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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Paris SG 3–0 Toulouse

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.36 fair 1.84
Draw 5.50 fair 4.53
Away 7.00 fair 4.24
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.54
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.65

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paris SG Toulouse
17 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 5
11 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (100 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.93 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
Paris SGDrawToulouse
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.64points / match
3.00scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 33:10
Toulouse before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.18scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:11
Paris SG all matches all matches Toulouse

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.18
0.91 Goals conceded 1.00
3.91 Total goals 2.18
18.18 Shots 11.36
8.45 Shots on target 3.91
9.09 Shots faced 8.36
6.91 Corners 4.91
3.27 Corners against 4.00
8.18 Fouls 13.82
1.36 Yellow cards 1.55
1.45 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

82% Wins 36%
18% Draws 27%
0% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
91% Over 1.5 goals 82%
73% Over 2.5 goals 36%
64% Over 3.5 goals 9%
36% Over 4.5 goals 0%
27% Over 5.5 goals 0%
73% Both teams scored 45%
27% Clean sheets 45%
0% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

73% Wins 27%
9% Draws 45%
18% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 64%
45% Over 1.5 goals 36%
18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG all matches
Toulouse all matches
Paris SG before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.40scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 17:4
Toulouse before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.40scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:5
Paris SG at home away Toulouse

Per match

3.40 Goals scored 1.40
0.80 Goals conceded 1.00
4.20 Total goals 2.40
20.20 Shots 11.60
8.80 Shots on target 3.00
10.60 Shots faced 9.00
7.40 Corners 3.80
3.20 Corners against 3.60
7.60 Fouls 16.60
1.40 Yellow cards 1.40
1.20 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

100% Wins 40%
0% Draws 20%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
80% Over 2.5 goals 40%
80% Over 3.5 goals 0%
40% Over 4.5 goals 0%
40% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

80% Wins 60%
20% Draws 20%
0% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG at home
Toulouse away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Angers – Paris SG 2–4 (0–4) 12.006.251.22 1.40 3.00
02.11.24 Paris SG – Lens 1–0 (1–0) 1.425.006.25 1.53 2.50
27.10.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–3 (0–3) 3.903.701.90 1.53 2.50
19.10.24 Paris SG – Strasbourg 4–2 (1–0) 1.275.7510.00 1.33 3.20
06.10.24 Nice – Paris SG 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
27.09.24 Paris SG – Rennes 3–1 (1–0) 1.385.257.50 1.57 2.38
21.09.24 Reims – Paris SG 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.53 2.50
14.09.24 Paris SG – Brest 3–1 (1–1) 1.276.0010.00 1.44 2.75
01.09.24 Lille – Paris SG 1–3 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.73 2.10
23.08.24 Paris SG – Montpellier 6–0 (2–0) 1.257.0010.00 1.33 3.40

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.24 Rennes – Toulouse 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.403.40 2.00 1.80
03.11.24 Toulouse – Reims 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.92 1.98
27.10.24 Montpellier – Toulouse 0–3 (0–3) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10
20.10.24 Toulouse – Angers 1–1 (0–1) 1.573.756.50 2.00 1.80
05.10.24 Lille – Toulouse 2–1 (0–1) 1.734.104.50 1.84 2.06
29.09.24 Toulouse – Lyon 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.402.88 1.84 2.06
22.09.24 Brest – Toulouse 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.503.40 2.00 1.90
15.09.24 Toulouse – Le Havre 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 2.02 1.88
31.08.24 Toulouse – Marseille 1–3 (0–2) 3.803.801.90 1.80 2.00
25.08.24 Nice – Toulouse 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.50 2.05 1.85

Paris SG at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Paris SG – Lens 1–0 (1–0) 1.425.006.25 1.53 2.50
19.10.24 Paris SG – Strasbourg 4–2 (1–0) 1.275.7510.00 1.33 3.20
27.09.24 Paris SG – Rennes 3–1 (1–0) 1.385.257.50 1.57 2.38
14.09.24 Paris SG – Brest 3–1 (1–1) 1.276.0010.00 1.44 2.75
23.08.24 Paris SG – Montpellier 6–0 (2–0) 1.257.0010.00 1.33 3.40
12.05.24 Paris SG – Toulouse 1–3 (1–1) 1.406.005.75 1.40 3.00
27.04.24 Paris SG – Le Havre 3–3 (1–2) 1.335.757.50 1.62 2.30
21.04.24 Paris SG – Lyon 4–1 (4–1) 1.445.256.00 1.44 2.75
06.04.24 Paris SG – Clermont 1–1 (0–1) 1.188.0012.00 1.33 3.40
10.03.24 Paris SG – Reims 2–2 (2–2) 1.405.007.00 1.48 2.60

