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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 3–2 Inter

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.80 fair 2.12
Draw 3.25 fair 4.14
Away 2.60 fair 3.49
Under 2.5 2.02 fair 2.25
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Inter
21 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 5
10 Fouls 12
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (41 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.66 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawInter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.75scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:3
Inter before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
2.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 9:5
Milan all matches all matches Inter

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 2.25
0.75 Goals conceded 1.25
2.50 Total goals 3.50
15.25 Shots 18.75
5.25 Shots on target 7.75
9.00 Shots faced 8.50
6.00 Corners 7.00
2.25 Corners against 4.50
12.00 Fouls 12.00
2.00 Yellow cards 0.75
0.75 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

50% Wins 75%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
25% Over 2.5 goals 100%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 75%
50% Draws 0%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Inter all matches
Milan before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 6:2
Inter before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:4
Milan at home away Inter

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
4.00 Total goals 3.50
16.50 Shots 19.00
6.00 Shots on target 8.00
8.50 Shots faced 10.50
5.00 Corners 6.00
1.00 Corners against 4.00
14.50 Fouls 15.50
1.50 Yellow cards 1.50
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
50% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Inter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.22 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
27.08.22 Milan – Bologna 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.61 2.30
21.08.22 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
13.08.22 Milan – Udinese 4–2 (2–2) 1.444.757.00 1.72 2.10
22.05.22 Sassuolo – Milan 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.751.45 1.50 2.62
15.05.22 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37
08.05.22 Verona – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 4.334.201.70 1.72 2.10
01.05.22 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.72 2.10
24.04.22 Lazio – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.91 1.99
15.04.22 Milan – Genoa 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.0011.00 1.80 2.00

Inter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.22 Inter – Cremonese 3–1 (2–0) 1.148.0021.00 1.30 3.50
26.08.22 Lazio – Inter 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.801.83 1.66 2.20
20.08.22 Inter – Spezia 3–0 (1–0) 1.168.0015.00 1.30 3.50
13.08.22 Lecce – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 10.005.751.28 1.57 2.37
22.05.22 Inter – Sampdoria 3–0 (0–0) 1.148.0019.00 1.28 3.75
15.05.22 Cagliari – Inter 1–3 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.50 2.62
06.05.22 Inter – Empoli 4–2 (2–2) 1.149.0015.00 1.28 3.75
01.05.22 Udinese – Inter 1–2 (0–2) 6.004.201.55 1.66 2.20
27.04.22 Bologna – Inter 2–1 (1–1) 7.005.001.40 1.57 2.37
23.04.22 Inter – Roma 3–1 (2–0) 1.614.005.50 1.72 2.10

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22 Milan – Bologna 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.61 2.30
13.08.22 Milan – Udinese 4–2 (2–2) 1.444.757.00 1.72 2.10
15.05.22 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37
01.05.22 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.72 2.10
15.04.22 Milan – Genoa 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.0011.00 1.80 2.00
04.04.22 Milan – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.508.50 1.72 2.10
12.03.22 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.257.50 1.53 2.50
25.02.22 Milan – Udinese 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.007.00 1.94 1.96
13.02.22 Milan – Sampdoria 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.66 2.20
23.01.22 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.302.70 1.99 1.91

