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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany 2. Bundesliga ·

Paderborn 1–2 St Pauli

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.45 fair 1.81
Draw 3.30 fair 4.62
Away ✓ 2.90 fair 4.34
Under 2.5 1.90 fair 2.64
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paderborn St Pauli
18 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 1
13 Fouls 8
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (198 league matches this season so far).
Result Paderborn to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.99 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
PaderbornDrawSt Pauli
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.8% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Paderborn before this match, all matches
1.77points / match
2.09scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 46:27
St Pauli before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.36scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 30:26
Paderborn all matches all matches St Pauli

Per match

2.09 Goals scored 1.36
1.23 Goals conceded 1.18
3.32 Total goals 2.55
15.95 Shots 16.14
6.18 Shots on target 4.73
12.45 Shots faced 11.14
4.64 Corners 5.68
4.86 Corners against 3.91
9.59 Fouls 10.73
1.77 Yellow cards 2.27
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

55% Wins 36%
14% Draws 36%
32% Losses 27%
95% Over 0.5 goals 91%
77% Over 1.5 goals 73%
68% Over 2.5 goals 45%
32% Over 3.5 goals 23%
27% Over 4.5 goals 9%
14% Over 5.5 goals 5%
50% Both teams scored 45%
41% Clean sheets 36%
14% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 32%
32% Draws 41%
36% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 68%
32% Over 1.5 goals 32%
27% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paderborn all matches
St Pauli all matches
Paderborn before this match, at home
2.18points / match
2.82scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 31:12
St Pauli before this match, away
0.82points / match
1.18scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:20
Paderborn at home away St Pauli

Per match

2.82 Goals scored 1.18
1.09 Goals conceded 1.82
3.91 Total goals 3.00
18.64 Shots 14.27
8.27 Shots on target 4.00
12.18 Shots faced 11.91
5.27 Corners 5.64
3.91 Corners against 3.82
9.64 Fouls 10.55
1.09 Yellow cards 2.18
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.91 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

73% Wins 18%
0% Draws 27%
27% Losses 55%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 82%
73% Over 2.5 goals 55%
45% Over 3.5 goals 27%
45% Over 4.5 goals 9%
18% Over 5.5 goals 9%
45% Both teams scored 55%
45% Clean sheets 9%
9% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 18%
27% Draws 36%
36% Losses 45%
73% Over 0.5 goals 82%
45% Over 1.5 goals 36%
36% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paderborn at home
St Pauli away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paderborn all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.23 Holstein Kiel – Paderborn 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.802.30 1.53 2.40
17.02.23 Paderborn – Kaiserslautern 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.70 2.10
11.02.23 Hannover – Paderborn 3–4 (2–2) 3.003.402.38 1.75 2.05
03.02.23 Paderborn – Fortuna Dusseldorf 4–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.80 1.73 2.08
27.01.23 Karlsruhe – Paderborn 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.752.55 1.62 2.25
13.11.22 Nurnberg – Paderborn 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.502.30 1.70 2.10
08.11.22 Paderborn – Bielefeld 0–2 (0–2) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.40
05.11.22 Heidenheim – Paderborn 3–0 (1–0) 2.803.402.50 1.65 2.20
30.10.22 Paderborn – Hamburg 2–3 (1–2) 2.253.802.90 1.47 2.60
22.10.22 Braunschweig – Paderborn 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.801.90 1.57 2.35

St Pauli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.23 St Pauli – Hansa Rostock 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.75 1.98 1.88
18.02.23 Magdeburg – St Pauli 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.15
12.02.23 St Pauli – Kaiserslautern 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.93 1.93
05.02.23 St Pauli – Hannover 2–0 (2–0) 2.003.603.50 1.85 2.00
29.01.23 Nurnberg – St Pauli 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.402.55 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Karlsruhe – St Pauli 4–4 (3–3) 2.453.502.80 1.75 2.05
08.11.22 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.65 2.20
05.11.22 Fortuna Dusseldorf – St Pauli 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.603.40 1.72 2.07
29.10.22 St Pauli – Darmstadt 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.502.60 1.65 2.20
22.10.22 Bielefeld – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 1.66 2.15

Paderborn at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.23 Paderborn – Kaiserslautern 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.70 2.10
03.02.23 Paderborn – Fortuna Dusseldorf 4–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.80 1.73 2.08
08.11.22 Paderborn – Bielefeld 0–2 (0–2) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.40
30.10.22 Paderborn – Hamburg 2–3 (1–2) 2.253.802.90 1.47 2.60
16.10.22 Paderborn – Sandhausen 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.60 2.30
30.09.22 Paderborn – Darmstadt 1–2 (1–2) 2.253.752.90 1.50 2.50
10.09.22 Paderborn – Regensburg 3–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.25 1.44 2.70
03.09.22 Paderborn – Magdeburg 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.25 4.00
20.08.22 Paderborn – Holstein Kiel 7–2 (5–2) 1.724.204.33 1.40 2.87
06.08.22 Paderborn – Hannover 4–2 (1–2) 2.053.603.40 1.65 2.20

