AEK 1–2 Panathinaikos – Greece Super League, 4 May 2025

Match facts

AEK Panathinaikos

15 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 2

16 Fouls 17

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (215 league matches this season so far).

Result AEK to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.95

Expected goals 1.50 – 0.99

Home / Draw / Away

49% 26% 25%

AEKDrawPanathinaikos

Under / Over 2.5 goals

55% 45%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.5% 1–1 12.3% 2–0 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

AEK before this match, all matches

1.77points / match

1.57scored / match

0.83conceded / match

16 5 9

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 47:25

Panathinaikos before this match, all matches

1.87points / match

1.33scored / match

1.00conceded / match

16 8 6

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 40:30

AEK all matches all matches Panathinaikos

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.33

0.83 Goals conceded 1.00

2.40 Total goals 2.33

15.00 Shots 13.43

5.27 Shots on target 6.83

6.10 Shots faced 10.13

6.37 Corners 5.80

1.90 Corners against 3.83

14.10 Fouls 13.77

2.67 Yellow cards 2.57

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.57

0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

53% Wins 53%

17% Draws 27%

30% Losses 20%

93% Over 0.5 goals 93%

67% Over 1.5 goals 63%

43% Over 2.5 goals 40%

20% Over 3.5 goals 27%

13% Over 4.5 goals 7%

3% Over 5.5 goals 3%

33% Both teams scored 53%

47% Clean sheets 37%

27% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 37%

43% Draws 43%

17% Losses 20%

70% Over 0.5 goals 70%

27% Over 1.5 goals 23%

0% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AEK all matches

2

1

W

5

W

2

1

W

3

W

1

L

D

2

3

L

1

3

L

1

L

2

L

Panathinaikos all matches

3

2

W

2

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

2

W

1

D

2

4

L

3

1

W

3

1

W

1

2

L

AEK before this match, at home

2.00points / match

1.93scored / match

0.67conceded / match

9 3 3

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 29:10

Panathinaikos before this match, away

1.33points / match

1.07scored / match

1.33conceded / match

5 5 5

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 16:20

AEK at home away Panathinaikos

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 1.07

0.67 Goals conceded 1.33

2.60 Total goals 2.40

18.00 Shots 11.00

5.60 Shots on target 5.33

5.47 Shots faced 11.40

6.60 Corners 4.80

1.47 Corners against 4.07

13.93 Fouls 13.13

2.13 Yellow cards 2.87

0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.47

0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

60% Wins 33%

20% Draws 33%

20% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 93%

87% Over 1.5 goals 67%

40% Over 2.5 goals 40%

20% Over 3.5 goals 27%

13% Over 4.5 goals 7%

0% Over 5.5 goals 7%

33% Both teams scored 53%

53% Clean sheets 33%

13% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 27%

33% Draws 40%

13% Losses 33%

80% Over 0.5 goals 73%

40% Over 1.5 goals 20%

0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AEK at home

3

W

4

W

1

D

2

W

1

W

5

W

2

1

W

1

L

2

3

L

2

L

Panathinaikos away

2

1

W

1

W

1

W

2

D

1

D

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

2

4

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

AEK all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.25	AEK – Olympiakos	0–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.00	3.50	2.35	1.57
13.04.25	Olympiakos – AEK	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	4.20	2.25	1.62
06.04.25	Panathinaikos – AEK	3–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.00	2.70	2.30	1.60
30.03.25	AEK – PAOK	2–3 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.80
09.03.25	Aris – AEK	0–0 (0–0)	5.50	3.40	1.70	2.10	1.70
02.03.25	AEK – Olympiakos	0–1 (0–0)	2.63	3.10	2.80	2.25	1.58
23.02.25	Asteras Tripolis – AEK	0–3 (0–0)	7.00	3.90	1.50	2.05	1.75
15.02.25	AEK – Atromitos	2–1 (1–1)	1.22	5.50	15.00	1.88	1.98
09.02.25	AEK – Panserraikos	5–0 (2–0)	1.14	8.50	17.00	1.48	2.60
02.02.25	PAOK – AEK	1–2 (0–1)	2.60	3.20	2.70	2.05	1.75

