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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie B ·

Bari 2–1 Palermo

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.88 fair 2.57
Draw 3.10 fair 3.62
Away 2.55 fair 2.99
Under 2.5 1.90 fair 1.75
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 2.33

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bari Palermo
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 4
10 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (320 league matches this season so far).
Result Bari to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
BariDrawPalermo
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 11.4% 0–1 10.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bari before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.13scored / match
1.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 36:33
Palermo before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.34scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 43:35
Bari all matches all matches Palermo

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.34
1.03 Goals conceded 1.09
2.16 Total goals 2.44
13.06 Shots 15.00
3.78 Shots on target 4.78
14.22 Shots faced 13.28
5.13 Corners 5.38
4.41 Corners against 5.66
14.91 Fouls 13.97
2.69 Yellow cards 2.19
0.66 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.34 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

25% Wins 38%
53% Draws 28%
22% Losses 34%
84% Over 0.5 goals 94%
72% Over 1.5 goals 69%
31% Over 2.5 goals 44%
19% Over 3.5 goals 22%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
56% Both teams scored 53%
34% Clean sheets 31%
25% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 38%
44% Draws 47%
16% Losses 16%
69% Over 0.5 goals 72%
25% Over 1.5 goals 38%
6% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bari all matches
Palermo all matches
Bari before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.25scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 20:16
Palermo before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.31scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 21:19
Bari at home away Palermo

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.31
1.00 Goals conceded 1.19
2.25 Total goals 2.50
13.31 Shots 12.38
3.69 Shots on target 4.00
13.81 Shots faced 14.25
5.44 Corners 4.88
4.44 Corners against 6.13
14.94 Fouls 14.00
2.38 Yellow cards 2.06
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

31% Wins 31%
56% Draws 31%
13% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
31% Over 2.5 goals 56%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
6% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 63%
31% Clean sheets 19%
19% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 38%
31% Draws 50%
19% Losses 13%
69% Over 0.5 goals 75%
19% Over 1.5 goals 44%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bari at home
Palermo away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bari all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25 Catanzaro – Bari 3–3 (1–1) 2.253.203.30 2.15 1.67
30.03.25 Carrarese – Bari 2–1 (1–1) 2.353.253.00 2.25 1.62
15.03.25 Bari – Salernitana 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.103.20 2.25 1.58
09.03.25 Sassuolo – Bari 1–1 (0–1) 1.603.905.25 1.98 1.88
02.03.25 Bari – Sampdoria 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.003.25 2.40 1.53
22.02.25 Mantova – Bari 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.252.75 2.05 1.75
15.02.25 Bari – Cremonese 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.102.40 2.15 1.67
09.02.25 Juve Stabia – Bari 3–1 (1–0) 2.353.003.25 2.50 1.50
02.02.25 Bari – Frosinone 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.104.10 2.30 1.60
25.01.25 Cesena – Bari 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.50 2.25 1.62

Palermo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25 Palermo – Sassuolo 5–3 (3–0) 2.633.302.63 2.03 1.83
30.03.25 Salernitana – Palermo 1–2 (0–2) 2.553.302.70 2.15 1.67
14.03.25 Palermo – Cremonese 2–3 (0–0) 2.703.002.80 2.10 1.70
08.03.25 Sampdoria – Palermo 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.102.70 2.10 1.70
02.03.25 Palermo – Brescia 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.604.75 1.95 1.90
23.02.25 Cosenza – Palermo 0–3 (0–1) 2.903.102.50 2.15 1.67
16.02.25 Palermo – Mantova 2–2 (1–0) 1.753.255.25 1.90 1.95
09.02.25 Spezia – Palermo 2–2 (0–1) 1.903.304.20 2.08 1.73
31.01.25 Palermo – Pisa 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.003.30 2.20 1.65
26.01.25 Reggiana – Palermo 2–1 (1–1) 3.003.002.50 2.25 1.62

Bari at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 Bari – Salernitana 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.103.20 2.25 1.58
02.03.25 Bari – Sampdoria 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.003.25 2.40 1.53
15.02.25 Bari – Cremonese 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.102.40 2.15 1.67
02.02.25 Bari – Frosinone 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.104.10 2.30 1.60
18.01.25 Bari – Brescia 2–2 (2–1) 2.053.203.75 2.25 1.62
29.12.24 Bari – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 2.882.902.60 2.40 1.53
21.12.24 Bari – Sudtirol 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.33 2.50 1.50
07.12.24 Bari – Cesena 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.15 1.63
24.11.24 Bari – Cittadella 3–2 (3–0) 1.853.404.33 2.15 1.67
02.11.24 Bari – Reggiana 2–2 (0–0) 2.053.303.70 2.15 1.67

