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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Paris SG 4–2 Nantes

Full time · half time 2–2 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.30 fair 1.66
Draw 5.50 fair 4.69
Away 10.00 fair 5.41
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.35
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paris SG Nantes
17 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 6
7 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (252 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.99 – 1.00
Home / Draw / Away
Paris SGDrawNantes
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 1–0 10% 2–1 10%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.40points / match
2.48scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 62:23
Nantes before this match, all matches
1.12points / match
1.00scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 25:30
Paris SG all matches all matches Nantes

Per match

2.48 Goals scored 1.00
0.92 Goals conceded 1.20
3.40 Total goals 2.20
14.60 Shots 11.88
6.80 Shots on target 3.92
11.56 Shots faced 12.12
5.52 Corners 4.76
3.28 Corners against 5.12
10.28 Fouls 13.00
1.72 Yellow cards 1.60
1.12 1st-half goals scored 0.24
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

76% Wins 24%
12% Draws 40%
12% Losses 36%
96% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 64%
68% Over 2.5 goals 40%
36% Over 3.5 goals 24%
24% Over 4.5 goals 12%
16% Over 5.5 goals 0%
52% Both teams scored 44%
44% Clean sheets 36%
8% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

64% Wins 12%
24% Draws 60%
12% Losses 28%
84% Over 0.5 goals 44%
36% Over 1.5 goals 16%
20% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG all matches
Nantes all matches
Paris SG before this match, at home
2.67points / match
2.50scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 30:13
Nantes before this match, away
0.85points / match
0.92scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:18
Paris SG at home away Nantes

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 0.92
1.08 Goals conceded 1.38
3.58 Total goals 2.31
14.83 Shots 10.46
6.67 Shots on target 3.54
10.58 Shots faced 12.31
5.42 Corners 4.23
3.33 Corners against 4.85
9.42 Fouls 13.92
1.92 Yellow cards 1.92
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.23
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

83% Wins 15%
17% Draws 38%
0% Losses 46%
100% Over 0.5 goals 77%
83% Over 1.5 goals 69%
58% Over 2.5 goals 46%
33% Over 3.5 goals 23%
33% Over 4.5 goals 15%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 46%
33% Clean sheets 38%
0% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 8%
25% Draws 62%
8% Losses 31%
92% Over 0.5 goals 46%
33% Over 1.5 goals 23%
8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG at home
Nantes away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.23 Marseille – Paris SG 0–3 (0–2) 2.753.602.40 1.62 2.30
19.02.23 Paris SG – Lille 4–3 (2–1) 1.624.005.50 1.62 2.30
11.02.23 Monaco – Paris SG 3–1 (3–1) 2.633.402.60 1.67 2.20
04.02.23 Paris SG – Toulouse 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.75
01.02.23 Montpellier – Paris SG 1–3 (0–0) 8.506.001.30 1.44 2.75
29.01.23 Paris SG – Reims 1–1 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.75
15.01.23 Rennes – Paris SG 1–0 (0–0) 5.004.751.57 1.57 2.38
11.01.23 Paris SG – Angers 2–0 (1–0) 1.1110.0019.00 1.25 4.00
01.01.23 Lens – Paris SG 3–1 (2–1) 3.253.602.20 1.73 2.10
28.12.22 Paris SG – Strasbourg 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.40 3.00

Nantes all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.23 Nantes – Rennes 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.302.15 2.10 1.73
19.02.23 Lens – Nantes 3–1 (2–1) 1.504.007.00 1.93 1.97
12.02.23 Nantes – Lorient 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80
05.02.23 Ajaccio – Nantes 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.50 1.53
01.02.23 Nantes – Marseille 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.94 1.96
29.01.23 Clermont – Nantes 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.253.10 2.10 1.73
15.01.23 Montpellier – Nantes 0–3 (0–1) 2.553.402.75 1.86 2.04
11.01.23 Nantes – Lyon 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.402.20 1.88 2.02
01.01.23 Nantes – Auxerre 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 1.97 1.93
28.12.22 Troyes – Nantes 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.602.88 1.80 2.00

Paris SG at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.23 Paris SG – Lille 4–3 (2–1) 1.624.005.50 1.62 2.30
04.02.23 Paris SG – Toulouse 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.75
29.01.23 Paris SG – Reims 1–1 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.75
11.01.23 Paris SG – Angers 2–0 (1–0) 1.1110.0019.00 1.25 4.00
28.12.22 Paris SG – Strasbourg 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.40 3.00
13.11.22 Paris SG – Auxerre 5–0 (1–0) 1.1110.0017.00 1.25 4.00
29.10.22 Paris SG – Troyes 4–3 (1–1) 1.0911.0023.00 1.25 4.00
16.10.22 Paris SG – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.50 1.44 2.75
01.10.22 Paris SG – Nice 2–1 (1–0) 1.168.5013.00 1.33 3.40
10.09.22 Paris SG – Brest 1–0 (1–0) 1.0713.0023.00 1.20 4.50