Panathinaikos all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.25	PAOK – Panathinaikos	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.40	4.00	1.98	1.88
13.04.25	Panathinaikos – PAOK	3–1 (2–0)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.05	1.75
06.04.25	Panathinaikos – AEK	3–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.00	2.70	2.30	1.60
30.03.25	Olympiakos – Panathinaikos	4–2 (2–1)	1.69	3.50	5.25	2.20	1.65
09.03.25	Atromitos – Panathinaikos	1–1 (0–0)	4.33	3.50	1.83	2.35	1.57
01.03.25	Panathinaikos – Panetolikos	2–0 (1–0)	1.22	5.50	15.00	1.85	2.00
23.02.25	Lamia – Panathinaikos	3–1 (1–0)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.98	1.88
16.02.25	Panathinaikos – Volos NFC	2–1 (1–0)	1.25	5.50	12.00	1.83	2.03
09.02.25	Aris – Panathinaikos	2–0 (1–0)	4.00	3.40	1.91	2.25	1.62
01.02.25	Panathinaikos – OFI Crete	3–2 (0–2)	1.30	5.00	11.00	1.67	2.15

AEK at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.25	AEK – Olympiakos	0–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.00	3.50	2.35	1.57
30.03.25	AEK – PAOK	2–3 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.80
02.03.25	AEK – Olympiakos	0–1 (0–0)	2.63	3.10	2.80	2.25	1.58
15.02.25	AEK – Atromitos	2–1 (1–1)	1.22	5.50	15.00	1.88	1.98
09.02.25	AEK – Panserraikos	5–0 (2–0)	1.14	8.50	17.00	1.48	2.60
25.01.25	AEK – Panetolikos	1–0 (0–0)	1.17	6.50	19.00	1.65	2.20
12.01.25	AEK – Athens Kallithea	2–0 (1–0)	1.14	8.50	15.00	1.50	2.50
22.12.24	AEK – Levadeiakos	1–1 (0–0)	1.18	6.50	17.00	1.60	2.30
30.11.24	AEK – Aris	4–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.10	7.50	2.03	1.83
09.11.24	AEK – Asteras Tripolis	3–0 (2–0)	1.27	5.25	12.00	1.80	2.00

Panathinaikos away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.25	PAOK – Panathinaikos	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.40	4.00	1.98	1.88
30.03.25	Olympiakos – Panathinaikos	4–2 (2–1)	1.69	3.50	5.25	2.20	1.65
09.03.25	Atromitos – Panathinaikos	1–1 (0–0)	4.33	3.50	1.83	2.35	1.57
23.02.25	Lamia – Panathinaikos	3–1 (1–0)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.98	1.88
09.02.25	Aris – Panathinaikos	2–0 (1–0)	4.00	3.40	1.91	2.25	1.62
26.01.25	Olympiakos – Panathinaikos	1–1 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.50	2.15	1.67
12.01.25	Panserraikos – Panathinaikos	2–2 (0–1)	7.50	4.20	1.44	1.88	1.98
15.12.24	Levadeiakos – Panathinaikos	0–1 (0–0)	8.00	4.20	1.42	2.05	1.80
08.12.24	Asteras Tripolis – Panathinaikos	0–1 (0–0)	5.75	3.40	1.67	2.15	1.67
24.11.24	Panetolikos – Panathinaikos	1–2 (0–1)	5.50	3.50	1.67	2.15	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