Palermo away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.25 Salernitana – Palermo 1–2 (0–2) 2.553.302.70 2.15 1.67
08.03.25 Sampdoria – Palermo 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.102.70 2.10 1.70
23.02.25 Cosenza – Palermo 0–3 (0–1) 2.903.102.50 2.15 1.67
09.02.25 Spezia – Palermo 2–2 (0–1) 1.903.304.20 2.08 1.73
26.01.25 Reggiana – Palermo 2–1 (1–1) 3.003.002.50 2.25 1.62
29.12.24 Cittadella – Palermo 2–1 (1–0) 3.403.002.25 2.20 1.65
21.12.24 Sassuolo – Palermo 2–1 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.67 2.15
07.12.24 Carrarese – Palermo 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.15 1.63
08.11.24 Frosinone – Palermo 1–1 (1–1) 2.883.252.45 2.05 1.75
30.10.24 Mantova – Palermo 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.002.70 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bari winsDrawsPalermo wins
5matches
1.40goals / match
20%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24I2 Palermo – Bari 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.404.00 2.03 1.83
02.02.24I2 Palermo – Bari 3–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.25 2.05 1.80
18.08.23I2 Bari – Palermo 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.15 1.67
20.01.23I2 Palermo – Bari 1–0 (0–0) 2.902.902.55 2.35 1.57
19.08.22I2 Bari – Palermo 1–1 (0–1) 2.373.253.00 2.10 1.70

Italy Serie B table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 32 22 6 4 70 33 +37 72
2 Pisa 32 18 7 7 52 31 +21 61
3 Spezia 32 15 13 4 47 23 +24 58
4 Cremonese 32 14 10 8 52 36 +16 52
5 Juve Stabia 32 13 10 9 38 36 +2 49
6 Catanzaro 32 10 17 5 44 36 +8 47
7 Palermo 32 12 9 11 43 35 +8 45
8 Cesena 32 11 10 11 41 40 +1 43
9 Bari 32 8 17 7 36 33 +3 41
10 Modena 32 9 14 9 40 38 +2 41
11 Carrarese 32 9 10 13 32 41 -9 37
12 Frosinone 32 8 13 11 32 43 -11 37
13 Mantova 32 8 12 12 38 47 -9 36
14 Cittadella 32 9 9 14 26 46 -20 36
15 Sudtirol 32 9 8 15 40 50 -10 35
16 Brescia 32 7 13 12 35 42 -7 34
17 Reggiana 32 7 11 14 32 43 -11 32
18 Sampdoria 32 6 14 12 34 46 -12 32
19 Salernitana 32 7 9 16 28 42 -14 30
20 Cosenza 32 6 12 14 27 46 -19 30
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 16 13 2 1 41 14 +27 41
2 Pisa 16 11 3 2 31 14 +17 36
3 Spezia 16 10 4 2 29 13 +16 34
4 Juve Stabia 16 9 3 4 22 16 +6 30
5 Catanzaro 17 7 8 2 28 16 +12 29
6 Carrarese 16 8 4 4 19 15 +4 28
7 Cesena 16 7 6 3 24 17 +7 27
8 Modena 15 6 7 2 22 15 +7 25
9 Palermo 16 7 4 5 22 16 +6 25
10 Cremonese 16 6 6 4 24 19 +5 24
11 Bari 16 5 9 2 20 16 +4 24
12 Mantova 15 6 5 4 17 16 +1 23
13 Salernitana 16 6 4 6 20 20 0 22
14 Frosinone 17 4 8 5 18 24 -6 20
15 Reggiana 16 4 6 6 18 20 -2 18
16 Sampdoria 16 4 6 6 11 15 -4 18
17 Sudtirol 16 4 6 6 21 26 -5 18
18 Cosenza 16 4 6 6 11 18 -7 18
19 Brescia 16 3 8 5 22 23 -1 17
20 Cittadella 16 2 7 7 12 22 -10 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 16 9 4 3 29 19 +10 31
2 Cremonese 16 8 4 4 28 17 +11 28
3 Pisa 16 7 4 5 21 17 +4 25
4 Spezia 16 5 9 2 18 10 +8 24
5 Cittadella 16 7 2 7 14 24 -10 23
6 Palermo 16 5 5 6 21 19 +2 20
7 Juve Stabia 16 4 7 5 16 20 -4 19
8 Catanzaro 15 3 9 3 16 20 -4 18
9 Bari 16 3 8 5 16 17 -1 17
10 Sudtirol 16 5 2 9 19 24 -5 17
11 Frosinone 15 4 5 6 14 19 -5 17
12 Brescia 16 4 5 7 13 19 -6 17
13 Modena 17 3 7 7 18 23 -5 16
14 Cesena 16 4 4 8 17 23 -6 16
15 Sampdoria 16 2 8 6 23 31 -8 14
16 Reggiana 16 3 5 8 14 23 -9 14
17 Mantova 17 2 7 8 21 31 -10 13
18 Cosenza 16 2 6 8 16 28 -12 12
19 Carrarese 16 1 6 9 13 26 -13 9
20 Salernitana 16 1 5 10 8 22 -14 8

