Nott'm Forest 1–2 Newcastle – England Premier League, 17 Mar 2023

Match facts

Nott'm Forest Newcastle

5 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 7

17 Fouls 9

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (263 league matches this season so far).

Result Newcastle to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.95

Expected goals 1.04 – 1.40

Home / Draw / Away

28% 27% 45%

Nott'm ForestDrawNewcastle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

56% 44%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.7% 0–1 12.2% 1–0 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches

1.00points / match

0.81scored / match

1.81conceded / match

6 8 12

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 21:47

Newcastle before this match, all matches

1.76points / match

1.48scored / match

0.72conceded / match

11 11 3

WonDrawnLost 25 played · 37:18

Nott'm Forest all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

0.81 Goals scored 1.48

1.81 Goals conceded 0.72

2.62 Total goals 2.20

10.00 Shots 14.04

3.08 Shots on target 5.00

14.54 Shots faced 10.52

3.31 Corners 6.92

6.23 Corners against 4.40

11.08 Fouls 10.40

2.08 Yellow cards 1.76

0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.76

0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.28

How often Full Time

23% Wins 44%

31% Draws 44%

46% Losses 12%

96% Over 0.5 goals 76%

73% Over 1.5 goals 64%

38% Over 2.5 goals 36%

35% Over 3.5 goals 20%

15% Over 4.5 goals 16%

4% Over 5.5 goals 8%

38% Both teams scored 44%

27% Clean sheets 48%

38% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 40%

38% Draws 48%

42% Losses 12%

69% Over 0.5 goals 60%

31% Over 1.5 goals 32%

12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest all matches

1

D

1

W

2

W

1

D

1

W

2

L

1

D

4

L

2

D

1

3

L

Newcastle all matches

3

W

D

1

W

D

1

D

1

D

2

L

2

L

2

1

W

Nott'm Forest before this match, at home

1.54points / match

1.31scored / match

1.15conceded / match

5 5 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 17:15

Newcastle before this match, away

1.50points / match

1.33scored / match

0.75conceded / match

4 6 2

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:9

Nott'm Forest at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 1.33

1.15 Goals conceded 0.75

2.46 Total goals 2.08

10.69 Shots 11.17

3.77 Shots on target 4.33

12.31 Shots faced 12.50

2.46 Corners 6.00

5.31 Corners against 5.67

11.85 Fouls 9.67

2.54 Yellow cards 1.83

0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.92

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

38% Wins 33%

38% Draws 50%

23% Losses 17%

100% Over 0.5 goals 67%

69% Over 1.5 goals 67%

31% Over 2.5 goals 42%

31% Over 3.5 goals 17%

15% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

54% Both teams scored 50%

38% Clean sheets 42%

8% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 42%

38% Draws 42%

31% Losses 17%

77% Over 0.5 goals 67%

31% Over 1.5 goals 33%

8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest at home

2

3

L

1

D

1

W

2

D

1

W

1

D

2

W

1

W

1

D

2

D

Newcastle away

1

2

L

4

1

W

D

2

1

W

4

1

W

3

W

D

1

D

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.23	Tottenham – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (2–0)	1.44	4.75	7.00	1.88	2.05
05.03.23	Nott'm Forest – Everton	2–2 (1–2)	2.70	3.00	2.88	2.50	1.53
25.02.23	West Ham – Nott'm Forest	4–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.60	5.00	2.20	1.67
18.02.23	Nott'm Forest – Man City	1–1 (0–1)	8.50	5.50	1.30	1.62	2.30
11.02.23	Fulham – Nott'm Forest	2–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	4.33	2.10	1.73
05.02.23	Nott'm Forest – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	2.63	3.30	2.70	1.94	1.96
21.01.23	Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest	1–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.10	2.75	2.30	1.62
14.01.23	Nott'm Forest – Leicester	2–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.63	2.03	1.87
04.01.23	Southampton – Nott'm Forest	0–1 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.06	1.84
01.01.23	Nott'm Forest – Chelsea	1–1 (0–1)	5.00	3.80	1.70	2.02	1.91

