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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Arsenal 1–3 Man City

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.90 fair 2.13
Draw 3.50 fair 4.34
Away ✓ 2.35 fair 3.32
Under 2.5 2.02 fair 2.60
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Man City
10 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 6
1 Corners 3
11 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (220 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.79 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 7.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.43points / match
2.19scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 46:18
Man City before this match, all matches
2.18points / match
2.55scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 56:22
Arsenal all matches all matches Man City

Per match

2.19 Goals scored 2.55
0.86 Goals conceded 1.00
3.05 Total goals 3.55
16.48 Shots 16.68
5.57 Shots on target 5.95
8.71 Shots faced 7.55
5.71 Corners 6.64
4.19 Corners against 2.55
10.14 Fouls 8.91
1.62 Yellow cards 1.05
0.90 1st-half goals scored 1.18
0.24 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

76% Wins 68%
14% Draws 14%
10% Losses 18%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 82%
57% Over 2.5 goals 68%
38% Over 3.5 goals 45%
24% Over 4.5 goals 23%
10% Over 5.5 goals 23%
52% Both teams scored 55%
43% Clean sheets 36%
10% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 50%
38% Draws 32%
10% Losses 18%
71% Over 0.5 goals 77%
38% Over 1.5 goals 55%
5% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Man City all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.60points / match
2.60scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 26:11
Man City before this match, away
1.70points / match
1.50scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:9
Arsenal at home away Man City

Per match

2.60 Goals scored 1.50
1.10 Goals conceded 0.90
3.70 Total goals 2.40
20.10 Shots 15.30
7.10 Shots on target 5.20
7.20 Shots faced 8.70
7.40 Corners 5.10
3.40 Corners against 3.10
10.10 Fouls 8.50
1.30 Yellow cards 1.10
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

80% Wins 50%
20% Draws 20%
0% Losses 30%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 60%
80% Over 2.5 goals 40%
60% Over 3.5 goals 20%
40% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
80% Both teams scored 40%
20% Clean sheets 40%
10% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 30%
50% Draws 50%
10% Losses 20%
70% Over 0.5 goals 50%
40% Over 1.5 goals 20%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Arsenal – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.73 2.10
04.02.23 Everton – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 8.504.501.40 1.87 2.03
22.01.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
15.01.23 Tottenham – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
03.01.23 Arsenal – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
31.12.22 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
26.12.22 Arsenal – West Ham 3–1 (0–1) 1.504.336.50 1.73 2.10
12.11.22 Wolves – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.00
06.11.22 Chelsea – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.70 1.93 1.97
30.10.22 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.50 2.62

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
05.02.23 Tottenham – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.334.201.73 1.67 2.20
22.01.23 Man City – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.208.0011.00 1.50 2.63
19.01.23 Man City – Tottenham 4–2 (0–2) 1.365.008.50 1.53 2.50
14.01.23 Man United – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.73 2.10
05.01.23 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
31.12.22 Man City – Everton 1–1 (1–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.36 3.20
28.12.22 Leeds – Man City 1–3 (0–1) 9.506.001.29 1.44 2.75
12.11.22 Man City – Brentford 1–2 (1–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.36 3.20
05.11.22 Man City – Fulham 2–1 (1–1) 1.119.5019.00 1.28 3.75

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Arsenal – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.73 2.10
22.01.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
03.01.23 Arsenal – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
26.12.22 Arsenal – West Ham 3–1 (0–1) 1.504.336.50 1.73 2.10
30.10.22 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.50 2.62
09.10.22 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.602.62 1.57 2.37
01.10.22 Arsenal – Tottenham 3–1 (1–1) 2.053.753.30 1.72 2.10
31.08.22 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.506.00 1.72 2.10
27.08.22 Arsenal – Fulham 2–1 (0–0) 1.305.759.00 1.50 2.62
13.08.22 Arsenal – Leicester 4–2 (2–0) 1.534.335.75 1.66 2.20

