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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany 2. Bundesliga ·

St Pauli 5–1 Nurnberg

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 1.82
Draw 4.20 fair 4.49
Away 5.75 fair 4.36
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

St Pauli Nurnberg
20 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 4
7 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (77 league matches this season so far).
Result St Pauli to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.91 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
St PauliDrawNurnberg
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

St Pauli before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.63scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:5
Nurnberg before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:13
St Pauli all matches all matches Nurnberg

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.50
0.63 Goals conceded 1.63
2.25 Total goals 3.13
17.38 Shots 15.25
6.00 Shots on target 5.00
10.13 Shots faced 13.88
4.50 Corners 7.00
3.63 Corners against 4.50
9.88 Fouls 13.75
2.13 Yellow cards 3.25
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.13 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 38%
50% Draws 38%
0% Losses 25%
63% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 88%
50% Over 2.5 goals 63%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 75%
38% Clean sheets 13%
38% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
75% Draws 38%
0% Losses 38%
38% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 50%
13% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Pauli all matches
Nurnberg all matches
St Pauli before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:2
Nurnberg before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:9
St Pauli at home away Nurnberg

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded 2.25
2.50 Total goals 3.75
19.00 Shots 16.75
8.00 Shots on target 5.75
9.50 Shots faced 13.75
5.50 Corners 7.00
3.50 Corners against 3.75
9.00 Fouls 12.50
2.00 Yellow cards 2.50
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 1.25

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%
50% Draws 25%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 75%
50% Over 3.5 goals 75%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%
75% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Pauli at home
Nurnberg away

Last 10 matches before this match

St Pauli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Hertha – St Pauli 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.752.40 1.57 2.35
23.09.23 St Pauli – Schalke 04 3–1 (1–1) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
17.09.23 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 5–1 (3–0) 1.853.804.00 1.67 2.15
01.09.23 Braunschweig – St Pauli 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.601.91 1.88 1.98
27.08.23 St Pauli – Magdeburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.75 1.65 2.20
19.08.23 Greuther Furth – St Pauli 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 1.75 2.05
05.08.23 St Pauli – Fortuna Dusseldorf 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.75 1.70 2.10
29.07.23 Kaiserslautern – St Pauli 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.83 2.03
28.05.23 St Pauli – Karlsruhe 1–1 (0–1) 1.854.003.75 1.48 2.60
19.05.23 Holstein Kiel – St Pauli 3–4 (1–1) 3.103.802.15 1.48 2.60

Nurnberg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.23 Nurnberg – Magdeburg 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.752.50 1.57 2.35
23.09.23 Braunschweig – Nurnberg 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.502.40 1.75 2.05
15.09.23 Nurnberg – Greuther Furth 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.602.55 1.80 2.00
02.09.23 Kaiserslautern – Nurnberg 3–1 (3–1) 2.103.603.25 1.73 2.08
27.08.23 Nurnberg – Wehen 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.50 1.75 2.05
20.08.23 Osnabruck – Nurnberg 2–3 (0–1) 2.503.402.80 1.80 2.00
06.08.23 Nurnberg – Hannover 2–2 (0–2) 2.303.602.88 1.73 2.08
30.07.23 Hansa Rostock – Nurnberg 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.70
28.05.23 Paderborn – Nurnberg 0–1 (0–1) 1.914.003.60 1.57 2.35
21.05.23 Nurnberg – Hansa Rostock 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.05 1.75

St Pauli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 St Pauli – Schalke 04 3–1 (1–1) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
17.09.23 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 5–1 (3–0) 1.853.804.00 1.67 2.15
27.08.23 St Pauli – Magdeburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.75 1.65 2.20
05.08.23 St Pauli – Fortuna Dusseldorf 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.75 1.70 2.10
28.05.23 St Pauli – Karlsruhe 1–1 (0–1) 1.854.003.75 1.48 2.60
13.05.23 St Pauli – Fortuna Dusseldorf 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.50 1.73 2.08
29.04.23 St Pauli – Bielefeld 2–1 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.70 2.10
16.04.23 St Pauli – Braunschweig 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.205.75 1.80 2.00
01.04.23 St Pauli – Regensburg 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.83 2.02
11.03.23 St Pauli – Greuther Furth 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.503.80 1.95 1.90

