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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Parma 1–3 Atalanta

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 5.00 fair 3.12
Draw 4.20 fair 4.28
Away ✓ 1.62 fair 2.24
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.57
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Parma Atalanta
9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 5
6 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (121 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.73
Home / Draw / Away
ParmaDrawAtalanta
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 1–2 9.1% 2–1 7.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Parma before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.33scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:18
Atalanta before this match, all matches
2.08points / match
2.58scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 31:15
Parma all matches all matches Atalanta

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 2.58
1.50 Goals conceded 1.25
2.83 Total goals 3.83
13.33 Shots 15.50
3.83 Shots on target 5.83
15.83 Shots faced 10.67
5.58 Corners 4.75
6.75 Corners against 2.83
9.75 Fouls 11.83
1.83 Yellow cards 1.75
0.75 1st-half goals scored 1.33
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

17% Wins 67%
50% Draws 8%
33% Losses 25%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 100%
58% Over 2.5 goals 75%
33% Over 3.5 goals 50%
17% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
83% Both teams scored 58%
8% Clean sheets 33%
17% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 58%
33% Draws 25%
25% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Parma all matches
Atalanta all matches
Parma before this match, at home
0.83points / match
1.33scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:10
Atalanta before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.83scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:7
Parma at home away Atalanta

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.83
1.67 Goals conceded 1.17
3.00 Total goals 3.00
13.00 Shots 16.00
3.50 Shots on target 5.00
13.50 Shots faced 12.50
4.83 Corners 5.00
6.17 Corners against 3.33
9.83 Fouls 13.00
2.33 Yellow cards 2.50
0.67 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

17% Wins 50%
33% Draws 17%
50% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
83% Both teams scored 33%
0% Clean sheets 50%
17% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
17% Draws 33%
33% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
17% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Parma at home
Atalanta away

Last 10 matches before this match

Parma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Venezia – Parma 1–2 (1–1) 2.553.402.70 1.67 2.20
04.11.24 Parma – Genoa 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 1.85 2.05
30.10.24 Juventus – Parma 2–2 (1–2) 1.404.758.00 1.73 2.10
27.10.24 Parma – Empoli 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.90
19.10.24 Como – Parma 1–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
06.10.24 Bologna – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.704.33 1.87 2.03
30.09.24 Parma – Cagliari 2–3 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.73 2.10
21.09.24 Lecce – Parma 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 1.91 1.99
16.09.24 Parma – Udinese 2–3 (2–0) 2.253.403.20 2.04 1.86
31.08.24 Napoli – Parma 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.337.00 1.73 2.10

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.24 Atalanta – Udinese 2–1 (0–1) 1.385.007.50 1.62 2.30
03.11.24 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.403.70 1.92 1.98
30.10.24 Atalanta – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.62 2.30
26.10.24 Atalanta – Verona 6–1 (5–1) 1.384.758.00 1.53 2.50
20.10.24 Venezia – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.62 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Atalanta – Genoa 5–1 (1–0) 1.454.756.50 1.80 2.00
28.09.24 Bologna – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.302.40 2.02 1.88
24.09.24 Atalanta – Como 2–3 (1–0) 1.444.507.00 1.67 2.20
15.09.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 3–2 (3–2) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
30.08.24 Inter – Atalanta 4–0 (2–0) 1.574.335.50 1.62 2.30

Parma at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.24 Parma – Genoa 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 1.85 2.05
27.10.24 Parma – Empoli 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.90
30.09.24 Parma – Cagliari 2–3 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.73 2.10
16.09.24 Parma – Udinese 2–3 (2–0) 2.253.403.20 2.04 1.86
24.08.24 Parma – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Parma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 3.503.202.20 1.90 2.00
05.05.24I2 Parma – Cremonese 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.55 1.70 2.10
27.04.24I2 Parma – Lecco 4–0 (3–0) 1.364.758.00 1.60 2.30
13.04.24I2 Parma – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.704.75 1.90 1.95
01.04.24I2 Parma – Catanzaro 0–2 (0–2) 1.703.605.00 1.85 2.00

