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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Fiorentina 4–3 Milan

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 3.10 fair 2.65
Draw 3.50 fair 4.17
Away 2.25 fair 2.61
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.87 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Fiorentina Milan
9 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 6
6 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (122 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
FiorentinaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 1–2 8.4% 2–1 8.4%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.33scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:14
Milan before this match, all matches
2.67points / match
2.17scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 26:11
Fiorentina all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 2.17
1.17 Goals conceded 0.92
2.50 Total goals 3.08
12.42 Shots 14.08
4.50 Shots on target 4.25
8.58 Shots faced 11.17
5.08 Corners 3.92
3.92 Corners against 4.83
13.08 Fouls 13.08
3.17 Yellow cards 2.08
0.67 1st-half goals scored 1.08
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

50% Wins 83%
0% Draws 17%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
50% Both teams scored 67%
25% Clean sheets 33%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 58%
33% Draws 25%
17% Losses 17%
75% Over 0.5 goals 83%
17% Over 1.5 goals 42%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches
Milan all matches
Fiorentina before this match, at home
1.80points / match
2.00scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:6
Milan before this match, away
2.67points / match
2.17scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 13:7
Fiorentina at home away Milan

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.17
1.20 Goals conceded 1.17
3.20 Total goals 3.33
16.40 Shots 12.83
6.60 Shots on target 4.83
7.80 Shots faced 13.00
5.20 Corners 3.17
3.60 Corners against 5.50
12.00 Fouls 13.83
2.60 Yellow cards 3.00
1.20 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.17

How often Full Time

60% Wins 83%
0% Draws 17%
40% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 83%
100% Over 2.5 goals 67%
20% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
60% Both teams scored 83%
40% Clean sheets 17%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

80% Wins 67%
20% Draws 17%
0% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
40% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 6 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.21 Juventus – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.72 2.10
31.10.21 Fiorentina – Spezia 3–0 (1–0) 1.534.505.75 1.61 2.30
27.10.21 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 1.72 2.10
24.10.21 Fiorentina – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 1.72 2.10
18.10.21 Venezia – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.83 1.90 1.90
03.10.21 Fiorentina – Napoli 1–2 (1–1) 3.903.501.95 1.72 2.10
26.09.21 Udinese – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 1.90 1.90
21.09.21 Fiorentina – Inter 1–3 (1–0) 3.753.601.90 1.72 2.10
18.09.21 Genoa – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 1.90 1.90
11.09.21 Atalanta – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–1) 1.554.335.50 1.53 2.50

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.11.21 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 1.66 2.20
31.10.21 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.72 2.10
26.10.21 Milan – Torino 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 1.72 2.10
23.10.21 Bologna – Milan 2–4 (0–2) 3.353.602.10 1.72 2.10
16.10.21 Milan – Verona 3–2 (0–2) 1.554.205.75 1.61 2.30
03.10.21 Atalanta – Milan 2–3 (0–2) 2.053.753.40 1.66 2.20
25.09.21 Spezia – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 7.004.501.45 1.57 2.37
22.09.21 Milan – Venezia 2–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.44 2.75
19.09.21 Juventus – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.72 2.10
12.09.21 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.603.10 1.66 2.20

Fiorentina at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.10.21 Fiorentina – Spezia 3–0 (1–0) 1.534.505.75 1.61 2.30
24.10.21 Fiorentina – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 1.72 2.10
03.10.21 Fiorentina – Napoli 1–2 (1–1) 3.903.501.95 1.72 2.10
21.09.21 Fiorentina – Inter 1–3 (1–0) 3.753.601.90 1.72 2.10
28.08.21 Fiorentina – Torino 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 1.80 2.00

