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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

RB Leipzig 3–1 Hoffenheim

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.45 fair 1.73
Draw 5.00 fair 5.09
Away 6.00 fair 4.44
Under 2.5 3.20 fair 3.49
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.40

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

RB Leipzig Hoffenheim
23 Shots 10
11 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 2
11 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (130 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.48
Expected goals 2.30 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.2% 1–1 8% 3–1 7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
2.07points / match
2.43scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 34:15
Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
2.00scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 28:24
RB Leipzig all matches all matches Hoffenheim

Per match

2.43 Goals scored 2.00
1.07 Goals conceded 1.71
3.50 Total goals 3.71
15.86 Shots 14.29
6.86 Shots on target 5.36
10.57 Shots faced 15.07
6.07 Corners 4.07
3.71 Corners against 5.50
10.57 Fouls 10.93
1.71 Yellow cards 2.79
1.14 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.93

How often Full Time

64% Wins 50%
14% Draws 14%
21% Losses 36%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 100%
79% Over 2.5 goals 79%
50% Over 3.5 goals 64%
29% Over 4.5 goals 29%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 93%
36% Clean sheets 7%
14% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 43%
43% Draws 14%
21% Losses 43%
71% Over 0.5 goals 93%
57% Over 1.5 goals 71%
36% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig all matches
Hoffenheim all matches
RB Leipzig before this match, at home
2.43points / match
3.00scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 21:5
Hoffenheim before this match, away
2.29points / match
2.29scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 16:10
RB Leipzig at home away Hoffenheim

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 2.29
0.71 Goals conceded 1.43
3.71 Total goals 3.71
16.57 Shots 13.00
7.29 Shots on target 5.00
9.43 Shots faced 16.29
6.00 Corners 4.00
2.71 Corners against 7.57
11.29 Fouls 11.14
1.57 Yellow cards 3.00
1.71 1st-half goals scored 1.29
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

71% Wins 71%
29% Draws 14%
0% Losses 14%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 100%
86% Over 2.5 goals 71%
57% Over 3.5 goals 57%
29% Over 4.5 goals 43%
29% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 86%
43% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 71%
29% Draws 14%
14% Losses 14%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 57%
43% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig at home
Hoffenheim away

Last 10 matches before this match

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–3 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.44 2.75
02.12.23 RB Leipzig – Heidenheim 2–1 (2–1) 1.257.009.00 1.36 3.20
25.11.23 Wolfsburg – RB Leipzig 2–1 (1–0) 3.604.001.91 1.62 2.30
12.11.23 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (1–1) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38
04.11.23 Mainz – RB Leipzig 2–0 (0–0) 5.754.201.60 1.62 2.30
28.10.23 RB Leipzig – FC Koln 6–0 (4–0) 1.444.757.00 1.57 2.38
21.10.23 Darmstadt – RB Leipzig 1–3 (1–2) 6.504.751.44 1.53 2.50
07.10.23 RB Leipzig – Bochum 0–0 (0–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.36 3.20
30.09.23 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 2–2 (2–0) 3.404.201.91 1.40 3.00
23.09.23 M'gladbach – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–0) 4.754.751.57 1.40 3.00

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.23 Hoffenheim – Bochum 3–1 (2–0) 1.674.204.75 1.50 2.63
02.12.23 M'gladbach – Hoffenheim 2–1 (0–0) 2.204.002.88 1.36 3.20
26.11.23 Hoffenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.803.80 1.57 2.38
11.11.23 Augsburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.602.55 1.50 2.63
04.11.23 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen 2–3 (0–2) 5.004.501.57 1.33 3.40
28.10.23 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 2–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.63
21.10.23 Hoffenheim – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (1–3) 2.103.503.40 1.67 2.20
07.10.23 Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim 2–3 (1–2) 2.753.752.40 1.44 2.75
29.09.23 Hoffenheim – Dortmund 1–3 (1–2) 3.104.002.05 1.40 3.00
23.09.23 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 0–2 (0–2) 2.053.603.40 1.80 2.00

RB Leipzig at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 RB Leipzig – Heidenheim 2–1 (2–1) 1.257.009.00 1.36 3.20
12.11.23 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (1–1) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38
28.10.23 RB Leipzig – FC Koln 6–0 (4–0) 1.444.757.00 1.57 2.38
07.10.23 RB Leipzig – Bochum 0–0 (0–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.36 3.20
30.09.23 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 2–2 (2–0) 3.404.201.91 1.40 3.00
16.09.23 RB Leipzig – Augsburg 3–0 (3–0) 1.257.0010.00 1.36 3.20
25.08.23 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 5–1 (0–1) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
27.05.23 RB Leipzig – Schalke 04 4–2 (2–1) 1.604.504.75 1.36 3.20
14.05.23 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 2–1 (0–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.40 3.00
29.04.23 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38

