Chelsea 1–0 Leicester – England Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

Match facts

Chelsea Leicester

20 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 3

12 Corners 2

12 Fouls 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (277 league matches this season so far).

Result Chelsea to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.61

Expected goals 2.36 – 1.16

Home / Draw / Away

64% 19% 17%

ChelseaDrawLeicester

Under / Over 2.5 goals

32% 68%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

38% 62%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

10% 1

18% 2

22% 3

19% 4

28% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 9.6% 2–0 8.2% 1–1 8.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches

1.70points / match

1.93scored / match

1.33conceded / match

13 7 7

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 52:36

Leicester before this match, all matches

0.63points / match

0.93scored / match

2.26conceded / match

4 5 18

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 25:61

Chelsea all matches all matches Leicester

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 0.93

1.33 Goals conceded 2.26

3.26 Total goals 3.19

16.07 Shots 9.19

5.93 Shots on target 3.04

11.15 Shots faced 16.19

5.89 Corners 3.63

3.56 Corners against 6.26

11.74 Fouls 10.81

2.74 Yellow cards 2.30

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.26

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 1.15

How often Full Time

48% Wins 15%

26% Draws 19%

26% Losses 67%

96% Over 0.5 goals 100%

93% Over 1.5 goals 96%

67% Over 2.5 goals 67%

30% Over 3.5 goals 41%

15% Over 4.5 goals 11%

15% Over 5.5 goals 4%

70% Both teams scored 59%

19% Clean sheets 4%

15% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 11%

33% Draws 30%

22% Losses 59%

81% Over 0.5 goals 81%

41% Over 1.5 goals 41%

19% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches

1

2

L

2

L

1

D

2

D

3

1

W

1

3

L

2

1

W

3

L

1

2

L

4

W

Leicester all matches

1

3

L

2

L

1

2

L

2

L

2

L

2

1

W

4

L

2

L

4

L

2

L

Chelsea before this match, at home

1.92points / match

2.00scored / match

1.15conceded / match

7 4 2

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 26:15

Leicester before this match, away

0.62points / match

1.08scored / match

2.62conceded / match

2 2 9

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 14:34

Chelsea at home away Leicester

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.08

1.15 Goals conceded 2.62

3.15 Total goals 3.69

18.08 Shots 9.08

6.85 Shots on target 3.00

11.15 Shots faced 17.15

5.54 Corners 3.54

3.38 Corners against 6.85

11.85 Fouls 10.46

2.85 Yellow cards 2.08

1.15 1st-half goals scored 0.31

0.46 1st-half goals conceded 1.38

How often Full Time

54% Wins 15%

31% Draws 15%

15% Losses 69%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 100%

69% Over 2.5 goals 85%

31% Over 3.5 goals 54%

8% Over 4.5 goals 23%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

77% Both teams scored 69%

15% Clean sheets 0%

8% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 8%

31% Draws 31%

15% Losses 62%

85% Over 0.5 goals 85%

38% Over 1.5 goals 62%

15% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home

1

D

2

1

W

1

D

3

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

2

D

3

1

W

2

1

W

4

W

Leicester away

3

2

W

1

D

3

L

1

4

L

4

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

4

L

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.25	Chelsea – Southampton	4–0 (3–0)	1.17	8.00	13.00	1.29	3.75
22.02.25	Aston Villa – Chelsea	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.40	2.60	1.57	2.38
14.02.25	Brighton – Chelsea	3–0 (2–0)	2.70	3.60	2.45	1.57	2.38
03.02.25	Chelsea – West Ham	2–1 (0–1)	1.36	4.75	8.00	1.40	3.00
25.01.25	Man City – Chelsea	3–1 (1–1)	2.05	4.00	3.30	1.40	3.00
20.01.25	Chelsea – Wolves	3–1 (1–1)	1.36	5.75	6.50	1.36	3.20
14.01.25	Chelsea – Bournemouth	2–2 (1–0)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.40	3.00
04.01.25	Crystal Palace – Chelsea	1–1 (0–1)	3.80	3.75	1.91	1.57	2.38
30.12.24	Ipswich – Chelsea	2–0 (1–0)	6.50	4.75	1.42	1.44	2.75
26.12.24	Chelsea – Fulham	1–2 (1–0)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.44	2.75

