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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Wolfsburg 1–3 Mainz

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.20 fair 2.07
Draw 3.50 fair 4.10
Away ✓ 2.20 fair 3.66
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.15
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Wolfsburg Mainz
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
1 Corners 3
13 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (297 league matches this season so far).
Result Wolfsburg to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
WolfsburgDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Wolfsburg before this match, all matches
1.12points / match
1.21scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 40:53
Mainz before this match, all matches
0.97points / match
1.09scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 36:50
Wolfsburg all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.09
1.61 Goals conceded 1.52
2.82 Total goals 2.61
11.97 Shots 13.88
4.67 Shots on target 4.39
12.48 Shots faced 12.24
4.45 Corners 5.36
5.09 Corners against 4.27
12.03 Fouls 13.88
2.55 Yellow cards 2.91
0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

30% Wins 18%
21% Draws 42%
48% Losses 39%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
85% Over 1.5 goals 76%
58% Over 2.5 goals 42%
33% Over 3.5 goals 30%
6% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
61% Both teams scored 58%
18% Clean sheets 24%
21% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 27%
30% Draws 36%
33% Losses 36%
88% Over 0.5 goals 79%
45% Over 1.5 goals 33%
15% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Wolfsburg all matches
Mainz all matches
Wolfsburg before this match, at home
1.38points / match
1.50scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 24:22
Mainz before this match, away
0.56points / match
0.81scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 13:32
Wolfsburg at home away Mainz

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.81
1.38 Goals conceded 2.00
2.88 Total goals 2.81
12.88 Shots 11.81
4.94 Shots on target 3.75
12.13 Shots faced 14.00
4.69 Corners 3.81
4.75 Corners against 4.75
13.06 Fouls 13.06
2.56 Yellow cards 3.06
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

38% Wins 0%
25% Draws 56%
38% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 81%
88% Over 1.5 goals 75%
63% Over 2.5 goals 50%
31% Over 3.5 goals 38%
6% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
69% Both teams scored 69%
25% Clean sheets 19%
6% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 13%
31% Draws 50%
25% Losses 38%
94% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Wolfsburg at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Wolfsburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.24 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 2–0 (2–0) 1.336.007.50 1.36 3.20
04.05.24 Wolfsburg – Darmstadt 3–0 (2–0) 1.405.008.00 1.57 2.38
27.04.24 Freiburg – Wolfsburg 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.602.88 1.84 2.06
20.04.24 Wolfsburg – Bochum 1–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.67 2.20
13.04.24 RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.00 1.44 2.75
07.04.24 Wolfsburg – M'gladbach 1–3 (1–0) 1.854.003.80 1.62 2.30
30.03.24 Werder Bremen – Wolfsburg 0–2 (0–1) 2.883.502.40 1.80 2.00
16.03.24 Wolfsburg – Augsburg 1–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.80 2.00
10.03.24 Leverkusen – Wolfsburg 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.758.50 1.53 2.50
02.03.24 Wolfsburg – Stuttgart 2–3 (0–1) 3.303.502.15 1.73 2.10

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Mainz – Dortmund 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.603.10 1.50 2.63
05.05.24 Heidenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.73 2.10
28.04.24 Mainz – FC Koln 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.336.00 1.73 2.10
21.04.24 Freiburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.502.60 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Mainz – Hoffenheim 4–1 (0–1) 1.954.003.40 1.57 2.38
06.04.24 Mainz – Darmstadt 4–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.67 2.20
30.03.24 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.405.257.50 1.53 2.50
16.03.24 Mainz – Bochum 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 Bayern Munich – Mainz 8–1 (3–1) 1.257.0010.00 1.40 3.00
02.03.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.80 2.00

