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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Dortmund 3–2 St Pauli

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.68
Draw 5.25 fair 4.61
Away 10.00 fair 5.32
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.28
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Dortmund St Pauli
10 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 5
9 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (151 league matches this season so far).
Result Dortmund to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.94 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
DortmundDrawSt Pauli
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 10.3% 1–1 10.2% 2–0 10%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Dortmund before this match, all matches
2.12points / match
1.88scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 32:15
St Pauli before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.88scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 14:28
Dortmund all matches all matches St Pauli

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 0.88
0.88 Goals conceded 1.75
2.76 Total goals 2.63
12.47 Shots 10.44
4.71 Shots on target 3.44
10.82 Shots faced 11.94
5.06 Corners 5.06
4.65 Corners against 5.00
11.53 Fouls 10.38
1.76 Yellow cards 1.75
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

59% Wins 19%
35% Draws 19%
6% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
82% Over 1.5 goals 81%
41% Over 2.5 goals 56%
18% Over 3.5 goals 19%
18% Over 4.5 goals 6%
18% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 50%
53% Clean sheets 13%
0% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 13%
24% Draws 44%
6% Losses 44%
88% Over 0.5 goals 81%
29% Over 1.5 goals 31%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dortmund all matches
St Pauli all matches
Dortmund before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 16:4
St Pauli before this match, away
0.56points / match
0.67scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 6:13
Dortmund at home away St Pauli

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.67
0.50 Goals conceded 1.44
2.50 Total goals 2.11
14.38 Shots 9.33
5.50 Shots on target 2.33
9.88 Shots faced 12.33
6.88 Corners 3.44
4.25 Corners against 6.11
11.88 Fouls 10.33
1.13 Yellow cards 1.56
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.13 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

75% Wins 11%
25% Draws 22%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
75% Over 1.5 goals 78%
38% Over 2.5 goals 33%
13% Over 3.5 goals 11%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 44%
75% Clean sheets 22%
0% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 11%
25% Draws 44%
0% Losses 44%
88% Over 0.5 goals 78%
25% Over 1.5 goals 22%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dortmund at home
St Pauli away

Last 10 matches before this match

Dortmund all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.26 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.63
09.01.26 Ein Frankfurt – Dortmund 3–3 (1–1) 3.603.801.95 1.62 2.30
19.12.25 Dortmund – M'gladbach 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.50 1.50 2.63
14.12.25 Freiburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.502.15 1.83 2.03
07.12.25 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.504.75 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Leverkusen – Dortmund 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.57 2.38
22.11.25 Dortmund – Stuttgart 3–3 (2–0) 1.754.004.33 1.53 2.50
08.11.25 Hamburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.50 2.63
31.10.25 Augsburg – Dortmund 0–1 (0–1) 5.004.501.57 1.50 2.63
25.10.25 Dortmund – FC Koln 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.256.50 1.40 3.00

St Pauli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.26 Wolfsburg – St Pauli 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.703.80 1.93 1.93
21.12.25 Mainz – St Pauli 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.10 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 St Pauli – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
06.12.25 FC Koln – St Pauli 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.91 1.91
29.11.25 Bayern Munich – St Pauli 3–1 (1–1) 1.1010.0021.00 1.25 4.00
23.11.25 St Pauli – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Freiburg – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.80
01.11.25 St Pauli – M'gladbach 0–4 (0–2) 2.153.503.30 1.88 1.98
25.10.25 Ein Frankfurt – St Pauli 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.57 2.38
19.10.25 St Pauli – Hoffenheim 0–3 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.80 2.00

Dortmund at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.26 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.63
19.12.25 Dortmund – M'gladbach 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.50 1.50 2.63
07.12.25 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.504.75 1.50 2.63
22.11.25 Dortmund – Stuttgart 3–3 (2–0) 1.754.004.33 1.53 2.50
25.10.25 Dortmund – FC Koln 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.256.50 1.40 3.00
04.10.25 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.504.20 1.36 3.20
21.09.25 Dortmund – Wolfsburg 1–0 (1–0) 1.505.005.50 1.44 2.75
31.08.25 Dortmund – Union Berlin 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.50 2.63
17.05.25 Dortmund – Holstein Kiel 3–0 (1–0) 1.0912.0019.00 1.14 5.50
03.05.25 Dortmund – Wolfsburg 4–0 (1–0) 1.335.757.50 1.33 3.40