Atalanta away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.24 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.403.70 1.92 1.98
20.10.24 Venezia – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.62 1.73 2.10
28.09.24 Bologna – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.302.40 2.02 1.88
30.08.24 Inter – Atalanta 4–0 (2–0) 1.574.335.50 1.62 2.30
25.08.24 Torino – Atalanta 2–1 (1–1) 3.203.102.38 2.10 1.73
19.08.24 Lecce – Atalanta 0–4 (0–2) 4.203.701.85 1.98 1.92
18.05.24 Lecce – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.91 1.99
06.05.24 Salernitana – Atalanta 1–2 (1–0) 7.505.501.36 1.53 2.50
21.04.24 Monza – Atalanta 1–2 (0–1) 4.003.801.85 1.89 2.01
07.04.24 Cagliari – Atalanta 2–1 (1–1) 4.753.801.73 1.75 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 13 8 4 1 31 14 +17 28
2 Napoli 12 8 2 2 19 9 +10 26
3 Atalanta 12 8 1 3 31 15 +16 25
4 Fiorentina 12 7 4 1 25 10 +15 25
5 Juventus 13 6 7 0 21 7 +14 25
6 Lazio 12 8 1 3 25 14 +11 25
7 Milan 12 5 4 3 20 14 +6 19
8 Bologna 11 4 6 1 15 13 +2 18
9 Udinese 12 5 1 6 15 18 -3 16
10 Empoli 12 3 6 3 9 10 -1 15
11 Torino 12 4 2 6 15 18 -3 14
12 Roma 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
13 Parma 12 2 6 4 16 18 -2 12
14 Verona 13 4 0 9 17 32 -15 12
15 Como 12 2 4 6 13 23 -10 10
16 Cagliari 12 2 4 6 12 22 -10 10
17 Genoa 12 2 4 6 9 22 -13 10
18 Lecce 12 2 3 7 5 21 -16 9
19 Monza 12 1 5 6 10 15 -5 8
20 Venezia 12 2 2 8 11 21 -10 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lazio 6 5 1 0 14 6 +8 16
2 Atalanta 6 5 0 1 20 8 +12 15
3 Napoli 6 5 0 1 11 5 +6 15
4 Fiorentina 6 4 2 0 14 6 +8 14
5 Inter 7 4 2 1 16 9 +7 14
6 Juventus 7 3 4 0 9 3 +6 13
7 Udinese 6 4 0 2 8 6 +2 12
8 Milan 6 3 2 1 10 4 +6 11
9 Roma 6 3 0 3 9 7 +2 9
10 Verona 7 3 0 4 10 17 -7 9
11 Lecce 6 2 2 2 5 13 -8 8
12 Bologna 5 1 4 0 4 3 +1 7
13 Torino 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
14 Venezia 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
15 Empoli 6 1 3 2 1 4 -3 6
16 Cagliari 7 1 3 3 7 14 -7 6
17 Parma 6 1 2 3 8 10 -2 5
18 Como 4 1 2 1 7 10 -3 5
19 Genoa 7 0 4 3 6 12 -6 4
20 Monza 7 0 3 4 5 9 -4 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 6 4 2 0 15 5 +10 14
2 Juventus 6 3 3 0 12 4 +8 12
3 Fiorentina 6 3 2 1 11 4 +7 11
4 Napoli 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
5 Bologna 6 3 2 1 11 10 +1 11
6 Atalanta 6 3 1 2 11 7 +4 10
7 Lazio 6 3 0 3 11 8 +3 9
8 Empoli 6 2 3 1 8 6 +2 9
9 Milan 6 2 2 2 10 10 0 8
10 Parma 6 1 4 1 8 8 0 7
11 Torino 7 2 1 4 10 13 -3 7
12 Genoa 5 2 0 3 3 10 -7 6
13 Monza 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
14 Como 8 1 2 5 6 13 -7 5
15 Cagliari 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
16 Udinese 6 1 1 4 7 12 -5 4
17 Roma 6 0 4 2 5 10 -5 4
18 Verona 6 1 0 5 7 15 -8 3
19 Venezia 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2
20 Lecce 6 0 1 5 0 8 -8 1