Wolfsburg at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.24 Wolfsburg – Darmstadt 3–0 (2–0) 1.405.008.00 1.57 2.38
20.04.24 Wolfsburg – Bochum 1–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.67 2.20
07.04.24 Wolfsburg – M'gladbach 1–3 (1–0) 1.854.003.80 1.62 2.30
16.03.24 Wolfsburg – Augsburg 1–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.80 2.00
02.03.24 Wolfsburg – Stuttgart 2–3 (0–1) 3.303.502.15 1.73 2.10
17.02.24 Wolfsburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.203.802.10 1.57 2.38
04.02.24 Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim 2–2 (0–1) 2.103.753.20 1.62 2.30
27.01.24 Wolfsburg – FC Koln 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.88 2.02
20.12.23 Wolfsburg – Bayern Munich 1–2 (1–2) 6.505.751.36 1.40 3.00
09.12.23 Wolfsburg – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Heidenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.73 2.10
21.04.24 Freiburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.502.60 1.73 2.10
30.03.24 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.405.257.50 1.53 2.50
09.03.24 Bayern Munich – Mainz 8–1 (3–1) 1.257.0010.00 1.40 3.00
23.02.24 Leverkusen – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.226.5013.00 1.57 2.38
11.02.24 Stuttgart – Mainz 3–1 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.10
26.01.24 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.50 2.05 1.75
19.12.23 Dortmund – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 1.554.755.25 1.44 2.75
10.12.23 FC Koln – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 1.95 1.95
26.11.23 Hoffenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.803.80 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Wolfsburg winsDrawsMainz wins
5matches
3.20goals / match
80%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24D1 Mainz – Wolfsburg 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.25 1.98 1.92
30.04.23D1 Wolfsburg – Mainz 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.503.10 1.86 2.04
05.11.22D1 Mainz – Wolfsburg 0–3 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.87 2.03
22.04.22D1 Wolfsburg – Mainz 5–0 (5–0) 2.303.403.10 1.93 1.97
04.12.21D1 Mainz – Wolfsburg 3–0 (2–0) 2.503.302.87 2.10 1.72

Germany Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 33 27 6 0 87 23 +64 87
2 Bayern Munich 33 23 3 7 92 41 +51 72
3 Stuttgart 33 22 4 7 74 39 +35 70
4 RB Leipzig 33 19 7 7 75 37 +38 64
5 Dortmund 33 17 9 7 64 43 +21 60
6 Ein Frankfurt 33 11 13 9 49 48 +1 46
7 Hoffenheim 33 12 7 14 62 64 -2 43
8 Freiburg 33 11 9 13 44 56 -12 42
9 Heidenheim 33 9 12 12 46 54 -8 39
10 Augsburg 33 10 9 14 49 58 -9 39
11 Werder Bremen 33 10 9 14 44 53 -9 39
12 Wolfsburg 33 10 7 16 40 53 -13 37
13 M'gladbach 33 7 13 13 56 63 -7 34
14 Bochum 33 7 12 14 41 70 -29 33
15 Mainz 33 6 14 13 36 50 -14 32
16 Union Berlin 33 8 6 19 31 57 -26 30
17 FC Koln 33 5 12 16 27 56 -29 27
18 Darmstadt 33 3 8 22 30 82 -52 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 17 14 1 2 53 12 +41 43
2 Leverkusen 16 13 3 0 45 10 +35 42
3 Stuttgart 16 12 3 1 46 15 +31 39
4 RB Leipzig 17 11 4 2 40 12 +28 37
5 Dortmund 16 9 3 4 33 22 +11 30
6 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 7 2 27 19 +8 28
7 Augsburg 17 6 6 5 26 26 0 24
8 Mainz 17 6 5 6 23 18 +5 23
9 Heidenheim 16 6 5 5 26 25 +1 23
10 Bochum 17 5 8 4 26 29 -3 23
11 Wolfsburg 16 6 4 6 24 22 +2 22
12 Werder Bremen 16 6 4 6 25 25 0 22
13 Freiburg 17 5 7 5 28 30 -2 22
14 M'gladbach 17 5 6 6 27 26 +1 21
15 Hoffenheim 16 5 5 6 27 29 -2 20
16 Union Berlin 16 6 2 8 20 29 -9 20
17 FC Koln 17 4 4 9 15 28 -13 16
18 Darmstadt 17 1 3 13 15 44 -29 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 17 14 3 0 42 13 +29 45
2 Stuttgart 17 10 1 6 28 24 +4 31
3 Dortmund 17 8 6 3 31 21 +10 30
4 Bayern Munich 16 9 2 5 39 29 +10 29
5 RB Leipzig 16 8 3 5 35 25 +10 27
6 Hoffenheim 17 7 2 8 35 35 0 23
7 Freiburg 16 6 2 8 16 26 -10 20
8 Ein Frankfurt 17 4 6 7 22 29 -7 18
9 Werder Bremen 17 4 5 8 19 28 -9 17
10 Heidenheim 17 3 7 7 20 29 -9 16
11 Augsburg 16 4 3 9 23 32 -9 15
12 Wolfsburg 17 4 3 10 16 31 -15 15
13 M'gladbach 16 2 7 7 29 37 -8 13
14 FC Koln 16 1 8 7 12 28 -16 11
15 Darmstadt 16 2 5 9 15 38 -23 11
16 Union Berlin 17 2 4 11 11 28 -17 10
17 Bochum 16 2 4 10 15 41 -26 10
18 Mainz 16 0 9 7 13 32 -19 9