5 5 5

AEK winsDrawsPanathinaikos wins

15matches

2.00goals / match

47%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.04.25G1	Panathinaikos – AEK	3–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.00	2.70	2.30	1.60
19.01.25G1	Panathinaikos – AEK	1–0 (1–0)	2.80	3.10	2.70	2.15	1.67
29.09.24G1	AEK – Panathinaikos	2–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	1.83	2.03
24.04.24G1	AEK – Panathinaikos	3–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.30	4.33	1.95	1.90
03.04.24G1	Panathinaikos – AEK	2–1 (2–1)	2.90	3.25	2.50	2.05	1.75
14.01.24G1	AEK – Panathinaikos	2–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.00	2.15	1.67
25.09.23G1	Panathinaikos – AEK	1–2 (1–1)	2.30	3.20	3.30	2.35	1.57
30.04.23G1	Panathinaikos – AEK	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.10	3.00	2.40	1.53
19.03.23G1	AEK – Panathinaikos	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.20	4.75	2.50	1.50
08.01.23G1	AEK – Panathinaikos	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	4.50	2.40	1.53
11.09.22G1	Panathinaikos – AEK	2–1 (2–1)	2.25	3.20	3.40	2.40	1.53
08.05.22G1	AEK – Panathinaikos	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.00	3.60	2.35	1.57
13.03.22G1	Panathinaikos – AEK	1–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.20	1.65
27.02.22G1	Panathinaikos – AEK	3–0 (3–0)	2.60	3.20	2.80	2.15	1.66
05.12.21G1	AEK – Panathinaikos	1–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.20	5.00	2.30	1.60

Greece Super League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Olympiakos	30	21	6	3	53	20	+33	69
2	Panathinaikos	30	16	8	6	40	30	+10	56
3	PAOK	30	17	4	9	59	33	+26	55
4	AEK	30	16	5	9	47	25	+22	53
5	Aris	31	15	8	8	38	30	+8	53
6	Asteras Tripolis	31	13	5	13	33	36	-3	44
7	Atromitos	31	12	6	13	39	37	+2	42
8	Levadeiakos	31	9	11	11	38	36	+2	38
9	Panetolikos	31	10	8	13	23	26	-3	38
10	OFI Crete	31	10	7	14	40	47	-7	37
11	Volos NFC	31	9	6	16	28	44	-16	33
12	Panserraikos	31	9	6	16	35	56	-21	33
13	Athens Kallithea	31	6	10	15	29	47	-18	28
14	Lamia	31	3	8	20	16	51	-35	17

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Olympiakos	15	11	4	0	28	11	+17	37
2	Panathinaikos	15	11	3	1	24	10	+14	36
3	Aris	15	10	3	2	20	8	+12	33
4	AEK	15	9	3	3	29	10	+19	30
5	PAOK	15	8	2	5	29	16	+13	26
6	Asteras Tripolis	16	7	1	8	17	20	-3	22
7	Panserraikos	16	5	6	5	22	25	-3	21
8	Panetolikos	16	6	2	8	13	13	0	20
9	OFI Crete	16	5	4	7	22	25	-3	19
10	Levadeiakos	15	4	5	6	17	18	-1	17
11	Athens Kallithea	15	3	5	7	16	26	-10	14
12	Atromitos	15	3	4	8	14	19	-5	13
13	Volos NFC	16	3	4	9	13	22	-9	13
14	Lamia	15	2	3	10	8	23	-15	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Olympiakos	15	10	2	3	25	9	+16	32
2	PAOK	15	9	2	4	30	17	+13	29
3	Atromitos	16	9	2	5	25	18	+7	29
4	AEK	15	7	2	6	18	15	+3	23
5	Asteras Tripolis	15	6	4	5	16	16	0	22
6	Levadeiakos	16	5	6	5	21	18	+3	21
7	Aris	16	5	5	6	18	22	-4	20
8	Panathinaikos	15	5	5	5	16	20	-4	20
9	Volos NFC	15	6	2	7	15	22	-7	20
10	Panetolikos	15	4	6	5	10	13	-3	18
11	OFI Crete	15	5	3	7	18	22	-4	18
12	Athens Kallithea	16	3	5	8	13	21	-8	14
13	Panserraikos	15	4	0	11	13	31	-18	12
14	Lamia	16	1	5	10	8	28	-20	8

