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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 1–2 Dortmund

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.90 fair 2.26
Draw 3.60 fair 4.28
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 3.08
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Dortmund
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 3
15 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (148 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.45
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawDortmund
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 20:25
Dortmund before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
1.81scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 29:24
Mainz all matches all matches Dortmund

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.81
1.56 Goals conceded 1.50
2.81 Total goals 3.31
13.19 Shots 15.25
4.31 Shots on target 6.19
12.25 Shots faced 12.13
4.94 Corners 6.69
3.75 Corners against 4.75
13.56 Fouls 9.75
2.00 Yellow cards 2.25
0.63 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.88 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

31% Wins 56%
31% Draws 6%
38% Losses 38%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 63%
19% Over 3.5 goals 44%
19% Over 4.5 goals 31%
6% Over 5.5 goals 13%
56% Both teams scored 44%
25% Clean sheets 38%
25% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 44%
38% Draws 19%
38% Losses 38%
81% Over 0.5 goals 94%
44% Over 1.5 goals 44%
19% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Dortmund all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.14scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:9
Dortmund before this match, away
1.13points / match
1.25scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:16
Mainz at home away Dortmund

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.25
1.29 Goals conceded 2.00
2.43 Total goals 3.25
14.00 Shots 15.75
4.14 Shots on target 6.38
8.43 Shots faced 15.25
4.86 Corners 7.50
3.29 Corners against 5.50
11.86 Fouls 9.38
1.43 Yellow cards 2.25
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 1.25

How often Full Time

14% Wins 38%
57% Draws 0%
29% Losses 63%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 88%
43% Over 2.5 goals 63%
14% Over 3.5 goals 38%
14% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
43% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 13%
43% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 25%
14% Draws 13%
43% Losses 63%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
29% Over 1.5 goals 50%
29% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Dortmund away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.23 Stuttgart – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.502.88 1.86 2.04
13.11.22 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.45 1.72 2.10
09.11.22 Schalke 04 – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.752.05 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Mainz – Wolfsburg 0–3 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.87 2.03
29.10.22 Bayern Munich – Mainz 6–2 (3–1) 1.256.5011.00 1.33 3.40
21.10.22 Mainz – FC Koln 5–0 (3–0) 2.153.503.25 1.72 2.10
15.10.22 Werder Bremen – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.602.87 1.72 2.10
08.10.22 Mainz – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.602.30 1.72 2.10
01.10.22 Freiburg – Mainz 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.603.40 1.92 1.98
16.09.22 Mainz – Hertha 1–1 (0–1) 1.724.004.33 1.72 2.10

Dortmund all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.01.23 Dortmund – Augsburg 4–3 (2–2) 1.306.008.00 1.36 3.20
11.11.22 M'gladbach – Dortmund 4–2 (3–2) 3.204.002.15 1.57 2.37
08.11.22 Wolfsburg – Dortmund 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Dortmund – Bochum 3–0 (3–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
29.10.22 Ein Frankfurt – Dortmund 1–2 (1–1) 2.753.752.40 1.61 2.30
22.10.22 Dortmund – Stuttgart 5–0 (3–0) 1.534.755.50 1.57 2.37
16.10.22 Union Berlin – Dortmund 2–0 (2–0) 2.903.502.37 1.97 1.93
08.10.22 Dortmund – Bayern Munich 2–2 (0–1) 4.334.751.65 1.36 3.20
01.10.22 FC Koln – Dortmund 3–2 (0–1) 3.104.002.05 1.57 2.37
17.09.22 Dortmund – Schalke 04 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.00 1.44 2.75

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.11.22 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.45 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Mainz – Wolfsburg 0–3 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.87 2.03
21.10.22 Mainz – FC Koln 5–0 (3–0) 2.153.503.25 1.72 2.10
08.10.22 Mainz – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.602.30 1.72 2.10
16.09.22 Mainz – Hertha 1–1 (0–1) 1.724.004.33 1.72 2.10
27.08.22 Mainz – Leverkusen 0–3 (0–3) 2.753.752.37 1.61 2.30
14.08.22 Mainz – Union Berlin 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.06 1.84
14.05.22 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 2–2 (1–2) 1.704.334.33 1.40 3.00
30.04.22 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–1 (2–1) 5.754.501.53 1.44 2.75
16.04.22 Mainz – Stuttgart 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.95 1.95

