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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Paris SG 3–1 Lille

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 1.90
Draw 4.20 fair 4.16
Away 5.25 fair 4.29
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paris SG Lille
16 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 8
12 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (182 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
Paris SGDrawLille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.35points / match
2.40scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 48:17
Lille before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
1.40scored / match
0.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 28:14
Paris SG all matches all matches Lille

Per match

2.40 Goals scored 1.40
0.85 Goals conceded 0.70
3.25 Total goals 2.10
14.90 Shots 13.65
6.10 Shots on target 5.25
12.60 Shots faced 8.75
5.35 Corners 5.75
4.90 Corners against 4.15
10.20 Fouls 10.70
1.35 Yellow cards 1.85
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.15 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

70% Wins 45%
25% Draws 40%
5% Losses 15%
90% Over 0.5 goals 85%
90% Over 1.5 goals 75%
70% Over 2.5 goals 30%
45% Over 3.5 goals 15%
20% Over 4.5 goals 5%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 60%
10% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

70% Wins 55%
30% Draws 30%
0% Losses 15%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
40% Over 1.5 goals 35%
15% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG all matches
Lille all matches
Paris SG before this match, at home
2.30points / match
2.70scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 27:10
Lille before this match, away
1.20points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:10
Paris SG at home away Lille

Per match

2.70 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
3.70 Total goals 2.00
14.80 Shots 12.20
5.90 Shots on target 4.10
8.60 Shots faced 9.90
5.50 Corners 5.00
3.90 Corners against 4.60
9.20 Fouls 11.10
1.10 Yellow cards 2.60
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

70% Wins 20%
20% Draws 60%
10% Losses 20%
90% Over 0.5 goals 70%
90% Over 1.5 goals 70%
90% Over 2.5 goals 30%
60% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 50%
40% Clean sheets 50%
10% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

70% Wins 40%
30% Draws 40%
0% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 70%
50% Over 1.5 goals 30%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG at home
Lille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.24 Strasbourg – Paris SG 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.60 2.30
28.01.24 Paris SG – Brest 2–2 (2–0) 1.365.507.50 1.53 2.40
14.01.24 Lens – Paris SG 0–2 (0–1) 3.604.001.85 1.60 2.30
20.12.23 Paris SG – Metz 3–1 (0–0) 1.148.0017.00 1.36 3.10
17.12.23 Lille – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.67 2.15
09.12.23 Paris SG – Nantes 2–1 (1–0) 1.207.5012.00 1.40 2.88
03.12.23 Le Havre – Paris SG 0–2 (0–1) 11.005.251.30 1.53 2.40
24.11.23 Paris SG – Monaco 5–2 (2–1) 1.454.756.50 1.36 3.10
11.11.23 Reims – Paris SG 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.331.60 1.60 2.30
03.11.23 Paris SG – Montpellier 3–0 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.10

Lille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.24 Lille – Clermont 4–0 (4–0) 1.404.508.50 1.85 2.05
28.01.24 Montpellier – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 2.01 1.89
14.01.24 Lille – Lorient 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.08
20.12.23 Strasbourg – Lille 2–1 (1–1) 4.003.401.95 2.05 1.75
17.12.23 Lille – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.67 2.15
10.12.23 Clermont – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.501.73 2.05 1.75
03.12.23 Lille – Metz 2–0 (2–0) 1.454.507.50 1.73 2.08
26.11.23 Lyon – Lille 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.302.38 1.98 1.92
12.11.23 Lille – Toulouse 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.206.00 1.75 2.05
04.11.23 Marseille – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.89 2.01

Paris SG at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Paris SG – Brest 2–2 (2–0) 1.365.507.50 1.53 2.40
20.12.23 Paris SG – Metz 3–1 (0–0) 1.148.0017.00 1.36 3.10
09.12.23 Paris SG – Nantes 2–1 (1–0) 1.207.5012.00 1.40 2.88
24.11.23 Paris SG – Monaco 5–2 (2–1) 1.454.756.50 1.36 3.10
03.11.23 Paris SG – Montpellier 3–0 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.10
21.10.23 Paris SG – Strasbourg 3–0 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.70
24.09.23 Paris SG – Marseille 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.205.25 1.53 2.50
15.09.23 Paris SG – Nice 2–3 (1–1) 1.554.505.50 1.62 2.30
26.08.23 Paris SG – Lens 3–1 (1–0) 1.604.205.50 1.67 2.20
12.08.23 Paris SG – Lorient 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.507.50 1.50 2.63

