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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hoffenheim 4–1 Mainz

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.60
Draw 3.75 fair 4.09
Away 2.90 fair 2.70
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.32
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.66 fair 1.76

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hoffenheim Mainz
21 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 5
9 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (46 league matches this season so far).
Result Hoffenheim to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.47
Home / Draw / Away
HoffenheimDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.60scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:6
Mainz before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:5
Hoffenheim all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.00
1.20 Goals conceded 1.00
2.80 Total goals 2.00
13.40 Shots 13.20
5.40 Shots on target 5.20
14.20 Shots faced 10.40
4.60 Corners 4.60
4.00 Corners against 3.60
14.40 Fouls 13.80
2.80 Yellow cards 2.20
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

60% Wins 60%
0% Draws 20%
40% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 0%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 40%
20% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 0%
40% Draws 80%
20% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
60% Over 1.5 goals 60%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim all matches
Mainz all matches
Hoffenheim before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 4:2
Mainz before this match, away
3.00points / match
1.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:2
Hoffenheim at home away Mainz

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.67
1.00 Goals conceded 0.67
3.00 Total goals 2.33
24.00 Shots 13.00
9.50 Shots on target 6.00
11.50 Shots faced 11.67
6.00 Corners 5.33
4.00 Corners against 3.33
13.50 Fouls 16.67
1.00 Yellow cards 3.00
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.67
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 67%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 67%
50% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.22 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.614.504.75 1.40 3.00
27.08.22 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.50 2.62
20.08.22 Leverkusen – Hoffenheim 0–3 (0–2) 1.664.334.50 1.44 2.75
13.08.22 Hoffenheim – Bochum 3–2 (2–2) 1.574.505.25 1.50 2.62
06.08.22 M'gladbach – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 2.054.203.00 1.36 3.20
14.05.22 M'gladbach – Hoffenheim 5–1 (3–1) 2.004.333.10 1.22 4.33
07.05.22 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen 2–4 (2–1) 3.204.002.05 1.44 2.75
30.04.22 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 3–4 (1–1) 2.503.502.75 1.66 2.20
23.04.22 Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim 2–2 (1–1) 2.553.602.62 1.53 2.50
17.04.22 Hoffenheim – Greuther Furth 0–0 (0–0) 1.286.509.00 1.40 3.00

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.09.22 M'gladbach – Mainz 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.803.00 1.66 2.20
27.08.22 Mainz – Leverkusen 0–3 (0–3) 2.753.752.37 1.61 2.30
20.08.22 Augsburg – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 3.503.502.10 1.87 2.03
14.08.22 Mainz – Union Berlin 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.06 1.84
06.08.22 Bochum – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 3.203.402.20 1.96 1.94
14.05.22 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 2–2 (1–2) 1.704.334.33 1.40 3.00
07.05.22 Hertha – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 2.553.402.70 1.87 2.03
30.04.22 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–1 (2–1) 5.754.501.53 1.44 2.75
22.04.22 Wolfsburg – Mainz 5–0 (5–0) 2.303.403.10 1.93 1.97
16.04.22 Mainz – Stuttgart 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.95 1.95

Hoffenheim at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.50 2.62
13.08.22 Hoffenheim – Bochum 3–2 (2–2) 1.574.505.25 1.50 2.62
07.05.22 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen 2–4 (2–1) 3.204.002.05 1.44 2.75
30.04.22 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 3–4 (1–1) 2.503.502.75 1.66 2.20
17.04.22 Hoffenheim – Greuther Furth 0–0 (0–0) 1.286.509.00 1.40 3.00
02.04.22 Hoffenheim – Bochum 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.336.50 1.57 2.37
12.03.22 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–1 (1–1) 4.754.751.55 1.28 3.75
25.02.22 Hoffenheim – Stuttgart 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.505.75 1.53 2.50
13.02.22 Hoffenheim – Bielefeld 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.335.75 1.66 2.20
22.01.22 Hoffenheim – Dortmund 2–3 (1–1) 3.004.002.10 1.40 3.00

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.09.22 M'gladbach – Mainz 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.803.00 1.66 2.20
20.08.22 Augsburg – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 3.503.502.10 1.87 2.03
06.08.22 Bochum – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 3.203.402.20 1.96 1.94
07.05.22 Hertha – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 2.553.402.70 1.87 2.03
22.04.22 Wolfsburg – Mainz 5–0 (5–0) 2.303.403.10 1.93 1.97
09.04.22 FC Koln – Mainz 3–2 (0–1) 2.453.402.90 1.97 1.93
06.04.22 Augsburg – Mainz 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.25 2.06 1.84
03.04.22 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.72 2.10
26.02.22 Union Berlin – Mainz 3–1 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Freiburg – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.50 2.03 1.87

