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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 1–0 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 2.09
Draw 3.50 fair 3.82
Away 4.00 fair 3.84
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 1.92 fair 2.20

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Fiorentina
10 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
1 Corners 5
12 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (77 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 12.2% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
2.43points / match
1.57scored / match
0.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:3
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.00scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:6
Atalanta all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.00
0.43 Goals conceded 0.86
2.00 Total goals 1.86
11.14 Shots 16.14
4.29 Shots on target 5.14
12.86 Shots faced 8.86
4.57 Corners 7.71
4.29 Corners against 3.14
13.57 Fouls 12.29
3.43 Yellow cards 2.29
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

71% Wins 29%
29% Draws 43%
0% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 71%
71% Over 1.5 goals 57%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%
14% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 43%
57% Clean sheets 43%
0% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 29%
43% Draws 57%
0% Losses 14%
57% Over 0.5 goals 57%
0% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:3
Fiorentina before this match, away
0.33points / match
0.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:3
Atalanta at home away Fiorentina

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.33
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.67 Total goals 1.33
12.33 Shots 14.67
4.33 Shots on target 2.00
11.00 Shots faced 8.00
4.67 Corners 8.00
3.67 Corners against 3.33
12.67 Fouls 11.00
2.33 Yellow cards 3.00
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
67% Draws 33%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
100% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 33%
0% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 0%
33% Draws 67%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 33%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.22 Roma – Atalanta 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.50 1.87 2.03
11.09.22 Atalanta – Cremonese 1–1 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.57 2.37
05.09.22 Monza – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 5.754.201.57 1.66 2.20
01.09.22 Atalanta – Torino 3–1 (1–0) 1.723.755.25 1.72 2.10
28.08.22 Verona – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.66 2.20
21.08.22 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
13.08.22 Sampdoria – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.901.75 1.72 2.10
21.05.22 Atalanta – Empoli 0–1 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.25 4.00
15.05.22 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37
08.05.22 Spezia – Atalanta 1–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.45 1.53 2.50

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.22 Fiorentina – Verona 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.804.50 1.80 2.00
11.09.22 Bologna – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 2.903.402.45 1.96 1.94
03.09.22 Fiorentina – Juventus 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 2.10 1.72
31.08.22 Udinese – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.502.50 1.80 2.00
28.08.22 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 3.253.602.15 1.66 2.20
21.08.22 Empoli – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.801.90 1.66 2.20
14.08.22 Fiorentina – Cremonese 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.008.50 1.66 2.20
21.05.22 Fiorentina – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.66 2.20
16.05.22 Sampdoria – Fiorentina 4–1 (2–0) 3.753.801.90 1.72 2.10
09.05.22 Fiorentina – Roma 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.00 1.91 1.99

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.09.22 Atalanta – Cremonese 1–1 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.57 2.37
01.09.22 Atalanta – Torino 3–1 (1–0) 1.723.755.25 1.72 2.10
21.08.22 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
21.05.22 Atalanta – Empoli 0–1 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.25 4.00
02.05.22 Atalanta – Salernitana 1–1 (0–1) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.62
27.04.22 Atalanta – Torino 4–4 (2–2) 1.604.005.75 1.80 2.00
18.04.22 Atalanta – Verona 1–2 (0–1) 1.654.105.00 1.66 2.20
03.04.22 Atalanta – Napoli 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.303.00 1.94 1.96
13.03.22 Atalanta – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.80 2.00
28.02.22 Atalanta – Sampdoria 4–0 (2–0) 1.445.006.50 1.66 2.20

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.09.22 Bologna – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 2.903.402.45 1.96 1.94
31.08.22 Udinese – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.502.50 1.80 2.00
21.08.22 Empoli – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.801.90 1.66 2.20
16.05.22 Sampdoria – Fiorentina 4–1 (2–0) 3.753.801.90 1.72 2.10
01.05.22 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.72 2.10
24.04.22 Salernitana – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 5.503.801.66 1.72 2.10
10.04.22 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–3 (0–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
19.03.22 Inter – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.506.50 1.61 2.30
26.02.22 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.602.45 1.61 2.30
14.02.22 Spezia – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.72 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsFiorentina wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.02.22I1 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 1.72 2.10
11.09.21I1 Atalanta – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–1) 1.554.335.50 1.53 2.50

