Dresden 1–2 Paderborn – Germany 2. Bundesliga, 25 Oct 2025

Match facts

Dresden Paderborn

8 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

10 Corners 4

9 Fouls 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (83 league matches this season so far).

Result Paderborn to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.63

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.64

Home / Draw / Away

34% 24% 43%

DresdenDrawPaderborn

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 59%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

39% 61%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.9% 1–2 8.9% 2–1 7.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Dresden before this match, all matches

0.78points / match

1.56scored / match

2.00conceded / match

1 4 4

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:18

Paderborn before this match, all matches

2.22points / match

1.67scored / match

0.89conceded / match

6 2 1

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:8

Dresden all matches all matches Paderborn

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.67

2.00 Goals conceded 0.89

3.56 Total goals 2.56

14.33 Shots 17.22

3.78 Shots on target 5.78

14.67 Shots faced 10.78

4.67 Corners 5.44

5.67 Corners against 4.89

12.44 Fouls 12.22

1.89 Yellow cards 2.00

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.56

1.11 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

11% Wins 67%

44% Draws 22%

44% Losses 11%

100% Over 0.5 goals 89%

89% Over 1.5 goals 78%

78% Over 2.5 goals 44%

56% Over 3.5 goals 11%

22% Over 4.5 goals 11%

11% Over 5.5 goals 11%

78% Both teams scored 56%

0% Clean sheets 44%

22% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 44%

22% Draws 33%

44% Losses 22%

89% Over 0.5 goals 67%

56% Over 1.5 goals 22%

56% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dresden all matches

1

L

2

3

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

D

2

D

2

L

3

D

2

D

Paderborn all matches

3

L

2

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

D

1

W

2

W

2

W

2

1

W

4

3

W

Dresden before this match, at home

0.50points / match

1.50scored / match

2.00conceded / match

2 2

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:8

Paderborn before this match, away

2.00points / match

1.25scored / match

0.50conceded / match

2 2

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:2

Dresden at home away Paderborn

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.25

2.00 Goals conceded 0.50

3.50 Total goals 1.75

12.50 Shots 16.00

3.25 Shots on target 5.00

16.00 Shots faced 9.25

3.75 Corners 4.50

6.50 Corners against 5.75

11.50 Fouls 12.25

1.50 Yellow cards 1.75

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.75

1.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%

50% Draws 50%

50% Losses 0%

100% Over 0.5 goals 75%

75% Over 1.5 goals 75%

75% Over 2.5 goals 25%

50% Over 3.5 goals 0%

25% Over 4.5 goals 0%

25% Over 5.5 goals 0%

75% Both teams scored 50%

0% Clean sheets 50%

25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 75%

50% Draws 25%

50% Losses 0%

75% Over 0.5 goals 75%

75% Over 1.5 goals 0%

75% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dresden at home

1

L

1

D

1

2

L

D

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

D

3

D

Paderborn away

1

D

2

3

L

3

2

W

2

W

3

L

1

D

2

W

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Dresden all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.10.25	Preußen Münster – Dresden	2–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.70	2.80	1.67	2.15
04.10.25	Dresden – Karlsruhe	3–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.75	3.00	1.62	2.25
26.09.25	Darmstadt – Dresden	2–0 (1–0)	1.62	4.10	4.00	1.48	2.60
21.09.25	Dresden – Hannover	2–2 (2–2)	3.00	3.60	2.20	1.73	2.08
14.09.25	Elversberg – Dresden	2–2 (1–2)	2.00	3.70	3.40	1.70	2.10
31.08.25	Dresden – Schalke 04	0–1 (0–0)	2.38	3.50	2.80	1.70	2.10
24.08.25	Bielefeld – Dresden	1–2 (0–1)	1.90	3.30	4.20	1.73	2.08
09.08.25	Dresden – Magdeburg	1–2 (1–2)	2.45	3.60	2.63	1.60	2.30
03.08.25	Greuther Furth – Dresden	3–2 (2–1)	2.20	3.70	2.90	1.60	2.30
15.05.22	Dresden – Erzgebirge Aue	0–1 (0–0)	1.75	4.00	4.20	1.60	2.30