Newcastle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.23	Newcastle – Wolves	2–1 (1–0)	1.65	3.75	5.50	2.20	1.67
04.03.23	Man City – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.73	2.10
18.02.23	Newcastle – Liverpool	0–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.50	2.70	1.80	2.00
11.02.23	Bournemouth – Newcastle	1–1 (1–1)	6.50	4.00	1.53	2.04	1.86
04.02.23	Newcastle – West Ham	1–1 (1–1)	1.60	3.80	6.00	2.00	1.80
21.01.23	Crystal Palace – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	4.40	3.50	1.85	2.10	1.73
15.01.23	Newcastle – Fulham	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.73	2.10
03.01.23	Arsenal – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.80	4.33	1.80	2.00
31.12.22	Newcastle – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.62	2.30
26.12.22	Leicester – Newcastle	0–3 (0–3)	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.86	2.04

Nott'm Forest at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.03.23	Nott'm Forest – Everton	2–2 (1–2)	2.70	3.00	2.88	2.50	1.53
18.02.23	Nott'm Forest – Man City	1–1 (0–1)	8.50	5.50	1.30	1.62	2.30
05.02.23	Nott'm Forest – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	2.63	3.30	2.70	1.94	1.96
14.01.23	Nott'm Forest – Leicester	2–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.63	2.03	1.87
01.01.23	Nott'm Forest – Chelsea	1–1 (0–1)	5.00	3.80	1.70	2.02	1.91
12.11.22	Nott'm Forest – Crystal Palace	1–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.20	1.66
05.11.22	Nott'm Forest – Brentford	2–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.30	2.60	2.03	1.87
22.10.22	Nott'm Forest – Liverpool	1–0 (0–0)	11.00	6.00	1.25	1.50	2.62
10.10.22	Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.40	2.20	2.03	1.87
16.09.22	Nott'm Forest – Fulham	2–3 (1–0)	2.75	3.30	2.62	1.93	1.97

Newcastle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.23	Man City – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.73	2.10
11.02.23	Bournemouth – Newcastle	1–1 (1–1)	6.50	4.00	1.53	2.04	1.86
21.01.23	Crystal Palace – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	4.40	3.50	1.85	2.10	1.73
03.01.23	Arsenal – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.80	4.33	1.80	2.00
26.12.22	Leicester – Newcastle	0–3 (0–3)	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.86	2.04
06.11.22	Southampton – Newcastle	1–4 (0–1)	4.00	3.60	1.90	1.95	1.95
23.10.22	Tottenham – Newcastle	1–2 (0–2)	2.05	3.50	3.50	1.92	1.98
16.10.22	Man United – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.80	3.50	1.72	2.10
01.10.22	Fulham – Newcastle	1–4 (0–3)	3.00	3.40	2.37	1.91	1.99
31.08.22	Liverpool – Newcastle	2–1 (0–1)	1.33	5.25	9.00	1.50	2.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Nott'm Forest winsDrawsNewcastle wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.08.22E0	Newcastle – Nott'm Forest	2–0 (0–0)	1.66	3.80	5.25	2.05	1.85

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	27	21	3	3	62	25	+37	66
2	Man City	27	19	4	4	67	25	+42	61
3	Man United	26	15	5	6	41	35	+6	50
4	Tottenham	27	15	3	9	49	37	+12	48
5	Newcastle	25	11	11	3	37	18	+19	44
6	Liverpool	26	12	6	8	47	29	+18	42
7	Brighton	25	12	6	7	46	31	+15	42
8	Brentford	26	10	11	5	42	33	+9	41
9	Fulham	27	11	6	10	38	37	+1	39
10	Chelsea	26	10	7	9	27	26	+1	37
11	Aston Villa	26	10	5	11	32	39	-7	35
12	Crystal Palace	27	6	9	12	21	34	-13	27
13	Wolves	27	7	6	14	20	37	-17	27
14	Nott'm Forest	26	6	8	12	21	47	-26	26
15	Everton	27	6	7	14	20	38	-18	25
16	Leicester	26	7	3	16	37	46	-9	24
17	West Ham	26	6	6	14	24	34	-10	24
18	Bournemouth	26	6	6	14	25	51	-26	24
19	Leeds	26	5	8	13	31	42	-11	23
20	Southampton	27	6	4	17	20	43	-23	22

