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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Toulouse 2–1 Nice

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.40 fair 2.77
Draw 3.20 fair 3.40
Away 2.25 fair 2.90
Under 2.5 1.60 fair 1.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Toulouse Nice
17 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 6
16 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (210 league matches this season so far).
Result Toulouse to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.10 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
ToulouseDrawNice
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.4% 1–0 12.6% 0–1 12.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Toulouse before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.09scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 25:31
Nice before this match, all matches
1.74points / match
0.96scored / match
0.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 22:15
Toulouse all matches all matches Nice

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 0.96
1.35 Goals conceded 0.65
2.43 Total goals 1.61
11.78 Shots 14.00
4.22 Shots on target 4.70
14.13 Shots faced 10.04
4.22 Corners 5.57
5.52 Corners against 2.70
14.83 Fouls 11.87
2.48 Yellow cards 1.78
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.26
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

26% Wins 48%
35% Draws 30%
39% Losses 22%
91% Over 0.5 goals 78%
83% Over 1.5 goals 43%
52% Over 2.5 goals 17%
13% Over 3.5 goals 13%
4% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
61% Both teams scored 26%
17% Clean sheets 61%
30% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 17%
39% Draws 65%
35% Losses 17%
65% Over 0.5 goals 43%
26% Over 1.5 goals 13%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse all matches
Nice all matches
Toulouse before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.27scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 14:14
Nice before this match, away
1.36points / match
0.73scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 8:10
Toulouse at home away Nice

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 0.73
1.27 Goals conceded 0.91
2.55 Total goals 1.64
13.55 Shots 13.55
5.00 Shots on target 5.18
12.09 Shots faced 10.91
5.18 Corners 5.64
5.45 Corners against 3.18
14.09 Fouls 12.82
2.00 Yellow cards 1.64
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.18
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

18% Wins 36%
45% Draws 27%
36% Losses 36%
91% Over 0.5 goals 82%
91% Over 1.5 goals 36%
55% Over 2.5 goals 18%
18% Over 3.5 goals 18%
0% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
73% Both teams scored 27%
18% Clean sheets 45%
18% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 9%
45% Draws 55%
36% Losses 36%
55% Over 0.5 goals 55%
27% Over 1.5 goals 18%
18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse at home
Nice away

Last 10 matches before this match

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.24 Toulouse – Lille 3–1 (0–1) 4.203.401.91 2.03 1.87
18.02.24 Monaco – Toulouse 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.336.50 1.60 2.30
11.02.24 Toulouse – Nantes 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.303.40 2.05 1.75
04.02.24 Reims – Toulouse 2–3 (0–3) 1.753.504.75 1.98 1.92
28.01.24 Toulouse – Lens 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.99 1.91
14.01.24 Metz – Toulouse 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
20.12.23 Toulouse – Monaco 1–2 (1–2) 4.333.751.80 1.65 2.20
17.12.23 Toulouse – Rennes 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.89 2.01
10.12.23 Lyon – Toulouse 3–0 (2–0) 2.003.503.80 1.75 2.05
03.12.23 Toulouse – Lorient 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.254.00 1.99 1.91

Nice all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.24 Nice – Clermont 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.337.50 2.08 1.73
16.02.24 Lyon – Nice 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.202.80 2.20 1.65
11.02.24 Nice – Monaco 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.06 1.84
04.02.24 Brest – Nice 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.253.00 2.35 1.57
27.01.24 Nice – Metz 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.509.00 2.08 1.73
13.01.24 Rennes – Nice 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.253.10 2.25 1.62
20.12.23 Nice – Lens 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.203.30 2.25 1.62
16.12.23 Le Havre – Nice 3–1 (2–0) 4.503.301.91 2.40 1.53
10.12.23 Nice – Reims 2–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.10 1.70
02.12.23 Nantes – Nice 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 2.15 1.67

Toulouse at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.24 Toulouse – Lille 3–1 (0–1) 4.203.401.91 2.03 1.87
11.02.24 Toulouse – Nantes 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.303.40 2.05 1.75
28.01.24 Toulouse – Lens 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.99 1.91
20.12.23 Toulouse – Monaco 1–2 (1–2) 4.333.751.80 1.65 2.20
17.12.23 Toulouse – Rennes 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.89 2.01
03.12.23 Toulouse – Lorient 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.254.00 1.99 1.91
05.11.23 Toulouse – Le Havre 1–2 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.73
22.10.23 Toulouse – Reims 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.502.40 1.87 2.03
01.10.23 Toulouse – Metz 3–0 (2–0) 2.103.603.40 2.01 1.89
03.09.23 Toulouse – Clermont 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.603.75 1.89 2.01

