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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Tierney

Newcastle 1–1 Watford

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2021/2022

Home 2.00 fair 2.58
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.31
Away 3.60 fair 2.63
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.72
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Watford
12 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 6
13 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (195 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.62
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 2–1 8.4% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
0.58points / match
1.00scored / match
2.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 19:42
Watford before this match, all matches
0.72points / match
1.22scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 22:36
Newcastle all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.22
2.21 Goals conceded 2.00
3.21 Total goals 3.22
11.16 Shots 11.06
3.42 Shots on target 4.06
15.21 Shots faced 15.22
4.26 Corners 4.28
4.47 Corners against 6.17
10.05 Fouls 13.56
2.42 Yellow cards 1.83
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.84 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

5% Wins 22%
42% Draws 6%
53% Losses 72%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
95% Over 1.5 goals 72%
53% Over 2.5 goals 56%
42% Over 3.5 goals 44%
21% Over 4.5 goals 33%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
68% Both teams scored 56%
5% Clean sheets 0%
26% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 17%
42% Draws 33%
37% Losses 50%
74% Over 0.5 goals 83%
37% Over 1.5 goals 56%
21% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Watford all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
0.80points / match
1.30scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:22
Watford before this match, away
0.75points / match
1.38scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:14
Newcastle at home away Watford

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.38
2.20 Goals conceded 1.75
3.50 Total goals 3.13
12.60 Shots 10.63
4.00 Shots on target 3.50
15.20 Shots faced 15.13
4.20 Corners 3.88
4.60 Corners against 6.25
10.30 Fouls 14.88
2.00 Yellow cards 1.50
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.90 1st-half goals conceded 1.13

How often Full Time

10% Wins 25%
50% Draws 0%
40% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 63%
60% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 38%
30% Over 4.5 goals 25%
20% Over 5.5 goals 25%
70% Both teams scored 50%
10% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 13%
50% Draws 38%
20% Losses 50%
70% Over 0.5 goals 88%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
30% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.21 Newcastle – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.61 2.30
19.12.21 Newcastle – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 13.007.501.18 – –
16.12.21 Liverpool – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 1.129.0019.00 1.33 3.40
12.12.21 Leicester – Newcastle 4–0 (1–0) 1.664.104.75 1.57 2.37
04.12.21 Newcastle – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 1.96 1.94
30.11.21 Newcastle – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 1.85 2.05
27.11.21 Arsenal – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.61 2.30
20.11.21 Newcastle – Brentford 3–3 (2–2) 2.623.402.70 2.00 1.90
06.11.21 Brighton – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 1.573.906.00 1.90 1.90
30.10.21 Newcastle – Chelsea 0–3 (0–0) 8.505.001.36 1.72 2.10

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.22 Watford – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.61 1.72 2.10
28.12.21 Watford – West Ham 1–4 (1–2) 3.403.602.10 1.72 2.10
10.12.21 Brentford – Watford 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.30 2.01 1.89
04.12.21 Watford – Man City 1–3 (0–2) 12.007.001.20 1.44 2.75
01.12.21 Watford – Chelsea 1–2 (1–1) 10.005.251.30 1.72 2.10
28.11.21 Leicester – Watford 4–2 (3–1) 1.614.005.50 1.66 2.20
20.11.21 Watford – Man United 4–1 (2–0) 6.504.751.45 1.66 2.20
07.11.21 Arsenal – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.50 1.57 2.37
30.10.21 Watford – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.302.30 1.90 1.90
23.10.21 Everton – Watford 2–5 (1–1) 1.653.805.50 2.00 1.80

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.21 Newcastle – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.61 2.30
19.12.21 Newcastle – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 13.007.501.18 – –
04.12.21 Newcastle – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 1.96 1.94
30.11.21 Newcastle – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 1.85 2.05
20.11.21 Newcastle – Brentford 3–3 (2–2) 2.623.402.70 2.00 1.90
30.10.21 Newcastle – Chelsea 0–3 (0–0) 8.505.001.36 1.72 2.10
17.10.21 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–3 (1–3) 3.503.602.05 1.80 2.00
17.09.21 Newcastle – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.602.30 1.61 2.30
28.08.21 Newcastle – Southampton 2–2 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.85 2.05
15.08.21 Newcastle – West Ham 2–4 (2–1) 3.203.502.20 1.99 1.94

