AEK 1–0 Larisa
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
1.19
fair 1.56
Draw
6.00
fair 4.71
Away
10.00
fair 6.78
Under 2.5 ✓
2.15
fair 2.05
Over 2.5
1.67
fair 1.95
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
AEK
Larisa
20
Shots
9
8
Shots on target
2
7
Corners
3
13
Fouls
14
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (162 league matches this season so far).
Result
AEK to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.88
Expected goals
1.93 – 0.80
Home / Draw / Away
64%
21%
15%
AEKDrawLarisa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
49%
51%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
53%
47%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
7%
0
18%
1
24%
2
22%
3
15%
4
14%
5+
Most likely scores
1–0 12.7%
2–0 12.2%
1–1 10.1%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
AEK
before this match, all matches
2.30points / match
1.87scored / match
0.65conceded / match
16
5
2
WonDrawnLost
23 played · 43:15
Larisa
before this match, all matches
0.91points / match
0.91scored / match
1.61conceded / match
4
9
10
WonDrawnLost
23 played · 21:37
AEK all matches
all matches Larisa
Per match
1.87
Goals scored
0.91
0.65
Goals conceded
1.61
2.52
Total goals
2.52
15.09
Shots
11.26
4.70
Shots on target
3.91
8.70
Shots faced
13.09
5.30
Corners
3.57
3.00
Corners against
4.83
16.22
Fouls
16.57
2.74
Yellow cards
3.52
0.61
1st-half goals scored
0.39
0.30
1st-half goals conceded
0.87
How often Full Time
70%
Wins
17%
22%
Draws
39%
9%
Losses
43%
96%
Over 0.5 goals
96%
65%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
39%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
35%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
17%
Over 4.5 goals
9%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
4%
35%
Both teams scored
52%
57%
Clean sheets
22%
13%
Failed to score
30%
How often Half Time
35%
Wins
13%
48%
Draws
35%
17%
Losses
52%
61%
Over 0.5 goals
70%
26%
Over 1.5 goals
39%
4%
Over 2.5 goals
13%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
AEK all matches
5
W
2
1
W
1
1
D
4
W
1
W
1
1
D
4
W
D
4
W
2
2
D
Larisa all matches
3
L
D
1
1
D
1
W
1
W
2
W
1
4
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
3
L
AEK
before this match, at home
2.55points / match
1.91scored / match
0.45conceded / match
9
1
1
WonDrawnLost
11 played · 21:5
Larisa
before this match, away
0.91points / match
0.91scored / match
1.55conceded / match
2
4
5
WonDrawnLost
11 played · 10:17
AEK at home
away Larisa
Per match
1.91
Goals scored
0.91
0.45
Goals conceded
1.55
2.36
Total goals
2.45
16.36
Shots
10.82
5.18
Shots on target
3.82
7.36
Shots faced
14.27
5.18
Corners
3.00
1.91
Corners against
5.00
16.09
Fouls
16.73
2.55
Yellow cards
3.18
0.55
1st-half goals scored
0.36
0.18
1st-half goals conceded
0.73
How often Full Time
82%
Wins
18%
9%
Draws
36%
9%
Losses
45%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
64%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
36%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
27%
Over 3.5 goals
9%
9%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
27%
Both teams scored
45%
64%
Clean sheets
18%
9%
Failed to score
36%
How often Half Time
45%
Wins
18%
36%
Draws
27%
18%
Losses
55%
64%
Over 0.5 goals
73%
9%
Over 1.5 goals
36%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
AEK at home
1
W
1
W
2
L
1
W
1
W
4
1
W
2
1
W
4
W
1
1
D
4
W
Larisa away
2
2
D
1
1
D
2
W
3
L
1
2
L
3
L
1
1
D
2
W
1
1
D
3
L
Last 10 matches before this match
AEK all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.03.26 | Volos NFC – AEK | 2–2 (1–1) | 11.00 | 5.00 | 1.24 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 22.02.26 | AEK – Levadeiakos | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.42 | 4.10 | 8.00 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 15.02.26 | PAOK – AEK | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.02.26 | Panserraikos – AEK | 0–4 (0–0) | 12.00 | 7.00 | 1.17 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 01.02.26 | AEK – Olympiakos | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 24.01.26 | Asteras Tripolis – AEK | 0–1 (0–1) | 7.00 | 3.90 | 1.49 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 18.01.26 | AEK – Panathinaikos | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.96 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 11.01.26 | Aris – AEK | 1–1 (1–1) | 5.25 | 3.70 | 1.62 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 21.12.25 | AEK – OFI Crete | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.11 | 7.50 | 15.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 14.12.25 | Panetolikos – AEK | 0–5 (0–2) | 7.00 | 4.33 | 1.41 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
Larisa all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26 | OFI Crete – Larisa | 3–0 (2–0) | 2.57 | 3.00 | 2.85 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 22.02.26 | Larisa – PAOK | 1–1 (0–1) | 10.00 | 4.50 | 1.30 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 15.02.26 | Panathinaikos – Larisa | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.30 | 4.75 | 10.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 07.02.26 | Larisa – Panetolikos | 1–4 (1–3) | 1.68 | 3.40 | 5.25 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 31.01.26 | Volos NFC – Larisa | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 24.01.26 | Larisa – Panserraikos | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.71 | 3.30 | 5.00 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 18.01.26 | Larisa – Aris | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.75 | 3.00 | 2.15 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 10.01.26 | Kifisia – Larisa | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.61 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 21.12.25 | Larisa – Atromitos | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.70 | 2.95 | 2.70 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 13.12.25 | Levadeiakos – Larisa | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.37 | 4.50 | 8.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
AEK at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.02.26 | AEK – Levadeiakos | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.42 | 4.10 | 8.00 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 01.02.26 | AEK – Olympiakos | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 18.01.26 | AEK – Panathinaikos | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.96 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 21.12.25 | AEK – OFI Crete | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.11 | 7.50 | 15.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 07.12.25 | AEK – Atromitos | 4–1 (1–0) | 1.24 | 5.25 | 13.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 23.11.25 | AEK – Aris | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.42 | 4.33 | 7.00 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 02.11.25 | AEK – Panetolikos | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.17 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 19.10.25 | AEK – PAOK | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.05 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 28.09.25 | AEK – Volos NFC | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.22 | 6.50 | 10.