Toulouse away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.24 Rennes – Toulouse 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.403.40 2.00 1.80
27.10.24 Montpellier – Toulouse 0–3 (0–3) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Lille – Toulouse 2–1 (0–1) 1.734.104.50 1.84 2.06
22.09.24 Brest – Toulouse 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.503.40 2.00 1.90
25.08.24 Nice – Toulouse 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.50 2.05 1.85
12.05.24 Paris SG – Toulouse 1–3 (1–1) 1.406.005.75 1.40 3.00
28.04.24 Lorient – Toulouse 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.402.63 2.04 1.86
13.04.24 Rennes – Toulouse 1–2 (1–2) 1.803.604.33 1.92 1.98
31.03.24 Clermont – Toulouse 0–3 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 2.07 1.83
10.03.24 Le Havre – Toulouse 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.63 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paris SG winsDrawsToulouse wins
4matches
3.00goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.24F1 Paris SG – Toulouse 1–3 (1–1) 1.406.005.75 1.40 3.00
19.08.23F1 Toulouse – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 4.754.201.65 1.57 2.38
04.02.23F1 Paris SG – Toulouse 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.75
31.08.22F1 Toulouse – Paris SG 0–3 (0–1) 13.007.001.20 1.33 3.40

France Ligue 1 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 11 9 2 0 33 10 +23 29 WDWWWW
2 Monaco 12 8 2 2 21 10 +11 26 WDLLWW
3 Marseille 11 6 2 3 24 15 +9 20 LDWLWL
4 Lille 11 5 4 2 18 11 +7 19 WWDWDD
5 Lyon 11 5 3 3 18 15 +3 18 WWWDDW
6 Nice 11 4 5 2 21 11 +10 17 DDDWWD
7 Reims 11 5 2 4 19 15 +4 17 WWLLLW
8 Lens 11 4 5 2 12 9 +3 17 DDWLLW
9 Auxerre 11 5 1 5 20 19 +1 16 WLWDWW
10 Toulouse 11 4 3 4 13 11 +2 15 LLDWWW
11 Strasbourg 11 3 4 4 20 22 -2 13 WDLWLL
12 Brest 12 4 1 7 16 22 -6 13 WDWLLL
13 Rennes 11 3 2 6 13 18 -5 11 LLDWLL
14 Nantes 11 2 4 5 14 17 -3 10 DLDLLL
15 Angers 11 2 4 5 13 20 -7 10 LDDWWL
16 St Etienne 11 3 1 7 10 25 -15 10 DWLLWL
17 Le Havre 11 3 0 8 8 23 -15 9 LLLLWL
18 Montpellier 11 2 1 8 11 31 -20 7 LLLLLW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 5 5 0 0 17 4 +13 15 WWWWW
2 Monaco 7 4 2 1 10 6 +4 14 DWWDLW
3 Auxerre 5 4 0 1 11 5 +6 12 WLWWW
4 Strasbourg 6 3 2 1 11 8 +3 11 WDWDWL
5 Rennes 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10 WWDLWL
6 Brest 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10 LWWWDL
7 Lyon 6 3 1 2 11 10 +1 10 LWLWDW
8 Nice 5 2 3 0 14 5 +9 9 DWDWD
9 St Etienne 5 3 0 2 6 5 +1 9 LWWLW
10 Lille 5 2 2 1 9 8 +1 8 WLDWD
11 Lens 5 2 2 1 5 4 +1 8 WDDLW
12 Toulouse 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8 DLWLDW
13 Reims 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7 LWDWL
14 Montpellier 6 2 1 3 8 15 -7 7 DLWLLW
15 Le Havre 6 2 0 4 5 15 -10 6 LWLLWL
16 Nantes 5 1 2 2 7 7 0 5 WLDDL
17 Marseille 5 1 2 2 6 9 -3 5 DWDLL
18 Angers 6 1 1 4 9 15 -6 4 LLDLWL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Marseille 6 5 0 1 18 6 +12 15 WWWLWW
2 Paris SG 6 4 2 0 16 6 +10 14 WWDDWW
3 Monaco 5 4 0 1 11 4 +7 12 WWWLW
4 Lille 6 3 2 1 9 3 +6 11 WLWDWD
5 Reims 6 3 1 2 11 7 +4 10 DWWLLW
6 Lens 6 2 3 1 7 5 +2 9 WDDDWL
7 Lyon 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8 LDWWD
8 Nice 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8 LWLDDW
9 Toulouse 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7 DLLWW
10 Angers 5 1 3 1 4 5 -1 6 LDDDW
11 Nantes 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5 DWDLLL
12 Auxerre 6 1 1 4 9 14 -5 4 LLLLDW
13 Le Havre 5 1 0 4 3 8 -5 3 WLLLL
14 Brest 6 1 0 5 6 15 -9 3 LLLWLL
15 Strasbourg 5 0 2 3 9 14 -5 2 DLDLL
16 Rennes 5 0 1 4 4 13 -9 1 LLLDL
17 St Etienne 6 0 1 5 4 20 -16 1 LLLDLL
18 Montpellier 5 0 0 5 3 16 -13 0 LLLLL