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 8 6 2 0 18 6 +12 20
2 Lazio 8 5 2 1 17 5 +12 17
3 Atalanta 7 5 2 0 11 3 +8 17
4 Milan 8 5 2 1 16 9 +7 17
5 Udinese 7 5 1 1 15 7 +8 16
6 Roma 8 5 1 2 10 8 +2 16
7 Sassuolo 8 3 3 2 10 8 +2 12
8 Inter 8 4 0 4 14 13 +1 12
9 Juventus 7 2 4 1 9 5 +4 10
10 Torino 8 3 1 4 7 10 -3 10
11 Fiorentina 7 2 3 2 7 6 +1 9
12 Spezia 8 2 2 4 7 15 -8 8
13 Lecce 8 1 4 3 7 9 -2 7
14 Salernitana 8 1 4 3 10 13 -3 7
15 Empoli 8 1 4 3 7 10 -3 7
16 Monza 8 2 1 5 7 14 -7 7
17 Bologna 7 1 3 3 7 10 -3 6
18 Verona 7 1 2 4 6 13 -7 5
19 Cremonese 8 0 3 5 6 15 -9 3
20 Sampdoria 8 0 2 6 4 16 -12 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lazio 5 4 0 1 12 4 +8 12
2 Napoli 4 3 1 0 9 2 +7 10
3 Udinese 4 3 1 0 8 1 +7 10
4 Inter 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
5 Milan 4 3 0 1 10 6 +4 9
6 Juventus 4 2 2 0 8 3 +5 8
7 Fiorentina 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
8 Spezia 4 2 2 0 7 5 +2 8
9 Sassuolo 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
10 Roma 3 2 0 1 4 1 +3 6
11 Atalanta 3 1 2 0 5 3 +2 5
12 Bologna 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
13 Salernitana 4 1 1 2 7 5 +2 4
14 Torino 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 4
15 Lecce 4 0 3 1 4 5 -1 3
16 Verona 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
17 Monza 4 1 0 3 3 6 -3 3
18 Empoli 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
19 Sampdoria 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2
20 Cremonese 3 0 1 2 1 6 -5 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 4 4 0 0 6 0 +6 12
2 Napoli 4 3 1 0 9 4 +5 10
3 Roma 5 3 1 1 6 7 -1 10
4 Milan 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
5 Udinese 3 2 0 1 7 6 +1 6
6 Torino 5 2 0 3 6 9 -3 6
7 Lazio 3 1 2 0 5 1 +4 5
8 Empoli 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
9 Sassuolo 4 1 2 1 3 5 -2 5
10 Lecce 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 4
11 Monza 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
12 Inter 4 1 0 3 6 10 -4 3
13 Salernitana 4 0 3 1 3 8 -5 3
14 Juventus 3 0 2 1 1 2 -1 2
15 Cremonese 5 0 2 3 5 9 -4 2
16 Verona 4 0 2 2 2 6 -4 2
17 Fiorentina 3 0 1 2 1 3 -2 1
18 Bologna 3 0 1 2 3 6 -3 1
19 Sampdoria 3 0 0 3 2 8 -6 0
20 Spezia 4 0 0 4 0 10 -10 0

Atalanta   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Inter 8 1 7 1.8 1.6 4 0 4 14 13 12
2 1 Napoli 8 3 5 2.2 0.8 6 2 0 18 6 20
3 2 Lazio 8 3 5 2.1 0.6 5 2 1 17 5 17
4 4 Milan 8 3 5 2.0 1.1 5 2 1 16 9 17
5 5 Udinese 7 2 5 2.1 1.0 5 1 1 15 7 16
6 12 Spezia 8 3 5 0.9 1.9 2 2 4 7 15 8
7 14 Salernitana 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 1 4 3 10 13 7
8 16 Monza 8 3 5 0.9 1.8 2 1 5 7 14 7
9 20 Sampdoria 8 3 5 0.5 2.0 0 2 6 4 16 2
10 6 Roma 8 4 4 1.2 1.0 5 1 2 10 8 16
11 7 Sassuolo 8 4 4 1.2 1.0 3 3 2 10 8 12
12 10 Torino 8 4 4 0.9 1.2 3 1 4 7 10 10
13 19 Cremonese 8 4 4 0.8 1.9 0 3 5 6 15 3
14 15 Empoli 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 1 4 3 7 10 7
15 17 Bologna 7 4 3 1.0 1.4 1 3 3 7 10 6
16 9 Juventus 7 5 2 1.3 0.7 2 4 1 9 5 10
17 11 Fiorentina 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 2 3 2 7 6 9
18 13 Lecce 8 6 2 0.9 1.1 1 4 3 7 9 7
19 18 Verona 7 5 2 0.9 1.9 1 2 4 6 13 5
20 3 Atalanta 7 6 1 1.6 0.4 5 2 0 11 3 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Lazio 5 1 4 2.4 0.8 4 0 1 12 4 12
2 4 Milan 4 1 3 2.5 1.5 3 0 1 10 6 9
3 8 Inter 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
4 12 Spezia 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 2 0 7 5 8
5 14 Salernitana 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 1 1 2 7 5 4
6 1 Napoli 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 3 1 0 9 2 10
7 5 Udinese 4 2 2 2.0 0.2 3 1 0 8 1 10
8 7 Sassuolo 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
9 9 Juventus 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 2 2 0 8 3 8
10 15 Empoli 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
11 16 Monza 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 1 0 3 3 6 3
12 18 Verona 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
13 19 Cremonese 3 1 2 0.3 2.0 0 1 2 1 6 1
14 20 Sampdoria 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 2 3 2 8 2
15 3 Atalanta 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 2 0 5 3 5
16 6 Roma 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 2 0 1 4 1 6
17 11 Fiorentina 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
18 13 Lecce 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 0 3 1 4 5 3
19 17 Bologna 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
20 10 Torino 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 1 1 1 1 1 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Inter 4 0 4 1.5 2.5 1 0 3 6 10 3
2 10 Torino 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 2 0 3 6 9 6
3 1 Napoli 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 3 1 0 9 4 10
4 5 Udinese 3 0 3 2.3 2.0 2 0 1 7 6 6
5 6 Roma 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 3 1 1 6 7 10
6 16 Monza 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
7 20 Sampdoria 3 0 3 0.7 2.7 0 0 3 2 8 0
8 4 Milan 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
9 7 Sassuolo 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 1 3 5 5
10 12 Spezia 4 2 2 0.0 2.5 0 0 4 0 10 0
11 14 Salernitana 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 3 1 3 8 3
12 17 Bologna 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 2 3 6 1
13 19 Cremonese 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 0 2 3 5 9 2
14 2 Lazio 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 1 2 0 5 1 5
15 11 Fiorentina 3 2 1 0.3 1.0 0 1 2 1 3 1
16 13 Lecce 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 1 2 3 4 4
17 15 Empoli 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
18 3 Atalanta 4 4 0 1.5 0.0 4 0 0 6 0 12
19 9 Juventus 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 0 2 1 1 2 2
20 18 Verona 4 4 0 0.5 1.5 0 2 2 2 6 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40