Nice away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.02.24 Lyon – Nice 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.202.80 2.20 1.65
04.02.24 Brest – Nice 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.253.00 2.35 1.57
13.01.24 Rennes – Nice 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.253.10 2.25 1.62
16.12.23 Le Havre – Nice 3–1 (2–0) 4.503.301.91 2.40 1.53
02.12.23 Nantes – Nice 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 2.15 1.67
10.11.23 Montpellier – Nice 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.15 2.05 1.85
27.10.23 Clermont – Nice 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.301.91 2.20 1.65
07.10.23 Metz – Nice 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.801.73 1.98 1.92
22.09.23 Monaco – Nice 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.10
15.09.23 Paris SG – Nice 2–3 (1–1) 1.554.505.50 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Toulouse winsDrawsNice wins
3matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.23F1 Nice – Toulouse 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.007.50 2.08 1.82
21.05.23F1 Nice – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.753.80 1.73 2.10
07.08.22F1 Toulouse – Nice 1–1 (1–0) 2.873.302.50 1.91 1.99

France Ligue 1 table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 24 16 7 1 54 19 +35 55
2 Brest 23 12 7 4 34 18 +16 43
3 Monaco 24 12 6 6 44 34 +10 42
4 Lille 24 11 8 5 34 20 +14 41
5 Nice 23 11 7 5 22 15 +7 40
6 Marseille 24 9 9 6 38 26 +12 36
7 Lens 23 10 6 7 30 24 +6 36
8 Rennes 23 9 8 6 35 27 +8 35
9 Reims 24 10 4 10 30 32 -2 34
10 Lyon 23 8 4 11 25 35 -10 28
11 Toulouse 23 6 8 9 25 31 -6 26
12 Nantes 23 7 4 12 23 34 -11 25
13 Strasbourg 23 6 7 10 23 35 -12 25
14 Le Havre 23 5 9 9 24 30 -6 24
15 Montpellier 23 5 8 10 25 31 -6 23
16 Lorient 23 5 7 11 31 44 -13 22
17 Metz 23 4 5 14 19 37 -18 17
18 Clermont 24 3 8 13 17 41 -24 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 12 8 3 1 31 12 +19 27
2 Lille 11 8 2 1 21 4 +17 26
3 Marseille 12 7 5 0 22 7 +15 26
4 Nice 12 7 4 1 14 5 +9 25
5 Brest 11 6 4 1 18 7 +11 22
6 Rennes 12 6 3 3 25 16 +9 21
7 Lens 11 6 2 3 19 12 +7 20
8 Monaco 12 6 2 4 18 11 +7 20
9 Reims 12 5 2 5 13 14 -1 17
10 Strasbourg 12 4 3 5 14 17 -3 15
11 Lyon 12 4 3 5 15 19 -4 15
12 Le Havre 11 4 2 5 13 12 +1 14
13 Montpellier 12 2 7 3 13 12 +1 13
14 Lorient 12 3 4 5 19 21 -2 13
15 Nantes 12 3 3 6 14 17 -3 12
16 Toulouse 11 2 5 4 14 14 0 11
17 Clermont 12 1 4 7 7 20 -13 7
18 Metz 11 1 3 7 9 14 -5 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 12 8 4 0 23 7 +16 28
2 Monaco 12 6 4 2 26 23 +3 22
3 Brest 12 6 3 3 16 11 +5 21
4 Reims 12 5 2 5 17 18 -1 17
5 Lens 12 4 4 4 11 12 -1 16
6 Nice 11 4 3 4 8 10 -2 15
7 Lille 13 3 6 4 13 16 -3 15
8 Toulouse 12 4 3 5 11 17 -6 15
9 Rennes 11 3 5 3 10 11 -1 14
10 Lyon 11 4 1 6 10 16 -6 13
11 Nantes 11 4 1 6 9 17 -8 13
12 Metz 12 3 2 7 10 23 -13 11
13 Marseille 12 2 4 6 16 19 -3 10
14 Montpellier 11 3 1 7 12 19 -7 10
15 Le Havre 12 1 7 4 11 18 -7 10
16 Strasbourg 11 2 4 5 9 18 -9 10
17 Clermont 12 2 4 6 10 21 -11 10
18 Lorient 11 2 3 6 12 23 -11 9

