Ulm 0–2 Paderborn – Germany 2. Bundesliga, 8 Feb 2025

Match facts

Ulm Paderborn

7 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 5

4 Corners 5

6 Fouls 20

1 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (182 league matches this season so far).

Result Ulm to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.68

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.46

Home / Draw / Away

39% 25% 37%

UlmDrawPaderborn

Under / Over 2.5 goals

44% 57%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

41% 59%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

17% 4

18% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.4% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ulm before this match, all matches

0.85points / match

1.20scored / match

1.30conceded / match

3 8 9

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 24:26

Paderborn before this match, all matches

1.55points / match

1.60scored / match

1.40conceded / match

8 7 5

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 32:28

Ulm all matches all matches Paderborn

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.60

1.30 Goals conceded 1.40

2.50 Total goals 3.00

12.75 Shots 14.15

4.35 Shots on target 5.05

13.80 Shots faced 12.80

4.20 Corners 6.15

5.25 Corners against 5.40

11.30 Fouls 11.30

2.45 Yellow cards 2.00

0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.45

0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

15% Wins 40%

40% Draws 35%

45% Losses 25%

80% Over 0.5 goals 90%

70% Over 1.5 goals 85%

50% Over 2.5 goals 70%

30% Over 3.5 goals 30%

15% Over 4.5 goals 15%

5% Over 5.5 goals 10%

65% Both teams scored 75%

20% Clean sheets 20%

35% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 15%

50% Draws 55%

20% Losses 30%

65% Over 0.5 goals 65%

35% Over 1.5 goals 30%

15% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ulm all matches

D

2

D

1

D

2

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

5

1

W

2

3

L

Paderborn all matches

D

1

D

3

2

W

3

1

W

2

4

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

W

1

2

L

Ulm before this match, at home

1.00points / match

1.44scored / match

1.22conceded / match

2 3 4

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:11

Paderborn before this match, away

1.70points / match

1.60scored / match

1.40conceded / match

4 5 1

WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:14

Ulm at home away Paderborn

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.60

1.22 Goals conceded 1.40

2.67 Total goals 3.00

14.56 Shots 12.70

5.00 Shots on target 4.90

11.11 Shots faced 12.00

4.67 Corners 5.80

4.78 Corners against 4.90

10.00 Fouls 11.70

2.67 Yellow cards 2.50

0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.40

0.11 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

22% Wins 40%

33% Draws 50%

44% Losses 10%

89% Over 0.5 goals 100%

78% Over 1.5 goals 90%

56% Over 2.5 goals 60%

22% Over 3.5 goals 30%

11% Over 4.5 goals 10%

11% Over 5.5 goals 10%

78% Both teams scored 80%

11% Clean sheets 10%

22% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 20%

56% Draws 70%

0% Losses 10%

56% Over 0.5 goals 50%

33% Over 1.5 goals 20%

11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ulm at home

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

L

D

1

D

1

D

5

1

W

Paderborn away

2

1

W

1

D

3

D

2

D

3

L

2

1

W

1

D

3

1

W

1

D

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Ulm all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.02.25	Fortuna Dusseldorf – Ulm	3–2 (2–1)	1.70	3.80	4.75	1.80	2.00
26.01.25	Ulm – Regensburg	5–1 (3–0)	1.91	3.40	4.00	2.20	1.65
18.01.25	Kaiserslautern – Ulm	2–1 (2–1)	1.85	3.60	3.90	1.83	2.03
21.12.24	Preußen Münster – Ulm	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.05	1.75
14.12.24	Ulm – Hamburg	1–1 (1–0)	4.00	3.80	1.80	1.62	2.25
07.12.24	Hannover – Ulm	3–2 (0–1)	1.57	3.80	6.00	1.88	1.98
01.12.24	Ulm – Greuther Furth	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	2.88	1.88	1.98
23.11.24	Hertha – Ulm	2–2 (1–1)	1.62	3.80	5.50	1.73	2.08
09.11.24	Magdeburg – Ulm	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.80	3.90	1.73	2.08
01.11.24	Ulm – Schalke 04	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.05	1.80