Hoffenheim away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 M'gladbach – Hoffenheim 2–1 (0–0) 2.204.002.88 1.36 3.20
11.11.23 Augsburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.602.55 1.50 2.63
28.10.23 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 2–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.63
07.10.23 Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim 2–3 (1–2) 2.753.752.40 1.44 2.75
23.09.23 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 0–2 (0–2) 2.053.603.40 1.80 2.00
16.09.23 FC Koln – Hoffenheim 1–3 (0–2) 2.253.603.10 1.62 2.30
26.08.23 Heidenheim – Hoffenheim 2–3 (1–0) 3.003.602.25 1.67 2.20
27.05.23 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–0) 1.574.755.00 1.44 2.75
13.05.23 Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.57 2.38
29.04.23 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

RB Leipzig winsDrawsHoffenheim wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.04.23D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38
05.11.22D1 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 1–3 (0–1) 2.903.752.25 1.66 2.20
10.04.22D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–0 (3–0) 1.504.756.00 1.44 2.75
20.11.21D1 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 2–0 (1–0) 4.004.331.75 1.57 2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 14 11 3 0 39 12 +27 36
2 Bayern Munich 13 10 2 1 44 14 +30 32
3 Stuttgart 14 10 1 3 34 16 +18 31
4 RB Leipzig 14 9 2 3 34 15 +19 29
5 Dortmund 15 7 5 3 29 24 +5 26
6 Hoffenheim 14 7 2 5 28 24 +4 23
7 Ein Frankfurt 14 5 6 3 24 16 +8 21
8 Freiburg 14 6 3 5 17 23 -6 21
9 Wolfsburg 15 6 1 8 19 25 -6 19
10 Augsburg 15 4 6 5 24 28 -4 18
11 M'gladbach 15 4 5 6 30 33 -3 17
12 Heidenheim 15 5 2 8 22 30 -8 17
13 Bochum 15 3 7 5 18 29 -11 16
14 Werder Bremen 15 4 3 8 22 29 -7 15
15 FC Koln 14 2 4 8 10 24 -14 10
16 Union Berlin 14 3 1 10 15 31 -16 10
17 Mainz 15 1 6 8 12 27 -15 9
18 Darmstadt 15 2 3 10 17 38 -21 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stuttgart 8 6 1 1 23 7 +16 19
2 Leverkusen 7 6 1 0 22 6 +16 19
3 RB Leipzig 7 5 2 0 21 5 +16 17
4 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 27 5 +22 16
5 Dortmund 8 5 1 2 15 13 +2 16
6 Wolfsburg 7 4 1 2 11 7 +4 13
7 Augsburg 8 3 4 1 16 14 +2 13
8 Heidenheim 7 4 1 2 14 12 +2 13
9 Werder Bremen 8 4 1 3 14 13 +1 13
10 Ein Frankfurt 7 3 3 1 13 7 +6 12
11 Freiburg 6 3 2 1 11 9 +2 11
12 M'gladbach 8 3 2 3 13 12 +1 11
13 Bochum 7 2 4 1 12 9 +3 10
14 Hoffenheim 7 2 1 4 12 14 -2 7
15 Union Berlin 7 2 1 4 8 14 -6 7
16 FC Koln 7 1 2 4 6 10 -4 5
17 Darmstadt 8 1 2 5 10 16 -6 5
18 Mainz 7 1 1 5 5 12 -7 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 7 5 2 0 17 6 +11 17
2 Bayern Munich 7 5 1 1 17 9 +8 16
3 Hoffenheim 7 5 1 1 16 10 +6 16
4 RB Leipzig 7 4 0 3 13 10 +3 12
5 Stuttgart 6 4 0 2 11 9 +2 12
6 Dortmund 7 2 4 1 14 11 +3 10
7 Freiburg 8 3 1 4 6 14 -8 10
8 Ein Frankfurt 7 2 3 2 11 9 +2 9
9 M'gladbach 7 1 3 3 17 21 -4 6
10 Wolfsburg 8 2 0 6 8 18 -10 6
11 Bochum 8 1 3 4 6 20 -14 6
12 Augsburg 7 1 2 4 8 14 -6 5
13 Mainz 8 0 5 3 7 15 -8 5
14 FC Koln 7 1 2 4 4 14 -10 5
15 Heidenheim 8 1 1 6 8 18 -10 4
16 Darmstadt 7 1 1 5 7 22 -15 4
17 Union Berlin 7 1 0 6 7 17 -10 3
18 Werder Bremen 7 0 2 5 8 16 -8 2

