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.703.505.75 2.20 1.66
14.08.21 Burnley – Brighton 1–2 (1–0) 3.103.102.45 2.50 1.53

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.21 Man City – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.0019.00 1.36 3.20
03.10.21 Liverpool – Man City 2–2 (0–0) 2.873.502.40 1.72 2.10
25.09.21 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 2.623.202.75 2.10 1.72
18.09.21 Man City – Southampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.129.5017.00 1.36 3.20
11.09.21 Leicester – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.001.57 1.72 2.10
28.08.21 Man City – Arsenal 5–0 (3–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.57 2.37
21.08.21 Man City – Norwich 5–0 (2–0) 1.0811.0026.00 1.33 3.40
15.08.21 Tottenham – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 5.504.201.60 1.89 2.04

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.10.21 Brighton – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80
19.09.21 Brighton – Leicester 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.75 2.10 1.72
28.08.21 Brighton – Everton 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.203.30 2.20 1.66
21.08.21 Brighton – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.703.505.75 2.20 1.66

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.21 Liverpool – Man City 2–2 (0–0) 2.873.502.40 1.72 2.10
25.09.21 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 2.623.202.75 2.10 1.72
11.09.21 Leicester – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.001.57 1.72 2.10
15.08.21 Tottenham – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 5.504.201.60 1.89 2.04

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 9 7 1 1 23 3 +20 22
2 Liverpool 8 5 3 0 22 6 +16 18
3 Man City 8 5 2 1 16 3 +13 17
4 Brighton 8 4 3 1 8 5 +3 15
5 Tottenham 8 5 0 3 9 12 -3 15
6 Man United 8 4 2 2 16 10 +6 14
7 West Ham 8 4 2 2 15 10 +5 14
8 Everton 9 4 2 3 15 14 +1 14
9 Arsenal 9 4 2 3 10 13 -3 14
10 Wolves 9 4 1 4 9 9 0 13
11 Brentford 8 3 3 2 10 7 +3 12
12 Leicester 8 3 2 3 13 14 -1 11
13 Aston Villa 9 3 1 5 13 15 -2 10
14 Watford 9 3 1 5 12 17 -5 10
15 Crystal Palace 9 1 6 2 11 14 -3 9
16 Southampton 9 1 5 3 8 12 -4 8
17 Leeds 9 1 4 4 8 16 -8 7
18 Burnley 9 0 4 5 7 15 -8 4
19 Newcastle 9 0 4 5 11 20 -9 4
20 Norwich 9 0 2 7 2 23 -21 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 5 4 0 1 16 2 +14 12
2 Man City 4 3 1 0 12 0 +12 10
3 Arsenal 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
4 Everton 5 3 0 2 10 8 +2 9
5 Tottenham 4 3 0 1 4 4 0 9
6 Liverpool 4 2 2 0 8 3 +5 8
7 Man United 4 2 1 1 10 4 +6 7
8 Aston Villa 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7
9 Crystal Palace 5 1 4 0 7 4 +3 7
10 Leicester 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
11 Brighton 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
12 Southampton 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6
13 Leeds 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
14 West Ham 4 1 1 2 8 7 +1 4
15 Brentford 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
16 Watford 4 1 1 2 4 10 -6 4
17 Wolves 4 1 0 3 2 5 -3 3
18 Burnley 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
19 Newcastle 4 0 2 2 7 10 -3 2
20 Norwich 4 0 1 3 2 8 -6 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 4 3 1 0 14 3 +11 10
2 Chelsea 4 3 1 0 7 1 +6 10
3 West Ham 4 3 1 0 7 3 +4 10
4 Wolves 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
5 Brentford 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 Brighton 4 2 2 0 4 2 +2 8
7 Man City 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
8 Man United 4 2 1 1 6 6 0 7
9 Watford 5 2 0 3 8 7 +1 6
10 Tottenham 4 2 0 2 5 8 -3 6
11 Everton 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
12 Leicester 4 1 1 2 6 9 -3 4
13 Arsenal 4 1 1 2 1 7 -6 4
14 Aston Villa 5 1 0 4 5 11 -6 3
15 Southampton 4 0 2 2 4 8 -4 2
16 Leeds 4 0 2 2 3 8 -5 2
17 Burnley 5 0 2 3 5 11 -6 2
18 Crystal Palace 4 0 2 2 4 10 -6 2
19 Newcastle 5 0 2 3 4 10 -6 2
20 Norwich 5 0 1 4 0 15 -15 1