Dortmund away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.22 M'gladbach – Dortmund 4–2 (3–2) 3.204.002.15 1.57 2.37
08.11.22 Wolfsburg – Dortmund 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.72 2.10
29.10.22 Ein Frankfurt – Dortmund 1–2 (1–1) 2.753.752.40 1.61 2.30
16.10.22 Union Berlin – Dortmund 2–0 (2–0) 2.903.502.37 1.97 1.93
01.10.22 FC Koln – Dortmund 3–2 (0–1) 3.104.002.05 1.57 2.37
10.09.22 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 3–0 (2–0) 2.303.902.75 1.57 2.37
27.08.22 Hertha – Dortmund 0–1 (0–1) 4.504.331.66 1.50 2.62
12.08.22 Freiburg – Dortmund 1–3 (1–0) 3.003.752.20 1.57 2.37
07.05.22 Greuther Furth – Dortmund 1–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.30 1.36 3.20
23.04.22 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 3–1 (2–0) 1.365.757.00 1.25 4.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsDortmund wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.22D1 Mainz – Dortmund 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.61 2.30
16.10.21D1 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.44 2.75

Germany Bundesliga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 17 10 6 1 51 15 +36 36
2 RB Leipzig 17 9 5 3 37 23 +14 32
3 Ein Frankfurt 16 9 3 4 35 24 +11 30
4 Union Berlin 16 9 3 4 27 21 +6 30
5 Freiburg 16 9 3 4 25 23 +2 30
6 Wolfsburg 17 8 5 4 35 20 +15 29
7 Dortmund 16 9 1 6 29 24 +5 28
8 M'gladbach 16 6 4 6 30 27 +3 22
9 Leverkusen 16 6 3 7 28 28 0 21
10 FC Koln 17 5 6 6 29 31 -2 21
11 Werder Bremen 16 6 3 7 26 34 -8 21
12 Mainz 16 5 5 6 20 25 -5 20
13 Hoffenheim 17 5 4 8 25 27 -2 19
14 Stuttgart 17 3 7 7 21 30 -9 16
15 Bochum 16 5 1 10 17 37 -20 16
16 Augsburg 16 4 3 9 21 30 -9 15
17 Hertha 17 3 5 9 20 30 -10 14
18 Schalke 04 17 2 3 12 14 41 -27 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig 8 6 2 0 20 6 +14 20
2 Union Berlin 8 6 2 0 17 7 +10 20
3 Dortmund 8 6 1 1 19 8 +11 19
4 Bayern Munich 8 5 3 0 27 7 +20 18
5 M'gladbach 9 6 0 3 22 13 +9 18
6 Ein Frankfurt 9 5 1 3 21 13 +8 16
7 Freiburg 7 5 1 1 12 5 +7 16
8 Wolfsburg 8 4 3 1 21 10 +11 15
9 FC Koln 8 4 2 2 18 10 +8 14
10 Bochum 8 4 1 3 12 15 -3 13
11 Stuttgart 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
12 Leverkusen 8 3 2 3 17 11 +6 11
13 Hoffenheim 9 3 2 4 13 14 -1 11
14 Werder Bremen 8 3 1 4 14 13 +1 10
15 Hertha 9 2 4 3 12 16 -4 10
16 Mainz 7 1 4 2 8 9 -1 7
17 Schalke 04 9 2 1 6 10 25 -15 7
18 Augsburg 8 1 2 5 7 15 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 5 3 1 24 8 +16 18
2 Wolfsburg 9 4 2 3 14 10 +4 14
3 Ein Frankfurt 7 4 2 1 14 11 +3 14
4 Freiburg 9 4 2 3 13 18 -5 14
5 Mainz 9 4 1 4 12 16 -4 13
6 RB Leipzig 9 3 3 3 17 17 0 12
7 Werder Bremen 8 3 2 3 12 21 -9 11
8 Augsburg 8 3 1 4 14 15 -1 10
9 Union Berlin 8 3 1 4 10 14 -4 10
10 Leverkusen 8 3 1 4 11 17 -6 10
11 Dortmund 8 3 0 5 10 16 -6 9
12 Hoffenheim 8 2 2 4 12 13 -1 8
13 FC Koln 9 1 4 4 11 21 -10 7
14 Hertha 8 1 1 6 8 14 -6 4
15 M'gladbach 7 0 4 3 8 14 -6 4
16 Stuttgart 8 0 4 4 9 19 -10 4
17 Bochum 8 1 0 7 5 22 -17 3
18 Schalke 04 8 0 2 6 4 16 -12 2