Leicester all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.02.25	West Ham – Leicester	2–0 (2–0)	1.62	4.20	5.00	1.73	2.10
21.02.25	Leicester – Brentford	0–4 (0–3)	3.60	3.80	1.91	1.57	2.38
15.02.25	Leicester – Arsenal	0–2 (0–0)	8.50	5.00	1.33	1.73	2.10
01.02.25	Everton – Leicester	4–0 (3–0)	1.75	3.75	4.50	2.04	1.86
26.01.25	Tottenham – Leicester	1–2 (1–0)	1.45	5.50	5.50	1.33	3.40
18.01.25	Leicester – Fulham	0–2 (0–0)	4.33	3.70	1.80	1.73	2.10
15.01.25	Leicester – Crystal Palace	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.60	1.91	1.73	2.10
04.01.25	Aston Villa – Leicester	2–1 (0–0)	1.33	5.50	8.50	1.50	2.63
29.12.24	Leicester – Man City	0–2 (0–1)	7.50	5.50	1.36	1.36	3.20
26.12.24	Liverpool – Leicester	3–1 (1–1)	1.08	12.00	23.00	1.20	4.50

Chelsea at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.25	Chelsea – Southampton	4–0 (3–0)	1.17	8.00	13.00	1.29	3.75
03.02.25	Chelsea – West Ham	2–1 (0–1)	1.36	4.75	8.00	1.40	3.00
20.01.25	Chelsea – Wolves	3–1 (1–1)	1.36	5.75	6.50	1.36	3.20
14.01.25	Chelsea – Bournemouth	2–2 (1–0)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.40	3.00
26.12.24	Chelsea – Fulham	1–2 (1–0)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.44	2.75
15.12.24	Chelsea – Brentford	2–1 (1–0)	1.33	6.00	7.50	1.33	3.40
01.12.24	Chelsea – Aston Villa	3–0 (2–0)	1.70	4.10	4.50	1.53	2.50
10.11.24	Chelsea – Arsenal	1–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.55	1.73	2.10
27.10.24	Chelsea – Newcastle	2–1 (1–1)	1.73	4.33	4.20	1.44	2.75
06.10.24	Chelsea – Nott'm Forest	1–1 (0–0)	1.48	4.50	6.50	1.57	2.38

Leicester away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.02.25	West Ham – Leicester	2–0 (2–0)	1.62	4.20	5.00	1.73	2.10
01.02.25	Everton – Leicester	4–0 (3–0)	1.75	3.75	4.50	2.04	1.86
26.01.25	Tottenham – Leicester	1–2 (1–0)	1.45	5.50	5.50	1.33	3.40
04.01.25	Aston Villa – Leicester	2–1 (0–0)	1.33	5.50	8.50	1.50	2.63
26.12.24	Liverpool – Leicester	3–1 (1–1)	1.08	12.00	23.00	1.20	4.50
14.12.24	Newcastle – Leicester	4–0 (1–0)	1.30	6.00	8.50	1.44	2.75
30.11.24	Brentford – Leicester	4–1 (3–1)	1.65	4.20	4.75	1.57	2.38
10.11.24	Man United – Leicester	3–0 (2–0)	1.38	5.50	6.50	1.44	2.75
02.11.24	Ipswich – Leicester	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.73	2.10
19.10.24	Southampton – Leicester	2–3 (2–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

4 1

Chelsea winsDrawsLeicester wins

5matches

3.00goals / match

80%over 2.5

80%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.11.24E0	Leicester – Chelsea	1–2 (0–1)	6.50	4.75	1.44	1.50	2.63
11.03.23E0	Leicester – Chelsea	1–3 (1–2)	3.75	3.50	1.95	2.02	1.91
27.08.22E0	Chelsea – Leicester	2–1 (0–0)	1.40	5.00	7.00	1.61	2.30
19.05.22E0	Chelsea – Leicester	1–1 (1–1)	1.40	4.75	8.00	1.61	2.30
20.11.21E0	Leicester – Chelsea	0–3 (0–2)	4.75	3.75	1.75	2.03	1.87