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.10.21 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.72 2.10
23.10.21 Bologna – Milan 2–4 (0–2) 3.353.602.10 1.72 2.10
03.10.21 Atalanta – Milan 2–3 (0–2) 2.053.753.40 1.66 2.20
25.09.21 Spezia – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 7.004.501.45 1.57 2.37
19.09.21 Juventus – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.72 2.10
23.08.21 Sampdoria – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.90 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Italy Serie A table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 12 10 2 0 24 4 +20 32
2 Milan 12 10 2 0 26 11 +15 32
3 Inter 12 7 4 1 29 13 +16 25
4 Atalanta 13 7 4 2 27 17 +10 25
5 Lazio 13 6 3 4 25 21 +4 21
6 Juventus 13 6 3 4 18 15 +3 21
7 Roma 12 6 1 5 21 15 +6 19
8 Fiorentina 12 6 0 6 16 14 +2 18
9 Bologna 12 5 3 4 19 23 -4 18
10 Verona 12 4 4 4 25 21 +4 16
11 Empoli 12 5 1 6 18 23 -5 16
12 Torino 12 4 2 6 15 12 +3 14
13 Sassuolo 12 4 2 6 17 18 -1 14
14 Udinese 12 3 5 4 15 18 -3 14
15 Venezia 12 3 3 6 11 19 -8 12
16 Spezia 13 3 2 8 15 31 -16 11
17 Genoa 12 1 6 5 17 24 -7 9
18 Sampdoria 12 2 3 7 15 25 -10 9
19 Salernitana 12 2 1 9 10 26 -16 7
20 Cagliari 12 1 3 8 13 26 -13 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lazio 7 5 1 1 18 8 +10 16
2 Milan 6 5 1 0 13 4 +9 16
3 Napoli 6 5 1 0 11 2 +9 16
4 Bologna 6 4 1 1 13 8 +5 13
5 Roma 6 4 1 1 9 4 +5 13
6 Verona 6 4 0 2 16 10 +6 12
7 Inter 5 3 2 0 15 4 +11 11
8 Torino 6 3 1 2 12 6 +6 10
9 Juventus 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10
10 Fiorentina 5 3 0 2 10 6 +4 9
11 Atalanta 7 2 3 2 13 11 +2 9
12 Udinese 7 2 3 2 10 11 -1 9
13 Venezia 5 2 1 2 7 7 0 7
14 Sassuolo 6 2 1 3 6 6 0 7
15 Spezia 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
16 Cagliari 7 1 2 4 10 13 -3 5
17 Sampdoria 7 1 2 4 9 16 -7 5
18 Salernitana 6 1 1 4 5 12 -7 4
19 Empoli 7 1 1 5 9 18 -9 4
20 Genoa 5 0 3 2 7 9 -2 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 6 5 1 0 13 2 +11 16
2 Atalanta 6 5 1 0 14 6 +8 16
3 Milan 6 5 1 0 13 7 +6 16
4 Inter 7 4 2 1 14 9 +5 14
5 Empoli 5 4 0 1 9 5 +4 12
6 Juventus 7 3 2 2 11 9 +2 11
7 Fiorentina 7 3 0 4 6 8 -2 9
8 Sassuolo 6 2 1 3 11 12 -1 7
9 Roma 6 2 0 4 12 11 +1 6
10 Genoa 7 1 3 3 10 15 -5 6
11 Udinese 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
12 Lazio 6 1 2 3 7 13 -6 5
13 Venezia 7 1 2 4 4 12 -8 5
14 Bologna 6 1 2 3 6 15 -9 5
15 Verona 6 0 4 2 9 11 -2 4
16 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 4
17 Torino 6 1 1 4 3 6 -3 4
18 Spezia 7 1 1 5 8 23 -15 4
19 Salernitana 6 1 0 5 5 14 -9 3
20 Cagliari 5 0 1 4 3 13 -10 1