Nantes away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.23 Lens – Nantes 3–1 (2–1) 1.504.007.00 1.93 1.97
05.02.23 Ajaccio – Nantes 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.50 1.53
29.01.23 Clermont – Nantes 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.253.10 2.10 1.73
15.01.23 Montpellier – Nantes 0–3 (0–1) 2.553.402.75 1.86 2.04
28.12.22 Troyes – Nantes 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.602.88 1.80 2.00
06.11.22 Reims – Nantes 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.97 1.93
23.10.22 Nice – Nantes 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.09 1.81
09.10.22 Rennes – Nantes 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.336.00 1.66 2.20
02.10.22 Monaco – Nantes 4–1 (3–0) 1.534.505.50 1.66 2.20
11.09.22 Lorient – Nantes 3–2 (1–1) 2.103.253.75 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paris SG winsDrawsNantes wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
100%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.22F1 Nantes – Paris SG 0–3 (0–1) 9.506.501.28 1.36 3.20
19.02.22F1 Nantes – Paris SG 3–1 (3–0) 6.504.331.50 1.61 2.30
20.11.21F1 Paris SG – Nantes 3–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50

France Ligue 1 table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 25 19 3 3 62 23 +39 60
2 Marseille 25 16 4 5 48 25 +23 52
3 Lens 26 14 9 3 40 21 +19 51
4 Monaco 25 15 5 5 53 34 +19 50
5 Rennes 25 14 4 7 45 28 +17 46
6 Lille 26 13 6 7 46 33 +13 45
7 Nice 26 11 9 6 34 22 +12 42
8 Lorient 25 11 6 8 38 36 +2 39
9 Lyon 25 11 5 9 39 28 +11 38
10 Reims 25 8 13 4 33 26 +7 37
11 Toulouse 25 9 5 11 41 45 -4 32
12 Clermont 25 8 7 10 25 34 -9 31
13 Nantes 25 6 10 9 25 30 -5 28
14 Montpellier 25 8 3 14 36 46 -10 27
15 Strasbourg 25 4 10 11 30 43 -13 22
16 Auxerre 26 5 7 14 23 49 -26 22
17 Ajaccio 25 6 3 16 20 46 -26 21
18 Brest 25 4 8 13 26 42 -16 20
19 Troyes 25 4 7 14 34 55 -21 19
20 Angers 25 2 4 19 21 53 -32 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 13 11 1 1 26 10 +16 34
2 Rennes 13 11 0 2 30 10 +20 33
3 Paris SG 12 10 2 0 30 13 +17 32
4 Lille 13 8 3 2 25 18 +7 27
5 Monaco 13 7 2 4 29 22 +7 23
6 Marseille 13 7 2 4 23 16 +7 23
7 Reims 12 6 4 2 21 13 +8 22
8 Toulouse 13 6 4 3 25 20 +5 22
9 Lyon 12 6 3 3 19 10 +9 21
10 Lorient 13 6 3 4 19 15 +4 21
11 Nice 13 5 5 3 17 11 +6 20
12 Nantes 12 4 5 3 13 12 +1 17
13 Clermont 13 4 3 6 11 21 -10 15
14 Montpellier 13 4 2 7 17 22 -5 14
15 Auxerre 12 3 4 5 11 20 -9 13
16 Strasbourg 13 2 6 5 16 21 -5 12
17 Brest 12 2 5 5 13 20 -7 11
18 Troyes 12 1 7 4 12 18 -6 10
19 Ajaccio 12 3 1 8 9 19 -10 10
20 Angers 13 1 2 10 14 28 -14 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Marseille 12 9 2 1 25 9 +16 29
2 Paris SG 13 9 1 3 32 10 +22 28
3 Monaco 12 8 3 1 24 12 +12 27
4 Nice 13 6 4 3 17 11 +6 22
5 Lille 13 5 3 5 21 15 +6 18
6 Lorient 12 5 3 4 19 21 -2 18
7 Lens 13 3 8 2 14 11 +3 17
8 Lyon 13 5 2 6 20 18 +2 17
9 Clermont 12 4 4 4 14 13 +1 16
10 Reims 13 2 9 2 12 13 -1 15
11 Rennes 12 3 4 5 15 18 -3 13
12 Montpellier 12 4 1 7 19 24 -5 13
13 Nantes 13 2 5 6 12 18 -6 11
14 Ajaccio 13 3 2 8 11 27 -16 11
15 Strasbourg 12 2 4 6 14 22 -8 10
16 Toulouse 12 3 1 8 16 25 -9 10
17 Brest 13 2 3 8 13 22 -9 9
18 Troyes 13 3 0 10 22 37 -15 9
19 Auxerre 14 2 3 9 12 29 -17 9
20 Angers 12 1 2 9 7 25 -18 5