Paderborn all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.10.25	Paderborn – Bielefeld	4–3 (1–2)	1.75	3.60	4.50	1.62	2.25
03.10.25	Braunschweig – Paderborn	1–2 (0–1)	4.00	3.70	1.85	1.75	2.05
27.09.25	Paderborn – Kaiserslautern	2–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.90	3.60	1.62	2.25
20.09.25	Hertha – Paderborn	0–2 (0–1)	2.55	3.60	2.45	1.67	2.15
12.09.25	Paderborn – Bochum	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.70	3.90	1.62	2.25
29.08.25	Nurnberg – Paderborn	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.75	2.15	1.67	2.15
23.08.25	Paderborn – Fortuna Dusseldorf	1–2 (0–2)	1.80	3.80	4.10	1.70	2.10
08.08.25	Preußen Münster – Paderborn	1–1 (0–1)	3.30	3.20	2.25	1.85	1.95
02.08.25	Paderborn – Holstein Kiel	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.80	3.00	1.53	2.40
18.05.25	Karlsruhe – Paderborn	3–0 (0–0)	4.20	4.50	1.65	1.40	2.88

Dresden at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.10.25	Dresden – Karlsruhe	3–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.75	3.00	1.62	2.25
21.09.25	Dresden – Hannover	2–2 (2–2)	3.00	3.60	2.20	1.73	2.08
31.08.25	Dresden – Schalke 04	0–1 (0–0)	2.38	3.50	2.80	1.70	2.10
09.08.25	Dresden – Magdeburg	1–2 (1–2)	2.45	3.60	2.63	1.60	2.30
15.05.22	Dresden – Erzgebirge Aue	0–1 (0–0)	1.75	4.00	4.20	1.60	2.30
30.04.22	Dresden – Regensburg	1–1 (0–0)	2.37	3.25	3.00	1.88	1.98
16.04.22	Dresden – Holstein Kiel	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.80	1.83	2.02
01.04.22	Dresden – Schalke 04	1–2 (0–1)	5.00	3.80	1.70	1.90	1.95
12.03.22	Dresden – St Pauli	1–1 (1–1)	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.70	2.10
26.02.22	Dresden – Darmstadt	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.60	2.00	1.90	1.95

Paderborn away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.10.25	Braunschweig – Paderborn	1–2 (0–1)	4.00	3.70	1.85	1.75	2.05
20.09.25	Hertha – Paderborn	0–2 (0–1)	2.55	3.60	2.45	1.67	2.15
29.08.25	Nurnberg – Paderborn	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.75	2.15	1.67	2.15
08.08.25	Preußen Münster – Paderborn	1–1 (0–1)	3.30	3.20	2.25	1.85	1.95
18.05.25	Karlsruhe – Paderborn	3–0 (0–0)	4.20	4.50	1.65	1.40	2.88
02.05.25	Schalke 04 – Paderborn	0–2 (0–1)	3.75	3.75	1.85	1.47	2.50
19.04.25	Nurnberg – Paderborn	2–3 (1–1)	3.60	3.60	1.95	1.62	2.25
04.04.25	Braunschweig – Paderborn	3–2 (1–1)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.67	2.15
09.03.25	Regensburg – Paderborn	0–0 (0–0)	4.75	3.70	1.70	1.77	1.97
22.02.25	Hannover – Paderborn	1–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.60	3.00	1.70	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1

Dresden winsDrawsPaderborn wins

2matches

1.50goals / match

50%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.02.22D2	Paderborn – Dresden	0–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.50	4.00	1.83	2.02
29.08.21D2	Dresden – Paderborn	0–3 (0–3)	2.37	3.30	2.90	1.72	2.07

