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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 3–2 Lyon

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.00 fair 2.18
Draw 3.90 fair 4.25
Away 3.30 fair 3.27
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.47
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Lyon
20 Shots 10
11 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 2
13 Fouls 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (179 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawLyon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 7.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.95points / match
2.11scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 40:23
Lyon before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
1.58scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 30:23
Marseille all matches all matches Lyon

Per match

2.11 Goals scored 1.58
1.21 Goals conceded 1.21
3.32 Total goals 2.79
12.47 Shots 12.95
5.42 Shots on target 5.32
10.00 Shots faced 12.53
4.16 Corners 6.00
3.79 Corners against 4.47
11.05 Fouls 10.63
1.95 Yellow cards 1.58
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.74
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

58% Wins 42%
21% Draws 32%
21% Losses 26%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
95% Over 1.5 goals 79%
63% Over 2.5 goals 53%
42% Over 3.5 goals 32%
21% Over 4.5 goals 16%
11% Over 5.5 goals 5%
68% Both teams scored 53%
16% Clean sheets 37%
16% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 42%
26% Draws 37%
32% Losses 21%
84% Over 0.5 goals 74%
42% Over 1.5 goals 32%
26% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Lyon all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
1.44points / match
1.67scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:13
Lyon before this match, away
1.30points / match
1.40scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:12
Marseille at home away Lyon

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.40
1.44 Goals conceded 1.20
3.11 Total goals 2.60
12.67 Shots 11.90
4.89 Shots on target 4.40
9.89 Shots faced 12.00
4.33 Corners 6.10
3.11 Corners against 4.10
12.33 Fouls 11.40
2.11 Yellow cards 1.60
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

33% Wins 30%
44% Draws 40%
22% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
100% Over 1.5 goals 90%
56% Over 2.5 goals 60%
33% Over 3.5 goals 20%
11% Over 4.5 goals 0%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 60%
11% Clean sheets 30%
11% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 40%
11% Draws 20%
44% Losses 40%
89% Over 0.5 goals 90%
33% Over 1.5 goals 40%
33% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Lyon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Nice – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10
19.01.25 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.62 2.30
11.01.25 Rennes – Marseille 1–2 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 1.98 1.92
05.01.25 Marseille – Le Havre 5–1 (3–0) 1.306.008.00 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
08.12.24 St Etienne – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.901.65 1.73 2.10
01.12.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Lens – Marseille 1–3 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10
08.11.24 Marseille – Auxerre 1–3 (0–3) 1.405.007.50 1.50 2.63
03.11.24 Nantes – Marseille 1–2 (1–1) 3.703.502.05 1.97 1.93

Lyon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Nantes – Lyon 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.502.10 1.80 2.00
18.01.25 Lyon – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.904.00 1.73 2.10
11.01.25 Brest – Lyon 2–1 (2–1) 3.103.502.25 1.73 2.10
04.01.25 Lyon – Montpellier 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.508.00 1.40 3.00
15.12.24 Paris SG – Lyon 3–1 (2–1) 1.406.005.75 1.29 3.75
07.12.24 Angers – Lyon 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.001.67 1.62 2.30
01.12.24 Lyon – Nice 4–1 (3–1) 1.913.803.70 1.67 2.20
23.11.24 Reims – Lyon 1–1 (0–1) 2.753.752.35 1.57 2.38
10.11.24 Lyon – St Etienne 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.40 3.00
01.11.24 Lille – Lyon 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.753.10 1.62 2.30

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.62 2.30
05.01.25 Marseille – Le Havre 5–1 (3–0) 1.306.008.00 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
01.12.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.57 2.38
08.11.24 Marseille – Auxerre 1–3 (0–3) 1.405.007.50 1.50 2.63
27.10.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–3 (0–3) 3.903.701.90 1.53 2.50
04.10.24 Marseille – Angers 1–1 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.53 2.50
14.09.24 Marseille – Nice 2–0 (1–0) 1.703.904.50 1.73 2.10
25.08.24 Marseille – Reims 2–2 (1–0) 1.534.505.50 1.62 2.30
12.05.24 Marseille – Lorient 3–1 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50