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.21 Brentford – Watford 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.30 2.01 1.89
28.11.21 Leicester – Watford 4–2 (3–1) 1.614.005.50 1.66 2.20
07.11.21 Arsenal – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.50 1.57 2.37
23.10.21 Everton – Watford 2–5 (1–1) 1.653.805.50 2.00 1.80
02.10.21 Leeds – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.66 2.20
18.09.21 Norwich – Watford 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.72
29.08.21 Tottenham – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
21.08.21 Brighton – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.703.505.75 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsWatford wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.09.21E0 Watford – Newcastle 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 22 18 2 2 54 13 +41 56
2 Chelsea 22 12 7 3 45 17 +28 43
3 Liverpool 20 12 6 2 52 18 +34 42
4 West Ham 21 11 4 6 39 27 +12 37
5 Arsenal 20 11 2 7 33 25 +8 35
6 Tottenham 18 10 3 5 23 20 +3 33
7 Man United 19 9 4 6 30 27 +3 31
8 Brighton 20 6 10 4 21 21 0 28
9 Wolves 19 8 4 7 14 14 0 28
10 Leicester 18 7 4 7 31 33 -2 25
11 Crystal Palace 21 5 9 7 30 31 -1 24
12 Southampton 20 5 9 6 24 30 -6 24
13 Brentford 20 6 5 9 24 30 -6 23
14 Aston Villa 19 7 1 11 25 30 -5 22
15 Everton 18 5 4 9 23 32 -9 19
16 Leeds 19 4 7 8 21 37 -16 19
17 Watford 18 4 1 13 22 36 -14 13
18 Burnley 17 1 8 8 16 27 -11 11
19 Newcastle 19 1 8 10 19 42 -23 11
20 Norwich 20 2 4 14 8 44 -36 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 11 9 1 1 32 6 +26 28
2 Arsenal 10 7 1 2 18 8 +10 22
3 Tottenham 10 7 1 2 16 10 +6 22
4 Liverpool 9 6 3 0 22 6 +16 21
5 Chelsea 11 5 5 1 25 10 +15 20
6 Crystal Palace 11 4 5 2 20 12 +8 17
7 West Ham 10 5 2 3 20 15 +5 17
8 Leicester 9 5 1 3 16 12 +4 16
9 Man United 10 5 1 4 17 15 +2 16
10 Southampton 10 3 6 1 13 9 +4 15
11 Aston Villa 9 4 1 4 15 14 +1 13
12 Brentford 10 4 1 5 12 12 0 13
13 Everton 9 4 1 4 15 16 -1 13
14 Brighton 10 3 4 3 9 10 -1 13
15 Leeds 10 3 4 3 13 16 -3 13
16 Wolves 9 3 2 4 5 7 -2 11
17 Newcastle 10 1 5 4 13 22 -9 8
18 Burnley 7 1 4 2 8 8 0 7
19 Watford 10 2 1 7 11 22 -11 7
20 Norwich 10 1 2 7 5 19 -14 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 11 9 1 1 22 7 +15 28
2 Chelsea 11 7 2 2 20 7 +13 23
3 Liverpool 11 6 3 2 30 12 +18 21
4 West Ham 11 6 2 3 19 12 +7 20
5 Wolves 10 5 2 3 9 7 +2 17
6 Man United 9 4 3 2 13 12 +1 15
7 Brighton 10 3 6 1 12 11 +1 15
8 Arsenal 10 4 1 5 15 17 -2 13
9 Tottenham 8 3 2 3 7 10 -3 11
10 Brentford 10 2 4 4 12 18 -6 10
11 Leicester 9 2 3 4 15 21 -6 9
12 Aston Villa 10 3 0 7 10 16 -6 9
13 Southampton 10 2 3 5 11 21 -10 9
14 Crystal Palace 10 1 4 5 10 19 -9 7
15 Watford 8 2 0 6 11 14 -3 6
16 Everton 9 1 3 5 8 16 -8 6
17 Leeds 9 1 3 5 8 21 -13 6
18 Norwich 10 1 2 7 3 25 -22 5
19 Burnley 10 0 4 6 8 19 -11 4
20 Newcastle 9 0 3 6 6 20 -14 3