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	13	11	1	1	43	13	+30	34
2	Arsenal	13	10	2	1	34	16	+18	32
3	Liverpool	13	9	3	1	34	9	+25	30
4	Man United	13	9	3	1	24	8	+16	30
5	Tottenham	14	10	0	4	29	16	+13	30
6	Brentford	13	7	5	1	27	13	+14	26
7	Newcastle	13	7	5	1	21	9	+12	26
8	Brighton	13	7	2	4	22	11	+11	23
9	Fulham	14	6	4	4	21	20	+1	22
10	Chelsea	12	6	3	3	14	8	+6	21
11	Nott'm Forest	13	5	5	3	17	15	+2	20
12	Aston Villa	13	6	2	5	20	19	+1	20
13	West Ham	13	5	3	5	17	14	+3	18
14	Leeds	13	4	5	4	18	18	0	17
15	Everton	14	5	2	7	12	16	-4	17
16	Wolves	13	5	2	6	10	15	-5	17
17	Crystal Palace	14	4	5	5	12	18	-6	17
18	Bournemouth	13	4	4	5	13	16	-3	16
19	Leicester	13	3	3	7	16	17	-1	12
20	Southampton	13	2	3	8	11	21	-10	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	14	11	1	2	28	9	+19	34
2	Man City	14	8	3	3	24	12	+12	27
3	Man United	13	6	2	5	17	27	-10	20
4	Brighton	12	5	4	3	24	20	+4	19
5	Newcastle	12	4	6	2	16	9	+7	18
6	Tottenham	13	5	3	5	20	21	-1	18
7	Fulham	13	5	2	6	17	17	0	17
8	Chelsea	14	4	4	6	13	18	-5	16
9	Brentford	13	3	6	4	15	20	-5	15
10	Aston Villa	13	4	3	6	12	20	-8	15
11	Southampton	14	4	1	9	9	22	-13	13
12	Liverpool	13	3	3	7	13	20	-7	12
13	Leicester	13	4	0	9	21	29	-8	12
14	Crystal Palace	13	2	4	7	9	16	-7	10
15	Wolves	14	2	4	8	10	22	-12	10
16	Everton	13	1	5	7	8	22	-14	8
17	Bournemouth	13	2	2	9	12	35	-23	8
18	Leeds	13	1	3	9	13	24	-11	6
19	West Ham	13	1	3	9	7	20	-13	6
20	Nott'm Forest	13	1	3	9	4	32	-28	6

Nott'm Forest Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Fulham	27	9	18	1.4	1.4	11	6	10	38	37	39
2	1	Arsenal	27	10	17	2.3	0.9	21	3	3	62	25	66
3	2	Man City	27	10	17	2.5	0.9	19	4	4	67	25	61
4	3	Man United	26	10	16	1.6	1.3	15	5	6	41	35	50
5	16	Leicester	26	10	16	1.4	1.8	7	3	16	37	46	24
6	6	Liverpool	26	11	15	1.8	1.1	12	6	8	47	29	42
7	7	Brighton	25	10	15	1.8	1.2	12	6	7	46	31	42
8	4	Tottenham	27	13	14	1.8	1.4	15	3	9	49	37	48
9	19	Leeds	26	12	14	1.2	1.6	5	8	13	31	42	23
10	8	Brentford	26	13	13	1.6	1.3	10	11	5	42	33	41
11	11	Aston Villa	26	13	13	1.2	1.5	10	5	11	32	39	35
12	20	Southampton	27	14	13	0.7	1.6	6	4	17	20	43	22
13	18	Bournemouth	26	14	12	1.0	2.0	6	6	14	25	51	24
14	13	Wolves	27	16	11	0.7	1.4	7	6	14	20	37	27
15	10	Chelsea	26	16	10	1.0	1.0	10	7	9	27	26	37
16	12	Crystal Palace	27	17	10	0.8	1.3	6	9	12	21	34	27
17	14	Nott'm Forest	26	16	10	0.8	1.8	6	8	12	21	47	26
18	15	Everton	27	17	10	0.7	1.4	6	7	14	20	38	25
19	5	Newcastle	25	16	9	1.5	0.7	11	11	3	37	18	44
20	17	West Ham	26	19	7	0.9	1.3	6	6	14	24	34	24

