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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.20 fair 2.91
Draw 3.50 fair 4.25
Away 2.20 fair 2.37
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.57
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Union Berlin RB Leipzig
12 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 6
7 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (117 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.49 – 1.67
Home / Draw / Away
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 1–2 8.8% 2–1 7.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Union Berlin before this match, all matches
1.15points / match
1.23scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:22
RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
2.23points / match
2.15scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 28:13
Union Berlin all matches all matches RB Leipzig

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 2.15
1.69 Goals conceded 1.00
2.92 Total goals 3.15
12.38 Shots 16.69
3.54 Shots on target 5.85
13.15 Shots faced 13.38
5.46 Corners 6.15
4.85 Corners against 4.46
13.54 Fouls 9.46
2.31 Yellow cards 1.62
0.69 1st-half goals scored 1.15
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

31% Wins 69%
23% Draws 15%
46% Losses 15%
85% Over 0.5 goals 92%
69% Over 1.5 goals 77%
62% Over 2.5 goals 54%
38% Over 3.5 goals 46%
15% Over 4.5 goals 23%
15% Over 5.5 goals 23%
54% Both teams scored 38%
23% Clean sheets 54%
38% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 54%
31% Draws 31%
31% Losses 15%
77% Over 0.5 goals 77%
46% Over 1.5 goals 46%
15% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Union Berlin all matches
RB Leipzig all matches
Union Berlin before this match, at home
1.29points / match
1.43scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:10
RB Leipzig before this match, away
1.57points / match
1.43scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:10
Union Berlin at home away RB Leipzig

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.43
1.43 Goals conceded 1.43
2.86 Total goals 2.86
12.43 Shots 16.57
3.43 Shots on target 4.29
12.71 Shots faced 14.86
5.86 Corners 6.00
5.29 Corners against 4.71
16.29 Fouls 10.14
3.29 Yellow cards 1.71
0.86 1st-half goals scored 1.14
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

29% Wins 43%
43% Draws 29%
29% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 57%
71% Over 2.5 goals 43%
43% Over 3.5 goals 43%
14% Over 4.5 goals 29%
14% Over 5.5 goals 29%
71% Both teams scored 29%
29% Clean sheets 57%
29% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 43%
43% Draws 29%
14% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
57% Over 1.5 goals 57%
14% Over 2.5 goals 43%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Union Berlin at home
RB Leipzig away

Last 10 matches before this match

Union Berlin all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Wolfsburg – Union Berlin 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.403.50 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Union Berlin – Heidenheim 1–2 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.93 1.93
23.11.25 St Pauli – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
08.11.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20
01.11.25 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.75 2.10 1.73
24.10.25 Werder Bremen – Union Berlin 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.20
17.10.25 Union Berlin – M'gladbach 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.20 1.88 1.98
04.10.25 Leverkusen – Union Berlin 2–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.80 2.00
28.09.25 Union Berlin – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
21.09.25 Ein Frankfurt – Union Berlin 3–4 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.57 2.38

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 6–0 (2–0) 1.734.204.20 1.44 2.75
28.11.25 M'gladbach – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.702.30 1.44 2.75
23.11.25 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 2–0 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.33 3.40
08.11.25 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.902.40 1.40 3.00
01.11.25 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 3–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.44 2.75
25.10.25 Augsburg – RB Leipzig 0–6 (0–4) 3.203.902.05 1.44 2.75
18.10.25 RB Leipzig – Hamburg 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.36 3.20
04.10.25 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.504.20 1.36 3.20
27.09.25 Wolfsburg – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.60 1.53 2.50
20.09.25 RB Leipzig – FC Koln 3–1 (3–1) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50

Union Berlin at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Union Berlin – Heidenheim 1–2 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.93 1.93
08.11.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20
01.11.25 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.75 2.10 1.73
17.10.25 Union Berlin – M'gladbach 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.20 1.88 1.98
28.09.25 Union Berlin – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
13.09.25 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–4 (0–2) 2.603.402.70 1.88 1.98
23.08.25 Union Berlin – Stuttgart 2–1 (2–0) 3.403.702.05 1.67 2.20
10.05.25 Union Berlin – Heidenheim 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.303.30 1.95 1.95
03.05.25 Union Berlin – Werder Bremen 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.402.55 1.89 2.01
19.04.25 Union Berlin – Stuttgart 4–4 (4–4) 2.803.402.45 1.80 2.00

