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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Moss

Aston Villa 1–2 Liverpool

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2021/2022

Home 7.50 fair 4.77
Draw 4.75 fair 4.70
Away ✓ 1.40 fair 1.73
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.61 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Liverpool
9 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 3
10 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (352 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.14 – 2.02
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.9% 1–1 9.8% 0–2 8.6%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.26points / match
1.38scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 47:47
Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.37points / match
2.49scored / match
0.66conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 87:23
Aston Villa all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 2.49
1.38 Goals conceded 0.66
2.76 Total goals 3.14
11.94 Shots 18.86
4.21 Shots on target 6.77
12.06 Shots faced 7.89
5.26 Corners 7.66
5.74 Corners against 3.17
10.53 Fouls 9.69
2.21 Yellow cards 1.40
0.56 1st-half goals scored 1.17
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

38% Wins 71%
12% Draws 23%
50% Losses 6%
97% Over 0.5 goals 100%
76% Over 1.5 goals 83%
59% Over 2.5 goals 60%
29% Over 3.5 goals 49%
12% Over 4.5 goals 17%
3% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 37%
32% Clean sheets 60%
24% Failed to score 3%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 60%
35% Draws 37%
35% Losses 3%
76% Over 0.5 goals 77%
35% Over 1.5 goals 43%
6% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Liverpool all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.31points / match
1.63scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 26:25
Liverpool before this match, away
2.18points / match
2.41scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 41:15
Aston Villa at home away Liverpool

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 2.41
1.56 Goals conceded 0.88
3.19 Total goals 3.29
11.94 Shots 16.76
4.31 Shots on target 6.41
11.38 Shots faced 8.82
4.63 Corners 7.12
5.75 Corners against 3.18
9.88 Fouls 10.18
1.88 Yellow cards 1.59
0.69 1st-half goals scored 1.24
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

38% Wins 65%
19% Draws 24%
44% Losses 12%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 76%
63% Over 2.5 goals 65%
44% Over 3.5 goals 53%
19% Over 4.5 goals 29%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
50% Both teams scored 41%
31% Clean sheets 53%
19% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 53%
44% Draws 41%
31% Losses 6%
75% Over 0.5 goals 82%
44% Over 1.5 goals 53%
13% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.22 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.302.40 2.07 1.83
30.04.22 Aston Villa – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 1.404.509.00 1.66 2.20
23.04.22 Leicester – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.05
09.04.22 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–1) 3.203.402.25 1.86 2.04
02.04.22 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–1 (2–0) 3.003.102.55 2.37 1.57
19.03.22 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.302.40 1.92 1.98
13.03.22 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.01 1.89
10.03.22 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.72 2.10
05.03.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 4–0 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.86 2.04
26.02.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.50 2.10 1.72

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.22 Liverpool – Tottenham 1–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.53 2.50
30.04.22 Newcastle – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.36 1.66 2.20
24.04.22 Liverpool – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.44 2.75
19.04.22 Liverpool – Man United 4–0 (2–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.62
10.04.22 Man City – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.72 2.10
02.04.22 Liverpool – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.5017.00 1.36 3.20
16.03.22 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 3.504.001.90 1.72 2.10
12.03.22 Brighton – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.331.50 1.72 2.10
05.03.22 Liverpool – West Ham 1–0 (1–0) 1.285.759.50 1.50 2.62
23.02.22 Liverpool – Leeds 6–0 (3–0) 1.168.0015.00 1.28 3.75

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.04.22 Aston Villa – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 1.404.509.00 1.66 2.20
09.04.22 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–1) 3.203.402.25 1.86 2.04
19.03.22 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.302.40 1.92 1.98
05.03.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 4–0 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.86 2.04
19.02.22 Aston Villa – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.653.605.75 2.01 1.89
09.02.22 Aston Villa – Leeds 3–3 (3–2) 1.803.804.20 1.72 2.10
15.01.22 Aston Villa – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.873.502.40 1.89 2.01
26.12.21 Aston Villa – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 5.253.801.65 2.05 1.85
05.12.21 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 2.373.403.00 1.90 2.00
01.12.21 Aston Villa – Man City 1–2 (0–2) 9.005.251.33 1.61 2.30