Wolfsburg   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bayern Munich 33 6 27 2.8 1.2 23 3 7 92 41 72
2 7 Hoffenheim 33 7 26 1.9 1.9 12 7 14 62 64 43
3 13 M'gladbach 33 8 25 1.7 1.9 7 13 13 56 63 34
4 1 Leverkusen 33 9 24 2.6 0.7 27 6 0 87 23 87
5 3 Stuttgart 33 9 24 2.2 1.2 22 4 7 74 39 70
6 4 RB Leipzig 33 11 22 2.3 1.1 19 7 7 75 37 64
7 8 Freiburg 33 12 21 1.3 1.7 11 9 13 44 56 42
8 14 Bochum 33 12 21 1.2 2.1 7 12 14 41 70 33
9 5 Dortmund 33 13 20 1.9 1.3 17 9 7 64 43 60
10 10 Augsburg 33 13 20 1.5 1.8 10 9 14 49 58 39
11 18 Darmstadt 33 13 20 0.9 2.5 3 8 22 30 82 17
12 6 Ein Frankfurt 33 14 19 1.5 1.5 11 13 9 49 48 46
13 11 Werder Bremen 33 14 19 1.3 1.6 10 9 14 44 53 39
14 12 Wolfsburg 33 14 19 1.2 1.6 10 7 16 40 53 37
15 9 Heidenheim 33 16 17 1.4 1.6 9 12 12 46 54 39
16 16 Union Berlin 33 18 15 0.9 1.7 8 6 19 31 57 30
17 15 Mainz 33 19 14 1.1 1.5 6 14 13 36 50 32
18 17 FC Koln 33 22 11 0.8 1.7 5 12 16 27 56 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Leverkusen 16 3 13 2.8 0.6 13 3 0 45 10 42
2 13 M'gladbach 17 4 13 1.6 1.5 5 6 6 27 26 21
3 2 Bayern Munich 17 5 12 3.1 0.7 14 1 2 53 12 43
4 3 Stuttgart 16 4 12 2.9 0.9 12 3 1 46 15 39
5 7 Hoffenheim 16 5 11 1.7 1.8 5 5 6 27 29 20
6 11 Werder Bremen 16 5 11 1.6 1.6 6 4 6 25 25 22
7 18 Darmstadt 17 6 11 0.9 2.6 1 3 13 15 44 6
8 4 RB Leipzig 17 7 10 2.4 0.7 11 4 2 40 12 37
9 5 Dortmund 16 6 10 2.1 1.4 9 3 4 33 22 30
10 8 Freiburg 17 7 10 1.6 1.8 5 7 5 28 30 22
11 10 Augsburg 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 6 6 5 26 26 24
12 12 Wolfsburg 16 6 10 1.5 1.4 6 4 6 24 22 22
13 14 Bochum 17 7 10 1.5 1.7 5 8 4 26 29 23
14 9 Heidenheim 16 7 9 1.6 1.6 6 5 5 26 25 23
15 16 Union Berlin 16 7 9 1.2 1.8 6 2 8 20 29 20
16 6 Ein Frankfurt 16 8 8 1.7 1.2 7 7 2 27 19 28
17 17 FC Koln 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 4 4 9 15 28 16
18 15 Mainz 17 11 6 1.4 1.1 6 5 6 23 18 23
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bayern Munich 16 1 15 2.4 1.8 9 2 5 39 29 29
2 7 Hoffenheim 17 2 15 2.1 2.1 7 2 8 35 35 23
3 3 Stuttgart 17 5 12 1.6 1.4 10 1 6 28 24 31
4 4 RB Leipzig 16 4 12 2.2 1.6 8 3 5 35 25 27
5 13 M'gladbach 16 4 12 1.8 2.3 2 7 7 29 37 13
6 1 Leverkusen 17 6 11 2.5 0.8 14 3 0 42 13 45
7 6 Ein Frankfurt 17 6 11 1.3 1.7 4 6 7 22 29 18
8 8 Freiburg 16 5 11 1.0 1.6 6 2 8 16 26 20
9 14 Bochum 16 5 11 0.9 2.6 2 4 10 15 41 10
10 5 Dortmund 17 7 10 1.8 1.2 8 6 3 31 21 30
11 10 Augsburg 16 6 10 1.4 2.0 4 3 9 23 32 15
12 12 Wolfsburg 17 8 9 0.9 1.8 4 3 10 16 31 15
13 18 Darmstadt 16 7 9 0.9 2.4 2 5 9 15 38 11
14 9 Heidenheim 17 9 8 1.2 1.7 3 7 7 20 29 16
15 11 Werder Bremen 17 9 8 1.1 1.6 4 5 8 19 28 17
16 15 Mainz 16 8 8 0.8 2.0 0 9 7 13 32 9
17 16 Union Berlin 17 11 6 0.6 1.6 2 4 11 11 28 10
18 17 FC Koln 16 12 4 0.8 1.8 1 8 7 12 28 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51