Lille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Montpellier – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 2.01 1.89
20.12.23 Strasbourg – Lille 2–1 (1–1) 4.003.401.95 2.05 1.75
10.12.23 Clermont – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.501.73 2.05 1.75
26.11.23 Lyon – Lille 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.302.38 1.98 1.92
04.11.23 Marseille – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.89 2.01
08.10.23 Lens – Lille 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.603.00 1.96 1.94
01.10.23 Le Havre – Lille 0–2 (0–1) 4.003.501.95 2.00 1.80
16.09.23 Rennes – Lille 2–2 (0–1) 2.103.603.30 1.73 2.10
27.08.23 Lorient – Lille 4–1 (2–0) 4.003.601.91 1.87 2.03
11.08.23 Nice – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.502.70 1.92 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paris SG winsDrawsLille wins
5matches
5.20goals / match
80%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23F1 Lille – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.67 2.15
19.02.23F1 Paris SG – Lille 4–3 (2–1) 1.624.005.50 1.62 2.30
21.08.22F1 Lille – Paris SG 1–7 (0–4) 6.004.751.50 1.57 2.37
06.02.22F1 Lille – Paris SG 1–5 (1–3) 4.203.601.85 1.80 2.00
29.10.21F1 Paris SG – Lille 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.258.50 1.61 2.30

France Ligue 1 table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 20 14 5 1 48 17 +31 47
2 Nice 20 11 6 3 20 11 +9 39
3 Brest 20 10 6 4 29 17 +12 36
4 Lille 20 9 8 3 28 14 +14 35
5 Monaco 20 10 5 5 37 28 +9 35
6 Lens 21 10 5 6 27 20 +7 35
7 Marseille 21 7 9 5 29 23 +6 30
8 Reims 20 9 3 8 27 27 0 30
9 Rennes 20 7 7 6 30 25 +5 28
10 Strasbourg 21 6 7 8 22 29 -7 25
11 Le Havre 20 5 9 6 23 24 -1 24
12 Montpellier 20 4 8 8 20 25 -5 20
13 Toulouse 20 4 8 8 19 27 -8 20
14 Nantes 20 5 4 11 20 31 -11 19
15 Lyon 20 5 4 11 20 33 -13 19
16 Metz 21 4 5 12 18 32 -14 17
17 Lorient 20 3 7 10 26 42 -16 16
18 Clermont 20 3 6 11 14 32 -18 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Nice 10 7 3 0 12 2 +10 24
2 Paris SG 10 7 2 1 27 10 +17 23
3 Lille 10 7 2 1 18 4 +14 23
4 Marseille 11 6 5 0 18 6 +12 23
5 Lens 10 6 2 2 17 9 +8 20
6 Brest 10 5 4 1 17 7 +10 19
7 Monaco 10 6 1 3 17 9 +8 19
8 Rennes 11 5 3 3 22 15 +7 18
9 Reims 10 5 1 4 12 12 0 16
10 Strasbourg 10 4 3 3 13 11 +2 15
11 Le Havre 9 4 2 3 12 9 +3 14
12 Nantes 11 3 3 5 14 15 -1 12
13 Lyon 11 3 3 5 14 19 -5 12
14 Montpellier 10 1 7 2 9 10 -1 10
15 Lorient 10 2 4 4 17 20 -3 10
16 Toulouse 9 1 5 3 10 11 -1 8
17 Metz 10 1 3 6 8 12 -4 6
18 Clermont 10 1 3 6 5 14 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 10 7 3 0 21 7 +14 24
2 Brest 10 5 2 3 12 10 +2 17
3 Monaco 10 4 4 2 20 19 +1 16
4 Lens 11 4 3 4 10 11 -1 15
5 Nice 10 4 3 3 8 9 -1 15
6 Reims 10 4 2 4 15 15 0 14
7 Lille 10 2 6 2 10 10 0 12
8 Toulouse 11 3 3 5 9 16 -7 12
9 Metz 11 3 2 6 10 20 -10 11
10 Rennes 9 2 4 3 8 10 -2 10
11 Le Havre 11 1 7 3 11 15 -4 10
12 Montpellier 10 3 1 6 11 15 -4 10
13 Strasbourg 11 2 4 5 9 18 -9 10
14 Clermont 10 2 3 5 9 18 -9 9
15 Marseille 10 1 4 5 11 17 -6 7
16 Lyon 9 2 1 6 6 14 -8 7
17 Nantes 9 2 1 6 6 16 -10 7
18 Lorient 10 1 3 6 9 22 -13 6