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Schalke 04	10	8	0	2	14	5	+9	24
2	Elversberg	9	7	1	1	22	6	+16	22
3	Paderborn	9	6	2	1	15	8	+7	20
4	Kaiserslautern	9	6	0	3	18	11	+7	18
5	Darmstadt	10	5	3	2	14	7	+7	18
6	Karlsruhe	10	5	3	2	17	13	+4	18
7	Hannover	9	5	2	2	15	13	+2	17
8	Hertha	9	3	2	4	11	10	+1	11
9	Holstein Kiel	9	3	2	4	10	9	+1	11
10	Preußen Münster	9	3	2	4	15	17	-2	11
11	Bielefeld	9	3	1	5	17	16	+1	10
12	Braunschweig	9	3	1	5	11	17	-6	10
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	3	1	5	9	17	-8	10
14	Greuther Furth	10	3	1	6	16	28	-12	10
15	Nurnberg	9	2	2	5	8	13	-5	8
16	Dresden	9	1	4	4	14	18	-4	7
17	Bochum	9	2	0	7	11	17	-6	6
18	Magdeburg	9	1	1	7	7	19	-12	4

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Elversberg	5	4	1	0	12	3	+9	13
2	Kaiserslautern	4	4	0	0	11	4	+7	12
3	Karlsruhe	5	4	0	1	10	6	+4	12
4	Paderborn	5	4	0	1	10	6	+4	12
5	Schalke 04	5	4	0	1	6	3	+3	12
6	Darmstadt	5	3	2	0	8	2	+6	11
7	Hannover	5	3	0	2	7	8	-1	9
8	Preußen Münster	5	2	2	1	9	7	+2	8
9	Bielefeld	5	2	0	3	10	8	+2	6
10	Bochum	4	2	0	2	6	5	+1	6
11	Nurnberg	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
12	Holstein Kiel	4	1	1	2	5	5	0	4
13	Braunschweig	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	Hertha	4	1	1	2	2	5	-3	4
15	Greuther Furth	5	1	1	3	6	13	-7	4
16	Dresden	4	0	2	2	6	8	-2	2
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
18	Magdeburg	4	0	0	4	4	12	-8	0

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Schalke 04	5	4	0	1	8	2	+6	12
2	Elversberg	4	3	0	1	10	3	+7	9
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	3	0	1	6	7	-1	9
4	Hannover	4	2	2	0	8	5	+3	8
5	Paderborn	4	2	2	0	5	2	+3	8
6	Hertha	5	2	1	2	9	5	+4	7
7	Darmstadt	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Holstein Kiel	5	2	1	2	5	4	+1	7
9	Kaiserslautern	5	2	0	3	7	7	0	6
10	Karlsruhe	5	1	3	1	7	7	0	6
11	Braunschweig	5	2	0	3	5	8	-3	6
12	Greuther Furth	5	2	0	3	10	15	-5	6
13	Dresden	5	1	2	2	8	10	-2	5
14	Bielefeld	4	1	1	2	7	8	-1	4
15	Magdeburg	5	1	1	3	3	7	-4	4
16	Nurnberg	4	1	0	3	5	7	-2	3
17	Preußen Münster	4	1	0	3	6	10	-4	3
18	Bochum	5	0	0	5	5	12	-7	0

Dresden Paderborn

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Preußen Münster	9	1	8	1.7	1.9	3	2	4	15	17	11
2	14	Greuther Furth	10	2	8	1.6	2.8	3	1	6	16	28	10
3	7	Hannover	9	2	7	1.7	1.4	5	2	2	15	13	17
4	16	Dresden	9	2	7	1.6	2.0	1	4	4	14	18	7
5	4	Kaiserslautern	9	3	6	2.0	1.2	6	0	3	18	11	18
6	6	Karlsruhe	10	4	6	1.7	1.3	5	3	2	17	13	18
7	11	Bielefeld	9	3	6	1.9	1.8	3	1	5	17	16	10
8	12	Braunschweig	9	3	6	1.2	1.9	3	1	5	11	17	10
9	13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	3	6	1.0	1.9	3	1	5	9	17	10
10	17	Bochum	9	3	6	1.2	1.9	2	0	7	11	17	6
11	2	Elversberg	9	4	5	2.4	0.7	7	1	1	22	6	22
12	8	Hertha	9	4	5	1.2	1.1	3	2	4	11	10	11
13	15	Nurnberg	9	4	5	0.9	1.4	2	2	5	8	13	8
14	1	Schalke 04	10	6	4	1.4	0.5	8	0	2	14	5	24
15	3	Paderborn	9	5	4	1.7	0.9	6	2	1	15	8	20
16	5	Darmstadt	10	6	4	1.4	0.7	5	3	2	14	7	18
17	18	Magdeburg	9	5	4	0.8	2.1	1	1	7	7	19	4
18	9	Holstein Kiel	9	6	3	1.1	1.0	3	2	4	10	9	11