Bari   Palermo

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sassuolo 32 14 18 2.2 1.0 22 6 4 70 33 72
2 2 Pisa 32 14 18 1.6 1.0 18 7 7 52 31 61
3 4 Cremonese 32 14 18 1.6 1.1 14 10 8 52 36 52
4 15 Sudtirol 32 14 18 1.2 1.6 9 8 15 40 50 35
5 5 Juve Stabia 32 15 17 1.2 1.1 13 10 9 38 36 49
6 13 Mantova 32 16 16 1.2 1.5 8 12 12 38 47 36
7 6 Catanzaro 32 17 15 1.4 1.1 10 17 5 44 36 47
8 12 Frosinone 32 17 15 1.0 1.3 8 13 11 32 43 37
9 7 Palermo 32 18 14 1.3 1.1 12 9 11 43 35 45
10 10 Modena 32 18 14 1.2 1.2 9 14 9 40 38 41
11 11 Carrarese 32 18 14 1.0 1.3 9 10 13 32 41 37
12 14 Cittadella 32 18 14 0.8 1.4 9 9 14 26 46 36
13 18 Sampdoria 32 18 14 1.1 1.4 6 14 12 34 46 32
14 8 Cesena 32 19 13 1.3 1.2 11 10 11 41 40 43
15 16 Brescia 32 19 13 1.1 1.3 7 13 12 35 42 34
16 17 Reggiana 32 19 13 1.0 1.3 7 11 14 32 43 32
17 20 Cosenza 32 19 13 0.8 1.4 6 12 14 27 46 30
18 19 Salernitana 32 20 12 0.9 1.3 7 9 16 28 42 30
19 3 Spezia 32 21 11 1.5 0.7 15 13 4 47 23 58
20 9 Bari 32 22 10 1.1 1.0 8 17 7 36 33 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Pisa 16 5 11 1.9 0.9 11 3 2 31 14 36
2 15 Sudtirol 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 4 6 6 21 26 18
3 1 Sassuolo 16 7 9 2.6 0.9 13 2 1 41 14 41
4 5 Juve Stabia 16 7 9 1.4 1.0 9 3 4 22 16 30
5 6 Catanzaro 17 8 9 1.6 0.9 7 8 2 28 16 29
6 12 Frosinone 17 8 9 1.1 1.4 4 8 5 18 24 20
7 3 Spezia 16 8 8 1.8 0.8 10 4 2 29 13 34
8 4 Cremonese 16 8 8 1.5 1.2 6 6 4 24 19 24
9 17 Reggiana 16 8 8 1.1 1.2 4 6 6 18 20 18
10 19 Salernitana 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 6 4 6 20 20 22
11 10 Modena 15 8 7 1.5 1.0 6 7 2 22 15 25
12 14 Cittadella 16 9 7 0.8 1.4 2 7 7 12 22 13
13 16 Brescia 16 9 7 1.4 1.4 3 8 5 22 23 17
14 8 Cesena 16 10 6 1.5 1.1 7 6 3 24 17 27
15 11 Carrarese 16 10 6 1.2 0.9 8 4 4 19 15 28
16 7 Palermo 16 11 5 1.4 1.0 7 4 5 22 16 25
17 9 Bari 16 11 5 1.2 1.0 5 9 2 20 16 24
18 13 Mantova 15 10 5 1.1 1.1 6 5 4 17 16 23
19 18 Sampdoria 16 12 4 0.7 0.9 4 6 6 11 15 18
20 20 Cosenza 16 12 4 0.7 1.1 4 6 6 11 18 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Mantova 17 6 11 1.2 1.8 2 7 8 21 31 13
2 4 Cremonese 16 6 10 1.8 1.1 8 4 4 28 17 28
3 18 Sampdoria 16 6 10 1.4 1.9 2 8 6 23 31 14
4 1 Sassuolo 16 7 9 1.8 1.2 9 4 3 29 19 31
5 7 Palermo 16 7 9 1.3 1.2 5 5 6 21 19 20
6 20 Cosenza 16 7 9 1.0 1.8 2 6 8 16 28 12
7 5 Juve Stabia 16 8 8 1.0 1.2 4 7 5 16 20 19
8 11 Carrarese 16 8 8 0.8 1.6 1 6 9 13 26 9
9 15 Sudtirol 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 5 2 9 19 24 17
10 2 Pisa 16 9 7 1.3 1.1 7 4 5 21 17 25
11 8 Cesena 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 4 4 8 17 23 16
12 10 Modena 17 10 7 1.1 1.4 3 7 7 18 23 16
13 14 Cittadella 16 9 7 0.9 1.5 7 2 7 14 24 23
14 6 Catanzaro 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 3 9 3 16 20 18
15 12 Frosinone 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 4 5 6 14 19 17
16 16 Brescia 16 10 6 0.8 1.2 4 5 7 13 19 17
17 9 Bari 16 11 5 1.0 1.1 3 8 5 16 17 17
18 17 Reggiana 16 11 5 0.9 1.4 3 5 8 14 23 14
19 19 Salernitana 16 12 4 0.5 1.4 1 5 10 8 22 8
20 3 Spezia 16 13 3 1.1 0.6 5 9 2 18 10 24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51