Inter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.22 Lazio – Inter 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.801.83 1.66 2.20
13.08.22 Lecce – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 10.005.751.28 1.57 2.37
15.05.22 Cagliari – Inter 1–3 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.50 2.62
01.05.22 Udinese – Inter 1–2 (0–2) 6.004.201.55 1.66 2.20
27.04.22 Bologna – Inter 2–1 (1–1) 7.005.001.40 1.57 2.37
15.04.22 Spezia – Inter 1–3 (0–1) 9.505.501.30 1.61 2.30
03.04.22 Juventus – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 2.04 1.86
13.03.22 Torino – Inter 1–1 (1–0) 5.503.601.66 1.85 2.05
25.02.22 Genoa – Inter 0–0 (0–0) 9.005.251.33 1.61 2.30
12.02.22 Napoli – Inter 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.402.55 1.90 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsInter wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.02.22I1 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.66 2.20
07.11.21I1 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 4 3 1 0 7 2 +5 10
2 Roma 4 3 1 0 6 1 +5 10
3 Juventus 5 2 3 0 7 2 +5 9
4 Inter 4 3 0 1 9 5 +4 9
5 Napoli 4 2 2 0 10 3 +7 8
6 Milan 4 2 2 0 7 3 +4 8
7 Lazio 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
8 Torino 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
9 Udinese 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
10 Fiorentina 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6
11 Salernitana 4 1 2 1 5 2 +3 5
12 Sassuolo 4 1 2 1 3 5 -2 5
13 Spezia 4 1 1 2 3 7 -4 4
14 Empoli 4 0 3 1 2 3 -1 3
15 Lecce 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
16 Bologna 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
17 Verona 4 0 2 2 4 8 -4 2
18 Sampdoria 4 0 2 2 1 7 -6 2
19 Cremonese 4 0 0 4 4 9 -5 0
20 Monza 4 0 0 4 2 11 -9 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 3 2 1 0 6 1 +5 7
2 Inter 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6
3 Milan 2 2 0 0 6 2 +4 6
4 Roma 2 2 0 0 4 0 +4 6
5 Lazio 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
6 Fiorentina 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
7 Napoli 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
8 Atalanta 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
9 Spezia 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
10 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
11 Udinese 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
12 Salernitana 2 1 0 1 4 1 +3 3
13 Bologna 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
14 Empoli 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
15 Sampdoria 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
16 Torino 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
17 Lecce 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
18 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
19 Monza 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
20 Verona 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
2 Torino 3 2 0 1 5 5 0 6
3 Napoli 2 1 1 0 5 2 +3 4
4 Roma 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
5 Udinese 2 1 0 1 4 5 -1 3
6 Inter 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
7 Verona 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
8 Juventus 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
9 Lazio 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
10 Milan 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
11 Salernitana 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
12 Empoli 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
13 Lecce 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
14 Fiorentina 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
15 Sassuolo 2 0 1 1 2 5 -3 1
16 Bologna 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
17 Cremonese 3 0 0 3 3 7 -4 0
18 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0
19 Spezia 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
20 Monza 2 0 0 2 0 7 -7 0

Milan   Inter

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 3 0 1 9 5 9
2 20 Monza 4 0 4 0.5 2.8 0 0 4 2 11 0
3 8 Torino 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
4 19 Cremonese 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 0 0 4 4 9 0
5 5 Napoli 4 2 2 2.5 0.8 2 2 0 10 3 8
6 7 Lazio 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
7 9 Udinese 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
8 12 Sassuolo 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 1 3 5 5
9 13 Spezia 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 1 2 3 7 4
10 1 Atalanta 4 3 1 1.8 0.5 3 1 0 7 2 10
11 2 Roma 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 3 1 0 6 1 10
12 3 Juventus 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 2 3 0 7 2 9
13 6 Milan 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 2 2 0 7 3 8
14 10 Fiorentina 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6
15 11 Salernitana 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 1 2 1 5 2 5
16 15 Lecce 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
17 16 Bologna 4 3 1 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
18 17 Verona 4 3 1 1.0 2.0 0 2 2 4 8 2
19 18 Sampdoria 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 2 2 1 7 2
20 14 Empoli 4 4 0 0.5 0.8 0 3 1 2 3 3
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 2 0 2 3.0 0.5 2 0 0 6 1 6
2 7 Lazio 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
3 20 Monza 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
4 1 Atalanta 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
5 2 Roma 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 2 0 0 4 0 6
6 3 Juventus 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 2 1 0 6 1 7
7 5 Napoli 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 1 0 5 1 4
8 6 Milan 2 1 1 3.0 1.0 2 0 0 6 2 6
9 10 Fiorentina 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
10 11 Salernitana 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 0 1 4 1 3
11 13 Spezia 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
12 15 Lecce 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
13 17 Verona 2 1 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
14 19 Cremonese 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
15 8 Torino 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
16 9 Udinese 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
17 12 Sassuolo 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
18 14 Empoli 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
19 16 Bologna 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
20 18 Sampdoria 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Torino 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 2 0 1 5 5 6
2 4 Inter 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
3 9 Udinese 2 0 2 2.0 2.5 1 0 1 4 5 3
4 12 Sassuolo 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 1 1 2 5 1
5 19 Cremonese 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 0 3 3 7 0
6 20 Monza 2 0 2 0.0 3.5 0 0 2 0 7 0
7 5 Napoli 2 1 1 2.5 1.0 1 1 0 5 2 4
8 13 Spezia 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
9 16 Bologna 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
10 18 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0
11 1 Atalanta 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
12 2 Roma 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
13 3 Juventus 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
14 6 Milan 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
15 7 Lazio 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
16 10 Fiorentina 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
17 11 Salernitana 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
18 14 Empoli 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
19 15 Lecce 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
20 17 Verona 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51