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	29	21	7	1	69	27	+42	70
2	Arsenal	27	15	9	3	51	23	+28	54
3	Nott'm Forest	28	15	6	7	45	33	+12	51
4	Man City	28	14	5	9	53	38	+15	47
5	Chelsea	27	13	7	7	52	36	+16	46
6	Brighton	28	12	10	6	46	40	+6	46
7	Aston Villa	29	12	9	8	41	45	-4	45
8	Newcastle	27	13	5	9	46	38	+8	44
9	Bournemouth	27	12	7	8	45	32	+13	43
10	Fulham	28	11	9	8	41	38	+3	42
11	Crystal Palace	28	10	9	9	36	33	+3	39
12	Brentford	28	11	5	12	48	44	+4	38
13	Tottenham	27	10	3	14	53	39	+14	33
14	Everton	28	7	12	9	31	35	-4	33
15	Man United	27	9	6	12	33	39	-6	33
16	West Ham	27	9	6	12	32	47	-15	33
17	Wolves	28	6	5	17	38	57	-19	23
18	Ipswich	28	3	8	17	26	58	-32	17
19	Leicester	27	4	5	18	25	61	-36	17
20	Southampton	28	2	3	23	20	68	-48	9

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	14	11	2	1	31	11	+20	35
2	Arsenal	13	8	4	1	27	11	+16	28
3	Nott'm Forest	14	8	4	2	23	10	+13	28
4	Aston Villa	15	7	7	1	25	18	+7	28
5	Man City	13	8	2	3	28	17	+11	26
6	Chelsea	13	7	4	2	26	15	+11	25
7	Brighton	14	6	6	2	21	16	+5	24
8	Brentford	15	7	3	5	30	27	+3	24
9	Newcastle	13	7	2	4	24	17	+7	23
10	Bournemouth	13	6	3	4	17	10	+7	21
11	Fulham	14	5	5	4	20	21	-1	20
12	Man United	14	6	1	7	20	24	-4	19
13	Everton	14	4	6	4	20	17	+3	18
14	Tottenham	14	5	2	7	28	24	+4	17
15	Crystal Palace	15	4	5	6	17	22	-5	17
16	West Ham	14	5	2	7	18	27	-9	17
17	Wolves	14	3	2	9	18	27	-9	11
18	Leicester	14	2	3	9	11	27	-16	9
19	Ipswich	14	1	4	9	10	30	-20	7
20	Southampton	13	1	1	11	9	37	-28	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	15	10	5	0	38	16	+22	35
2	Arsenal	14	7	5	2	24	12	+12	26
3	Nott'm Forest	14	7	2	5	22	23	-1	23
4	Crystal Palace	13	6	4	3	19	11	+8	22
5	Bournemouth	14	6	4	4	28	22	+6	22
6	Fulham	14	6	4	4	21	17	+4	22
7	Brighton	14	6	4	4	25	24	+1	22
8	Chelsea	14	6	3	5	26	21	+5	21
9	Man City	15	6	3	6	25	21	+4	21
10	Newcastle	14	6	3	5	22	21	+1	21
11	Aston Villa	14	5	2	7	16	27	-11	17
12	Tottenham	13	5	1	7	25	15	+10	16
13	West Ham	13	4	4	5	14	20	-6	16
14	Everton	14	3	6	5	11	18	-7	15
15	Brentford	13	4	2	7	18	17	+1	14
16	Man United	13	3	5	5	13	15	-2	14
17	Wolves	14	3	3	8	20	30	-10	12
18	Ipswich	14	2	4	8	16	28	-12	10
19	Leicester	13	2	2	9	14	34	-20	8
20	Southampton	15	1	2	12	11	31	-20	5

Chelsea Leicester

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Wolves	28	8	20	1.4	2.0	6	5	17	38	57	23
2	4	Man City	28	9	19	1.9	1.4	14	5	9	53	38	47
3	6	Brighton	28	9	19	1.6	1.4	12	10	6	46	40	46
4	7	Aston Villa	29	10	19	1.4	1.6	12	9	8	41	45	45
5	1	Liverpool	29	11	18	2.4	0.9	21	7	1	69	27	70
6	5	Chelsea	27	9	18	1.9	1.3	13	7	7	52	36	46
7	12	Brentford	28	10	18	1.7	1.6	11	5	12	48	44	38
8	13	Tottenham	27	9	18	2.0	1.4	10	3	14	53	39	33
9	19	Leicester	27	9	18	0.9	2.3	4	5	18	25	61	17
10	20	Southampton	28	10	18	0.7	2.4	2	3	23	20	68	9
11	8	Newcastle	27	10	17	1.7	1.4	13	5	9	46	38	44
12	10	Fulham	28	12	16	1.5	1.4	11	9	8	41	38	42
13	15	Man United	27	11	16	1.2	1.4	9	6	12	33	39	33
14	9	Bournemouth	27	12	15	1.7	1.2	12	7	8	45	32	43
15	3	Nott'm Forest	28	14	14	1.6	1.2	15	6	7	45	33	51
16	16	West Ham	27	13	14	1.2	1.7	9	6	12	32	47	33
17	18	Ipswich	28	14	14	0.9	2.1	3	8	17	26	58	17
18	11	Crystal Palace	28	16	12	1.3	1.2	10	9	9	36	33	39
19	14	Everton	28	16	12	1.1	1.2	7	12	9	31	35	33
20	2	Arsenal	27	16	11	1.9	0.9	15	9	3	51	23	54