Parma   Atalanta

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Verona 13 2 11 1.3 2.5 4 0 9 17 32 12
2 6 Lazio 12 2 10 2.1 1.2 8 1 3 25 14 25
3 3 Atalanta 12 3 9 2.6 1.2 8 1 3 31 15 25
4 1 Inter 13 5 8 2.4 1.1 8 4 1 31 14 28
5 7 Milan 12 4 8 1.7 1.2 5 4 3 20 14 19
6 4 Fiorentina 12 5 7 2.1 0.8 7 4 1 25 10 25
7 13 Parma 12 5 7 1.3 1.5 2 6 4 16 18 12
8 20 Venezia 12 5 7 0.9 1.8 2 2 8 11 21 8
9 2 Napoli 12 6 6 1.6 0.8 8 2 2 19 9 26
10 9 Udinese 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 5 1 6 15 18 16
11 11 Torino 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 4 2 6 15 18 14
12 12 Roma 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 4 5 14 17 13
13 15 Como 12 6 6 1.1 1.9 2 4 6 13 23 10
14 5 Juventus 13 8 5 1.6 0.5 6 7 0 21 7 25
15 8 Bologna 11 6 5 1.4 1.2 4 6 1 15 13 18
16 16 Cagliari 12 7 5 1.0 1.8 2 4 6 12 22 10
17 17 Genoa 12 7 5 0.8 1.8 2 4 6 9 22 10
18 18 Lecce 12 8 4 0.4 1.8 2 3 7 5 21 9
19 19 Monza 12 8 4 0.8 1.2 1 5 6 10 15 8
20 10 Empoli 12 9 3 0.8 0.8 3 6 3 9 10 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Verona 7 0 7 1.4 2.4 3 0 4 10 17 9
2 6 Lazio 6 0 6 2.3 1.0 5 1 0 14 6 16
3 3 Atalanta 6 1 5 3.3 1.3 5 0 1 20 8 15
4 4 Fiorentina 6 1 5 2.3 1.0 4 2 0 14 6 14
5 1 Inter 7 3 4 2.3 1.3 4 2 1 16 9 14
6 2 Napoli 6 2 4 1.8 0.8 5 0 1 11 5 15
7 12 Roma 6 2 4 1.5 1.2 3 0 3 9 7 9
8 7 Milan 6 3 3 1.7 0.7 3 2 1 10 4 11
9 13 Parma 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 1 2 3 8 10 5
10 15 Como 4 1 3 1.8 2.5 1 2 1 7 10 5
11 16 Cagliari 7 4 3 1.0 2.0 1 3 3 7 14 6
12 17 Genoa 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 0 4 3 6 12 4
13 18 Lecce 6 3 3 0.8 2.2 2 2 2 5 13 8
14 5 Juventus 7 5 2 1.3 0.4 3 4 0 9 3 13
15 9 Udinese 6 4 2 1.3 1.0 4 0 2 8 6 12
16 11 Torino 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
17 19 Monza 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 0 3 4 5 9 3
18 20 Venezia 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
19 10 Empoli 6 5 1 0.2 0.7 1 3 2 1 4 6
20 8 Bologna 5 5 0 0.8 0.6 1 4 0 4 3 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Milan 6 1 5 1.7 1.7 2 2 2 10 10 8
2 8 Bologna 6 1 5 1.8 1.7 3 2 1 11 10 11
3 20 Venezia 7 2 5 0.7 2.0 0 2 5 5 14 2
4 1 Inter 6 2 4 2.5 0.8 4 2 0 15 5 14
5 3 Atalanta 6 2 4 1.8 1.2 3 1 2 11 7 10
6 6 Lazio 6 2 4 1.8 1.3 3 0 3 11 8 9
7 9 Udinese 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 1 1 4 7 12 4
8 11 Torino 7 3 4 1.4 1.9 2 1 4 10 13 7
9 13 Parma 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 1 4 1 8 8 7
10 14 Verona 6 2 4 1.2 2.5 1 0 5 7 15 3
11 5 Juventus 6 3 3 2.0 0.7 3 3 0 12 4 12
12 15 Como 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 1 2 5 6 13 5
13 2 Napoli 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
14 4 Fiorentina 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 3 2 1 11 4 11
15 10 Empoli 6 4 2 1.3 1.0 2 3 1 8 6 9
16 12 Roma 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 0 4 2 5 10 4
17 16 Cagliari 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
18 17 Genoa 5 3 2 0.6 2.0 2 0 3 3 10 6
19 19 Monza 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
20 18 Lecce 6 5 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 5 0 8 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51