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.02.23 Tottenham – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.334.201.73 1.67 2.20
14.01.23 Man United – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.73 2.10
05.01.23 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
28.12.22 Leeds – Man City 1–3 (0–1) 9.506.001.29 1.44 2.75
29.10.22 Leicester – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 10.006.501.25 1.44 2.75
16.10.22 Liverpool – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 3.604.001.90 1.44 2.75
17.09.22 Wolves – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 9.505.001.33 1.57 2.37
03.09.22 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
21.08.22 Newcastle – Man City 3–3 (2–1) 7.505.001.36 1.66 2.20
07.08.22 West Ham – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsMan City wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.22E0 Arsenal – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 5.754.751.50 1.57 2.37
28.08.21E0 Man City – Arsenal 5–0 (3–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 21 16 3 2 46 18 +28 51
2 Man City 22 15 3 4 56 22 +34 48
3 Man United 23 14 4 5 38 28 +10 46
4 Newcastle 22 10 11 1 35 13 +22 41
5 Tottenham 23 12 3 8 42 35 +7 39
6 Brighton 21 10 5 6 39 28 +11 35
7 Fulham 23 10 5 8 34 30 +4 35
8 Brentford 22 8 10 4 36 29 +7 34
9 Liverpool 21 9 5 7 36 28 +8 32
10 Chelsea 22 8 7 7 23 22 +1 31
11 Aston Villa 22 8 4 10 26 34 -8 28
12 Crystal Palace 22 6 7 9 20 30 -10 25
13 Leicester 22 7 3 12 36 38 -2 24
14 Nott'm Forest 22 6 6 10 17 37 -20 24
15 Wolves 22 6 5 11 17 31 -14 23
16 West Ham 22 5 5 12 19 27 -8 20
17 Leeds 22 4 7 11 28 38 -10 19
18 Everton 22 4 6 12 16 30 -14 18
19 Bournemouth 22 4 6 12 20 44 -24 18
20 Southampton 22 4 3 15 18 40 -22 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 12 10 1 1 41 13 +28 31
2 Arsenal 10 8 2 0 26 11 +15 26
3 Man United 11 8 2 1 21 8 +13 26
4 Liverpool 11 7 3 1 25 9 +16 24
5 Newcastle 11 6 5 0 19 6 +13 23
6 Brentford 11 6 4 1 23 10 +13 22
7 Tottenham 11 7 0 4 22 15 +7 21
8 Fulham 12 6 3 3 20 16 +4 21
9 Chelsea 10 5 3 2 13 7 +6 18
10 Nott'm Forest 11 5 3 3 14 12 +2 18
11 Brighton 10 5 2 3 17 10 +7 17
12 Aston Villa 11 5 2 4 17 15 +2 17
13 Crystal Palace 12 4 4 4 12 17 -5 16
14 West Ham 11 4 2 5 12 13 -1 14
15 Wolves 11 4 2 5 9 14 -5 14
16 Leeds 11 3 4 4 15 16 -1 13
17 Bournemouth 11 3 4 4 11 12 -1 13
18 Leicester 11 3 3 5 15 13 +2 12
19 Everton 11 3 2 6 10 14 -4 11
20 Southampton 11 1 3 7 10 19 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 8 1 2 20 7 +13 25
2 Man United 12 6 2 4 17 20 -3 20
3 Newcastle 11 4 6 1 16 7 +9 18
4 Brighton 11 5 3 3 22 18 +4 18
5 Tottenham 12 5 3 4 20 20 0 18
6 Man City 10 5 2 3 15 9 +6 17
7 Fulham 11 4 2 5 14 14 0 14
8 Chelsea 12 3 4 5 10 15 -5 13
9 Leicester 11 4 0 7 21 25 -4 12
10 Brentford 11 2 6 3 13 19 -6 12
11 Aston Villa 11 3 2 6 9 19 -10 11
12 Crystal Palace 10 2 3 5 8 13 -5 9
13 Wolves 11 2 3 6 8 17 -9 9
14 Southampton 11 3 0 8 8 21 -13 9
15 Liverpool 10 2 2 6 11 19 -8 8
16 Everton 11 1 4 6 6 16 -10 7
17 West Ham 11 1 3 7 7 14 -7 6
18 Leeds 11 1 3 7 13 22 -9 6
19 Nott'm Forest 11 1 3 7 3 25 -22 6
20 Bournemouth 11 1 2 8 9 32 -23 5