Paris SG   Toulouse

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 9 Auxerre 11 1 10 1.8 1.7 5 1 5 20 19 16 OOOOOO
2 18 Montpellier 11 2 9 1.0 2.8 2 1 8 11 31 7 OOOOUO
3 1 Paris SG 11 3 8 3.0 0.9 9 2 0 33 10 29 OUOOUO
4 3 Marseille 11 3 8 2.2 1.4 6 2 3 24 15 20 UUOOOO
5 7 Reims 11 3 8 1.7 1.4 5 2 4 19 15 17 OOOOUO
6 2 Monaco 12 5 7 1.8 0.8 8 2 2 21 10 26 OUOUOO
7 11 Strasbourg 11 4 7 1.8 2.0 3 4 4 20 22 13 UOOOUO
8 12 Brest 12 5 7 1.3 1.8 4 1 7 16 22 13 UUOUOO
9 13 Rennes 11 4 7 1.2 1.6 3 2 6 13 18 11 OOUUOU
10 5 Lyon 11 5 6 1.6 1.4 5 3 3 18 15 18 OUOOUU
11 14 Nantes 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 2 4 5 14 17 10 OUUOOO
12 17 Le Havre 11 5 6 0.7 2.1 3 0 8 8 23 9 OUOUUO
13 4 Lille 11 6 5 1.6 1.0 5 4 2 18 11 19 OOUUUO
14 6 Nice 11 6 5 1.9 1.0 4 5 2 21 11 17 UUUOUO
15 16 St Etienne 11 6 5 0.9 2.3 3 1 7 10 25 10 OOUOUU
16 10 Toulouse 11 7 4 1.2 1.0 4 3 4 13 11 15 OOUOUU
17 15 Angers 11 7 4 1.2 1.8 2 4 5 13 20 10 OUUOUO
18 8 Lens 11 9 2 1.1 0.8 4 5 2 12 9 17 UOUUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 9 Auxerre 5 0 5 2.2 1.0 4 0 1 11 5 12 OOOOO
2 17 Le Havre 6 1 5 0.8 2.5 2 0 4 5 15 6 OOOOUO
3 18 Montpellier 6 1 5 1.3 2.5 2 1 3 8 15 7 UOOOOO
4 1 Paris SG 5 1 4 3.4 0.8 5 0 0 17 4 15 OOOOU
5 11 Strasbourg 6 2 4 1.8 1.3 3 2 1 11 8 11 OUUOOO
6 15 Angers 6 2 4 1.5 2.5 1 1 4 9 15 4 UOUOOO
7 2 Monaco 7 4 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 1 10 6 14 UOOUUO
8 3 Marseille 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 2 6 9 5 OUUOO
9 4 Lille 5 2 3 1.8 1.6 2 2 1 9 8 8 UOOOU
10 5 Lyon 6 3 3 1.8 1.7 3 1 2 11 10 10 UOOUOU
11 6 Nice 5 2 3 2.8 1.0 2 3 0 14 5 9 UOUOO
12 7 Reims 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7 UOUOO
13 13 Rennes 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10 OOUOUU
14 14 Nantes 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 1 2 2 7 7 5 UOOUO
15 10 Toulouse 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8 UOUOUU
16 12 Brest 6 4 2 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10 OOUUUU
17 8 Lens 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 1 5 4 8 UUUUO
18 16 St Etienne 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 3 0 2 6 5 9 UUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Marseille 6 1 5 3.0 1.0 5 0 1 18 6 15 OOOUOO
2 7 Reims 6 1 5 1.8 1.2 3 1 2 11 7 10 OOOOUO
3 9 Auxerre 6 1 5 1.5 2.3 1 1 4 9 14 4 UOOOOO
4 12 Brest 6 1 5 1.0 2.5 1 0 5 6 15 3 UOOOOO
5 1 Paris SG 6 2 4 2.7 1.0 4 2 0 16 6 14 OOUUOO
6 2 Monaco 5 1 4 2.2 0.8 4 0 1 11 4 12 UOOOO
7 13 Rennes 5 1 4 0.8 2.6 0 1 4 4 13 1 OOOUO
8 16 St Etienne 6 2 4 0.7 3.3 0 1 5 4 20 1 UOOOOU
9 18 Montpellier 5 1 4 0.6 3.2 0 0 5 3 16 0 OOOOU
10 5 Lyon 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8 OUOOU
11 11 Strasbourg 5 2 3 1.8 2.8 0 2 3 9 14 2 UOOOU
12 14 Nantes 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5 UOUUOO
13 4 Lille 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 3 2 1 9 3 11 UUOUUO
14 6 Nice 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8 OOUUUU
15 10 Toulouse 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 1 2 7 5 7 UUOOU
16 8 Lens 6 5 1 1.2 0.8 2 3 1 7 5 9 UUUOUU
17 17 Le Havre 5 4 1 0.6 1.6 1 0 4 3 8 3 UUOUU
18 15 Angers 5 5 0 0.8 1.0 1 3 1 4 5 6 UUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47