Lyon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Nantes – Lyon 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.502.10 1.80 2.00
11.01.25 Brest – Lyon 2–1 (2–1) 3.103.502.25 1.73 2.10
15.12.24 Paris SG – Lyon 3–1 (2–1) 1.406.005.75 1.29 3.75
07.12.24 Angers – Lyon 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.001.67 1.62 2.30
23.11.24 Reims – Lyon 1–1 (0–1) 2.753.752.35 1.57 2.38
01.11.24 Lille – Lyon 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.753.10 1.62 2.30
20.10.24 Le Havre – Lyon 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.73 2.10
29.09.24 Toulouse – Lyon 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.402.88 1.84 2.06
15.09.24 Lens – Lyon 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.73 2.10
18.08.24 Rennes – Lyon 3–0 (2–0) 2.353.502.90 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsLyon wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
71%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.09.24F1 Lyon – Marseille 2–3 (0–0) 2.903.802.20 1.57 2.38
04.02.24F1 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.95 1.95
06.12.23F1 Marseille – Lyon 3–0 (2–0) 1.673.804.75 1.75 2.05
23.04.23F1 Lyon – Marseille 1–2 (0–1) 2.503.502.70 1.67 2.20
06.11.22F1 Marseille – Lyon 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.72 2.10
01.05.22F1 Marseille – Lyon 0–3 (0–0) 2.253.503.00 1.61 2.30
01.02.22F1 Lyon – Marseille 2–1 (0–1) 2.753.302.60 2.04 1.86

France Ligue 1 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 20 15 5 0 54 19 +35 50
2 Marseille 19 11 4 4 40 23 +17 37
3 Monaco 20 11 4 5 36 24 +12 37
4 Lille 20 9 8 3 33 20 +13 35
5 Nice 20 9 7 4 39 26 +13 34
6 Lens 20 9 6 5 25 18 +7 33
7 Lyon 19 8 6 5 30 23 +7 30
8 Brest 20 9 1 10 31 36 -5 28
9 Strasbourg 20 7 6 7 33 32 +1 27
10 Toulouse 20 7 5 8 21 22 -1 26
11 Auxerre 20 6 5 9 27 33 -6 23
12 Angers 20 6 5 9 22 29 -7 23
13 Reims 20 5 7 8 26 29 -3 22
14 Nantes 20 4 9 7 24 30 -6 21
15 Rennes 20 6 2 12 27 30 -3 20
16 St Etienne 20 5 3 12 19 43 -24 18
17 Montpellier 20 4 3 13 20 46 -26 15
18 Le Havre 20 4 2 14 15 39 -24 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 10 8 2 0 27 8 +19 26
2 Monaco 11 7 2 2 21 14 +7 23
3 Nice 9 6 3 0 23 9 +14 21
4 Lille 10 6 3 1 20 12 +8 21
5 Rennes 11 6 1 4 19 9 +10 19
6 Auxerre 10 5 4 1 15 8 +7 19
7 Brest 10 6 1 3 21 15 +6 19
8 Strasbourg 9 5 3 1 16 10 +6 18
9 Lyon 9 5 2 2 16 11 +5 17
10 St Etienne 9 5 1 3 11 9 +2 16
11 Toulouse 11 4 3 4 13 12 +1 15
12 Lens 10 4 2 4 10 10 0 14
13 Marseille 9 3 4 2 15 13 +2 13
14 Montpellier 11 3 3 5 15 25 -10 12
15 Angers 10 3 2 5 14 19 -5 11
16 Nantes 9 2 4 3 11 12 -1 10
17 Reims 11 2 4 5 13 18 -5 10
18 Le Havre 10 2 0 8 6 22 -16 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 10 7 3 0 27 11 +16 24
2 Marseille 10 8 0 2 25 10 +15 24
3 Lens 10 5 4 1 15 8 +7 19
4 Monaco 9 4 2 3 15 10 +5 14
5 Lille 10 3 5 2 13 8 +5 14
6 Lyon 10 3 4 3 14 12 +2 13
7 Nice 11 3 4 4 16 17 -1 13
8 Reims 9 3 3 3 13 11 +2 12
9 Angers 10 3 3 4 8 10 -2 12
10 Toulouse 9 3 2 4 8 10 -2 11
11 Nantes 11 2 5 4 13 18 -5 11
12 Strasbourg 11 2 3 6 17 22 -5 9
13 Brest 10 3 0 7 10 21 -11 9
14 Le Havre 10 2 2 6 9 17 -8 8
15 Auxerre 10 1 1 8 12 25 -13 4
16 Montpellier 9 1 0 8 5 21 -16 3
17 St Etienne 11 0 2 9 8 34 -26 2
18 Rennes 9 0 1 8 8 21 -13 1