Toulouse   Nice

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Monaco 24 8 16 1.8 1.4 12 6 6 44 34 42
2 1 Paris SG 24 9 15 2.2 0.8 16 7 1 54 19 55
3 16 Lorient 23 8 15 1.3 1.9 5 7 11 31 44 22
4 9 Reims 24 11 13 1.2 1.3 10 4 10 30 32 34
5 13 Strasbourg 23 10 13 1.0 1.5 6 7 10 23 35 25
6 14 Le Havre 23 10 13 1.0 1.3 5 9 9 24 30 24
7 8 Rennes 23 11 12 1.5 1.2 9 8 6 35 27 35
8 10 Lyon 23 11 12 1.1 1.5 8 4 11 25 35 28
9 11 Toulouse 23 11 12 1.1 1.3 6 8 9 25 31 26
10 15 Montpellier 23 11 12 1.1 1.3 5 8 10 25 31 23
11 18 Clermont 24 12 12 0.7 1.7 3 8 13 17 41 17
12 6 Marseille 24 13 11 1.6 1.1 9 9 6 38 26 36
13 17 Metz 23 12 11 0.8 1.6 4 5 14 19 37 17
14 12 Nantes 23 13 10 1.0 1.5 7 4 12 23 34 25
15 2 Brest 23 14 9 1.5 0.8 12 7 4 34 18 43
16 4 Lille 24 15 9 1.4 0.8 11 8 5 34 20 41
17 7 Lens 23 14 9 1.3 1.0 10 6 7 30 24 36
18 5 Nice 23 19 4 1.0 0.7 11 7 5 22 15 40
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 12 2 10 2.6 1.0 8 3 1 31 12 27
2 8 Rennes 12 3 9 2.1 1.3 6 3 3 25 16 21
3 13 Strasbourg 12 4 8 1.2 1.4 4 3 5 14 17 15
4 16 Lorient 12 4 8 1.6 1.8 3 4 5 19 21 13
5 3 Monaco 12 6 6 1.5 0.9 6 2 4 18 11 20
6 6 Marseille 12 6 6 1.8 0.6 7 5 0 22 7 26
7 10 Lyon 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 4 3 5 15 19 15
8 11 Toulouse 11 5 6 1.3 1.3 2 5 4 14 14 11
9 14 Le Havre 11 5 6 1.2 1.1 4 2 5 13 12 14
10 15 Montpellier 12 6 6 1.1 1.0 2 7 3 13 12 13
11 7 Lens 11 6 5 1.7 1.1 6 2 3 19 12 20
12 9 Reims 12 7 5 1.1 1.2 5 2 5 13 14 17
13 17 Metz 11 6 5 0.8 1.3 1 3 7 9 14 6
14 2 Brest 11 7 4 1.6 0.6 6 4 1 18 7 22
15 4 Lille 11 7 4 1.9 0.4 8 2 1 21 4 26
16 12 Nantes 12 8 4 1.2 1.4 3 3 6 14 17 12
17 18 Clermont 12 8 4 0.6 1.7 1 4 7 7 20 7
18 5 Nice 12 10 2 1.2 0.4 7 4 1 14 5 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Monaco 12 2 10 2.2 1.9 6 4 2 26 23 22
2 9 Reims 12 4 8 1.4 1.5 5 2 5 17 18 17
3 18 Clermont 12 4 8 0.8 1.8 2 4 6 10 21 10
4 14 Le Havre 12 5 7 0.9 1.5 1 7 4 11 18 10
5 16 Lorient 11 4 7 1.1 2.1 2 3 6 12 23 9
6 10 Lyon 11 5 6 0.9 1.5 4 1 6 10 16 13
7 11 Toulouse 12 6 6 0.9 1.4 4 3 5 11 17 15
8 12 Nantes 11 5 6 0.8 1.5 4 1 6 9 17 13
9 15 Montpellier 11 5 6 1.1 1.7 3 1 7 12 19 10
10 17 Metz 12 6 6 0.8 1.9 3 2 7 10 23 11
11 1 Paris SG 12 7 5 1.9 0.6 8 4 0 23 7 28
12 2 Brest 12 7 5 1.3 0.9 6 3 3 16 11 21
13 4 Lille 13 8 5 1.0 1.2 3 6 4 13 16 15
14 6 Marseille 12 7 5 1.3 1.6 2 4 6 16 19 10
15 13 Strasbourg 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 2 4 5 9 18 10
16 7 Lens 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 4 4 4 11 12 16
17 8 Rennes 11 8 3 0.9 1.0 3 5 3 10 11 14
18 5 Nice 11 9 2 0.7 0.9 4 3 4 8 10 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51