Arsenal   Man City

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Fulham 23 7 16 1.5 1.3 10 5 8 34 30 35
2 2 Man City 22 7 15 2.5 1.0 15 3 4 56 22 48
3 3 Man United 23 9 14 1.7 1.2 14 4 5 38 28 46
4 9 Liverpool 21 7 14 1.7 1.3 9 5 7 36 28 32
5 13 Leicester 22 8 14 1.6 1.7 7 3 12 36 38 24
6 5 Tottenham 23 10 13 1.8 1.5 12 3 8 42 35 39
7 6 Brighton 21 8 13 1.9 1.3 10 5 6 39 28 35
8 17 Leeds 22 9 13 1.3 1.7 4 7 11 28 38 19
9 20 Southampton 22 9 13 0.8 1.8 4 3 15 18 40 15
10 1 Arsenal 21 9 12 2.2 0.9 16 3 2 46 18 51
11 8 Brentford 22 10 12 1.6 1.3 8 10 4 36 29 34
12 11 Aston Villa 22 10 12 1.2 1.5 8 4 10 26 34 28
13 12 Crystal Palace 22 12 10 0.9 1.4 6 7 9 20 30 25
14 15 Wolves 22 12 10 0.8 1.4 6 5 11 17 31 23
15 19 Bournemouth 22 12 10 0.9 2.0 4 6 12 20 44 18
16 10 Chelsea 22 13 9 1.0 1.0 8 7 7 23 22 31
17 4 Newcastle 22 14 8 1.6 0.6 10 11 1 35 13 41
18 18 Everton 22 14 8 0.7 1.4 4 6 12 16 30 18
19 14 Nott'm Forest 22 15 7 0.8 1.7 6 6 10 17 37 24
20 16 West Ham 22 17 5 0.9 1.2 5 5 12 19 27 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 12 1 11 3.4 1.1 10 1 1 41 13 31
2 7 Fulham 12 3 9 1.7 1.3 6 3 3 20 16 21
3 1 Arsenal 10 2 8 2.6 1.1 8 2 0 26 11 26
4 3 Man United 11 3 8 1.9 0.7 8 2 1 21 8 26
5 5 Tottenham 11 5 6 2.0 1.4 7 0 4 22 15 21
6 8 Brentford 11 5 6 2.1 0.9 6 4 1 23 10 22
7 9 Liverpool 11 5 6 2.3 0.8 7 3 1 25 9 24
8 11 Aston Villa 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 5 2 4 17 15 17
9 12 Crystal Palace 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 4 4 4 12 17 16
10 13 Leicester 11 5 6 1.4 1.2 3 3 5 15 13 12
11 17 Leeds 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 3 4 4 15 16 13
12 20 Southampton 11 5 6 0.9 1.7 1 3 7 10 19 6
13 6 Brighton 10 5 5 1.7 1.0 5 2 3 17 10 17
14 18 Everton 11 6 5 0.9 1.3 3 2 6 10 14 11
15 10 Chelsea 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 5 3 2 13 7 18
16 15 Wolves 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 4 2 5 9 14 14
17 19 Bournemouth 11 7 4 1.0 1.1 3 4 4 11 12 13
18 4 Newcastle 11 8 3 1.7 0.5 6 5 0 19 6 23
19 14 Nott'm Forest 11 8 3 1.3 1.1 5 3 3 14 12 18
20 16 West Ham 11 9 2 1.1 1.2 4 2 5 12 13 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 11 3 8 2.0 1.6 5 3 3 22 18 18
2 9 Liverpool 10 2 8 1.1 1.9 2 2 6 11 19 8
3 13 Leicester 11 3 8 1.9 2.3 4 0 7 21 25 12
4 5 Tottenham 12 5 7 1.7 1.7 5 3 4 20 20 18
5 7 Fulham 11 4 7 1.3 1.3 4 2 5 14 14 14
6 17 Leeds 11 4 7 1.2 2.0 1 3 7 13 22 6
7 20 Southampton 11 4 7 0.7 1.9 3 0 8 8 21 9
8 3 Man United 12 6 6 1.4 1.7 6 2 4 17 20 20
9 8 Brentford 11 5 6 1.2 1.7 2 6 3 13 19 12
10 11 Aston Villa 11 5 6 0.8 1.7 3 2 6 9 19 11
11 15 Wolves 11 5 6 0.7 1.5 2 3 6 8 17 9
12 19 Bournemouth 11 5 6 0.8 2.9 1 2 8 9 32 5
13 4 Newcastle 11 6 5 1.5 0.6 4 6 1 16 7 18
14 10 Chelsea 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 4 5 10 15 13
15 1 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.8 0.6 8 1 2 20 7 25
16 2 Man City 10 6 4 1.5 0.9 5 2 3 15 9 17
17 12 Crystal Palace 10 6 4 0.8 1.3 2 3 5 8 13 9
18 14 Nott'm Forest 11 7 4 0.3 2.3 1 3 7 3 25 6
19 16 West Ham 11 8 3 0.6 1.3 1 3 7 7 14 6
20 18 Everton 11 8 3 0.5 1.5 1 4 6 6 16 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06