Marseille   Lyon

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 20 6 14 2.7 0.9 15 5 0 54 19 50
2 17 Montpellier 20 6 14 1.0 2.3 4 3 13 20 46 15
3 3 Monaco 20 7 13 1.8 1.2 11 4 5 36 24 37
4 8 Brest 20 7 13 1.6 1.8 9 1 10 31 36 28
5 9 Strasbourg 20 7 13 1.6 1.6 7 6 7 33 32 27
6 11 Auxerre 20 7 13 1.4 1.6 6 5 9 27 33 23
7 2 Marseille 19 7 12 2.1 1.2 11 4 4 40 23 37
8 5 Nice 20 8 12 1.9 1.3 9 7 4 39 26 34
9 15 Rennes 20 8 12 1.4 1.5 6 2 12 27 30 20
10 13 Reims 20 9 11 1.3 1.4 5 7 8 26 29 22
11 4 Lille 20 10 10 1.6 1.0 9 8 3 33 20 35
12 7 Lyon 19 9 10 1.6 1.2 8 6 5 30 23 30
13 16 St Etienne 20 10 10 0.9 2.1 5 3 12 19 43 18
14 18 Le Havre 20 10 10 0.8 1.9 4 2 14 15 39 14
15 14 Nantes 20 11 9 1.2 1.5 4 9 7 24 30 21
16 10 Toulouse 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 7 5 8 21 22 26
17 6 Lens 20 14 6 1.2 0.9 9 6 5 25 18 33
18 12 Angers 20 14 6 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 22 29 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Montpellier 11 2 9 1.4 2.3 3 3 5 15 25 12
2 1 Paris SG 10 3 7 2.7 0.8 8 2 0 27 8 26
3 18 Le Havre 10 3 7 0.6 2.2 2 0 8 6 22 6
4 3 Monaco 11 5 6 1.9 1.3 7 2 2 21 14 23
5 4 Lille 10 4 6 2.0 1.2 6 3 1 20 12 21
6 5 Nice 9 3 6 2.6 1.0 6 3 0 23 9 21
7 8 Brest 10 4 6 2.1 1.5 6 1 3 21 15 19
8 9 Strasbourg 9 3 6 1.8 1.1 5 3 1 16 10 18
9 11 Auxerre 10 4 6 1.5 0.8 5 4 1 15 8 19
10 15 Rennes 11 5 6 1.7 0.8 6 1 4 19 9 19
11 2 Marseille 9 4 5 1.7 1.4 3 4 2 15 13 13
12 10 Toulouse 11 6 5 1.2 1.1 4 3 4 13 12 15
13 12 Angers 10 5 5 1.4 1.9 3 2 5 14 19 11
14 13 Reims 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 2 4 5 13 18 10
15 7 Lyon 9 5 4 1.8 1.2 5 2 2 16 11 17
16 14 Nantes 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 2 4 3 11 12 10
17 6 Lens 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 2 4 10 10 14
18 16 St Etienne 9 7 2 1.2 1.0 5 1 3 11 9 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 St Etienne 11 3 8 0.7 3.1 0 2 9 8 34 2
2 1 Paris SG 10 3 7 2.7 1.1 7 3 0 27 11 24
3 2 Marseille 10 3 7 2.5 1.0 8 0 2 25 10 24
4 3 Monaco 9 2 7 1.7 1.1 4 2 3 15 10 14
5 8 Brest 10 3 7 1.0 2.1 3 0 7 10 21 9
6 9 Strasbourg 11 4 7 1.5 2.0 2 3 6 17 22 9
7 11 Auxerre 10 3 7 1.2 2.5 1 1 8 12 25 4
8 5 Nice 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 3 4 4 16 17 13
9 7 Lyon 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 3 4 3 14 12 13
10 13 Reims 9 3 6 1.4 1.2 3 3 3 13 11 12
11 15 Rennes 9 3 6 0.9 2.3 0 1 8 8 21 1
12 14 Nantes 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 2 5 4 13 18 11
13 17 Montpellier 9 4 5 0.6 2.3 1 0 8 5 21 3
14 4 Lille 10 6 4 1.3 0.8 3 5 2 13 8 14
15 6 Lens 10 7 3 1.5 0.8 5 4 1 15 8 19
16 10 Toulouse 9 6 3 0.9 1.1 3 2 4 8 10 11
17 18 Le Havre 10 7 3 0.9 1.7 2 2 6 9 17 8
18 12 Angers 10 9 1 0.8 1.0 3 3 4 8 10 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40