Brighton   Man City

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 8 2 6 2.8 0.8 5 3 0 22 6 18
2 7 West Ham 8 2 6 1.9 1.2 4 2 2 15 10 14
3 12 Leicester 8 2 6 1.6 1.8 3 2 3 13 14 11
4 13 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 3 1 5 13 15 10
5 15 Crystal Palace 9 3 6 1.2 1.6 1 6 2 11 14 9
6 1 Chelsea 9 4 5 2.6 0.3 7 1 1 23 3 22
7 5 Tottenham 8 3 5 1.1 1.5 5 0 3 9 12 15
8 8 Everton 9 4 5 1.7 1.6 4 2 3 15 14 14
9 19 Newcastle 9 4 5 1.2 2.2 0 4 5 11 20 4
10 20 Norwich 9 4 5 0.2 2.6 0 2 7 2 23 2
11 6 Man United 8 4 4 2.0 1.2 4 2 2 16 10 14
12 9 Arsenal 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 4 2 3 10 13 14
13 14 Watford 9 5 4 1.3 1.9 3 1 5 12 17 10
14 16 Southampton 9 5 4 0.9 1.3 1 5 3 8 12 8
15 17 Leeds 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 1 4 4 8 16 7
16 18 Burnley 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 0 4 5 7 15 4
17 3 Man City 8 5 3 2.0 0.4 5 2 1 16 3 17
18 4 Brighton 8 6 2 1.0 0.6 4 3 1 8 5 15
19 10 Wolves 9 7 2 1.0 1.0 4 1 4 9 9 13
20 11 Brentford 8 6 2 1.2 0.9 3 3 2 10 7 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Chelsea 5 1 4 3.2 0.4 4 0 1 16 2 12
2 7 West Ham 4 0 4 2.0 1.8 1 1 2 8 7 4
3 8 Everton 5 2 3 2.0 1.6 3 0 2 10 8 9
4 9 Arsenal 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
5 17 Leeds 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
6 19 Newcastle 4 1 3 1.8 2.5 0 2 2 7 10 2
7 20 Norwich 4 1 3 0.5 2.0 0 1 3 2 8 1
8 2 Liverpool 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 2 2 0 8 3 8
9 3 Man City 4 2 2 3.0 0.0 3 1 0 12 0 10
10 5 Tottenham 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 3 0 1 4 4 9
11 6 Man United 4 2 2 2.5 1.0 2 1 1 10 4 7
12 12 Leicester 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
13 13 Aston Villa 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7
14 14 Watford 4 2 2 1.0 2.5 1 1 2 4 10 4
15 15 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 1 4 0 7 4 7
16 4 Brighton 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
17 10 Wolves 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 1 0 3 2 5 3
18 11 Brentford 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
19 16 Southampton 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6
20 18 Burnley 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 4 0 4 3.5 0.8 3 1 0 14 3 10
2 12 Leicester 4 0 4 1.5 2.2 1 1 2 6 9 4
3 13 Aston Villa 5 1 4 1.0 2.2 1 0 4 5 11 3
4 15 Crystal Palace 4 0 4 1.0 2.5 0 2 2 4 10 2
5 5 Tottenham 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 2 0 2 5 8 6
6 16 Southampton 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 0 2 2 4 8 2
7 18 Burnley 5 2 3 1.0 2.2 0 2 3 5 11 2
8 6 Man United 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 2 1 1 6 6 7
9 7 West Ham 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 1 0 7 3 10
10 8 Everton 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5
11 14 Watford 5 3 2 1.6 1.4 2 0 3 8 7 6
12 19 Newcastle 5 3 2 0.8 2.0 0 2 3 4 10 2
13 20 Norwich 5 3 2 0.0 3.0 0 1 4 0 15 1
14 1 Chelsea 4 3 1 1.8 0.2 3 1 0 7 1 10
15 3 Man City 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
16 4 Brighton 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 2 2 0 4 2 8
17 9 Arsenal 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 1 1 2 1 7 4
18 10 Wolves 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
19 11 Brentford 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
20 17 Leeds 4 3 1 0.8 2.0 0 2 2 3 8 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51