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 31.08.25 | AEK – Asteras Tripolis | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Larisa away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26 | OFI Crete – Larisa | 3–0 (2–0) | 2.57 | 3.00 | 2.85 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 15.02.26 | Panathinaikos – Larisa | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.30 | 4.75 | 10.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 31.01.26 | Volos NFC – Larisa | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 10.01.26 | Kifisia – Larisa | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.61 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 13.12.25 | Levadeiakos – Larisa | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.37 | 4.50 | 8.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 29.11.25 | Aris – Larisa | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.57 | 3.60 | 6.00 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.25 | Panetolikos – Larisa | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 25.10.25 | Panserraikos – Larisa | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.05 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 29.09.25 | Atromitos – Larisa | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 14.09.25 | Asteras Tripolis – Larisa | 2–2 (2–0) | 1.86 | 3.20 | 4.33 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
1
AEK winsDrawsLarisa wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.09.25G1 | Larisa – AEK | 1–1 (0–0) | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.37 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
Greece Super League table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PAOK | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 48 | 15 | +33 | 53 |
| 2 | Olympiakos | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 11 | +31 | 53 |
| 3 | AEK | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 15 | +28 | 53 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 24 | +14 | 42 |
| 5 | Levadeiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 30 | +19 | 39 |
| 6 | Aris | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 29 |
| 7 | Atromitos | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 28 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 28 |
| 9 | Volos NFC | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | Larisa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 55 | -40 | 12 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PAOK | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 3 | +21 | 32 |
| 2 | Olympiakos | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 5 | +19 | 28 |
| 3 | AEK | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 27 |
| 5 | Levadeiakos | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 11 | +19 | 23 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Aris | 12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Volos NFC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Larisa | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 11 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | Panetolikos | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 | Olympiakos | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 | PAOK | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Atromitos | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 18 |
| 5 | Levadeiakos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Aris | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
| 8 | Panetolikos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 12 |
| 9 | Volos NFC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 | Larisa | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | OFI Crete | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 5 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 2 |
AEK Larisa
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | OFI Crete | 23 | 5 | 18 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 41 | 28 |
| 2 | 5 | Levadeiakos | 23 | 8 | 15 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 39 |
| 3 | 14 | Panserraikos | 23 | 8 | 15 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 55 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | PAOK | 23 | 10 | 13 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 48 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 | 10 | Kifisia | 23 | 10 | 13 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 24 |
| 6 | 4 | Panathinaikos | 23 | 11 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 42 |
| 7 | 9 | Volos NFC | 23 | 12 | 11 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 34 | 27 |
| 8 | 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 23 | 12 | 11 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 37 | 16 |
| 9 | 7 | Atromitos | 24 | 14 | 10 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 27 | 28 |
| 10 | 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 13 | 10 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 37 | 21 |
| 11 | 2 | Olympiakos | 23 | 14 | 9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 11 | 53 |
| 12 | 3 | AEK | 23 | 14 | 9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 15 | 53 |
| 13 | 12 | Larisa | 23 | 14 | 9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 37 | 21 |
| 14 | 6 | Aris | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 29 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Levadeiakos | 11 | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | 8 | OFI Crete | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
| 3 | 11 | Panetolikos | 11 | 3 | 8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | Panathinaikos | 12 | 5 | 7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | 14 | Panserraikos | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | PAOK | 12 | 6 | 6 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 32 |
| 7 | 10 | Kifisia | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
| 8 | 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | Olympiakos | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 28 |
| 10 | 7 | Atromitos | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | Volos NFC | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | 3 | AEK | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 28 |
| 13 | 12 | Larisa | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | 6 | Aris | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 15 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | OFI Crete | 11 | 1 | 10 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 10 |
| 2 | 14 | Panserraikos | 11 | 3 | 8 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | PAOK | 11 | 4 | 7 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | 5 | Levadeiakos | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 16 |
| 5 | 10 | Kifisia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | Volos NFC | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | AEK | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | 4 | Panathinaikos | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 9 | 6 | Aris | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 14 |
| 10 | 7 | Atromitos | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 18 |
| 11 | 12 | Larisa | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | Olympiakos | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 25 |
| 14 | 11 | Panetolikos | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40