Mainz   Dortmund

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 RB Leipzig 17 5 12 2.2 1.4 9 5 3 37 23 32
2 8 M'gladbach 16 4 12 1.9 1.7 6 4 6 30 27 22
3 9 Leverkusen 16 4 12 1.8 1.8 6 3 7 28 28 21
4 15 Bochum 16 4 12 1.1 2.3 5 1 10 17 37 16
5 3 Ein Frankfurt 16 5 11 2.2 1.5 9 3 4 35 24 30
6 13 Hoffenheim 17 6 11 1.5 1.6 5 4 8 25 27 19
7 18 Schalke 04 17 6 11 0.8 2.4 2 3 12 14 41 9
8 6 Wolfsburg 17 7 10 2.1 1.2 8 5 4 35 20 29
9 7 Dortmund 16 6 10 1.8 1.5 9 1 6 29 24 28
10 11 Werder Bremen 16 6 10 1.6 2.1 6 3 7 26 34 21
11 14 Stuttgart 17 7 10 1.2 1.8 3 7 7 21 30 16
12 16 Augsburg 16 6 10 1.3 1.9 4 3 9 21 30 15
13 1 Bayern Munich 17 8 9 3.0 0.9 10 6 1 51 15 36
14 4 Union Berlin 16 7 9 1.7 1.3 9 3 4 27 21 30
15 5 Freiburg 16 7 9 1.6 1.4 9 3 4 25 23 30
16 10 FC Koln 17 8 9 1.7 1.8 5 6 6 29 31 21
17 17 Hertha 17 8 9 1.2 1.8 3 5 9 20 30 14
18 12 Mainz 16 8 8 1.2 1.6 5 5 6 20 25 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 M'gladbach 9 2 7 2.4 1.4 6 0 3 22 13 18
2 3 Ein Frankfurt 9 3 6 2.3 1.4 5 1 3 21 13 16
3 6 Wolfsburg 8 2 6 2.6 1.2 4 3 1 21 10 15
4 9 Leverkusen 8 2 6 2.1 1.4 3 2 3 17 11 11
5 13 Hoffenheim 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 3 2 4 13 14 11
6 15 Bochum 8 2 6 1.5 1.9 4 1 3 12 15 13
7 18 Schalke 04 9 3 6 1.1 2.8 2 1 6 10 25 7
8 1 Bayern Munich 8 3 5 3.4 0.9 5 3 0 27 7 18
9 2 RB Leipzig 8 3 5 2.5 0.8 6 2 0 20 6 20
10 4 Union Berlin 8 3 5 2.1 0.9 6 2 0 17 7 20
11 7 Dortmund 8 3 5 2.4 1.0 6 1 1 19 8 19
12 10 FC Koln 8 3 5 2.2 1.2 4 2 2 18 10 14
13 11 Werder Bremen 8 3 5 1.8 1.6 3 1 4 14 13 10
14 17 Hertha 9 4 5 1.3 1.8 2 4 3 12 16 10
15 14 Stuttgart 9 5 4 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
16 16 Augsburg 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 1 2 5 7 15 5
17 5 Freiburg 7 4 3 1.7 0.7 5 1 1 12 5 16
18 12 Mainz 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 1 4 2 8 9 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 RB Leipzig 9 2 7 1.9 1.9 3 3 3 17 17 12
2 5 Freiburg 9 3 6 1.4 2.0 4 2 3 13 18 14
3 9 Leverkusen 8 2 6 1.4 2.1 3 1 4 11 17 10
4 14 Stuttgart 8 2 6 1.1 2.4 0 4 4 9 19 4
5 15 Bochum 8 2 6 0.6 2.8 1 0 7 5 22 3
6 16 Augsburg 8 2 6 1.8 1.9 3 1 4 14 15 10
7 3 Ein Frankfurt 7 2 5 2.0 1.6 4 2 1 14 11 14
8 7 Dortmund 8 3 5 1.2 2.0 3 0 5 10 16 9
9 8 M'gladbach 7 2 5 1.1 2.0 0 4 3 8 14 4
10 11 Werder Bremen 8 3 5 1.5 2.6 3 2 3 12 21 11
11 12 Mainz 9 4 5 1.3 1.8 4 1 4 12 16 13
12 13 Hoffenheim 8 3 5 1.5 1.6 2 2 4 12 13 8
13 18 Schalke 04 8 3 5 0.5 2.0 0 2 6 4 16 2
14 1 Bayern Munich 9 5 4 2.7 0.9 5 3 1 24 8 18
15 4 Union Berlin 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 3 1 4 10 14 10
16 6 Wolfsburg 9 5 4 1.6 1.1 4 2 3 14 10 14
17 10 FC Koln 9 5 4 1.2 2.3 1 4 4 11 21 7
18 17 Hertha 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 6 8 14 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51