AEK Panathinaikos

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	PAOK	30	9	21	2.0	1.1	17	4	9	59	33	55
2	12	Panserraikos	31	11	20	1.1	1.8	9	6	16	35	56	33
3	10	OFI Crete	31	13	18	1.3	1.5	10	7	14	40	47	37
4	7	Atromitos	31	15	16	1.3	1.2	12	6	13	39	37	42
5	8	Levadeiakos	31	16	15	1.2	1.2	9	11	11	38	36	38
6	13	Athens Kallithea	31	16	15	0.9	1.5	6	10	15	29	47	28
7	1	Olympiakos	30	16	14	1.8	0.7	21	6	3	53	20	69
8	6	Asteras Tripolis	31	17	14	1.1	1.2	13	5	13	33	36	44
9	4	AEK	30	17	13	1.6	0.8	16	5	9	47	25	53
10	11	Volos NFC	31	18	13	0.9	1.4	9	6	16	28	44	33
11	2	Panathinaikos	30	18	12	1.3	1.0	16	8	6	40	30	56
12	14	Lamia	31	20	11	0.5	1.6	3	8	20	16	51	17
13	5	Aris	31	21	10	1.2	1.0	15	8	8	38	30	53
14	9	Panetolikos	31	25	6	0.7	0.8	10	8	13	23	26	38

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	PAOK	15	5	10	1.9	1.1	8	2	5	29	16	26
2	10	OFI Crete	16	6	10	1.4	1.6	5	4	7	22	25	19
3	12	Panserraikos	16	7	9	1.4	1.6	5	6	5	22	25	21
4	13	Athens Kallithea	15	6	9	1.1	1.7	3	5	7	16	26	14
5	1	Olympiakos	15	7	8	1.9	0.7	11	4	0	28	11	37
6	6	Asteras Tripolis	16	8	8	1.1	1.2	7	1	8	17	20	22
7	8	Levadeiakos	15	8	7	1.1	1.2	4	5	6	17	18	17
8	2	Panathinaikos	15	9	6	1.6	0.7	11	3	1	24	10	36
9	4	AEK	15	9	6	1.9	0.7	9	3	3	29	10	30
10	7	Atromitos	15	9	6	0.9	1.3	3	4	8	14	19	13
11	11	Volos NFC	16	10	6	0.8	1.4	3	4	9	13	22	13
12	14	Lamia	15	9	6	0.5	1.5	2	3	10	8	23	9
13	5	Aris	15	11	4	1.3	0.5	10	3	2	20	8	33
14	9	Panetolikos	16	12	4	0.8	0.8	6	2	8	13	13	20

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	PAOK	15	4	11	2.0	1.1	9	2	4	30	17	29
2	12	Panserraikos	15	4	11	0.9	2.1	4	0	11	13	31	12
3	7	Atromitos	16	6	10	1.6	1.1	9	2	5	25	18	29
4	8	Levadeiakos	16	8	8	1.3	1.1	5	6	5	21	18	21
5	10	OFI Crete	15	7	8	1.2	1.5	5	3	7	18	22	18
6	4	AEK	15	8	7	1.2	1.0	7	2	6	18	15	23
7	11	Volos NFC	15	8	7	1.0	1.5	6	2	7	15	22	20
8	1	Olympiakos	15	9	6	1.7	0.6	10	2	3	25	9	32
9	2	Panathinaikos	15	9	6	1.1	1.3	5	5	5	16	20	20
10	5	Aris	16	10	6	1.1	1.4	5	5	6	18	22	20
11	6	Asteras Tripolis	15	9	6	1.1	1.1	6	4	5	16	16	22
12	13	Athens Kallithea	16	10	6	0.8	1.3	3	5	8	13	21	14
13	14	Lamia	16	11	5	0.5	1.8	1	5	10	8	28	8
14	9	Panetolikos	15	13	2	0.7	0.9	4	6	5	10	13	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.