St Pauli away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.26 Wolfsburg – St Pauli 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.703.80 1.93 1.93
21.12.25 Mainz – St Pauli 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.10 2.10 1.73
06.12.25 FC Koln – St Pauli 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.91 1.91
29.11.25 Bayern Munich – St Pauli 3–1 (1–1) 1.1010.0021.00 1.25 4.00
09.11.25 Freiburg – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.80
25.10.25 Ein Frankfurt – St Pauli 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.57 2.38
04.10.25 Werder Bremen – St Pauli 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.702.88 1.73 2.10
19.09.25 Stuttgart – St Pauli 2–0 (1–0) 1.754.104.20 1.73 2.10
29.08.25 Hamburg – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
11.05.25 Ein Frankfurt – St Pauli 2–2 (1–2) 1.534.335.75 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Dortmund winsDrawsSt Pauli wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25D1 St Pauli – Dortmund 3–3 (0–1) 4.503.901.75 1.83 2.03
01.03.25D1 St Pauli – Dortmund 0–2 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.80 2.00
18.10.24D1 Dortmund – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.50 2.63

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 17 15 2 0 66 13 +53 47
2 Dortmund 17 10 6 1 32 15 +17 36
3 RB Leipzig 16 10 2 4 32 19 +13 32
4 Stuttgart 17 10 2 5 32 25 +7 32
5 Hoffenheim 16 9 3 4 34 21 +13 30
6 Leverkusen 16 9 2 5 34 24 +10 29
7 Ein Frankfurt 18 7 6 5 38 39 -1 27
8 Freiburg 17 6 5 6 27 29 -2 23
9 Union Berlin 17 6 5 6 23 26 -3 23
10 M'gladbach 17 5 4 8 23 29 -6 19
11 Wolfsburg 17 5 3 9 26 37 -11 18
12 Werder Bremen 17 4 6 7 21 34 -13 18
13 FC Koln 17 4 5 8 25 29 -4 17
14 Hamburg 16 4 4 8 17 27 -10 16
15 Augsburg 17 4 3 10 18 33 -15 15
16 Mainz 17 2 6 9 17 29 -12 12
17 St Pauli 16 3 3 10 14 28 -14 12
18 Heidenheim 17 3 3 11 16 38 -22 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 8 1 0 39 7 +32 25
2 RB Leipzig 8 7 0 1 21 6 +15 21
3 Dortmund 8 6 2 0 16 4 +12 20
4 Stuttgart 8 6 1 1 12 10 +2 19
5 Leverkusen 9 5 1 3 19 10 +9 16
6 Hoffenheim 8 5 0 3 20 12 +8 15
7 Freiburg 8 4 3 1 16 10 +6 15
8 Hamburg 8 4 2 2 13 9 +4 14
9 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 15 12 +3 14
10 Union Berlin 9 3 4 2 15 13 +2 13
11 Werder Bremen 8 3 3 2 11 15 -4 12
12 Augsburg 9 3 2 4 10 16 -6 11
13 M'gladbach 9 2 3 4 12 17 -5 9
14 Heidenheim 9 2 3 4 10 19 -9 9
15 FC Koln 8 2 2 4 15 14 +1 8
16 Wolfsburg 9 2 2 5 15 20 -5 8
17 St Pauli 7 2 1 4 8 15 -7 7
18 Mainz 9 1 3 5 7 12 -5 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 7 1 0 27 6 +21 22
2 Dortmund 9 4 4 1 16 11 +5 16
3 Hoffenheim 8 4 3 1 14 9 +5 15
4 Stuttgart 9 4 1 4 20 15 +5 13
5 Leverkusen 7 4 1 2 15 14 +1 13
6 Ein Frankfurt 10 3 4 3 23 27 -4 13
7 RB Leipzig 8 3 2 3 11 13 -2 11
8 M'gladbach 8 3 1 4 11 12 -1 10
9 Union Berlin 8 3 1 4 8 13 -5 10
10 Wolfsburg 8 3 1 4 11 17 -6 10
11 FC Koln 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9
12 Freiburg 9 2 2 5 11 19 -8 8
13 Mainz 8 1 3 4 10 17 -7 6
14 Werder Bremen 9 1 3 5 10 19 -9 6
15 St Pauli 9 1 2 6 6 13 -7 5
16 Augsburg 8 1 1 6 8 17 -9 4
17 Heidenheim 8 1 0 7 6 19 -13 3
18 Hamburg 8 0 2 6 4 18 -14 2