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Man City	13	3	10	2.2	1.3	8	2	3	28	17	26
2	13	Tottenham	14	4	10	2.0	1.7	5	2	7	28	24	17
3	15	Man United	14	4	10	1.4	1.7	6	1	7	20	24	19
4	1	Liverpool	14	5	9	2.2	0.8	11	2	1	31	11	35
5	5	Chelsea	13	4	9	2.0	1.2	7	4	2	26	15	25
6	6	Brighton	14	5	9	1.5	1.1	6	6	2	21	16	24
7	7	Aston Villa	15	6	9	1.7	1.2	7	7	1	25	18	28
8	10	Fulham	14	5	9	1.4	1.5	5	5	4	20	21	20
9	12	Brentford	15	6	9	2.0	1.8	7	3	5	30	27	24
10	16	West Ham	14	5	9	1.3	1.9	5	2	7	18	27	17
11	17	Wolves	14	5	9	1.3	1.9	3	2	9	18	27	11
12	20	Southampton	13	4	9	0.7	2.8	1	1	11	9	37	4
13	8	Newcastle	13	5	8	1.8	1.3	7	2	4	24	17	23
14	14	Everton	14	6	8	1.4	1.2	4	6	4	20	17	18
15	2	Arsenal	13	6	7	2.1	0.8	8	4	1	27	11	28
16	11	Crystal Palace	15	8	7	1.1	1.5	4	5	6	17	22	17
17	19	Leicester	14	7	7	0.8	1.9	2	3	9	11	27	9
18	18	Ipswich	14	8	6	0.7	2.1	1	4	9	10	30	7
19	3	Nott'm Forest	14	9	5	1.6	0.7	8	4	2	23	10	28
20	9	Bournemouth	13	9	4	1.3	0.8	6	3	4	17	10	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Bournemouth	14	3	11	2.0	1.6	6	4	4	28	22	22
2	17	Wolves	14	3	11	1.4	2.1	3	3	8	20	30	12
3	19	Leicester	13	2	11	1.1	2.6	2	2	9	14	34	8
4	6	Brighton	14	4	10	1.8	1.7	6	4	4	25	24	22
5	7	Aston Villa	14	4	10	1.1	1.9	5	2	7	16	27	17
6	1	Liverpool	15	6	9	2.5	1.1	10	5	0	38	16	35
7	3	Nott'm Forest	14	5	9	1.6	1.6	7	2	5	22	23	23
8	4	Man City	15	6	9	1.7	1.4	6	3	6	25	21	21
9	5	Chelsea	14	5	9	1.9	1.5	6	3	5	26	21	21
10	8	Newcastle	14	5	9	1.6	1.5	6	3	5	22	21	21
11	12	Brentford	13	4	9	1.4	1.3	4	2	7	18	17	14
12	20	Southampton	15	6	9	0.7	2.1	1	2	12	11	31	5
13	13	Tottenham	13	5	8	1.9	1.2	5	1	7	25	15	16
14	18	Ipswich	14	6	8	1.1	2.0	2	4	8	16	28	10
15	10	Fulham	14	7	7	1.5	1.2	6	4	4	21	17	22
16	15	Man United	13	7	6	1.0	1.2	3	5	5	13	15	14
17	11	Crystal Palace	13	8	5	1.5	0.8	6	4	3	19	11	22
18	16	West Ham	13	8	5	1.1	1.5	4	4	5	14	20	16
19	2	Arsenal	14	10	4	1.7	0.9	7	5	2	24	12	26
20	14	Everton	14	10	4	0.8	1.3	3	6	5	11	18	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.