St Pauli away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23 Magdeburg – St Pauli 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.15
29.01.23 Nurnberg – St Pauli 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.402.55 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Karlsruhe – St Pauli 4–4 (3–3) 2.453.502.80 1.75 2.05
05.11.22 Fortuna Dusseldorf – St Pauli 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.603.40 1.72 2.07
22.10.22 Bielefeld – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 1.66 2.15
08.10.22 Braunschweig – St Pauli 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.752.15 1.66 2.15
18.09.22 Regensburg – St Pauli 2–0 (2–0) 3.253.802.10 1.66 2.15
03.09.22 Greuther Furth – St Pauli 2–2 (0–1) 2.303.603.00 1.57 2.35
21.08.22 Hansa Rostock – St Pauli 2–0 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.66 2.15
07.08.22 Kaiserslautern – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.602.70 1.72 2.07

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paderborn winsDrawsSt Pauli wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22D2 St Pauli – Paderborn 2–2 (0–1) 2.704.002.30 1.40 2.87
05.02.22D2 St Pauli – Paderborn 2–2 (2–1) 1.724.004.33 1.57 2.35
21.08.21D2 Paderborn – St Pauli 3–1 (1–1) 2.403.402.87 1.65 2.20

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Darmstadt 22 14 7 1 37 17 +20 49
2 Hamburg 22 14 3 5 41 26 +15 45
3 Heidenheim 22 12 7 3 44 25 +19 43
4 Paderborn 22 12 3 7 46 27 +19 39
5 Kaiserslautern 22 10 8 4 37 28 +9 38
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 11 2 9 36 29 +7 35
7 St Pauli 22 8 8 6 30 26 +4 32
8 Holstein Kiel 22 8 8 6 39 37 +2 32
9 Hannover 22 8 5 9 31 30 +1 29
10 Karlsruhe 22 8 4 10 33 33 0 28
11 Greuther Furth 22 6 8 8 28 34 -6 26
12 Nurnberg 22 7 4 11 18 32 -14 25
13 Hansa Rostock 22 7 3 12 18 29 -11 24
14 Magdeburg 22 7 3 12 29 42 -13 24
15 Braunschweig 22 5 6 11 26 38 -12 21
16 Bielefeld 22 6 2 14 28 35 -7 20
17 Regensburg 22 5 5 12 22 38 -16 20
18 Sandhausen 22 5 4 13 23 40 -17 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Heidenheim 11 8 3 0 31 13 +18 27
2 Darmstadt 12 7 5 0 20 8 +12 26
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 8 1 2 25 11 +14 25
4 Paderborn 11 8 0 3 31 12 +19 24
5 St Pauli 11 6 5 0 17 6 +11 23
6 Hamburg 11 7 1 3 21 13 +8 22
7 Greuther Furth 11 5 5 1 16 13 +3 20
8 Kaiserslautern 11 5 4 2 19 16 +3 19
9 Hannover 11 5 2 4 17 15 +2 17
10 Karlsruhe 12 5 2 5 19 19 0 17
11 Holstein Kiel 11 4 4 3 19 15 +4 16
12 Nurnberg 11 5 1 5 10 12 -2 16
13 Braunschweig 11 4 2 5 14 14 0 14
14 Regensburg 11 3 5 3 11 17 -6 14
15 Bielefeld 11 4 0 7 17 18 -1 12
16 Sandhausen 10 3 2 5 12 19 -7 11
17 Hansa Rostock 11 3 1 7 8 14 -6 10
18 Magdeburg 10 2 2 6 8 16 -8 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Darmstadt 10 7 2 1 17 9 +8 23
2 Hamburg 11 7 2 2 20 13 +7 23
3 Kaiserslautern 11 5 4 2 18 12 +6 19
4 Heidenheim 11 4 4 3 13 12 +1 16
5 Holstein Kiel 11 4 4 3 20 22 -2 16
6 Magdeburg 12 5 1 6 21 26 -5 16
7 Paderborn 11 4 3 4 15 15 0 15
8 Hansa Rostock 11 4 2 5 10 15 -5 14
9 Hannover 11 3 3 5 14 15 -1 12
10 Karlsruhe 10 3 2 5 14 14 0 11
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 3 1 7 11 18 -7 10
12 St Pauli 11 2 3 6 13 20 -7 9
13 Nurnberg 11 2 3 6 8 20 -12 9
14 Bielefeld 11 2 2 7 11 17 -6 8
15 Sandhausen 12 2 2 8 11 21 -10 8
16 Braunschweig 11 1 4 6 12 24 -12 7
17 Greuther Furth 11 1 3 7 12 21 -9 6
18 Regensburg 11 2 0 9 11 21 -10 6