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.04.22 Newcastle – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.36 1.66 2.20
10.04.22 Man City – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.72 2.10
16.03.22 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 3.504.001.90 1.72 2.10
12.03.22 Brighton – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.331.50 1.72 2.10
13.02.22 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 10.005.251.28 1.57 2.37
23.01.22 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 6.004.201.53 1.72 2.10
02.01.22 Chelsea – Liverpool 2–2 (2–2) 3.103.502.25 1.83 2.07
28.12.21 Leicester – Liverpool 1–0 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.30 3.50
19.12.21 Tottenham – Liverpool 2–2 (1–1) 5.254.751.53 1.66 2.20
04.12.21 Wolves – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 8.004.751.40 1.66 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsLiverpool wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.21E0 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 35 27 5 3 89 21 +68 86
2 Liverpool 35 25 8 2 87 23 +64 83
3 Chelsea 35 19 10 6 70 31 +39 67
4 Arsenal 35 21 3 11 56 42 +14 66
5 Tottenham 35 19 5 11 60 40 +20 62
6 Man United 37 16 10 11 57 56 +1 58
7 West Ham 36 16 7 13 57 46 +11 55
8 Wolves 35 15 5 15 35 34 +1 50
9 Brighton 36 11 14 11 38 42 -4 47
10 Crystal Palace 35 10 14 11 46 42 +4 44
11 Aston Villa 34 13 4 17 47 47 0 43
12 Brentford 36 12 7 17 44 52 -8 43
13 Newcastle 36 11 10 15 40 61 -21 43
14 Leicester 34 11 9 14 49 56 -7 42
15 Southampton 36 9 13 14 41 61 -20 40
16 Everton 34 10 5 19 37 56 -19 35
17 Burnley 35 7 13 15 32 49 -17 34
18 Leeds 35 8 10 17 39 74 -35 34
19 Watford 35 6 4 25 32 70 -38 22
20 Norwich 35 5 6 24 22 75 -53 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 4 0 46 8 +38 46
2 Man City 18 14 2 2 55 13 +42 44
3 Arsenal 18 12 2 4 30 16 +14 38
4 Man United 19 10 5 4 32 22 +10 35
5 Tottenham 17 11 1 5 34 19 +15 34
6 West Ham 18 9 4 5 31 24 +7 31
7 Chelsea 17 8 6 3 34 20 +14 30
8 Leicester 17 8 4 5 27 22 +5 28
9 Newcastle 18 7 6 5 24 27 -3 27
10 Crystal Palace 18 6 8 4 26 17 +9 26
11 Everton 17 8 2 7 22 20 +2 26
12 Southampton 18 6 7 5 22 22 0 25
13 Brentford 18 7 3 8 21 19 +2 24
14 Wolves 17 7 2 8 18 19 -1 23
15 Aston Villa 16 6 3 7 26 25 +1 21
16 Burnley 18 5 6 7 17 23 -6 21
17 Brighton 18 4 7 7 16 22 -6 19
18 Leeds 17 4 5 8 18 34 -16 17
19 Norwich 18 3 3 12 12 38 -26 12
20 Watford 17 2 1 14 16 41 -25 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 17 13 3 1 34 8 +26 42
2 Liverpool 17 11 4 2 41 15 +26 37
3 Chelsea 18 11 4 3 36 11 +25 37
4 Tottenham 18 8 4 6 26 21 +5 28
5 Brighton 18 7 7 4 22 20 +2 28
6 Arsenal 17 9 1 7 26 26 0 28
7 Wolves 18 8 3 7 17 15 +2 27
8 West Ham 18 7 3 8 26 22 +4 24
9 Man United 18 6 5 7 25 34 -9 23
10 Aston Villa 18 7 1 10 21 22 -1 22
11 Brentford 18 5 4 9 23 33 -10 19
12 Crystal Palace 17 4 6 7 20 25 -5 18
13 Leeds 18 4 5 9 21 40 -19 17
14 Newcastle 18 4 4 10 16 34 -18 16
15 Watford 18 4 3 11 16 29 -13 15
16 Southampton 18 3 6 9 19 39 -20 15
17 Leicester 17 3 5 9 22 34 -12 14
18 Burnley 17 2 7 8 15 26 -11 13
19 Everton 17 2 3 12 15 36 -21 9
20 Norwich 17 2 3 12 10 37 -27 9