Paderborn all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.02.25	Paderborn – Greuther Furth	1–2 (0–1)	1.73	4.10	4.20	1.57	2.35
26.01.25	Darmstadt – Paderborn	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.65	2.20
19.01.25	Paderborn – Hertha	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.60	2.90	1.60	2.30
21.12.24	Paderborn – Karlsruhe	1–2 (1–2)	1.95	3.75	3.50	1.57	2.35
14.12.24	Magdeburg – Paderborn	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.60	2.30	1.62	2.25
06.12.24	Paderborn – Schalke 04	2–4 (1–2)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.67	2.15
30.11.24	Elversberg – Paderborn	1–3 (1–1)	2.50	3.60	2.60	1.57	2.35
22.11.24	Paderborn – Nurnberg	3–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.75	3.75	1.62	2.25
09.11.24	Fortuna Dusseldorf – Paderborn	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.20	1.65	2.20
03.11.24	Paderborn – Braunschweig	0–0 (0–0)	1.67	4.00	4.75	1.57	2.35

Ulm at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.01.25	Ulm – Regensburg	5–1 (3–0)	1.91	3.40	4.00	2.20	1.65
14.12.24	Ulm – Hamburg	1–1 (1–0)	4.00	3.80	1.80	1.62	2.25
01.12.24	Ulm – Greuther Furth	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	2.88	1.88	1.98
01.11.24	Ulm – Schalke 04	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.05	1.80
20.10.24	Ulm – Karlsruhe	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.60	2.05	1.62	2.25
27.09.24	Ulm – Braunschweig	3–1 (2–0)	2.38	3.30	2.90	1.93	1.93
14.09.24	Ulm – Nurnberg	1–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	2.90	1.83	2.03
25.08.24	Ulm – Fortuna Dusseldorf	1–2 (1–0)	3.90	3.60	1.85	1.73	2.08
04.08.24	Ulm – Kaiserslautern	1–2 (0–0)	2.88	3.40	2.38	1.80	2.00

Paderborn away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.01.25	Darmstadt – Paderborn	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.65	2.20
14.12.24	Magdeburg – Paderborn	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.60	2.30	1.62	2.25
30.11.24	Elversberg – Paderborn	1–3 (1–1)	2.50	3.60	2.60	1.57	2.35
09.11.24	Fortuna Dusseldorf – Paderborn	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.20	1.65	2.20
25.10.24	FC Koln – Paderborn	1–2 (0–0)	1.65	4.10	4.50	1.44	2.70
19.10.24	Kaiserslautern – Paderborn	3–0 (1–0)	2.80	3.60	2.25	1.47	2.50
28.09.24	Hamburg – Paderborn	2–2 (0–0)	1.75	4.00	4.20	1.48	2.60
13.09.24	Preußen Münster – Paderborn	3–3 (1–1)	3.20	3.90	2.05	1.53	2.40
24.08.24	Greuther Furth – Paderborn	1–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.80	2.50	1.53	2.40
03.08.24	Hertha – Paderborn	1–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.60	3.50	1.57	2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Ulm winsDrawsPaderborn wins

1matches

0.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.09.24D2	Paderborn – Ulm	0–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.50	6.00	1.67	2.15