Dortmund   St Pauli

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 17 0 17 3.9 0.8 15 2 0 66 13 47
2 4 Stuttgart 17 4 13 1.9 1.5 10 2 5 32 25 32
3 18 Heidenheim 17 4 13 0.9 2.2 3 3 11 16 38 12
4 7 Ein Frankfurt 18 6 12 2.1 2.2 7 6 5 38 39 27
5 11 Wolfsburg 17 5 12 1.5 2.2 5 3 9 26 37 18
6 5 Hoffenheim 16 5 11 2.1 1.3 9 3 4 34 21 30
7 6 Leverkusen 16 5 11 2.1 1.5 9 2 5 34 24 29
8 8 Freiburg 17 6 11 1.6 1.7 6 5 6 27 29 23
9 12 Werder Bremen 17 6 11 1.2 2.0 4 6 7 21 34 18
10 9 Union Berlin 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 6 5 6 23 26 23
11 10 M'gladbach 17 7 10 1.4 1.7 5 4 8 23 29 19
12 15 Augsburg 17 7 10 1.1 1.9 4 3 10 18 33 15
13 3 RB Leipzig 16 7 9 2.0 1.2 10 2 4 32 19 32
14 13 FC Koln 17 8 9 1.5 1.7 4 5 8 25 29 17
15 14 Hamburg 16 7 9 1.1 1.7 4 4 8 17 27 16
16 17 St Pauli 16 7 9 0.9 1.8 3 3 10 14 28 12
17 16 Mainz 17 9 8 1.0 1.7 2 6 9 17 29 12
18 2 Dortmund 17 10 7 1.9 0.9 10 6 1 32 15 36
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 9 0 9 4.3 0.8 8 1 0 39 7 25
2 5 Hoffenheim 8 1 7 2.5 1.5 5 0 3 20 12 15
3 9 Union Berlin 9 2 7 1.7 1.4 3 4 2 15 13 13
4 11 Wolfsburg 9 2 7 1.7 2.2 2 2 5 15 20 8
5 18 Heidenheim 9 2 7 1.1 2.1 2 3 4 10 19 9
6 8 Freiburg 8 2 6 2.0 1.2 4 3 1 16 10 15
7 10 M'gladbach 9 3 6 1.3 1.9 2 3 4 12 17 9
8 17 St Pauli 7 1 6 1.1 2.1 2 1 4 8 15 7
9 3 RB Leipzig 8 3 5 2.6 0.8 7 0 1 21 6 21
10 6 Leverkusen 9 4 5 2.1 1.1 5 1 3 19 10 16
11 12 Werder Bremen 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 3 3 2 11 15 12
12 13 FC Koln 8 3 5 1.9 1.8 2 2 4 15 14 8
13 4 Stuttgart 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 6 1 1 12 10 19
14 7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 4 1.9 1.5 4 2 2 15 12 14
15 14 Hamburg 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 4 2 2 13 9 14
16 15 Augsburg 9 5 4 1.1 1.8 3 2 4 10 16 11
17 2 Dortmund 8 5 3 2.0 0.5 6 2 0 16 4 20
18 16 Mainz 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 1 3 5 7 12 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Stuttgart 9 0 9 2.2 1.7 4 1 4 20 15 13
2 1 Bayern Munich 8 0 8 3.4 0.8 7 1 0 27 6 22
3 7 Ein Frankfurt 10 2 8 2.3 2.7 3 4 3 23 27 13
4 6 Leverkusen 7 1 6 2.1 2.0 4 1 2 15 14 13
5 12 Werder Bremen 9 3 6 1.1 2.1 1 3 5 10 19 6
6 15 Augsburg 8 2 6 1.0 2.1 1 1 6 8 17 4
7 16 Mainz 8 2 6 1.2 2.1 1 3 4 10 17 6
8 18 Heidenheim 8 2 6 0.8 2.4 1 0 7 6 19 3
9 8 Freiburg 9 4 5 1.2 2.1 2 2 5 11 19 8
10 11 Wolfsburg 8 3 5 1.4 2.1 3 1 4 11 17 10
11 14 Hamburg 8 3 5 0.5 2.2 0 2 6 4 18 2
12 2 Dortmund 9 5 4 1.8 1.2 4 4 1 16 11 16
13 3 RB Leipzig 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 3 2 3 11 13 11
14 5 Hoffenheim 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 4 3 1 14 9 15
15 10 M'gladbach 8 4 4 1.4 1.5 3 1 4 11 12 10
16 13 FC Koln 9 5 4 1.1 1.7 2 3 4 10 15 9
17 9 Union Berlin 8 5 3 1.0 1.6 3 1 4 8 13 10
18 17 St Pauli 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 1 2 6 6 13 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51