Nurnberg away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Braunschweig – Nurnberg 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.502.40 1.75 2.05
02.09.23 Kaiserslautern – Nurnberg 3–1 (3–1) 2.103.603.25 1.73 2.08
20.08.23 Osnabruck – Nurnberg 2–3 (0–1) 2.503.402.80 1.80 2.00
30.07.23 Hansa Rostock – Nurnberg 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.70
28.05.23 Paderborn – Nurnberg 0–1 (0–1) 1.914.003.60 1.57 2.35
12.05.23 Magdeburg – Nurnberg 2–2 (1–0) 2.103.803.25 1.65 2.20
29.04.23 Hannover – Nurnberg 3–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.93 1.93
15.04.23 Holstein Kiel – Nurnberg 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.603.30 1.83 2.02
17.03.23 Bielefeld – Nurnberg 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.203.60 2.10 1.70
04.03.23 Hamburg – Nurnberg 3–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.50 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

St Pauli winsDrawsNurnberg wins
4matches
3.25goals / match
50%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.01.23D2 Nurnberg – St Pauli 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.402.55 1.95 1.90
16.07.22D2 St Pauli – Nurnberg 3–2 (3–0) 2.303.602.90 1.65 2.20
29.04.22D2 St Pauli – Nurnberg 1–1 (0–0) 1.903.803.60 1.44 2.70
28.11.21D2 Nurnberg – St Pauli 2–3 (1–2) 2.903.402.40 1.70 2.10

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hamburg 9 5 2 2 17 10 +7 17
2 Kaiserslautern 9 5 2 2 18 14 +4 17
3 St Pauli 8 4 4 0 13 5 +8 16
4 Hannover 9 4 3 2 20 11 +9 15
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 4 3 2 15 7 +8 15
6 Holstein Kiel 8 5 0 3 14 14 0 15
7 Magdeburg 9 3 4 2 18 15 +3 13
8 Greuther Furth 9 3 3 3 14 15 -1 12
9 Nurnberg 8 3 3 2 12 13 -1 12
10 Hansa Rostock 9 4 0 5 10 13 -3 12
11 Elversberg 8 3 2 3 11 14 -3 11
12 Paderborn 8 3 2 3 11 14 -3 11
13 Hertha 8 3 0 5 16 15 +1 9
14 Karlsruhe 9 2 3 4 13 16 -3 9
15 Wehen 9 2 3 4 7 11 -4 9
16 Schalke 04 8 2 1 5 13 18 -5 7
17 Osnabruck 9 1 3 5 11 21 -10 6
18 Braunschweig 8 1 2 5 5 12 -7 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hamburg 4 4 0 0 11 3 +8 12
2 Kaiserslautern 5 4 0 1 13 7 +6 12
3 Greuther Furth 5 3 1 1 11 6 +5 10
4 Hansa Rostock 5 3 0 2 7 6 +1 9
5 St Pauli 4 2 2 0 8 2 +6 8
6 Magdeburg 4 2 2 0 10 7 +3 8
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
8 Nurnberg 4 2 2 0 6 4 +2 8
9 Hannover 4 2 1 1 11 3 +8 7
10 Paderborn 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
11 Hertha 4 2 0 2 9 3 +6 6
12 Schalke 04 3 2 0 1 7 5 +2 6
13 Holstein Kiel 4 2 0 2 8 9 -1 6
14 Wehen 5 1 3 1 4 5 -1 6
15 Karlsruhe 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
16 Braunschweig 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
17 Osnabruck 5 1 1 3 8 10 -2 4
18 Elversberg 4 1 1 2 4 9 -5 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel 4 3 0 1 6 5 +1 9
2 St Pauli 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
3 Hannover 5 2 2 1 9 8 +1 8
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 2 1 1 8 2 +6 7
5 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
6 Magdeburg 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5
7 Hamburg 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
8 Kaiserslautern 4 1 2 1 5 7 -2 5
9 Karlsruhe 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
10 Nurnberg 4 1 1 2 6 9 -3 4
11 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 4 9 -5 4
12 Wehen 4 1 0 3 3 6 -3 3
13 Hansa Rostock 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3
14 Hertha 4 1 0 3 7 12 -5 3
15 Greuther Furth 4 0 2 2 3 9 -6 2
16 Osnabruck 4 0 2 2 3 11 -8 2
17 Schalke 04 5 0 1 4 6 13 -7 1
18 Braunschweig 4 0 0 4 1 8 -7 0