Paris SG   Nantes

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Toulouse 25 7 18 1.6 1.8 9 5 11 41 45 32
2 1 Paris SG 25 8 17 2.5 0.9 19 3 3 62 23 60
3 5 Rennes 25 8 17 1.8 1.1 14 4 7 45 28 46
4 8 Lorient 25 8 17 1.5 1.4 11 6 8 38 36 39
5 19 Troyes 25 8 17 1.4 2.2 4 7 14 34 55 19
6 20 Angers 25 8 17 0.8 2.1 2 4 19 21 53 10
7 4 Monaco 25 10 15 2.1 1.4 15 5 5 53 34 50
8 14 Montpellier 25 10 15 1.4 1.8 8 3 14 36 46 27
9 15 Strasbourg 25 10 15 1.2 1.7 4 10 11 30 43 22
10 2 Marseille 25 11 14 1.9 1.0 16 4 5 48 25 52
11 6 Lille 26 12 14 1.8 1.3 13 6 7 46 33 45
12 9 Lyon 25 11 14 1.6 1.1 11 5 9 39 28 38
13 16 Auxerre 26 13 13 0.9 1.9 5 7 14 23 49 22
14 17 Ajaccio 25 12 13 0.8 1.8 6 3 16 20 46 21
15 18 Brest 25 12 13 1.0 1.7 4 8 13 26 42 20
16 3 Lens 26 15 11 1.5 0.8 14 9 3 40 21 51
17 7 Nice 26 16 10 1.3 0.8 11 9 6 34 22 42
18 10 Reims 25 15 10 1.3 1.0 8 13 4 33 26 37
19 12 Clermont 25 15 10 1.0 1.4 8 7 10 25 34 31
20 13 Nantes 25 15 10 1.0 1.2 6 10 9 25 30 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Angers 13 2 11 1.1 2.2 1 2 10 14 28 5
2 5 Rennes 13 3 10 2.3 0.8 11 0 2 30 10 33
3 4 Monaco 13 4 9 2.2 1.7 7 2 4 29 22 23
4 8 Lorient 13 4 9 1.5 1.2 6 3 4 19 15 21
5 14 Montpellier 13 4 9 1.3 1.7 4 2 7 17 22 14
6 2 Marseille 13 5 8 1.8 1.2 7 2 4 23 16 23
7 11 Toulouse 13 5 8 1.9 1.5 6 4 3 25 20 22
8 15 Strasbourg 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 2 6 5 16 21 12
9 1 Paris SG 12 5 7 2.5 1.1 10 2 0 30 13 32
10 3 Lens 13 6 7 2.0 0.8 11 1 1 26 10 34
11 6 Lille 13 6 7 1.9 1.4 8 3 2 25 18 27
12 10 Reims 12 5 7 1.8 1.1 6 4 2 21 13 22
13 9 Lyon 12 6 6 1.6 0.8 6 3 3 19 10 21
14 18 Brest 12 6 6 1.1 1.7 2 5 5 13 20 11
15 12 Clermont 13 8 5 0.8 1.6 4 3 6 11 21 15
16 16 Auxerre 12 7 5 0.9 1.7 3 4 5 11 20 13
17 17 Ajaccio 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 3 1 8 9 19 10
18 19 Troyes 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 1 7 4 12 18 10
19 7 Nice 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 5 5 3 17 11 20
20 13 Nantes 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 4 5 3 13 12 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Troyes 13 1 12 1.7 2.8 3 0 10 22 37 9
2 1 Paris SG 13 3 10 2.5 0.8 9 1 3 32 10 28
3 11 Toulouse 12 2 10 1.3 2.1 3 1 8 16 25 10
4 8 Lorient 12 4 8 1.6 1.8 5 3 4 19 21 18
5 9 Lyon 13 5 8 1.5 1.4 5 2 6 20 18 17
6 16 Auxerre 14 6 8 0.9 2.1 2 3 9 12 29 9
7 17 Ajaccio 13 5 8 0.8 2.1 3 2 8 11 27 11
8 5 Rennes 12 5 7 1.2 1.5 3 4 5 15 18 13
9 6 Lille 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 5 3 5 21 15 18
10 15 Strasbourg 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 2 4 6 14 22 10
11 18 Brest 13 6 7 1.0 1.7 2 3 8 13 22 9
12 2 Marseille 12 6 6 2.1 0.8 9 2 1 25 9 29
13 4 Monaco 12 6 6 2.0 1.0 8 3 1 24 12 27
14 7 Nice 13 7 6 1.3 0.8 6 4 3 17 11 22
15 13 Nantes 13 7 6 0.9 1.4 2 5 6 12 18 11
16 14 Montpellier 12 6 6 1.6 2.0 4 1 7 19 24 13
17 20 Angers 12 6 6 0.6 2.1 1 2 9 7 25 5
18 12 Clermont 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 4 4 4 14 13 16
19 3 Lens 13 9 4 1.1 0.8 3 8 2 14 11 17
20 10 Reims 13 10 3 0.9 1.0 2 9 2 12 13 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51