Fiorentina   Milan

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Atalanta 13 3 10 2.1 1.3 7 4 2 27 17 25
2 16 Spezia 13 3 10 1.2 2.4 3 2 8 15 31 11
3 18 Sampdoria 12 2 10 1.2 2.1 2 3 7 15 25 9
4 5 Lazio 13 4 9 1.9 1.6 6 3 4 25 21 21
5 10 Verona 12 3 9 2.1 1.8 4 4 4 25 21 16
6 13 Sassuolo 12 3 9 1.4 1.5 4 2 6 17 18 14
7 17 Genoa 12 3 9 1.4 2.0 1 6 5 17 24 9
8 3 Inter 12 4 8 2.4 1.1 7 4 1 29 13 25
9 7 Roma 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 6 1 5 21 15 19
10 8 Fiorentina 12 4 8 1.3 1.2 6 0 6 16 14 18
11 9 Bologna 12 4 8 1.6 1.9 5 3 4 19 23 18
12 11 Empoli 12 4 8 1.5 1.9 5 1 6 18 23 16
13 19 Salernitana 12 4 8 0.8 2.2 2 1 9 10 26 7
14 20 Cagliari 12 4 8 1.1 2.2 1 3 8 13 26 6
15 1 Napoli 12 6 6 2.0 0.3 10 2 0 24 4 32
16 2 Milan 12 6 6 2.2 0.9 10 2 0 26 11 32
17 6 Juventus 13 7 6 1.4 1.2 6 3 4 18 15 21
18 15 Venezia 12 6 6 0.9 1.6 3 3 6 11 19 12
19 12 Torino 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 4 2 6 15 12 14
20 14 Udinese 12 7 5 1.2 1.5 3 5 4 15 18 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Verona 6 0 6 2.7 1.7 4 0 2 16 10 12
2 11 Empoli 7 1 6 1.3 2.6 1 1 5 9 18 4
3 18 Sampdoria 7 1 6 1.3 2.3 1 2 4 9 16 5
4 4 Atalanta 7 2 5 1.9 1.6 2 3 2 13 11 9
5 5 Lazio 7 2 5 2.6 1.1 5 1 1 18 8 16
6 8 Fiorentina 5 0 5 2.0 1.2 3 0 2 10 6 9
7 20 Cagliari 7 2 5 1.4 1.9 1 2 4 10 13 5
8 9 Bologna 6 2 4 2.2 1.3 4 1 1 13 8 13
9 12 Torino 6 2 4 2.0 1.0 3 1 2 12 6 10
10 14 Udinese 7 3 4 1.4 1.6 2 3 2 10 11 9
11 17 Genoa 5 1 4 1.4 1.8 0 3 2 7 9 3
12 3 Inter 5 2 3 3.0 0.8 3 2 0 15 4 11
13 7 Roma 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 4 1 1 9 4 13
14 13 Sassuolo 6 3 3 1.0 1.0 2 1 3 6 6 7
15 15 Venezia 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 2 1 2 7 7 7
16 16 Spezia 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
17 19 Salernitana 6 3 3 0.8 2.0 1 1 4 5 12 4
18 1 Napoli 6 4 2 1.8 0.3 5 1 0 11 2 16
19 2 Milan 6 4 2 2.2 0.7 5 1 0 13 4 16
20 6 Juventus 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Spezia 7 0 7 1.1 3.3 1 1 5 8 23 4
2 13 Sassuolo 6 0 6 1.8 2.0 2 1 3 11 12 7
3 3 Inter 7 2 5 2.0 1.3 4 2 1 14 9 14
4 4 Atalanta 6 1 5 2.3 1.0 5 1 0 14 6 16
5 7 Roma 6 1 5 2.0 1.8 2 0 4 12 11 6
6 17 Genoa 7 2 5 1.4 2.1 1 3 3 10 15 6
7 19 Salernitana 6 1 5 0.8 2.3 1 0 5 5 14 3
8 1 Napoli 6 2 4 2.2 0.3 5 1 0 13 2 16
9 2 Milan 6 2 4 2.2 1.2 5 1 0 13 7 16
10 5 Lazio 6 2 4 1.2 2.2 1 2 3 7 13 5
11 6 Juventus 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 3 2 2 11 9 11
12 9 Bologna 6 2 4 1.0 2.5 1 2 3 6 15 5
13 18 Sampdoria 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 1 1 3 6 9 4
14 8 Fiorentina 7 4 3 0.9 1.1 3 0 4 6 8 9
15 10 Verona 6 3 3 1.5 1.8 0 4 2 9 11 4
16 15 Venezia 7 4 3 0.6 1.7 1 2 4 4 12 5
17 20 Cagliari 5 2 3 0.6 2.6 0 1 4 3 13 1
18 11 Empoli 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 4 0 1 9 5 12
19 12 Torino 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 4 3 6 4
20 14 Udinese 5 4 1 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51