Paris SG   Lille

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 20 6 14 2.4 0.8 14 5 1 48 17 47
2 17 Lorient 20 6 14 1.3 2.1 3 7 10 26 42 16
3 5 Monaco 20 7 13 1.9 1.4 10 5 5 37 28 35
4 8 Reims 20 8 12 1.4 1.4 9 3 8 27 27 30
5 9 Rennes 20 9 11 1.5 1.2 7 7 6 30 25 28
6 10 Strasbourg 21 10 11 1.0 1.4 6 7 8 22 29 25
7 11 Le Havre 20 9 11 1.1 1.2 5 9 6 23 24 24
8 15 Lyon 20 10 10 1.0 1.6 5 4 11 20 33 19
9 18 Clermont 20 10 10 0.7 1.6 3 6 11 14 32 15
10 7 Marseille 21 12 9 1.4 1.1 7 9 5 29 23 30
11 12 Montpellier 20 11 9 1.0 1.2 4 8 8 20 25 20
12 13 Toulouse 20 11 9 0.9 1.4 4 8 8 19 27 20
13 14 Nantes 20 11 9 1.0 1.6 5 4 11 20 31 19
14 16 Metz 21 12 9 0.9 1.5 4 5 12 18 32 17
15 3 Brest 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 10 6 4 29 17 36
16 6 Lens 21 13 8 1.3 1.0 10 5 6 27 20 35
17 4 Lille 20 14 6 1.4 0.7 9 8 3 28 14 35
18 2 Nice 20 17 3 1.0 0.6 11 6 3 20 11 39
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 10 1 9 2.7 1.0 7 2 1 27 10 23
2 9 Rennes 11 3 8 2.0 1.4 5 3 3 22 15 18
3 17 Lorient 10 2 8 1.7 2.0 2 4 4 17 20 10
4 10 Strasbourg 10 4 6 1.3 1.1 4 3 3 13 11 15
5 15 Lyon 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 3 3 5 14 19 12
6 5 Monaco 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 6 1 3 17 9 19
7 7 Marseille 11 6 5 1.6 0.5 6 5 0 18 6 23
8 8 Reims 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 5 1 4 12 12 16
9 11 Le Havre 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 4 2 3 12 9 14
10 3 Brest 10 6 4 1.7 0.7 5 4 1 17 7 19
11 6 Lens 10 6 4 1.7 0.9 6 2 2 17 9 20
12 12 Montpellier 10 6 4 0.9 1.0 1 7 2 9 10 10
13 13 Toulouse 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 1 5 3 10 11 8
14 14 Nantes 11 7 4 1.3 1.4 3 3 5 14 15 12
15 16 Metz 10 6 4 0.8 1.2 1 3 6 8 12 6
16 4 Lille 10 7 3 1.8 0.4 7 2 1 18 4 23
17 18 Clermont 10 7 3 0.5 1.4 1 3 6 5 14 6
18 2 Nice 10 9 1 1.2 0.2 7 3 0 12 2 24
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Monaco 10 2 8 2.0 1.9 4 4 2 20 19 16
2 8 Reims 10 3 7 1.5 1.5 4 2 4 15 15 14
3 18 Clermont 10 3 7 0.9 1.8 2 3 5 9 18 9
4 11 Le Havre 11 5 6 1.0 1.4 1 7 3 11 15 10
5 17 Lorient 10 4 6 0.9 2.2 1 3 6 9 22 6
6 1 Paris SG 10 5 5 2.1 0.7 7 3 0 21 7 24
7 10 Strasbourg 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 2 4 5 9 18 10
8 12 Montpellier 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 3 1 6 11 15 10
9 13 Toulouse 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 3 3 5 9 16 12
10 14 Nantes 9 4 5 0.7 1.8 2 1 6 6 16 7
11 16 Metz 11 6 5 0.9 1.8 3 2 6 10 20 11
12 3 Brest 10 6 4 1.2 1.0 5 2 3 12 10 17
13 6 Lens 11 7 4 0.9 1.0 4 3 4 10 11 15
14 7 Marseille 10 6 4 1.1 1.7 1 4 5 11 17 7
15 15 Lyon 9 5 4 0.7 1.6 2 1 6 6 14 7
16 4 Lille 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 2 6 2 10 10 12
17 9 Rennes 9 6 3 0.9 1.1 2 4 3 8 10 10
18 2 Nice 10 8 2 0.8 0.9 4 3 3 8 9 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51