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hamburg	21	10	8	3	47	28	+19	38
2	FC Koln	20	11	4	5	35	25	+10	37
3	Magdeburg	20	9	8	3	41	29	+12	35
4	Kaiserslautern	20	10	5	5	38	31	+7	35
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	9	6	5	36	29	+7	33
6	Hannover	20	9	5	6	27	21	+6	32
7	Paderborn	20	8	7	5	32	28	+4	31
8	Karlsruhe	20	8	6	6	39	38	+1	30
9	Elversberg	20	8	5	7	35	30	+5	29
10	Nurnberg	20	8	4	8	35	34	+1	28
11	Greuther Furth	21	7	5	9	31	41	-10	26
12	Darmstadt	20	6	7	7	38	33	+5	25
13	Hertha	20	7	4	9	31	33	-2	25
14	Schalke 04	20	6	6	8	37	39	-2	24
15	Preußen Münster	21	4	8	9	24	30	-6	20
16	Ulm	20	3	8	9	24	26	-2	17
17	Braunschweig	20	3	6	11	18	39	-21	15
18	Regensburg	21	4	2	15	13	47	-34	14

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hannover	10	7	2	1	17	8	+9	23
2	Hamburg	11	5	6	0	28	12	+16	21
3	Nurnberg	10	6	2	2	20	15	+5	20
4	Kaiserslautern	10	5	3	2	22	16	+6	18
5	FC Koln	10	5	2	3	21	13	+8	17
6	Elversberg	11	5	2	4	23	23	0	17
7	Paderborn	10	4	2	4	16	14	+2	14
8	Karlsruhe	9	4	2	3	20	19	+1	14
9	Greuther Furth	11	4	2	5	15	22	-7	14
10	Darmstadt	10	3	4	3	17	11	+6	13
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	4	4	19	21	-2	13
12	Regensburg	11	4	1	6	6	14	-8	13
13	Braunschweig	10	3	3	4	11	12	-1	12
14	Schalke 04	10	3	2	5	22	25	-3	11
15	Preußen Münster	11	2	4	5	10	13	-3	10
16	Ulm	9	2	3	4	13	11	+2	9
17	Hertha	9	2	1	6	12	17	-5	7
18	Magdeburg	9	0	7	2	9	14	-5	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Magdeburg	11	9	1	1	32	15	+17	28
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	2	1	17	8	+9	20
3	FC Koln	10	6	2	2	14	12	+2	20
4	Hertha	11	5	3	3	19	16	+3	18
5	Hamburg	10	5	2	3	19	16	+3	17
6	Paderborn	10	4	5	1	16	14	+2	17
7	Kaiserslautern	10	5	2	3	16	15	+1	17
8	Karlsruhe	11	4	4	3	19	19	0	16
9	Schalke 04	10	3	4	3	15	14	+1	13
10	Elversberg	9	3	3	3	12	7	+5	12
11	Darmstadt	10	3	3	4	21	22	-1	12
12	Greuther Furth	10	3	3	4	16	19	-3	12
13	Preußen Münster	10	2	4	4	14	17	-3	10
14	Hannover	10	2	3	5	10	13	-3	9
15	Nurnberg	10	2	2	6	15	19	-4	8
16	Ulm	11	1	5	5	11	15	-4	8
17	Braunschweig	10	0	3	7	7	27	-20	3
18	Regensburg	10	0	1	9	7	33	-26	1

Ulm Paderborn

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Hamburg	21	5	16	2.2	1.3	10	8	3	47	28	38
2	8	Karlsruhe	20	4	16	1.9	1.9	8	6	6	39	38	30
3	3	Magdeburg	20	5	15	2.0	1.4	9	8	3	41	29	35
4	4	Kaiserslautern	20	5	15	1.9	1.6	10	5	5	38	31	35
5	11	Greuther Furth	21	6	15	1.5	2.0	7	5	9	31	41	26
6	7	Paderborn	20	6	14	1.6	1.4	8	7	5	32	28	31
7	14	Schalke 04	20	6	14	1.9	1.9	6	6	8	37	39	24
8	9	Elversberg	20	7	13	1.8	1.5	8	5	7	35	30	29
9	10	Nurnberg	20	7	13	1.8	1.7	8	4	8	35	34	28
10	12	Darmstadt	20	7	13	1.9	1.6	6	7	7	38	33	25
11	13	Hertha	20	7	13	1.6	1.6	7	4	9	31	33	25
12	2	FC Koln	20	8	12	1.8	1.2	11	4	5	35	25	37
13	5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	8	12	1.8	1.4	9	6	5	36	29	33
14	15	Preußen Münster	21	9	12	1.1	1.4	4	8	9	24	30	20
15	17	Braunschweig	20	9	11	0.9	1.9	3	6	11	18	39	15
16	6	Hannover	20	10	10	1.4	1.1	9	5	6	27	21	32
17	16	Ulm	20	10	10	1.2	1.3	3	8	9	24	26	17
18	18	Regensburg	21	11	10	0.6	2.2	4	2	15	13	47	14