Paderborn   St Pauli

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Paderborn 22 7 15 2.1 1.2 12 3 7 46 27 39
2 8 Holstein Kiel 22 7 15 1.8 1.7 8 8 6 39 37 32
3 14 Magdeburg 22 7 15 1.3 1.9 7 3 12 29 42 24
4 6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 8 14 1.6 1.3 11 2 9 36 29 35
5 11 Greuther Furth 22 8 14 1.3 1.5 6 8 8 28 34 26
6 3 Heidenheim 22 9 13 2.0 1.1 12 7 3 44 25 43
7 5 Kaiserslautern 22 9 13 1.7 1.3 10 8 4 37 28 38
8 18 Sandhausen 22 9 13 1.0 1.8 5 4 13 23 40 19
9 10 Karlsruhe 22 10 12 1.5 1.5 8 4 10 33 33 28
10 15 Braunschweig 22 10 12 1.2 1.7 5 6 11 26 38 21
11 16 Bielefeld 22 10 12 1.3 1.6 6 2 14 28 35 20
12 2 Hamburg 22 11 11 1.9 1.2 14 3 5 41 26 45
13 9 Hannover 22 11 11 1.4 1.4 8 5 9 31 30 29
14 17 Regensburg 22 11 11 1.0 1.7 5 5 12 22 38 20
15 7 St Pauli 22 12 10 1.4 1.2 8 8 6 30 26 32
16 1 Darmstadt 22 13 9 1.7 0.8 14 7 1 37 17 49
17 12 Nurnberg 22 13 9 0.8 1.5 7 4 11 18 32 25
18 13 Hansa Rostock 22 15 7 0.8 1.3 7 3 12 18 29 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Heidenheim 11 2 9 2.8 1.2 8 3 0 31 13 27
2 4 Paderborn 11 3 8 2.8 1.1 8 0 3 31 12 24
3 6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 3 8 2.3 1.0 8 1 2 25 11 25
4 5 Kaiserslautern 11 4 7 1.7 1.5 5 4 2 19 16 19
5 8 Holstein Kiel 11 4 7 1.7 1.4 4 4 3 19 15 16
6 10 Karlsruhe 12 5 7 1.6 1.6 5 2 5 19 19 17
7 16 Bielefeld 11 4 7 1.5 1.6 4 0 7 17 18 12
8 18 Sandhausen 10 3 7 1.2 1.9 3 2 5 12 19 11
9 2 Hamburg 11 5 6 1.9 1.2 7 1 3 21 13 22
10 9 Hannover 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 5 2 4 17 15 17
11 11 Greuther Furth 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 5 5 1 16 13 20
12 14 Magdeburg 10 5 5 0.8 1.6 2 2 6 8 16 8
13 15 Braunschweig 11 6 5 1.3 1.3 4 2 5 14 14 14
14 17 Regensburg 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 3 5 3 11 17 14
15 1 Darmstadt 12 8 4 1.7 0.7 7 5 0 20 8 26
16 7 St Pauli 11 7 4 1.5 0.5 6 5 0 17 6 23
17 12 Nurnberg 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 5 1 5 10 12 16
18 13 Hansa Rostock 11 8 3 0.7 1.3 3 1 7 8 14 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Magdeburg 12 2 10 1.8 2.2 5 1 6 21 26 16
2 8 Holstein Kiel 11 3 8 1.8 2.0 4 4 3 20 22 16
3 11 Greuther Furth 11 3 8 1.1 1.9 1 3 7 12 21 6
4 4 Paderborn 11 4 7 1.4 1.4 4 3 4 15 15 15
5 15 Braunschweig 11 4 7 1.1 2.2 1 4 6 12 24 7
6 5 Kaiserslautern 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 5 4 2 18 12 19
7 6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 5 6 1.0 1.6 3 1 7 11 18 10
8 7 St Pauli 11 5 6 1.2 1.8 2 3 6 13 20 9
9 17 Regensburg 11 5 6 1.0 1.9 2 0 9 11 21 6
10 18 Sandhausen 12 6 6 0.9 1.8 2 2 8 11 21 8
11 1 Darmstadt 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 7 2 1 17 9 23
12 2 Hamburg 11 6 5 1.8 1.2 7 2 2 20 13 23
13 9 Hannover 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 3 3 5 14 15 12
14 10 Karlsruhe 10 5 5 1.4 1.4 3 2 5 14 14 11
15 12 Nurnberg 11 6 5 0.7 1.8 2 3 6 8 20 9
16 16 Bielefeld 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 2 2 7 11 17 8
17 3 Heidenheim 11 7 4 1.2 1.1 4 4 3 13 12 16
18 13 Hansa Rostock 11 7 4 0.9 1.4 4 2 5 10 15 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44