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arsenal	13	2	11	2.6	1.2	10	2	1	34	16	32
2	2	Man City	13	2	11	3.3	1.0	11	1	1	43	13	34
3	9	Fulham	14	4	10	1.5	1.4	6	4	4	21	20	22
4	3	Man United	13	4	9	1.8	0.6	9	3	1	24	8	30
5	4	Tottenham	14	7	7	2.1	1.1	10	0	4	29	16	30
6	6	Liverpool	13	6	7	2.6	0.7	9	3	1	34	9	30
7	8	Brentford	13	6	7	2.1	1.0	7	5	1	27	13	26
8	11	Aston Villa	13	6	7	1.5	1.5	6	2	5	20	19	20
9	16	Leicester	13	6	7	1.2	1.3	3	3	7	16	17	12
10	19	Leeds	13	6	7	1.4	1.4	4	5	4	18	18	17
11	7	Brighton	13	7	6	1.7	0.8	7	2	4	22	11	23
12	12	Crystal Palace	14	8	6	0.9	1.3	4	5	5	12	18	17
13	20	Southampton	13	7	6	0.8	1.6	2	3	8	11	21	9
14	15	Everton	14	9	5	0.9	1.1	5	2	7	12	16	17
15	18	Bournemouth	13	8	5	1.0	1.2	4	4	5	13	16	16
16	5	Newcastle	13	9	4	1.6	0.7	7	5	1	21	9	26
17	10	Chelsea	12	8	4	1.2	0.7	6	3	3	14	8	21
18	13	Wolves	13	9	4	0.8	1.2	5	2	6	10	15	17
19	14	Nott'm Forest	13	9	4	1.3	1.2	5	5	3	17	15	20
20	17	West Ham	13	10	3	1.3	1.1	5	3	5	17	14	18

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Brighton	12	3	9	2.0	1.7	5	4	3	24	20	19
2	16	Leicester	13	4	9	1.6	2.2	4	0	9	21	29	12
3	6	Liverpool	13	5	8	1.0	1.5	3	3	7	13	20	12
4	9	Fulham	13	5	8	1.3	1.3	5	2	6	17	17	17
5	3	Man United	13	6	7	1.3	2.1	6	2	5	17	27	20
6	4	Tottenham	13	6	7	1.5	1.6	5	3	5	20	21	18
7	13	Wolves	14	7	7	0.7	1.6	2	4	8	10	22	10
8	18	Bournemouth	13	6	7	0.9	2.7	2	2	9	12	35	8
9	19	Leeds	13	6	7	1.0	1.8	1	3	9	13	24	6
10	20	Southampton	14	7	7	0.6	1.6	4	1	9	9	22	13
11	1	Arsenal	14	8	6	2.0	0.6	11	1	2	28	9	34
12	2	Man City	14	8	6	1.7	0.9	8	3	3	24	12	27
13	8	Brentford	13	7	6	1.2	1.5	3	6	4	15	20	15
14	10	Chelsea	14	8	6	0.9	1.3	4	4	6	13	18	16
15	11	Aston Villa	13	7	6	0.9	1.5	4	3	6	12	20	15
16	14	Nott'm Forest	13	7	6	0.3	2.5	1	3	9	4	32	6
17	5	Newcastle	12	7	5	1.3	0.8	4	6	2	16	9	18
18	15	Everton	13	8	5	0.6	1.7	1	5	7	8	22	8
19	12	Crystal Palace	13	9	4	0.7	1.2	2	4	7	9	16	10
20	17	West Ham	13	9	4	0.5	1.5	1	3	9	7	20	6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.