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Hannover	5	1	4	1.4	1.6	3	0	2	7	8	9
2	10	Preußen Münster	5	1	4	1.8	1.4	2	2	1	9	7	8
3	11	Bielefeld	5	1	4	2.0	1.6	2	0	3	10	8	6
4	14	Greuther Furth	5	1	4	1.2	2.6	1	1	3	6	13	4
5	2	Elversberg	5	2	3	2.4	0.6	4	1	0	12	3	13
6	3	Paderborn	5	2	3	2.0	1.2	4	0	1	10	6	12
7	4	Kaiserslautern	4	1	3	2.8	1.0	4	0	0	11	4	12
8	6	Karlsruhe	5	2	3	2.0	1.2	4	0	1	10	6	12
9	12	Braunschweig	4	1	3	1.5	2.2	1	1	2	6	9	4
10	13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	2	3	0.6	2.0	0	1	4	3	10	1
11	16	Dresden	4	1	3	1.5	2.0	0	2	2	6	8	2
12	1	Schalke 04	5	3	2	1.2	0.6	4	0	1	6	3	12
13	5	Darmstadt	5	3	2	1.6	0.4	3	2	0	8	2	11
14	9	Holstein Kiel	4	2	2	1.2	1.2	1	1	2	5	5	4
15	15	Nurnberg	5	3	2	0.6	1.2	1	2	2	3	6	5
16	17	Bochum	4	2	2	1.5	1.2	2	0	2	6	5	6
17	18	Magdeburg	4	2	2	1.0	3.0	0	0	4	4	12	0
18	8	Hertha	4	3	1	0.5	1.2	1	1	2	2	5	4

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Hertha	5	1	4	1.8	1.0	2	1	2	9	5	7
2	10	Preußen Münster	4	0	4	1.5	2.5	1	0	3	6	10	3
3	14	Greuther Furth	5	1	4	2.0	3.0	2	0	3	10	15	6
4	16	Dresden	5	1	4	1.6	2.0	1	2	2	8	10	5
5	17	Bochum	5	1	4	1.0	2.4	0	0	5	5	12	0
6	4	Kaiserslautern	5	2	3	1.4	1.4	2	0	3	7	7	6
7	6	Karlsruhe	5	2	3	1.4	1.4	1	3	1	7	7	6
8	7	Hannover	4	1	3	2.0	1.2	2	2	0	8	5	8
9	12	Braunschweig	5	2	3	1.0	1.6	2	0	3	5	8	6
10	13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	3	1.5	1.8	3	0	1	6	7	9
11	15	Nurnberg	4	1	3	1.2	1.8	1	0	3	5	7	3
12	1	Schalke 04	5	3	2	1.6	0.4	4	0	1	8	2	12
13	2	Elversberg	4	2	2	2.5	0.8	3	0	1	10	3	9
14	5	Darmstadt	5	3	2	1.2	1.0	2	1	2	6	5	7
15	11	Bielefeld	4	2	2	1.8	2.0	1	1	2	7	8	4
16	18	Magdeburg	5	3	2	0.6	1.4	1	1	3	3	7	4
17	3	Paderborn	4	3	1	1.2	0.5	2	2	0	5	2	8
18	9	Holstein Kiel	5	4	1	1.0	0.8	2	1	2	5	4	7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.