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hoffenheim winsDrawsMainz wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.02.22D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.72 2.10
11.09.21D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.57 2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Freiburg 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12
2 Dortmund 5 4 0 1 8 4 +4 12
3 Bayern Munich 5 3 2 0 17 3 +14 11
4 Union Berlin 5 3 2 0 12 4 +8 11
5 Mainz 5 3 1 1 5 5 0 10
6 FC Koln 5 2 3 0 10 6 +4 9
7 Hoffenheim 5 3 0 2 8 6 +2 9
8 M'gladbach 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
9 Werder Bremen 6 2 2 2 12 11 +1 8
10 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 2 1 11 11 0 8
11 Augsburg 6 2 0 4 4 10 -6 6
12 RB Leipzig 5 1 2 2 6 9 -3 5
13 Stuttgart 5 0 4 1 4 5 -1 4
14 Hertha 5 1 1 3 4 6 -2 4
15 Leverkusen 5 1 0 4 6 9 -3 3
16 Schalke 04 5 0 3 2 5 12 -7 3
17 Wolfsburg 5 0 2 3 4 10 -6 2
18 Bochum 5 0 0 5 3 15 -12 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Union Berlin 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
2 Hoffenheim 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
3 M'gladbach 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
4 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
5 RB Leipzig 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
6 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
7 FC Koln 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
8 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 1 1 6 7 -1 4
9 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
10 Stuttgart 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
11 Wolfsburg 3 0 2 1 4 6 -2 2
12 Hertha 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
13 Werder Bremen 3 0 1 2 5 7 -2 1
14 Mainz 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
15 Schalke 04 2 0 1 1 3 8 -5 1
16 Leverkusen 3 0 0 3 3 8 -5 0
17 Augsburg 3 0 0 3 1 8 -7 0
18 Bochum 3 0 0 3 1 11 -10 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Freiburg 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
2 Mainz 3 3 0 0 5 2 +3 9
3 Bayern Munich 3 2 1 0 14 2 +12 7
4 Werder Bremen 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7
5 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6
6 Augsburg 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
7 FC Koln 3 1 2 0 7 5 +2 5
8 Union Berlin 2 1 1 0 6 1 +5 4
9 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4
10 Leverkusen 2 1 0 1 3 1 +2 3
11 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 4 4 0 3
12 Hertha 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3
13 M'gladbach 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
14 Stuttgart 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
15 Schalke 04 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
16 RB Leipzig 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
17 Bochum 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
18 Wolfsburg 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0

Hoffenheim   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Werder Bremen 6 2 4 2.0 1.8 2 2 2 12 11 8
2 15 Leverkusen 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 1 0 4 6 9 3
3 1 Freiburg 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12
4 4 Union Berlin 5 2 3 2.4 0.8 3 2 0 12 4 11
5 5 Mainz 5 2 3 1.0 1.0 3 1 1 5 5 10
6 6 FC Koln 5 2 3 2.0 1.2 2 3 0 10 6 9
7 7 Hoffenheim 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 0 2 8 6 9
8 10 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 3 2.2 2.2 2 2 1 11 11 8
9 11 Augsburg 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 2 0 4 4 10 6
10 12 RB Leipzig 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 2 6 9 5
11 16 Schalke 04 5 2 3 1.0 2.4 0 3 2 5 12 3
12 18 Bochum 5 2 3 0.6 3.0 0 0 5 3 15 0
13 2 Dortmund 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 4 0 1 8 4 12
14 3 Bayern Munich 5 3 2 3.4 0.6 3 2 0 17 3 11
15 8 M'gladbach 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
16 17 Wolfsburg 5 3 2 0.8 2.0 0 2 3 4 10 2
17 13 Stuttgart 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 0 4 1 4 5 4
18 14 Hertha 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 3 4 6 4
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Leverkusen 3 0 3 1.0 2.7 0 0 3 3 8 0
2 4 Union Berlin 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
3 9 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 1.7 2.3 0 1 2 5 7 1
4 10 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 2 2.0 2.3 1 1 1 6 7 4
5 11 Augsburg 3 1 2 0.3 2.7 0 0 3 1 8 0
6 16 Schalke 04 2 0 2 1.5 4.0 0 1 1 3 8 1
7 17 Wolfsburg 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 0 2 1 4 6 2
8 18 Bochum 3 1 2 0.3 3.7 0 0 3 1 11 0
9 1 Freiburg 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
10 2 Dortmund 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
11 5 Mainz 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
12 6 FC Koln 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
13 7 Hoffenheim 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
14 8 M'gladbach 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
15 12 RB Leipzig 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
16 3 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
17 13 Stuttgart 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
18 14 Hertha 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Freiburg 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
2 3 Bayern Munich 3 1 2 4.7 0.7 2 1 0 14 2 7
3 5 Mainz 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 3 0 0 5 2 9
4 6 FC Koln 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 1 2 0 7 5 5
5 7 Hoffenheim 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 0 2 4 4 3
6 9 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7
7 12 RB Leipzig 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
8 2 Dortmund 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6
9 4 Union Berlin 2 1 1 3.0 0.5 1 1 0 6 1 4
10 8 M'gladbach 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
11 10 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4
12 11 Augsburg 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
13 13 Stuttgart 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
14 14 Hertha 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3
15 15 Leverkusen 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 0 1 3 1 3
16 16 Schalke 04 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
17 18 Bochum 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
18 17 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51