St Pauli   Nurnberg

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Kaiserslautern 9 1 8 2.0 1.6 5 2 2 18 14 17
2 4 Hannover 9 3 6 2.2 1.2 4 3 2 20 11 15
3 12 Paderborn 8 2 6 1.4 1.8 3 2 3 11 14 11
4 13 Hertha 8 2 6 2.0 1.9 3 0 5 16 15 9
5 17 Osnabruck 9 3 6 1.2 2.3 1 3 5 11 21 6
6 1 Hamburg 9 4 5 1.9 1.1 5 2 2 17 10 17
7 6 Holstein Kiel 8 3 5 1.8 1.8 5 0 3 14 14 15
8 8 Greuther Furth 9 4 5 1.6 1.7 3 3 3 14 15 12
9 9 Nurnberg 8 3 5 1.5 1.6 3 3 2 12 13 12
10 10 Hansa Rostock 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 4 0 5 10 13 12
11 11 Elversberg 8 3 5 1.4 1.8 3 2 3 11 14 11
12 16 Schalke 04 8 3 5 1.6 2.2 2 1 5 13 18 7
13 3 St Pauli 8 4 4 1.6 0.6 4 4 0 13 5 16
14 5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 5 4 1.7 0.8 4 3 2 15 7 15
15 7 Magdeburg 9 5 4 2.0 1.7 3 4 2 18 15 13
16 14 Karlsruhe 9 5 4 1.4 1.8 2 3 4 13 16 9
17 18 Braunschweig 8 5 3 0.6 1.5 1 2 5 5 12 5
18 15 Wehen 9 7 2 0.8 1.2 2 3 4 7 11 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Kaiserslautern 5 0 5 2.6 1.4 4 0 1 13 7 12
2 6 Holstein Kiel 4 0 4 2.0 2.2 2 0 2 8 9 6
3 17 Osnabruck 5 1 4 1.6 2.0 1 1 3 8 10 4
4 8 Greuther Furth 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 3 1 1 11 6 10
5 10 Hansa Rostock 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 3 0 2 7 6 9
6 11 Elversberg 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 1 2 4 9 4
7 12 Paderborn 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
8 13 Hertha 4 1 3 2.2 0.8 2 0 2 9 3 6
9 1 Hamburg 4 2 2 2.8 0.8 4 0 0 11 3 12
10 3 St Pauli 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 2 2 0 8 2 8
11 4 Hannover 4 2 2 2.8 0.8 2 1 1 11 3 7
12 5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
13 7 Magdeburg 4 2 2 2.5 1.8 2 2 0 10 7 8
14 9 Nurnberg 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 2 0 6 4 8
15 16 Schalke 04 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 2 0 1 7 5 6
16 14 Karlsruhe 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
17 18 Braunschweig 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
18 15 Wehen 5 5 0 0.8 1.0 1 3 1 4 5 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hannover 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 2 2 1 9 8 8
2 1 Hamburg 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
3 2 Kaiserslautern 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 1 5 7 5
4 9 Nurnberg 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 1 1 2 6 9 4
5 12 Paderborn 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 1 2 4 9 4
6 13 Hertha 4 1 3 1.8 3.0 1 0 3 7 12 3
7 14 Karlsruhe 5 2 3 1.6 2.2 1 1 3 8 11 4
8 16 Schalke 04 5 2 3 1.2 2.6 0 1 4 6 13 1
9 3 St Pauli 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
10 5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 2 1 1 8 2 7
11 7 Magdeburg 5 3 2 1.6 1.6 1 2 2 8 8 5
12 8 Greuther Furth 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 2 2 3 9 2
13 10 Hansa Rostock 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 0 3 3 7 3
14 11 Elversberg 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
15 15 Wehen 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 1 0 3 3 6 3
16 17 Osnabruck 4 2 2 0.8 2.8 0 2 2 3 11 2
17 18 Braunschweig 4 2 2 0.2 2.0 0 0 4 1 8 0
18 6 Holstein Kiel 4 3 1 1.5 1.2 3 0 1 6 5 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44