RB Leipzig away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.25 M'gladbach – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.702.30 1.44 2.75
08.11.25 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.902.40 1.40 3.00
25.10.25 Augsburg – RB Leipzig 0–6 (0–4) 3.203.902.05 1.44 2.75
04.10.25 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.504.20 1.36 3.20
27.09.25 Wolfsburg – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.60 1.53 2.50
13.09.25 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.67 2.20
22.08.25 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 6–0 (3–0) 1.227.009.00 1.25 4.00
10.05.25 Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.702.80 1.53 2.50
26.04.25 Ein Frankfurt – RB Leipzig 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.803.00 1.50 2.63
11.04.25 Wolfsburg – RB Leipzig 2–3 (0–2) 2.883.752.30 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Union Berlin winsDrawsRB Leipzig wins
8matches
2.12goals / match
63%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25D1 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.73 2.10
14.09.24D1 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin 0–0 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.67 2.20
04.02.24D1 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin 2–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.62 2.30
03.09.23D1 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 0–3 (0–0) 3.403.252.20 1.97 1.93
11.02.23D1 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin 1–2 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 2.10 1.73
20.08.22D1 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 2–1 (2–0) 3.603.502.05 1.91 1.99
23.04.22D1 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin 1–2 (0–0) 1.554.006.50 2.00 1.90
03.12.21D1 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 2–1 (1–1) 3.503.702.00 1.72 2.10

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 13 12 1 0 49 9 +40 37
2 RB Leipzig 13 9 2 2 28 13 +15 29
3 Dortmund 13 8 4 1 23 11 +12 28
4 Leverkusen 13 7 2 4 28 19 +9 23
5 Hoffenheim 13 7 2 4 25 19 +6 23
6 Stuttgart 13 7 1 5 21 22 -1 22
7 Ein Frankfurt 13 6 3 4 28 29 -1 21
8 FC Koln 13 4 4 5 22 21 +1 16
9 Freiburg 13 4 4 5 20 22 -2 16
10 M'gladbach 13 4 4 5 17 19 -2 16
11 Werder Bremen 13 4 4 5 18 24 -6 16
12 Union Berlin 13 4 3 6 16 22 -6 15
13 Hamburg 13 4 3 6 14 20 -6 15
14 Augsburg 13 4 1 8 17 27 -10 13
15 Wolfsburg 13 3 3 7 17 23 -6 12
16 Heidenheim 13 3 2 8 12 28 -16 11
17 St Pauli 13 2 2 9 11 25 -14 8
18 Mainz 13 1 3 9 11 24 -13 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 7 7 0 0 29 4 +25 21
2 RB Leipzig 6 6 0 0 18 3 +15 18
3 Stuttgart 6 5 0 1 9 8 +1 15
4 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 11 4 +7 14
5 Leverkusen 7 4 1 2 16 6 +10 13
6 Hamburg 7 4 1 2 12 8 +4 13
7 Freiburg 6 3 2 1 13 8 +5 11
8 Werder Bremen 6 3 2 1 8 8 0 11
9 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10
10 Hoffenheim 6 3 0 3 11 10 +1 9
11 Union Berlin 7 2 3 2 10 10 0 9
12 Augsburg 7 3 0 4 9 15 -6 9
13 FC Koln 6 2 2 2 14 10 +4 8
14 Heidenheim 7 2 2 3 8 13 -5 8
15 M'gladbach 7 1 3 3 7 14 -7 6
16 Wolfsburg 7 1 2 4 10 15 -5 5
17 St Pauli 6 1 1 4 6 14 -8 4
18 Mainz 7 0 2 5 5 11 -6 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 20 5 +15 16
2 Hoffenheim 7 4 2 1 14 9 +5 14
3 Dortmund 7 4 2 1 12 7 +5 14
4 RB Leipzig 7 3 2 2 10 10 0 11
5 Ein Frankfurt 7 3 2 2 17 20 -3 11
6 M'gladbach 6 3 1 2 10 5 +5 10
7 Leverkusen 6 3 1 2 12 13 -1 10
8 FC Koln 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
9 Wolfsburg 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
10 Stuttgart 7 2 1 4 12 14 -2 7
11 Union Berlin 6 2 0 4 6 12 -6 6
12 Werder Bremen 7 1 2 4 10 16 -6 5
13 Freiburg 7 1 2 4 7 14 -7 5
14 Augsburg 6 1 1 4 8 12 -4 4
15 St Pauli 7 1 1 5 5 11 -6 4
16 Mainz 6 1 1 4 6 13 -7 4
17 Heidenheim 6 1 0 5 4 15 -11 3
18 Hamburg 6 0 2 4 2 12 -10 2