Newcastle   Watford

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Liverpool 20 5 15 2.6 0.9 12 6 2 52 18 42
2 4 West Ham 21 8 13 1.9 1.3 11 4 6 39 27 37
3 10 Leicester 18 5 13 1.7 1.8 7 4 7 31 33 25
4 11 Crystal Palace 21 8 13 1.4 1.5 5 9 7 30 31 24
5 1 Man City 22 10 12 2.5 0.6 18 2 2 54 13 56
6 2 Chelsea 22 10 12 2.0 0.8 12 7 3 45 17 43
7 14 Aston Villa 19 7 12 1.3 1.6 7 1 11 25 30 22
8 5 Arsenal 20 9 11 1.6 1.2 11 2 7 33 25 35
9 12 Southampton 20 9 11 1.2 1.5 5 9 6 24 30 24
10 15 Everton 18 7 11 1.3 1.8 5 4 9 23 32 19
11 16 Leeds 19 8 11 1.1 1.9 4 7 8 21 37 19
12 20 Norwich 20 9 11 0.4 2.2 2 4 14 8 44 10
13 6 Tottenham 18 8 10 1.3 1.1 10 3 5 23 20 33
14 13 Brentford 20 10 10 1.2 1.5 6 5 9 24 30 23
15 17 Watford 18 8 10 1.2 2.0 4 1 13 22 36 13
16 19 Newcastle 19 9 10 1.0 2.2 1 8 10 19 42 11
17 7 Man United 19 10 9 1.6 1.4 9 4 6 30 27 31
18 18 Burnley 17 9 8 0.9 1.6 1 8 8 16 27 11
19 8 Brighton 20 15 5 1.1 1.1 6 10 4 21 21 28
20 9 Wolves 19 16 3 0.7 0.7 8 4 7 14 14 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 West Ham 10 3 7 2.0 1.5 5 2 3 20 15 17
2 6 Tottenham 10 3 7 1.6 1.0 7 1 2 16 10 22
3 11 Crystal Palace 11 4 7 1.8 1.1 4 5 2 20 12 17
4 1 Man City 11 5 6 2.9 0.5 9 1 1 32 6 28
5 2 Chelsea 11 5 6 2.3 0.9 5 5 1 25 10 20
6 3 Liverpool 9 3 6 2.4 0.7 6 3 0 22 6 21
7 14 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.7 1.6 4 1 4 15 14 13
8 15 Everton 9 3 6 1.7 1.8 4 1 4 15 16 13
9 16 Leeds 10 4 6 1.3 1.6 3 4 3 13 16 13
10 17 Watford 10 4 6 1.1 2.2 2 1 7 11 22 7
11 19 Newcastle 10 4 6 1.3 2.2 1 5 4 13 22 8
12 20 Norwich 10 4 6 0.5 1.9 1 2 7 5 19 5
13 5 Arsenal 10 5 5 1.8 0.8 7 1 2 18 8 22
14 7 Man United 10 5 5 1.7 1.5 5 1 4 17 15 16
15 10 Leicester 9 4 5 1.8 1.3 5 1 3 16 12 16
16 13 Brentford 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 4 1 5 12 12 13
17 12 Southampton 10 7 3 1.3 0.9 3 6 1 13 9 15
18 18 Burnley 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 1 4 2 8 8 7
19 8 Brighton 10 8 2 0.9 1.0 3 4 3 9 10 13
20 9 Wolves 9 7 2 0.6 0.8 3 2 4 5 7 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Liverpool 11 2 9 2.7 1.1 6 3 2 30 12 21
2 10 Leicester 9 1 8 1.7 2.3 2 3 4 15 21 9
3 12 Southampton 10 2 8 1.1 2.1 2 3 5 11 21 9
4 1 Man City 11 5 6 2.0 0.6 9 1 1 22 7 28
5 2 Chelsea 11 5 6 1.8 0.6 7 2 2 20 7 23
6 4 West Ham 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 6 2 3 19 12 20
7 5 Arsenal 10 4 6 1.5 1.7 4 1 5 15 17 13
8 11 Crystal Palace 10 4 6 1.0 1.9 1 4 5 10 19 7
9 14 Aston Villa 10 4 6 1.0 1.6 3 0 7 10 16 9
10 13 Brentford 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 2 4 4 12 18 10
11 15 Everton 9 4 5 0.9 1.8 1 3 5 8 16 6
12 16 Leeds 9 4 5 0.9 2.3 1 3 5 8 21 6
13 18 Burnley 10 5 5 0.8 1.9 0 4 6 8 19 4
14 20 Norwich 10 5 5 0.3 2.5 1 2 7 3 25 5
15 7 Man United 9 5 4 1.4 1.3 4 3 2 13 12 15
16 17 Watford 8 4 4 1.4 1.8 2 0 6 11 14 6
17 19 Newcastle 9 5 4 0.7 2.2 0 3 6 6 20 3
18 6 Tottenham 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 3 2 3 7 10 11
19 8 Brighton 10 7 3 1.2 1.1 3 6 1 12 11 15
20 9 Wolves 10 9 1 0.9 0.7 5 2 3 9 7 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51