Aston Villa   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Leeds 35 12 23 1.1 2.1 8 10 17 39 74 34
2 2 Liverpool 35 14 21 2.5 0.7 25 8 2 87 23 83
3 14 Leicester 34 13 21 1.4 1.6 11 9 14 49 56 42
4 20 Norwich 35 14 21 0.6 2.1 5 6 24 22 75 21
5 1 Man City 35 15 20 2.5 0.6 27 5 3 89 21 86
6 4 Arsenal 35 15 20 1.6 1.2 21 3 11 56 42 66
7 5 Tottenham 35 15 20 1.7 1.1 19 5 11 60 40 62
8 7 West Ham 36 16 20 1.6 1.3 16 7 13 57 46 55
9 11 Aston Villa 34 14 20 1.4 1.4 13 4 17 47 47 43
10 12 Brentford 36 16 20 1.2 1.4 12 7 17 44 52 43
11 15 Southampton 36 16 20 1.1 1.7 9 13 14 41 61 40
12 6 Man United 37 18 19 1.5 1.5 16 10 11 57 56 58
13 19 Watford 35 16 19 0.9 2.0 6 4 25 32 70 22
14 3 Chelsea 35 17 18 2.0 0.9 19 10 6 70 31 67
15 10 Crystal Palace 35 17 18 1.3 1.2 10 14 11 46 42 44
16 16 Everton 34 16 18 1.1 1.6 10 5 19 37 56 35
17 13 Newcastle 36 19 17 1.1 1.7 11 10 15 40 61 43
18 17 Burnley 35 22 13 0.9 1.4 7 13 15 32 49 34
19 8 Wolves 35 23 12 1.0 1.0 15 5 15 35 34 50
20 9 Brighton 36 24 12 1.1 1.2 11 14 11 38 42 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 18 6 12 3.1 0.7 14 2 2 55 13 44
2 5 Tottenham 17 5 12 2.0 1.1 11 1 5 34 19 34
3 19 Watford 17 5 12 0.9 2.4 2 1 14 16 41 7
4 20 Norwich 18 6 12 0.7 2.1 3 3 12 12 38 12
5 7 West Ham 18 7 11 1.7 1.3 9 4 5 31 24 31
6 18 Leeds 17 6 11 1.1 2.0 4 5 8 18 34 17
7 2 Liverpool 18 8 10 2.6 0.4 14 4 0 46 8 46
8 4 Arsenal 18 8 10 1.7 0.9 12 2 4 30 16 38
9 11 Aston Villa 16 6 10 1.6 1.6 6 3 7 26 25 21
10 14 Leicester 17 7 10 1.6 1.3 8 4 5 27 22 28
11 3 Chelsea 17 8 9 2.0 1.2 8 6 3 34 20 30
12 10 Crystal Palace 18 9 9 1.4 0.9 6 8 4 26 17 26
13 13 Newcastle 18 9 9 1.3 1.5 7 6 5 24 27 27
14 6 Man United 19 11 8 1.7 1.2 10 5 4 32 22 35
15 8 Wolves 17 9 8 1.1 1.1 7 2 8 18 19 23
16 12 Brentford 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 7 3 8 21 19 24
17 15 Southampton 18 11 7 1.2 1.2 6 7 5 22 22 25
18 16 Everton 17 10 7 1.3 1.2 8 2 7 22 20 26
19 17 Burnley 18 12 6 0.9 1.3 5 6 7 17 23 21
20 9 Brighton 18 13 5 0.9 1.2 4 7 7 16 22 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Southampton 18 5 13 1.1 2.2 3 6 9 19 39 15
2 12 Brentford 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 5 4 9 23 33 19
3 18 Leeds 18 6 12 1.2 2.2 4 5 9 21 40 17
4 2 Liverpool 17 6 11 2.4 0.9 11 4 2 41 15 37
5 6 Man United 18 7 11 1.4 1.9 6 5 7 25 34 23
6 14 Leicester 17 6 11 1.3 2.0 3 5 9 22 34 14
7 16 Everton 17 6 11 0.9 2.1 2 3 12 15 36 9
8 4 Arsenal 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 9 1 7 26 26 28
9 11 Aston Villa 18 8 10 1.2 1.2 7 1 10 21 22 22
10 3 Chelsea 18 9 9 2.0 0.6 11 4 3 36 11 37
11 7 West Ham 18 9 9 1.4 1.2 7 3 8 26 22 24
12 10 Crystal Palace 17 8 9 1.2 1.5 4 6 7 20 25 18
13 20 Norwich 17 8 9 0.6 2.2 2 3 12 10 37 9
14 1 Man City 17 9 8 2.0 0.5 13 3 1 34 8 42
15 5 Tottenham 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 8 4 6 26 21 28
16 13 Newcastle 18 10 8 0.9 1.9 4 4 10 16 34 16
17 9 Brighton 18 11 7 1.2 1.1 7 7 4 22 20 28
18 17 Burnley 17 10 7 0.9 1.5 2 7 8 15 26 13
19 19 Watford 18 11 7 0.9 1.6 4 3 11 16 29 15
20 8 Wolves 18 14 4 0.9 0.8 8 3 7 17 15 27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06