Union Berlin   RB Leipzig

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 13 0 13 3.8 0.7 12 1 0 49 9 37
2 6 Stuttgart 13 3 10 1.6 1.7 7 1 5 21 22 22
3 4 Leverkusen 13 4 9 2.2 1.5 7 2 4 28 19 23
4 5 Hoffenheim 13 4 9 1.9 1.5 7 2 4 25 19 23
5 7 Ein Frankfurt 13 4 9 2.2 2.2 6 3 4 28 29 21
6 9 Freiburg 13 4 9 1.5 1.7 4 4 5 20 22 16
7 14 Augsburg 13 4 9 1.3 2.1 4 1 8 17 27 13
8 16 Heidenheim 13 4 9 0.9 2.2 3 2 8 12 28 11
9 11 Werder Bremen 13 5 8 1.4 1.8 4 4 5 18 24 16
10 12 Union Berlin 13 5 8 1.2 1.7 4 3 6 16 22 15
11 15 Wolfsburg 13 5 8 1.3 1.8 3 3 7 17 23 12
12 2 RB Leipzig 13 6 7 2.2 1.0 9 2 2 28 13 29
13 8 FC Koln 13 6 7 1.7 1.6 4 4 5 22 21 16
14 10 M'gladbach 13 6 7 1.3 1.5 4 4 5 17 19 16
15 13 Hamburg 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 4 3 6 14 20 15
16 17 St Pauli 13 6 7 0.8 1.9 2 2 9 11 25 8
17 3 Dortmund 13 8 5 1.8 0.8 8 4 1 23 11 28
18 18 Mainz 13 8 5 0.8 1.8 1 3 9 11 24 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 7 0 7 4.1 0.6 7 0 0 29 4 21
2 5 Hoffenheim 6 1 5 1.8 1.7 3 0 3 11 10 9
3 9 Freiburg 6 1 5 2.2 1.3 3 2 1 13 8 11
4 12 Union Berlin 7 2 5 1.4 1.4 2 3 2 10 10 9
5 15 Wolfsburg 7 2 5 1.4 2.1 1 2 4 10 15 5
6 16 Heidenheim 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 2 2 3 8 13 8
7 17 St Pauli 6 1 5 1.0 2.3 1 1 4 6 14 4
8 2 RB Leipzig 6 2 4 3.0 0.5 6 0 0 18 3 18
9 4 Leverkusen 7 3 4 2.3 0.9 4 1 2 16 6 13
10 8 FC Koln 6 2 4 2.3 1.7 2 2 2 14 10 8
11 10 M'gladbach 7 3 4 1.0 2.0 1 3 3 7 14 6
12 13 Hamburg 7 3 4 1.7 1.1 4 1 2 12 8 13
13 14 Augsburg 7 3 4 1.3 2.1 3 0 4 9 15 9
14 6 Stuttgart 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 5 0 1 9 8 15
15 7 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 3 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10
16 11 Werder Bremen 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 3 2 1 8 8 11
17 3 Dortmund 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 4 2 0 11 4 14
18 18 Mainz 7 6 1 0.7 1.6 0 2 5 5 11 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Stuttgart 7 0 7 1.7 2.0 2 1 4 12 14 7
2 1 Bayern Munich 6 0 6 3.3 0.8 5 1 0 20 5 16
3 7 Ein Frankfurt 7 1 6 2.4 2.9 3 2 2 17 20 11
4 4 Leverkusen 6 1 5 2.0 2.2 3 1 2 12 13 10
5 11 Werder Bremen 7 2 5 1.4 2.3 1 2 4 10 16 5
6 14 Augsburg 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 1 1 4 8 12 4
7 5 Hoffenheim 7 3 4 2.0 1.3 4 2 1 14 9 14
8 9 Freiburg 7 3 4 1.0 2.0 1 2 4 7 14 5
9 16 Heidenheim 6 2 4 0.7 2.5 1 0 5 4 15 3
10 18 Mainz 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 1 4 6 13 4
11 2 RB Leipzig 7 4 3 1.4 1.4 3 2 2 10 10 11
12 3 Dortmund 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 4 2 1 12 7 14
13 8 FC Koln 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
14 10 M'gladbach 6 3 3 1.7 0.8 3 1 2 10 5 10
15 12 Union Berlin 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 2 0 4 6 12 6
16 13 Hamburg 6 3 3 0.3 2.0 0 2 4 2 12 2
17 15 Wolfsburg 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
18 17 St Pauli 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 1 5 5 11 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06