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Elversberg	11	1	10	2.1	2.1	5	2	4	23	23	17
2	4	Kaiserslautern	10	1	9	2.2	1.6	5	3	2	22	16	18
3	1	Hamburg	11	3	8	2.5	1.1	5	6	0	28	12	21
4	7	Paderborn	10	2	8	1.6	1.4	4	2	4	16	14	14
5	11	Greuther Furth	11	3	8	1.4	2.0	4	2	5	15	22	14
6	14	Schalke 04	10	2	8	2.2	2.5	3	2	5	22	25	11
7	2	FC Koln	10	3	7	2.1	1.3	5	2	3	21	13	17
8	5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	4	7	1.7	1.9	3	4	4	19	21	13
9	8	Karlsruhe	9	2	7	2.2	2.1	4	2	3	20	19	14
10	10	Nurnberg	10	4	6	2.0	1.5	6	2	2	20	15	20
11	13	Hertha	9	3	6	1.3	1.9	2	1	6	12	17	7
12	3	Magdeburg	9	4	5	1.0	1.6	0	7	2	9	14	7
13	6	Hannover	10	5	5	1.7	0.8	7	2	1	17	8	23
14	15	Preußen Münster	11	6	5	0.9	1.2	2	4	5	10	13	10
15	16	Ulm	9	4	5	1.4	1.2	2	3	4	13	11	9
16	17	Braunschweig	10	5	5	1.1	1.2	3	3	4	11	12	12
17	12	Darmstadt	10	6	4	1.7	1.1	3	4	3	17	11	13
18	18	Regensburg	11	7	4	0.5	1.3	4	1	6	6	14	13

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Magdeburg	11	1	10	2.9	1.4	9	1	1	32	15	28
2	8	Karlsruhe	11	2	9	1.7	1.7	4	4	3	19	19	16
3	12	Darmstadt	10	1	9	2.1	2.2	3	3	4	21	22	12
4	1	Hamburg	10	2	8	1.9	1.6	5	2	3	19	16	17
5	10	Nurnberg	10	3	7	1.5	1.9	2	2	6	15	19	8
6	11	Greuther Furth	10	3	7	1.6	1.9	3	3	4	16	19	12
7	13	Hertha	11	4	7	1.7	1.5	5	3	3	19	16	18
8	15	Preußen Münster	10	3	7	1.4	1.7	2	4	4	14	17	10
9	4	Kaiserslautern	10	4	6	1.6	1.5	5	2	3	16	15	17
10	7	Paderborn	10	4	6	1.6	1.4	4	5	1	16	14	17
11	14	Schalke 04	10	4	6	1.5	1.4	3	4	3	15	14	13
12	17	Braunschweig	10	4	6	0.7	2.7	0	3	7	7	27	3
13	18	Regensburg	10	4	6	0.7	3.3	0	1	9	7	33	1
14	2	FC Koln	10	5	5	1.4	1.2	6	2	2	14	12	20
15	5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	5	1.9	0.9	6	2	1	17	8	20
16	6	Hannover	10	5	5	1.0	1.3	2	3	5	10	13	9
17	16	Ulm	11	6	5	1.0	1.4	1	5	5	11	15	8
18	9	Elversberg	9	6	3	1.3	0.8	3	3	3	12	7	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.