RB Leipzig   Hoffenheim

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 M'gladbach 15 1 14 2.0 2.2 4 5 6 30 33 17
2 1 Leverkusen 14 2 12 2.8 0.9 11 3 0 39 12 36
3 2 Bayern Munich 13 1 12 3.4 1.1 10 2 1 44 14 32
4 4 RB Leipzig 14 3 11 2.4 1.1 9 2 3 34 15 29
5 6 Hoffenheim 14 3 11 2.0 1.7 7 2 5 28 24 23
6 3 Stuttgart 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 10 1 3 34 16 31
7 9 Wolfsburg 15 5 10 1.3 1.7 6 1 8 19 25 19
8 13 Bochum 15 5 10 1.2 1.9 3 7 5 18 29 16
9 14 Werder Bremen 15 5 10 1.5 1.9 4 3 8 22 29 15
10 16 Union Berlin 14 4 10 1.1 2.2 3 1 10 15 31 10
11 18 Darmstadt 15 5 10 1.1 2.5 2 3 10 17 38 9
12 5 Dortmund 15 6 9 1.9 1.6 7 5 3 29 24 26
13 10 Augsburg 15 6 9 1.6 1.9 4 6 5 24 28 18
14 12 Heidenheim 15 6 9 1.5 2.0 5 2 8 22 30 17
15 8 Freiburg 14 6 8 1.2 1.6 6 3 5 17 23 21
16 17 Mainz 15 7 8 0.8 1.8 1 6 8 12 27 9
17 7 Ein Frankfurt 14 7 7 1.7 1.1 5 6 3 24 16 21
18 15 FC Koln 14 8 6 0.7 1.7 2 4 8 10 24 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 M'gladbach 8 1 7 1.6 1.5 3 2 3 13 12 11
2 1 Leverkusen 7 1 6 3.1 0.9 6 1 0 22 6 19
3 2 Bayern Munich 6 0 6 4.5 0.8 5 1 0 27 5 16
4 3 Stuttgart 8 2 6 2.9 0.9 6 1 1 23 7 19
5 4 RB Leipzig 7 1 6 3.0 0.7 5 2 0 21 5 17
6 6 Hoffenheim 7 1 6 1.7 2.0 2 1 4 12 14 7
7 10 Augsburg 8 2 6 2.0 1.8 3 4 1 16 14 13
8 14 Werder Bremen 8 2 6 1.8 1.6 4 1 3 14 13 13
9 5 Dortmund 8 3 5 1.9 1.6 5 1 2 15 13 16
10 16 Union Berlin 7 2 5 1.1 2.0 2 1 4 8 14 7
11 18 Darmstadt 8 3 5 1.2 2.0 1 2 5 10 16 5
12 9 Wolfsburg 7 3 4 1.6 1.0 4 1 2 11 7 13
13 12 Heidenheim 7 3 4 2.0 1.7 4 1 2 14 12 13
14 13 Bochum 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 2 4 1 12 9 10
15 7 Ein Frankfurt 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 3 3 1 13 7 12
16 8 Freiburg 6 3 3 1.8 1.5 3 2 1 11 9 11
17 15 FC Koln 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 1 2 4 6 10 5
18 17 Mainz 7 4 3 0.7 1.7 1 1 5 5 12 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 M'gladbach 7 0 7 2.4 3.0 1 3 3 17 21 6
2 1 Leverkusen 7 1 6 2.4 0.9 5 2 0 17 6 17
3 2 Bayern Munich 7 1 6 2.4 1.3 5 1 1 17 9 16
4 9 Wolfsburg 8 2 6 1.0 2.2 2 0 6 8 18 6
5 13 Bochum 8 2 6 0.8 2.5 1 3 4 6 20 6
6 4 RB Leipzig 7 2 5 1.9 1.4 4 0 3 13 10 12
7 6 Hoffenheim 7 2 5 2.3 1.4 5 1 1 16 10 16
8 8 Freiburg 8 3 5 0.8 1.8 3 1 4 6 14 10
9 12 Heidenheim 8 3 5 1.0 2.2 1 1 6 8 18 4
10 16 Union Berlin 7 2 5 1.0 2.4 1 0 6 7 17 3
11 17 Mainz 8 3 5 0.9 1.9 0 5 3 7 15 5
12 18 Darmstadt 7 2 5 1.0 3.1 1 1 5 7 22 4
13 3 Stuttgart 6 2 4 1.8 1.5 4 0 2 11 9 12
14 5 Dortmund 7 3 4 2.0 1.6 2 4 1 14 11 10
15 7 Ein Frankfurt 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 2 3 2 11 9 9
16 14 Werder Bremen 7 3 4 1.1 2.3 0 2 5 8 16 2
17 10 Augsburg 7 4 3 1.1 2.0 1 2 4 8 14 5
18 15 FC Koln 7 4 3 0.6 2.0 1 2 4 4 14 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51